CAM Tutorial. Sea Ice Modeling 31 July 2009 David Bailey and Marika Holland, NCAR

Similar documents
Sea Ice Modeling for Climate Applications. Marika M Holland (NCAR) David Bailey (NCAR), Cecilia Bitz (U. Washington), Elizabeth Hunke (LANL)

Arctic climate projections and progress towards a new CCSM. Marika Holland NCAR

Sea Ice Update. Marika Holland and David Bailey. National Center for Atmospheric Research. CESM Workshop. University of Toronto

The forcings and feedbacks of rapid Arctic sea ice loss

Influence of the Sea Ice Thickness Distribution on Polar Climate in CCSM3

Influence of the Sea Ice Thickness Distribution on Polar Climate in CCSM3

Early Student Support to Investigate the Role of Sea Ice-Albedo Feedback in Sea Ice Predictions

Importance of physics, resolution and forcing in hindcast simulations of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice variability and trends

Modeling sea-ice and its interactions with the ocean and the atmosphere

Spectral Albedos. a: dry snow. b: wet new snow. c: melting old snow. a: cold MY ice. b: melting MY ice. d: frozen pond. c: melting FY white ice

(1) Arctic Sea Ice Predictability,

Update on CICE activities

Ice-Albedo Feedback Process in the Arctic Ocean

Sea Ice Motion: Physics and Observations Ron Kwok Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA

Sea ice modelling for climate applications

Sea ice: physical properties, processes and trends. Stephen Howell Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada July 18, 2017

Sea-Ice Prediction in the GFDL model framework

Impact of refreezing melt ponds on Arctic sea ice basal growth

The Northern Hemisphere Sea ice Trends: Regional Features and the Late 1990s Change. Renguang Wu

Outline: 1) Extremes were triggered by anomalous synoptic patterns 2) Cloud-Radiation-PWV positive feedback on 2007 low SIE

Arctic Ocean simulation in the CCSM4

Arctic Ocean-Sea Ice-Climate Interactions

ATOC OUR CHANGING ENVIRONMENT Class 19 (Chp 6) Objectives of Today s Class: The Cryosphere [1] Components, time scales; [2] Seasonal snow

Research Interests: variability of sea ice thickness interactions among ocean, seaice and atmosphere climate modelling

Modeling Salinity of First-Year Sea Ice

Evaluating the Discrete Element Method as a Tool for Predicting the Seasonal Evolution of the MIZ

CLIMATE, OCEAN AND SEA ICE MODELING PROGRAM. The Los Alamos Sea Ice Model A CICE 5.0 Update

Changing Arctic: climate, environment, metocean conditions, with a special focus on sea ice

Observing Arctic Sea Ice Change. Christian Haas

Photo courtesy National Geographic

The Seasonal Evolution of Sea Ice Floe Size Distribution

The Arctic Energy Budget

Experimental and Theoretical Studies of Ice-Albedo Feedback Processes in the Arctic Basin

Arctic Climate Change. Glen Lesins Department of Physics and Atmospheric Science Dalhousie University Create Summer School, Alliston, July 2013

Sea-ice change around Alaska & Impacts on Human Activities

Earth s Heat Budget. What causes the seasons? Seasons

Seasonal & Diurnal Temp Variations. Earth-Sun Distance. Eccentricity 2/2/2010. ATS351 Lecture 3

Modeling Challenges At High Latitudes. Judith Curry Georgia Institute of Technology

Age Characteristics in a Multidecadal Arctic Sea Ice Simulation

Modelling the Evolution of Arctic Melt Ponds

Antarctic Sea Ice: Mean state and variability in CCSM control run. Laura Landrum, Marika Holland, Dave Schneider, Elizabeth Hunke

Reconciling different observational data sets from Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) for model validation purposes

CICE: The LANL sea- ice model. Adrian Turner, Elizabeth Hunke, Nicole Jeffery

Arctic sea ice in IPCC climate scenarios in view of the 2007 record low sea ice event A comment by Ralf Döscher, Michael Karcher and Frank Kauker

The PRECIS Regional Climate Model

Experimental and Theoretical Studies of Ice-Albedo Feedback Processes in the Arctic Basin

The Cryosphere Radiative Effect in CESM. Justin Perket Mark Flanner CESM Polar Climate Working Group Meeting Wednesday June 19, 2013

Radiative Climatology of the North Slope of Alaska and the Adjacent Arctic Ocean

Lecture 7: The Monash Simple Climate

Early Student Support to Investigate the Role of Sea Ice-Albedo Feedback in Sea Ice Predictions

