Daily Operations Briefing Friday, July 29, 2016 8:30 a.m. EDT
Significant Activity: July 28 29 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic Disturbance 1 Invest 97L (Low 20%); Disturbance 2 Invest 96L (Low 30%) Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1 Invest 91E (Medium 50%) Central Pacific No tropical cyclones expected through Saturday evening Western Pacific No activity threatening U.S. territories Significant Weather: Flash flooding possible Central Plains to the Lower Mississippi Valley; Ohio Valley into the Great Lakes Rain and thunderstorms Most of the U.S. Isolated dry thunderstorms CA, NV Red Flag Warnings CA, UT, NV & AZ Excessive Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories CA, NV, AZ and Mid-Atlantic Space Weather None observed past 24 hours; none predicted next 24 hours Earthquake Activity: None Wildfire Activity: Sand Fire (FINAL) Soberanes Fire Rock Fire Lava Mountain Fire Declaration Activity: Fire Management Assistance Declaration (FMAG) approved for Soberanes Fire & Rock Fire
Tropical Outlook - Atlantic http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Disturbance #1 (Invest 97L) (As of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Located 1,200 miles E of Lesser Antilles Moving W at 25 mph Slow development expected Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (20%) Formation chance through 5 days: Low (30%) Disturbance #2 (Invest 96L) (As of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located several hundred miles S of Cape Verde Islands Conditions become less conducive for development early next week Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (40%) Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (50%)
Tropical Outlook - Eastern Pacific Disturbance #1 (Invest 91E) (As of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Located 850 miles SSW of southern tip of Baja California peninsula Moving WNW at 10 to 15 mph Conducive for development next day or two Tropical depression likely this weekend or next week Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (50%) Formation chance through 5 days: High (80%)
Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific Post-Tropical Cyclone Frank: (Advisory #29 as of 5:00 p.m. EDT) - FINAL Located 955 miles W of southern tip of Baja California, Mexico Moving WNW at 7 mph Gradual turn W and WSW expected next 48 hours Maximum sustained winds 35 mph (Frank is a remnant low) Weakening forecast; expected to dissipate by Sunday This is the last Public Advisory
Tropical Outlook Central Pacific http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/
National Weather Forecast http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php Today Tomorrow
Active Watches & Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/largemap.php
Precipitation Forecast Days 1-3 Day 1 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml Day 2 Day 3
Fire Weather Outlook http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy1.html Day 1 Day 2
Hazards Outlook July 31-August 4 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php
U.S. Drought Monitor http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/ http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/mapsanddata/changemaps.aspx
Space Weather Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity None None None Geomagnetic Storms None None None Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts None None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity HF Map http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/ space-weather-enthusiasts http://spaceweather.com/
Soberanes Fire California Fire Name Soberanes Fire Location Acres burned % Contained Est. Full Containment Monterey County 29,877 15% none FMAG FEMA-5137-FM-CA Approved July 28 Structures Lost / Threatened Fatalities / Injuries 41 / 2,000 homes 1 / 0 Current Situation Fire began July 22, 2016, on Federal & State/private land Threatened communities in the Carmel Highlands (pop. 3,000) One fatality (Firefighter); no injuries Mandatory evacuations in effect for 350 people Two shelters open, with zero occupants (ARC as of 2:30a.m. EDT 7/29) Response Acting Gov. declared State of Emergency on July 26 Region IX RWC remains at Normal Operations CA SEOC is at Normal Operations
