OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST Sunday, July 10, 2011 1 OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST http://www.oss.cc Table of Contents Market Comments... 1 Financial Events for the Coming Week... 4 Last Week s OSS INDICATORS Results... 5 Charts... 6 Option Trades... 7 OSS Subscription Services... 7 Other Sources... 8 Market Comments SAME FORECAST Choppy waters till mid July when we should see a strong rally into August. Our indicators scored 100% this week. Before I tell you a bit of good news, let me share some bad news with you. If you have been reading this letter for any length of time, you know the OSS INDICATORS simply do not work during holiday weeks. Well, the cosmos through us for a loop this time. The indicators worked fine this holiday week, but totally failed the week before. Unfortunately, I made a few Put reccommendation the week before last. Three of the four recommendation dropped by 50%, our automatic stop. FST was one of those recommendations, but it sure made up for it this week when the stock dropped from a High on the 6th of $28.07 to a Low on the 8th of $23.60. Our Jul11 27 Puts were down to $0.25 on the 6th, than hit a High on the 8th of $3.30. So, we made a good pick, but the Holiday messed with our timing. Per the Astro Trend graphs below, you can see the SPY chart was showing a sharp drop to its lowest level in quite some time. I would have played some OEX Puts with this type of sharp drop, but it was a holiday week, and I have learned an important lesson over the years concerning the Stock Market and Holidays: Never expected a move down during such weeks. The Astro Trend graph for IAU showed a strong rise between 06/29 and 07/06. The GLD (SPDR Gold Trust) made a very clear candle reversal during the week, and followed through. Another could have / should have, but I was still worried about the Holiday week affect. I am still expecting a move down for the OEX into the middle of July. The poor jobs report last week seems to have kick-started the decline. With only 18,000 new jobs when the expectation was 125,000, and an unemployment increase to 9.2%, I don t think you could ask for a gloomier picture. The OEX is also hitting another Gann line. Notice it reversed when it hit the first Gann line.
OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST Sunday, July 10, 2011 2 The VIX is in a wedge, and currently resting on support. The QQQ is also showing signs of a reversal. From the astrological view of things, we started a period of surprise than runs from last Wednesday to the middle of this week. Uranus is going direct today. Uranus is associated with surprise. This is also a period when the markets (OEX, SPX, DJIA) then to make strong moves in the days leading up to a Uranus stationary event. See the chart on Page 4 for the past few Uranus stationary periods, and for a list of upcoming stationary periods. Venus will form a square to Saturn on the 13 th. Financial astrologers say that markets forming a bottom at this time are good candidates for a reversal up. Hmm Looks to me like the VIX is forming a bottom. Astro Trend graphs show a negative count for the SPY continuing through this week. While the graph for Gold is also showing weakness, thing do become better as the week progresses. See the Near Term Indicators section of the OSS INDICATORS letter for CIT dates and directional signals. Astro Trend Graphs
OSS NEWSLETTER & FORECAST Sunday, July 10, 2011 3 See the Near Term Indicators section of the OSS INDICATORS letter for CIT dates and directional signals. Planet Date & Time (GMT) Sign & Event Neptune Nov 09, 2011 02:35 Aquarius - S/D Pluto Apr 06, 2010 09:32 Capricorn - S/R Uranus May 28, 2010 02:45 Aries - I Uranus Dec 09, 2011 17:06 Aries - S/D Neptune Feb 03, 2012 15:40 Pisces - I Neptune May 31, 2010 01:35 Aquarius - S/R Pluto Apr 09, 2012 22:15 Capricorn - S/R Uranus Jul 05, 2010 01:55 Aries - S/R Uranus Aug 14, 2010 02:27 Pisces - R Pluto Sep 13, 2010 13:14 Capricorn - S/D Neptune Jun 04, 2012 03:00 Pisces - S/R Uranus Jul 12, 2012 18:35 Aries - S/R Pluto Sep 17, 2012 11:26 Capricorn - S/D Neptune Nov 06, 2010 14:49 Aquarius - S/D Neptune Nov 10, 2012 14:19 Pisces - S/D Uranus Dec 05, 2010 11:56 Pisces - S/D Uranus Mar 12, 2011 01:21 Aries - I Neptune Apr 04, 2011 09:34 Pisces - I Pluto Apr 08, 2011 16:05 Capricorn - S/R Neptune Jun 02, 2011 14:13 Pisces - S/R Uranus Dec 12, 2012 22:15 Aries - S/D Pluto Apr 12, 2013 03:39 Capricorn - S/R Neptune Jun 06, 2013 15:45 Pisces - S/R Uranus Jul 17, 2013 02:58 Aries - S/R Pluto Sep 19, 2013 21:07 Capricorn - S/D Uranus Jul 09, 2011 10:05 Aries - S/R Neptune Nov 13, 2013 01:56 Pisces - S/D Neptune Aug 05, 2011 08:02 Aquarius - R Uranus Dec 17, 2013 03:31 Aries - S/D Pluto Sep 16, 2011 00:52 Capricorn - S/D