Tale of Two Sea-ice Models. Kate Hedstrom, UAF

Recent Improvements in the U.S. Navy s Ice Modeling Efforts Using CryoSat-2 Ice Thickness for Model Initialization

Controls on Arctic Sea Ice from First-Year and Multiyear Ice Survivability

5. General Circulation Models

Experimental and Theoretical Studies of Ice-Albedo Feedback Processes in the Arctic Basin

Causes of Changes in Arctic Sea Ice

EFFECTS OF DATA ASSIMILATION OF ICE MOTION IN A BASIN-SCALE SEA ICE MODEL

MOSAiC Science Implementation The Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate

Observed State of the Global Climate

Tropical Pacific responses to Neogene Andean uplift and highlatitude. Ran Feng and Chris Poulsen University of Michigan

Lower Stratospheric Cooling. and. Abrupt Change in Arctic Sea Ice

The Rossby Centre Ocean model applied to the Arctic Ocean using ERA-40

Arctic climate: Unique vulnerability and complex response to aerosols

Changing predictability characteristics of Arctic sea ice in a warming climate

The Oceans in a Warming World

Ocean Mixing with Lead-Dependent Subgrid Scale Brine Rejection Parameterization in a Climate Model

Centennial-scale Climate Change from Decadally-paced Explosive Volcanism

Evaluation of snow/ice albedo parameterizations and their impacts on sea ice simulations

Climate Roles of Land Surface

Chapter 6: Modeling the Atmosphere-Ocean System

COURSE CLIMATE SCIENCE A SHORT COURSE AT THE ROYAL INSTITUTION

OCN/ATM/ESS 587. Ocean circulation, dynamics and thermodynamics.

Experimental and Theoretical Studies of Ice-Albedo Feedback Processes in the Arctic Basin

Albedo evolution of seasonal Arctic sea ice

Interannual Variations of Arctic Cloud Types:

Course Outline CLIMATE SCIENCE A SHORT COURSE AT THE ROYAL INSTITUTION. 1. Current climate. 2. Changing climate. 3. Future climate change

What makes the Arctic hot?

The Regional Arctic System Model (RASM) for Studying High Resolution Climate Changes in the Arctic

Late-Twentieth-Century Simulation of Arctic Sea Ice and Ocean Properties in the CCSM4

Torben Königk Rossby Centre/ SMHI

Electromagnetic Radiation. Radiation and the Planetary Energy Balance. Electromagnetic Spectrum of the Sun

Benchmarking Polar WRF in the Antarctic *

The Role of Surface Albedo Feedback. in Internal Climate Variability, Transient Climate Change, and Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity

The Ice Age sequence in the Quaternary

Numerical modeling of sea ice in the climate system

Worrying about Snow. Ed B-W, UW, Seattle with CC Bitz. Thanks to NCAR (Jen Kay, PCWG)

Course Outline. About Me. Today s Outline CLIMATE SCIENCE A SHORT COURSE AT THE ROYAL INSTITUTION. 1. Current climate. 2.

Optimization of a sea ice model using basinwide observations of Arctic sea ice thickness, extent, and velocity

Arctic Climate Response to Forcing from Light-Absorbing Particles in Snow and Sea Ice in CESM

Arctic catastrophes in an idealized sea ice model

Whither Arctic Sea Ice?

Land Surface Sea Ice Land Ice. (from Our Changing Planet)

Earth s Climate System. Surface Albedo. Climate Roles of Land Surface. Lecture 5: Land Surface and Cryosphere (Outline) Land Surface Sea Ice Land Ice

CLIMATE AND CLIMATE CHANGE MIDTERM EXAM ATM S 211 FEB 9TH 2012 V1

Earth s Heat Budget. What causes the seasons? Seasons

How de-coupling cloud radiative feedbacks strengthens the AMOC

Snow and Sea Ice Physics, Thermodynamics, Dynamics and Remote Sensing

The spatial distribution and radiative effects of soot in the snow and sea ice during the SHEBA experiment

Observed rate of loss of Arctic ice extent is faster than IPCC AR4 predictions

Influence of clouds on radiative fluxes in the Arctic. J. English, J. Kay, A. Gettelman CESM Workshop / PCWG Meeting June 20, 2012

Transcription:

CAM Tutorial Sea Ice Modeling 31 July 2009 David Bailey and Marika Holland, NCAR

Sea ice influences in the climate system Surface albedo in March > 0.8 < 0.1 Ice-Ocean Freshwater Exchange

Contrasting the Hemispheres Arctic Ocean surrounded by land (thicker ice). Southern Ocean unbounded (free drift). Larger seasonal cycle in south. Winter extent set by ocean in south and land/ ocean in north.

Source: NSIDC Sept Ice Extent 1979-2008 2007: 23% less than previous minimum Arctic summer sea ice Source: Cryosphere Today, U. Illinois

Loss of the summer Arctic ice cover in context From 1980 to 2005: summer ice loss equal to 24 states; most of the US east of the Mississippi To 2007: 5 additional states (courtesy of Harry Stern, U. Washington) (courtesy of Dr. Don Perovich, CRREL)

We really need thickness data! Bourke and Garrett 1987 Laxon et al. 2003

Transition Towards Younger, Thinner Ice Ice age tracking algorithm from C. Fowler and J. Maslanik By 2007 ice >5 years is only 10% of the perennial ice pack. Younger ice is generally thinner ice Consistent with ULS data; hindcast model experiments Spring 1986 Spring 1990 Spring 2007 Maslanik et al., 2007

The data through 2007, however suggest more warming! Antarctic temperature trend from 1982-2004 shows a slight cooling. (Earth Observatory.)

CCSM Sea Ice Model Three primary components Thermodynamics Solves for ice temperature, vertical melt/growth rates Dynamics Ice motion Ice Thickness Distribution Subgridscale parameterization, redistribution resulting from ridging/rafting, etc

CCSM Sea Ice Model (2) Physical Processes (included above) Radiative transfer in ice and snow. Ridging / Rafting. Snow-ice formation.

Sea ice thermodynamics F sw αf sw F LW F SH F LH Simulate vertical heat transfer (conduction, SW absorption) h i T 1 T 2 T 3 T 4 F ocn -k dt/dz h s Balance of fluxes at ice surface (iceatm exchange, conduction, ice melt) Balance of fluxes at ice base (ice-ocn exchange, conduction, ice melt/growth)

Vertical heat transfer ρc T t = z k T z + Q SW Assume brine pockets are in thermal equilibrium with ice Heat capacity and conductivity are functions of T/S of ice Assume constant salinity profile Assume non-varying density Assume pockets/channels are brine filled Q SW = d dz I SW e κz where I SW = i 0 (1 α)f SW (from Light, Maykut, Grenfell, 2003) (Maykut and Untersteiner, 1971; Bitz and Lipscomb, 1999; others)

Albedo Melt ponds are prevalent on sea ice. Influence surface albedo and ice mass budget. Parameterized albedo depends on surface state (snow, temp, h i, ponds). 1 km Albedo Evolution During SHEBA (Perovich et al. 2002)

Ice Dynamics m u t = mfk u + τ a + τ o Coriolis Air stress Ocean stress mg H + σ Sea Slope Internal Ice Stress Force balance between wind stress, water stress, internal ice stress, coriolis and stress associated with sea surface slope Ice freely diverges (no tensile strength) Ice resists convergence and shear Each ice category advected with same velocity field u = 0

Ice Thickness Distribution g t = h ( fg) + L(g) ( v g) + Ψ(h,g, v ) (Thorndike et al., 1975) g = obs, h = 2 or 1 Evolution depends on: Ice growth, lateral melt, ice divergence, and mechanical redistribution (riding/rafting)

CICE model is discretized on an Arakawa B-grid using a dipole or tripole grid.

Computational Decomposition y x

Coupling with Atmosphere Sea ice receives temperature, density, humidity, incoming radiation fields, rain, and snow. Sea ice returns grid cell aggregate ice fraction and thickness, surface temperature, albedo, surface stresses, turbulent heat fluxes, and upward radiative fluxes.

CCSM4 Sea Ice Component Community Ice CodE (CICE) 4.0 Base Code Delta-Eddington Radiative Transfer in sea ice and snow. (Briegleb and Light) Melt Pond Parameterization. (Bailey and Holland) Arbitrary Number of Tracers (for example age, melt ponds, aerosols). Simple (linear) snow aging. Aerosol cycling and deposition on sea ice / snow.

1850 control and 20 th Century Runs

1850 control and 20 th Century Runs (2)

Summary Sea ice is important! Complicated discontinuous surface represented by continuum model. Specified ice fraction for standalone CAM is a simplification. Ongoing research into new sea ice physics and parameterizations.