Daily Operations Briefing Sunday, June 7, 2015 8:30 a.m. EDT
Significant Activity: June 6-7 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic Tropical cyclone activity not expected during the next 24 hours Eastern Pacific Hurricane Blanca/Area 1 Low (10%) Central Pacific No tropical cyclones are expected through Sunday morning Western Pacific No activity Significant Weather: Severe thunderstorms possible Central Plains to the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley Rain and thunderstorms Across the U.S. from eastern California to portions of Northeast/Southeast Flash flooding Middle Mississippi Valley to Great Lakes Red Flag Warnings/Critical/Elevated Fire Weather None Space Weather Storms: No storms observed in the past 24 hours; none predicted for the next 24 hours Declaration Activity: No activity FEMA Readiness: No activity
2-Day Tropical Outlook Atlantic http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
2-Day Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Eastern Pacific Hurricane Blanca 11 PM Mon http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 11 PM Sun 5 AM Sun Hurricane Blanca (Category 2, Advisory # 27a, as of 8:00 am EDT) Located about 200 miles SSW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico Moving NNW at 12 mph; the center of Blanca will approach the southern Baja California, Mexico peninsula later today Maximum sustained winds near 105 mph; additional weakening is expected over the next 48 hours Hurricane-force winds extend up to 60 miles; tropical storm-force winds extend to 195 miles Tropical Storm Warning issued from Loreto to Punta Abreojos, Mexico Hurricane Watch from Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe, Mexico
Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1 11 PM Mon http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 11 PM Sun 5 AM Sun Disturbance 1: (as of 8:00 am EDT) Disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for some development Moving slowly NW N Formation chance (48-Hours): Low 10% Formation chance (5-Days): Medium 60%
Tropical Outlook Central Pacific
Open Field Offices as of June 7
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 1 Date Requested 1 0 MD DR Civil Unrest May 22, 2015 GU DR Typhoon Dolphin May 27, 2015 Declared June 5, 2015
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region State / Location Event IA/PA Number of Counties Requested Complete Start End AR Severe Storms and Flooding IA 10 0 6/14 TBD PA 29 13 5/28 TBD VI OK Severe Storms and Flooding May 1 and continuing IA 26 7 5/29 TBD PA 60 26 5/18 TBD TX Severe Storms, Tornadoes and Flooding May 5 and continuing IA 15 6 5/22 TBD PA 37 12 5/22 TBD VII NE KS Severe Weather May 3-11 Severe Weather, Flooding and High Winds May 4 and continuing PA 13 13 5/26 6/4 PA 43 0 6/15 TBD VIII CO Flooding April 28 and continuing PA 8 7 6/3 TBD
National Weather Forecast Day 1 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nation al_forecast/natfcst.php Today Tomorrow
Active Watches/Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
Precipitation Forecast, 1-3 Day Day 1 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml Day 2 Day 3
River Forecast http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood¤t_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_ma p
Severe Weather Outlook, Days 1-3 Day 1 Day 2 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Day 3 Categories Thunderstorms Marginal Risk Slight Risk Enhanced Risk Moderate Risk High Risk
Space Weather None Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: None None None Geomagnetic Storms None None None Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts None None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weatherenthusiasts http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/geophysical-alert-wwv-text http://spaceweather.com/
FEMA Readiness Deployable Teams /Assets Deployable Teams/Assets Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available Not Available Detailed, Deployed, Activated Comments Rating Criterion FCO 36 13 36% 0 2 21 FDRC 9 8 89% 0 0 1 US&R 28 26 92% 0 1 1 National IMAT 3 3 100% 0 0 0 Regional IMAT 13 6 46% 2 3 2 MCOV 60 38 63% 0 6 16 NM-TF1 (Red) Personnel shortages WA-TF1 (Yellow) U.S. Open (June 1-30) Deployed (Blue): RII (Team A) to TX supporting FEMA-4223-DR RVI (Team 1) to TX Available/ Partially Mission Capable (Yellow): RVIII 2x LNOs deployed to WYEOC (IMAT Leads) RX Personnel Shortages Not Mission Capable (Red): RIX (Team 1) Personnel Shortages RIV (Team 3) RVI (Team 2) 12 units to TX 1 unit to OK (3 additional to OK 06/09) OFDC Readiness: FCO Green Yellow Red Type 1 3+ 2 1 Type 2 4+ 3 2 Type 3 4 3 2 FDRC 3 2 1 Green = Available/FMC Yellow = Available/PMC Red = Out-of-Service Blue = Assigned/Deployed Green: 3 avail Yellow: 1-2 avail Red: 0 avail (Individual N-IMAT red if 50% of Section Chiefs and/or Team Leader is unavailable for deployment.) Green: 7 or more avail Yellow: 4-6 teams available Red: > 8 teams deployed/unavailable R-IMAT also red if TL Ops/Log Chief is unavailable & has no qualified replacement Green = 80 100% avail Yellow = 60 79% avail Red = 59% or below avail Readiness remains 95%
FEMA Readiness National/Regional Teams Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available National/Regional Teams Not Available Status NWC 5 5 100% 0 0 Not Activated NRCC 2 344 89% 0 44 Not Activated Comments Rating Criterion Green = FMC Yellow = PMC Red = NMC HLT 1 N/A N/A 0 0 Activated DEST Not Activated RRCCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Activated RVI Level III (8:00 am - 6:00 pm EDT) RWCs/MOCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Activated RVIII Enhanced Watch (10:00 am 7:00 pm EDT)