4 Financial Events for the Coming Week Source: MyPivots Monday, 11-July-2011 11:00 AM 4-Week Bill Announcement 11:30 AM 3-Month Bill Auction 11:30 AM 6-Month Bill Auction Thursday, 14-July-2011 08:30 AM Producer Price Index 08:30 AM Retail Sales 08:30 AM Jobless Claims 09:45 AM Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index Tuesday, 12-July-2011 07:30 AM NFIB Small Business Optimism Index 07:45 AM ICSC-Goldman Store Sales 08:30 AM International Trade 08:55 AM Redbook 11:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction 01:00 PM 3-Yr Note Auction 02:00 PM FOMC Minutes Wednesday, 13-July-2011 07:00 AM MBA Purchase Applications 08:30 AM Import and Export Prices 09:00 AM Ceridian-UCLA PCI 10:00 AM Ben Bernanke Speaks 10:00 AM Business Inventories 10:30 AM EIA Natural Gas Report 11:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement 11:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement 11:00 AM 10-Yr TIPS Announcement 01:00 PM 30-Yr Bond Auction 04:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet 04:30 PM Money Supply Friday, 15-July-2011 08:30 AM Consumer Price Index 08:30 AM Empire State Mfg Survey 09:15 AM Industrial Production 09:55 AM Consumer Sentiment 10:30 AM EIA Petroleum Status Report 01:00 PM 10-Yr Note Auction 02:00 PM Treasury Budget
5 Last Week s OSS INDICATORS Results S&P100 Projected Trend for the w eek beginning 07/04/2011 3 2 1 0-1 Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday -2-3 DATE R V T M CLOSE CHG CHG% HIGH HIGH % LOW LOW% 07/04/11 1 07/05/11 1 594.86-0.39-0.07% 0.79 0.13% -1.89-0.32% 07/06/11 +1 0 595.56 0.7 0.12% 1.46 0.25% -2.99-0.50% 07/07/11 A -2 601.81 6.25 1.05% 7.83 1.31% 0.2 0.03% 07/08/11 1 +1 1st 598.03-3.78-0.63% -0.23-0.04% -7.97-1.32% Higher prices this week. Expecting a major reversal starting on the 7 th or 8 th. Right Wrong Comment Higher price with week Last Friday's Close was 595.25. Thursday's High was 603.39. "Expecting a major reversal starting on the 7th or 8th." OEX rallied into the 7th, then tanked almost 8 point (-1.32%) on the 8th. The biggest move for the week was Thursday which had a V rating of -2, but surrounded by V ratings of +1. All we could speculate from this was that the end of the week would see the largest move. The A reversal on Thursday definitely showed itself on Friday. Big drops are most likely to occur at the beginning of the 1st and 4 th quarters of the Lunar cycle. Friday was the first day of the cycles 1 st quarter. The Projected Trend graph had one item that stuck out: Big move on Wednesday. The move came on Thursday which is within our -1/+1 day time frame.
6 Charts Candle reversals highlighted in red. Spotting candlesticks is a subjective endeavor. I personally like to stick with the ones that leap out are you. Simple Moving Averages: 20-period 50-period
7 Option Trades Interactive results may be viewed at: http://www.oss.cc/oss_results.asp OPTION ENTRY DATE ENTRY PRICE EXIT DATE EXIT PRICE PROFIT HIGHEST HIGHEST% RIMM MAR11 62.50 PUTS 02/15/11 $1.15 02/16/11 $0.77-33% $1.55 34% POT MAR11 165 PUTS 02/18/11 $1.07 02/18/11 $2.14 100% $2.26 111% OEX MARWK2 585 PUTS 03/08/11 $1.25 03/10/11 $2.50 100% $4.80 284% OEX MAR11 570 PUTS 03/08/11 $1.30 03/10/11 $2.60 100% $7.00 483% WYNN MAR11 122 PUTS 03/10/11 $1.40 03/11/11 $2.80 100% $3.45 146% OEX APR11 460 PUTS 03/16/11 $1.40 03/17/11 $0.70-50% OEX APR11 510 PUTS 03/21/11 $1.00 03/22/11 $0.50-50% CF MAY11 115 PUTS 04/07/11 $1.28 04/12/11 $2.00 50% $2.23 74% WGO MAY11 12.50 PUTS 04/12/11 $0.80 04/12/11 $0.40-50% $1.15 44% OEX MAY11 555 PUTS 04/26/11 $1.15 04/27/11 $0.55-50% $1.15 0% CAT MAY11 110 PUTS 05/03/11 $1.15 05/04/11 $2.30 100% $8.30 622% KKR MAY11 18 PUTS 05/03/11 $0.40 05/05/11 $0.80 100% $1.00 150% BBY MAY11 32 PUTS 05/03/11 $1.25 05/07/11 $1.60 28% $1.70 36% BRCD MAY11 7 PUTS 05/03/11 $0.90 05/07/11 $0.80-11% $0.90 0% OEX MAYWK2 605 CALLS 05/09/11 $0.95 05/10/11 $1.90 100% $2.10 121% OSS Subscription Services Subscribe here: http://www.oss.cc/oss_subscription.asp Subscribers to the Option Signal Service will be notified when to take action. Price: $89.95 per month. The OSS Indicator Service is included free. 30-day risk free trial! Subscribers to the OSS Indicator Service receive all indicators for the next two weeks each Sunday so you know what to expect. Price: $49.95 per month. View Sample: http://www.oss.cc/oss_indicators_101206.pdf 30-day risk free trial!
8 Other Sources http://www.urbansurvival.com/ Start your day with George Ure's view of things and things to come. Wall Street Forecaster Blog http://wsf.typepad.com/ Please contact me with any questions/comments. --Rob The Option Signal Service To unsubscribe, reply to this e-mail with the work "Remove" as the body.