Daily Operations Briefing Monday, August 8, 2016 8:30 a.m. EDT
Significant Activity - August 5-8 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic Disturbance 1 (Low 0%) Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Javier Central Pacific No tropical cyclones expected through early Wednesday morning Western Pacific No activity threatening U.S. territories Significant Weather: Heavy Rainfall/Flash Flooding Middle Mississippi Valley; Southeast to Central Appalachians; Florida Big Bend Elevated Fire Weather areas ID, UT, NV, WY, & MT Red Flag Warnings WY Space Weather Past 24 hours, Minor with Radio Blackouts reaching R1; Next 24 hours, Minor with Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are likely Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: None
Tropical Outlook - Atlantic http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Disturbance 1 (As of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Located a few hundred miles east of the Bahamas No signs of a surface circulation Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (Near 0%) Formation chance through 5 days: Low (Near 0%)
Tropical Outlook - Eastern Pacific
Tropical Outlook - Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Javier (Advisory #5a as of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Located about 100 miles SW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico Moving NW at 13 mph Maximum sustained winds 50 mph A decrease in forward speed expected Tuesday Strengthening expected within next 24 48 hours Could become a hurricane as it passes Baja California, Mexico Tropical-storm force winds extend 60 miles
Tropical Outlook - Central Pacific http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/
Tropical Outlook - Central Pacific Tropical Depression Ivette (Advisory #23 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located about 965 miles East of Hilo, HI Moving W at 9 mph Maximum sustained winds 35 mph Slight increase in forward speed expected in next 48 hours Expected to become a remnant low today
National Weather Forecast http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php Today Tomorrow
Active Watches & Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/largemap.php
Precipitation Forecast - Days 1-3 Day 1 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml Day 2 Day 3
Precipitation Forecast - Days 4-5 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml
Severe Weather Outlook - Days 1-3 Day 1 Day 2 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Day 3
Flash Flood Potential http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_r ain.shtml Day 1 Day 2
Fire Weather Outlook SCTDRYT http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html Day 1 Day 2
6-10 Day Outlooks http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictio ns/610day/610temp.new.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictio ns/610day/610prcp.new.gif 6-10 Day Temperature Probability 6-10 Day Precipitation Probability
Space Weather Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity Minor None Minor Geomagnetic Storms None None G1 Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts R1 None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity HF Map http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/ space-weather-enthusiasts http://spaceweather.com/
Wildfire Summary Fire Name (County) FMAG # Acres burned % Contained Evacuations (Residents) Structures Threatened Structures Damaged / Destroyed Fatalities / Injuries California (1) Soberanes Fire (Monterey County) Roaring Lion Fire (Ravalli County) FEMA-5137-FM-CA FEMA-5143-FM-MT 57,800 (+1,300) 8,262 (+13) 45% Mandatory 410 (400 homes) Montana (1) 5 (3 homes) / 68 (57 homes) 1 / 3 30% (+5) Mandatory 2,347 (847 homes) 1 / 65 (16 homes) 0 / 0
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region III State / Location MD Event Severe Weather & Heavy Rains July 30, 2016 IA/PA Number of Counties Requested Complete Start - End PA 1 0 8/4-TBD III WV Severe Weather & Heavy Rains July 30, 2016 IA 1 0 8/5-TBD PA 1 0 8/6-TBD V WI Severe Storms & Flooding July 8-12, 2016 IA 1 Tribe 0 8/8-TBD IV KY Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding & Strong Winds July 3-9, 2016 IA 2 2 8/2-8/5 PA 22 21 (+3) 8/2-TBD IX NV Virginia Mountains Complex Fire July 28 August 5, 2016 IA 1 Tribe 0 8/9-TBD PA 1 Tribe 0 8/9-TBD
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 2 Date Requested 0 0 Fort Peck & Sioux Tribes - DR Severe Storm and Straight-Line Winds August 2, 2016 WI DR Severe Storms and Flooding August 3, 2016
Open Field Offices as of August 8, 2016
FEMA Readiness - Deployable Teams & Assets Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available Not Available Deployable Teams & Assets Detailed, Deployed, Activated FCO 37 12 32% 0 1 24 FDRC 10 5 50% 0 0 5 Comments US&R 28 27 96% 1 0 0 NJ-TF1: Partially Mission Capable National IMAT Regional IMAT 3 3 100% 0 0 0 East 2: Primary (On Call) 13 11 85% 0 1 1 Deployed: Region I: Red / Reconstituting (FMC August 15) Region III: Deployed to WV (4273-WV) Region VII: Returned to FMC Rating Criterion OFDC Readiness: FCO Green Yellow Red Type 1 3+ 2 1 Type 2 4+ 3 2 Type 3 4 3 2 FDRC 3 2 1 Green = Available/FMC Yellow = Available/PMC Red = Out-of-Service Blue = Assigned/Deployed Green: 3 available Yellow: 1-2 available Red: 0 avail (Individual N-IMAT red if 50% of Section Chiefs and/or Team Leader is unavailable for deployment.) Green: >6 teams available Yellow: 4-6 teams available Red: < 4 teams available R-IMAT also red if TL Ops/Log Chief is unavailable & has no qualified replacement MERS Teams 18 17 94% 0 0 1 Deployed: Maynard: Deployed to Frederick, MD Green = >66% available Yellow = 33% to 66% available Red = <33% available
FEMA Readiness - National & Regional Teams National/Regional Teams Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available Not Available Status Comments Rating Criterion NWC 5 5 100% 0 0 Not Activated NRCC 2 2 100% 0 0 Not Activated HLT 1 1 100% 0 0 Activated DEST Not Activated Green = FMC Yellow = PMC Red = NMC RRCCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated RWCs/MOCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated