Wednesday, November 28, 2018 8:30 a.m. EST
Significant Activity Nov 27-28 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic No new tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1: Low (30%) Central Pacific No new tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days Western Pacific No activity affecting U.S. interests Significant Weather: Heavy Snow Parts of New England Freezing rainfall Portions of Northern Plains Heavy Precipitation with possible flash flooding Southern CA Declaration Activity: Major Disaster Declaration approved - Pennsylvania
Tropical Outlook Atlantic 48 Hour Outlook 5 Day Outlook
Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1 (as of 8:00 a.m. EST) 400 miles SSW of Manzanillo, Mexico Moving slowly NW Tropical depression could form by Thursday Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (30%) Formation chance through 5 days: Low (30%) 48 Hour 5 Day 1 (30%)
Tropical Outlook Central Pacific 48 Hour Outlook 5 Day Outlook
National Weather Forecast Wed Thu Fri
Severe Weather Outlook Wed Thu Fri
Fire Weather Outlook Wednesday Thursday
Precipitation / Excessive Rainfall Forecast Wed - Fri Wed Thu Fri
Winter Precipitation Outlook Forecast Snowfall Forecast Ice Accumulation
Space Weather Space Weather Activity Geomagnetic Storms Solar Radiation Radio Blackouts Past 24 Hours None None None None Next 24 Hours None None None None For further information on NOAA Space Weather Scales refer to: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region I III IV VI State / Location CT VA NC TX Event Severe Storms and Flooding September 25, 2018 Hurricane Michael October 10-11, 2018 Hurricane Michael October 10-12, 2018 Flooding September 10, 2018 and continuing IA / PA Number of Counties Requested Completed Start End IA 0 0 N/A PA 2 2 (+2) 11/05 11/20 IA 0 0 N/A PA 39 29 10/29 TBD IA 0 0 N/A PA 20 7 (+4) 11/19 TBD IA 3 3 10/31 11/05 PA 52 (-2) 19 10/29 TBD
Declaration Approved FEMA-4408-DR-PA The President approved a Major Disaster Declaration on November 27, 2018 For severe storms and flooding occurring August 10-15, 2018 Provides: o Public Assistance for 10 counties o Hazard Mitigation for the entire Commonwealth FCO is Steven S. Ward PA
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 5 IA PA HM Date Requested 1 0 TX DR Severe Storms and Flooding X X X October 30, 2018 PA DR Severe Storms and Flooding X X X November 2, 2018 Declared November 27, 2018 Tohono O odham Nation DR Remnants of Tropical Storm Rosa X X X November 8, 2018 MA EM Gas Explosion and Fire X November 9, 2018 KS DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding X X November 14, 2018 CT DR Severe Storms and Flooding X X November 20, 2018
Readiness Deployable Teams and Assets Resource Force Strength Available Deployed Other Cadres with 25% or Less Availability IM Workforce 12,282 2,223 18% 6,422 3,637 National IMATs* (1-2 Teams) Regional IMATs ( 3 Teams) National ISBs (0 Teams) US&R (>66%) MERS (>66%) FCO ( 3 Type I) FDRC ( 1 ) East : Composite: West: Available Available Deployed Assigned: 13 Available: 1 PMC / NMC: 4 Deployed: 8 Team A Deployed Team B Team C Deployed Deployed Assigned: 28 Available: 27 (+2) PMC / NMC: 1 (-2) Deployed: 0 Assigned: 36 Available: 33 PMC / NMC: 0 Deployed: 3 Assigned: 30 Available: 5 (-2) PMC / NMC: 1 (+1) Deployed: 24 (+1) Assigned: 13 Available: 4 (-1) PMC / NMC: 1 (+1) Deployed: 8 * B-2 Status: Assemble 2-hrs, On Site 18-hrs; B-48 Status: Assemble and deploy 48hrs; Charlie Status: No team assemble time requirement DSA 18% (155/845); EA 23% (127/550); EHP 6% (26/436); ER 0% (0/44); FL 13% (23/174); FM 21% (57/269); HM 10% (101/1,011); HR 10% (25/242); IA 25% (735/2,893); IT 10% (64/643); LOG 10% (127/1,241); OPS 15% (38/261); PA 7% (135/1,910); PLAN 12% (41/348); SAF 7% (4/59); SEC 3% (3/117)
FEMA Readiness Activation Teams Status Activated Team Activation Level Activation Times Reason / Comments NWC (5 Teams) Steady State NRCC (2 Teams) Steady State HLT Activated RWC / MOCs (10 Regions) Steady State RRCCs (10 Regions) Steady State Backup Regions: VI, X, and VIII
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