Weather & Climate of Virginia

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Weather & Climate of Virginia Robert E. Davis Professor of Climatology Dept. of Environmental Sciences University of Virginia Email: red3u@virginia.edu Rivanna Master Naturalists March 14, 2017

Arctic Circle Tropic of Cancer

SEASONS

Effect of Solar Angle

circle of illumination Radiation receipt: 1) sun angle (intensity) 2) day length (duration)

Top of Atmosphere Sunlight Arctic 0 44 Charlottesville 16 41 Equator 34 36

Continentality Mean temperature of warmest minus coldest month

Incoming Outgoing

General Circulation of the Atmosphere

Ocean Circulation

Jet Stream: 1) Boundary between warm, tropical and cold, polar air masses cold 2) Size and strength vary seasonally 3) Linked to midlatitude storms at surface warm 4) Linked to storm tracks 5) A component of (circum)-polar vortex

Jet Stream (Polar Vortex) Patterns

JANUARY JULY COLD! COOL IN WINTER, JET STREAM 1) EXPANDS 2) STRENGTHENS http://www.classzone.com/books/ earth_science/terc/content/ investigations/es1906/ es1906page02.cfm

A (Very) Short Course on Weather

Storms are low pressure systems

L! Types of Fronts

Cold Front (vertical cross-section)

Warm Front (vertical cross-section)

Cold Air Warm Air

Average January Winds North wind Richmond Southwest wind (color = speed)

Average July Winds North wind Richmond (color = speed)

July Mean Maximum Dew Point Temperature

Common Wind Directions Aloft Surface

Rain Shadow Effect

Mountain Effects (Elevation: 1000 feet) (Elevation: 3500 feet)

Charlottesville Precipitation thunderstorms hurricanes fronts

SUMMER

% Rainfall (May-Nov) from Tropical Cyclones Knight and Davis, 2007

Charlottesville Climatic Water Budget AE = Actual Evapotranspiration PE = Potential Evapotranspiration P = Precipitation millimeters

P PE Surplus

PE Deficit P

PHENOLOGY Study of cyclic and seasonal natural phenomena, especially in relation to climate and plant and animal life

PHRENOLOGY Study of the and size of the cranium as a (supposed) indication of character and mental abilities

Grape Phenology Light, heat accumulation, soil moisture

Organism Growth and Temperature growth begins growth at maximum

Growing Degree Days (GDDs) accumulated degrees over time above a baseline and below a maximum, based on daily mean temperature April 10: Max = 65, Min = 45, so Mean = 55; 55 50 = 5 GDDs April 11: Max = 70, Min = 50, so Mean = 60; 60 50 = 10 GDDs Season total = 15 GDDs

Growing Degree Days (GDDs) These vary by organism! corn baseline = 50 F lettuce baseline = 42 F potato baseline = 46 F

Growing Degree Days (GDDs) As of Sunday (3/12), CHO had accumulated 200 (corn) GDDs 140 above average for that date Cautions Some organisms are more light than heat sensitive, so GDDs will not be as useful Proper growth depends on adequate soil moisture as well as heat accumulation

Average Accumulated GDDs for Mar. 12

2017 Accumulated GDDs for Mar. 12

GDDs to Date Average http://pnwpest.org/se/ddmaps.html 2017

Plant Hardiness Zones Average of each year s lowest minimum temperature

Plant Hardiness Zones http://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/phzmweb/interactivemap.aspx

Hardiness Zone Changes

Average Date of Last Spring Frost Freeze Frost 6-Apr 17-Apr 22-Apr 6-May 23-Apr 5-May 6-May 17-May 25-Apr 11-May 27-Apr 8-May 6-May 18-May 2-May 17-May???????? 90 th percentile

Average Date of Last Spring and First Fall Frost Continental U.S. 6 4 Later Earlier Deviation from average (days) 2 0-2 -4 Long-term average Fall frost Spring frost -6 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year (Kunkel, 2009)

Length of Growing Season, 1900 2002 Continental U.S. 15 Deviation from average (days) 10 5 0-5 Long-term average -10 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year (Kunkel, 2009)

Virginia Annual Temperatures 1898 2016 58 Virginia Statewide Annual Temperature Temperature ( F) 56 54 52 1900 1950 2000 Year

Virginia Annual Precipitation: 1898 2016

Weather & Climate of Virginia Robert E. Davis Professor of Climatology Dept. of Environmental Sciences University of Virginia Email: red3u@virginia.edu Rivanna Master Naturalists March 14, 2017

Here are some websites related to my presentation that might be of interest: Jet stream animation http://www.classzone.com/books/earth_science/terc/content/ investigations/es1906/es1906page02.cfm Plant Hardiness maps http://planthardiness.ars.usda.gov/phzmweb/interactivemap.aspx Animation of current global winds, ocean currents, etc. http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/250hpa/ orthographic=-43.14,8.77,356