Past and Future in the Quest for Gravitational Wave Transients

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Crab-Chandra NASA/ESA Credit: NASA/COBE Past and Future in the Quest for Gravitational Wave Transients Laura Cadonati - University of Massachusetts, Amherst LIGO Scientific Collaboration and Virgo Collaboration G1100602

Gravitational Waves: Einstein s Messengers American Museum of Natural History GW project Gravitational waves are ripples in the fabric of space-time: perturbations of the space-time metric produced by rapid changes in shape and orientation of massive objects. They travel at the speed of light, carrying information from the coherent, relativistic motion of large masses As they pass, they change the distance between neighboring bodies Dimensionless strain: I = mass quadrupole moment of the source R = source distance 2 /22

Interferometer: Suspended Mirrors as Test Masses Deformation of a ring of particles due to the + and x polarization 4 km!"##$# )*+&# %&'&('$# Goal: measure difference in length to one part in 10 21, or 10-18 meters 3 /22

An International Network Of Ground-Based Interferometers LIGO Hanford Observatory H1: 4km arms 10 ms GEO600 G1: 600m arms H2: 2km arms Virgo LIGO Livingston Observatory L1: 4km arms V1: 3km arms LCGT 3km arm (future) AIGO cornerstation world map credit: NASAʼs Earth Observatory 4 /22

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 S5/VSR1 S6/VSR2,3 S7/VSR5? Advanced Inauguration Full Lock Initial LIGO Enhanced LIGO Advanced LIGO Strain noise at 150 Hz [Hz -1/2 ] 10-19 sqrt(psd) [Hz -1/2 ] 10-20 10-21 10-22 10-23 ~10 better amplitude sensitivity ~1000 more volume 10 100 frequency [Hz] 1000 5 /22

Gravitational Wave Transients short (fraction of second to minutes) bursts of gravitational waves from violent astrophysical events Plausible sources include mergers of compact binaries, supernova explosions, instabilities in nascent neutron stars, kinks and cusps in cosmic strings... N63A Supernova Remnant - Hubble Image Credit: NASA, ESA, HEIC, and the Hubble Heritage Team STScI/AURA.

Ears Wide Open Excess power in time-frequency maps, coherent in multiple detectors Don t require prior knowledge of the waveform. based on first 5 months of S5 (Initial LIGO) ~0.05 M! c 2 ~2 10 8 M! c 2 GW energy in short, monochromatic pulses detectable with 50% probability. Function of frequency. Virgo cluster typical Galactic distance 90% Confidence rate [1/year/Mpc 3 ] 10 4 10 2 10 0 10-2 10-4 10-6 10-8 Talk by Giovanni Prodi PRD 81 (2010)102001 10 2 10 3 Frequency [Hz] Rate limit per unit volume 90% CL linearly polarized sine-gaussian with EGW= 1 M! c 2 7 /22

Adding Models: Core-Collapse Supernovae Waveforms not well constrained: variety of morphologies, must use template-less analysis approach EXAMPLE Ott, et al, PRL 96, 201102 (2006) Core Collapse numerical simulations: EGW up to 10!7 M c 2 Analytical calculations for extreme models: EGW up to 10!2 M c 2 11 M! progenitor (s11ww model)! ~ 0.4 kpc 25 M! progenitor (s25ww model)! ~ 16 kpc 8 /22

Adding Models: Compact Binary Coalescences Pairs of black holes, neutron stars, or a black hole and neutron star As they orbit one another, they emit gravitational waves causing the objects to get closer, and eventually merge Ground-based detectors are sensitive to the last few minutes of inspiral (mass dependent) Match filter to templates Image credit: NASA Credits: NASA/Dana Berry, Sky Works Digital PRD 82 (2010)102001 PRD 83 (2011)122005 9 /22

How Far? How Many? Horizon = Distance at which an optimally oriented inspiral yields SNR=8 Binary coalescence rate in a galaxy follows approximately the star formation rate, or blue light luminosity. L10 = 1010 L,B (Milky Way = 1.7 L10) 8.7 x 10-3 Rate [L10-1yr-1] ~200 Mpc ~30 M 6 x 10-4 6 x 10-5 2.2 x 10-3 4.4 x 10-4 6 x 10-5 2 x 10-5 2 x 10-6 2 x 10-7 NS-NS NS-BH BH-BH Search for Gravitational Waves from Compact Binary Coalescence in LIGO and Virgo Data from S5 and VSR1 PRD 82 (2010)102001 10 /22

Advanced LIGO Expected Rate of Binaries Class Quant Grav 27 (2010) 173001 1000 / y 100,000 100 / y 10,000 101,000 / y BNS NS-BH BBH Most optimistic 1 / y 100 1 /10 10 y 1 0.02/y 0.006/y Initial LIGO 0.01/y 40/y 10/y Advanced LIGO 20/y Binary neutron star mergers: from ~30 Mpc to ~450 Mpc Binary black hole mergers: from ~100 Mpc to z=2 11/22

Increasing importance as way to the future... Multi-Messenger Astrophysics: connecting different observations of the same astrophysical event or system Gamma-Ray transients (GRBs, SGRs) Optical transients Neutrino Events Radio transients X-ray transients...! Correlation in time and direction, targeted analysis! Information on source properties! Increased confidence in detection of gravitational waves WR124 Wolf-Rayet star in the Saggitarius constellation Image Credit: Grosdidier, Moffat, Joncas, Acker - NASA, ESA.