Rock Fire Nevada Fire Name Location Acres burned % Contained Est. Full Containment Rock Fire Washoe County 2,000 0% none FMAG FEMA-5138-FM-NV Approved July 29 Structures Lost / Threatened Fatalities / Injuries 0 / 300 homes 0 / 0 Current Situation Fire began on July 28, 2016, on Federal and State/private land; 40 miles north of Reno, NV Threatening communities include Rancho Red Rock and Rancho Haven No fatalities nor injuries reported Mandatory evacuations in effect for 400 people Response Region IX RWC remains at Normal Operations Nevada EOC is at Normal Operations Washoe County (Rock F Fire)
Wildfire Summary Fire Name (County) FMAG # Acres burned % Contained Evacuations (Residents) Structures Threatened Structures Damaged / Destroyed Fatalities / Injuries California (2) Sand Fire - FINAL (Los Angeles County) FEMA-5135-FM-CA 38,346 65% (+25%) Lifted 200 homes 6 (1 home) / 19 (18 homes) 1 / 5 Soberanes Fire (Monterey County) FEMA-5137-FM-CA 29,877 15% Mandatory 2,000 homes 2/41 1/0 Wyoming (1) Lava Mountain Fire (Fremont County) FEMA-5136-FM-WY 12,169 (+631) 5% (+5) Mandatory 1,223 (343 homes) 1 / 0 0 / 2 Nevada (1) Rock Fire (Washoe County) FEMA-5138-FM-NV 2,000 0% Mandatory 300 homes 0/0 0/0
FMAG Requests and Declarations Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State Requests DENIED 0 Requests APPROVED 2 5137-CA 5138-NV Approved FMAG Data Year Current YTD MTD Monthly Average Cumulative Acres Burned YTD Cumulative Denied FMAGs YTD 2016 24 7 7 226,366 3 Year Total Previous FY ++ Yearly Average Total Acres Burned Previous Year Total Denied FMAGs Previous Year 2015 33 36 250,658 2 * Reflects the 3-year average for current month/ ** Reflects 3-year total average
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region V State / Location WI Event Severe Storms & Flooding July 11-12, 2016 IA/PA PA Number of Counties Requested 8 counties 2 tribes Complete 5 1 Start End 7/25 TBD IV KY Severe storms, tornadoes, flooding & strong winds July 3-9, 2016 IA 2 0 8/2 TBD PA 23 0 8/2 TBD
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 2 Date Requested 0 0 MT DR Tornado July 20, 2016 KS DR Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding July 21, 2016
Open Field Offices as of July 29, 2016
FEMA Readiness - Deployable Teams & Assets Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available Not Available Deployable Teams & Assets Detailed, Deployed, Activated FCO 37 11 30% 0 2 24 FDRC 9 2 22% 0 1 6 Comments Rating Criterion OFDC Readiness: FCO Green Yellow Red Type 1 3+ 2 1 Type 2 4+ 3 2 Type 3 4 3 2 FDRC 3 2 1 US&R 28 26 93% 1 0 1 NJ-TF1 Partially Mission Capable PA-TF1 Red NMC for Federal Service (tasked locally for DNC operations through July 29) Green = Available/FMC Yellow = Available/PMC Red = Out-of-Service Blue = Assigned/Deployed National IMAT Regional IMAT MERS Teams 3 3 100% 0 0 0 West: Primary (On Call) 13 8 62% 0 0 5 18 14 78% 0 0 4 Deployed: Region I: WV (4273-WV) Region III: WV (4273-WV) Region IV: Team 1 to WV (4273-WV) Region VI: Team 1 to TX (4266-TX) Region VII: TX (4272-TX) Deployed: Denton: 2 teams to TX (4272-TX) Frederick: 1 Team to Harrisburg, PA (in support of DNC) Maynard: 1 Team to VT (EX Vigilant Guard 16) Green: 3 available Yellow: 1-2 available Red: 0 avail (Individual N-IMAT red if 50% of Section Chiefs and/or Team Leader is unavailable for deployment.) Green: >6 teams available Yellow: 4-6 teams available Red: < 4 teams available R-IMAT also red if TL Ops/Log Chief is unavailable & has no qualified replacement Green = >66% available Yellow = 33% to 66% available Red = <33% available
FEMA Readiness - National & Regional Teams National/Regional Teams Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available Not Available Status Comments Rating Criterion NWC 5 5 100% 0 0 Not Activated Returned to Watch/Steady State NRCC 2 2 100% 0 0 Not Activated HLT 1 1 100% 0 0 Activated DEST Not Activated Green = FMC Yellow = PMC Red = NMC RRCCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated Region III RRCC de-activated RWCs/MOCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated Region III RWC Enhanced Watch 9:00 a.m. to 2:00 p.m. (DNC Rally)