Electromagnetic Followup of GW Transient Candidates GW Image courtesy ROTSE collaboration Image courtesy NASA Telescopes, Satellites, particle detectors A detectable GW source must be an extremely energetic event and/or be located relatively close. Expect radiation in EM channels too (optical, X) Use GW information to point telescopes, SWIFT Tested in the 2010 run Talk by Marica Branchesi See: Kanner et al. CQG 25 (2008)184034 [0803.0312] 13/22

The GRB-GW Connection GRBs are the result of catastrophic events; expect gravitational wave emission from the immediate neighborhood of the GRB central engine. GW-GRB Probe Direct evidence of engine mechanism Measure component masses and spins in NS-NS/ NS-BH constrain NS equations of state test general relativity in the strong-field regime calibration-free luminosity distance (Hubble expansion, dark energy) Questions Which GW waveform Timing of GW burst emission Credits: Ute Kraus Metzger & Berger 2011 14/22

GRB-GW Connection Lower limit of distance assuming circular polarization EGW=0.01 M at 150Hz 0 [ApJ 715 (2010) 1435] 10 20 30 Distance (Mpc) If: Fermi sky coverage and Enhanced LIGO sensitivity E GW = 0.01 M, f 0 = 150 Hz <Nshort> 1 x 10-4 /year <Nlong> 7 x 10-6 /year [ApJ 715 (2010) 1453] <Nlocal> 7 x 10-3 /year Advanced Detectors will be 10 times more sensitive, probe 1000 times larger volume: good probability to observe GRB-GW coincidence. 15/22

IPN 3-sigma error region; Mazets et al, ApJ 680, 545 GRB 070201 intense, short, hard GRB (GCN 6088) [ApJ 681 (2008) 1419] Error box Consistent with Andromeda (M31) ~770 kpc D M31 25% 50% 75% 90% Absence of a GW signal in LIGO: exclude compact binary coalescence progenitor in M31 with more than 99%CL Most likely an SGR giant flare in Andromeda Mazets et al., ApJ 680, 545 Ofek et al., ApJ 681, 1464 16/22

Image credit: NASA Neutron Star Physics Soft gamma repeater (SGR) flares [ PRL 101 (2008) 211102 ; ApJL 701 (2009) L68] ; Ap. J. 734 (2011) L35 Crustal cracking in neutron stars may excite quasi-normal modes which can emit gravitational waves SGR 1806-20, SGR 1900+14: for certain assumed waveforms, gravitational wave energy limits are as low as few " 10 45 erg, comparable to EM energy in giant flares Long-lived quasiperiodic GWs after giant flare? [ PRD 76 (2007) 062003] SGR 1806-20 hyperflare of December 27, 2004: GW energy limits are comparable to total EM energy emission Mechanism for pulsar time glitches? [ PRD 83 (2011) 042001] Search for ringdown around the August 2006 timing glitch of the Vela pulsar for model selection, limits a few " 10 45 erg 17/22

High Energy Neutrinos (10 5-10 10 GeV) No absorption/diffusion: travel cosmological distances (as opposed to photons - dust, gas, microwave or IR background) No deflection by magnetic fields: trace back (as opposed to charged cosmic rays) weakly interacting: escape from dense objects Ongoing collaboration with Antares, IceCube CQG 25, 114039, 2008 arxiv:0807.2567 arxiv:0908.2454 arxiv:1101.4669 Long GRBs, Short GRBs, Failed GRBs Talk by Irene di Palma 18/22

Low Energy Neutrinos Core-collapse supenovae (1-100 MeV) Joint search would bring greater detection confidence and improved sensitivity Single neutrino event + GW signal Advanced detectors: could constrain models in galactic neighborhood, most extreme models to Andromeda. SuperK distant burst condition: two neutrinos > 17 MeV within 20 seconds (FAR=0.16/y) At proposal stage *#,"-./0012/3//4 19/22

Incorporating Models in the Analysis 1. Can numerical relativity help improve how we search for gravitational waves? 2. Once we have a detection, what can we say about the source? Most progress incorporating models in the analysis so far: Binary Black Hole Coalescences, vacuum solutions - ongoing collaboration with Numerical Relativity community CQG 26 (2009) 165008 Background Image Credit: Werner Berger/AEI

Matter Effects Wide set of phenomena: (NS-NS, NS- BH, SNe, single NS, GRB engine, etc.). Examples of current interests: " post-merger oscillation from neutron star coalescences (NS equation of state, tidal disruption effects) " EM counterparts to black hole binaries " core-collapse supernovae (mechanism, 3D models, numerical vs analytical) Circularity of the problem: relativistic astrophysics needs observations to constrain models. Some examples: ET aligo iligo Source: J. Read, GWPAW 2011 Talk by Alan Weinstein Background Image Credit: Marek & Janka (2009) 21/22

Conclusions 1. Initial Detector Era: GW transient searches have placed meaningful constraints on individual objects and events, source populations, total energy density in gravitational waves. 2. Preparing for detection: increasing confidence, increased interaction with modeling and astrophysics community, to maximize science output. The Advanced Detector era is around the corner! 22/22