MODELING COUPLED PROCESSES OF MULTIPHASE FLOW AND HEAT TRANSFER IN UNSATURATED FRACTURED ROCK

Similar documents
MODELING WATER SEEPAGE INTO HEATED WASTE EMPLACEMENT DRIFTS AT YUCCA MOUNTAIN

A mountain-scale thermal hydrologic model for simulating fluid flow and heat transfer in unsaturated fractured rock

Characterization of flow and transport processes within the unsaturated zone of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, under current and future climates

Modeling capillary barriers in unsaturated fractured rock

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION

APPENDIX VI CURRENT INFORMATION REGARDING GROUND WATER FLOW AND RADIONUCLIDE TRANSPORT IN THE UNSATURATED AND SATURATED ZONES

Heterogeneous fractured rock properties: implications for unsaturated flow modelling of a high-level nuclear waste repository

Clifford K. Ho and Michael L. Wilson Sandia National Laboratories. P.O. Box Albuquerque, NM

Water, Vapor, and Salt Dynamics in a Hot Repository

Yucca Mountain. High-level Nuclear Waste Repository. Radiation Basics

APPLICATION OF 1D HYDROMECHANICAL COUPLING IN TOUGH2 TO A DEEP GEOLOGICAL REPOSITORY GLACIATION SCENARIO

Journal of Hydrology

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

A HYBRID SEMI-ANALYTICAL AND NUMERICAL METHOD FOR MODELING WELLBORE HEAT TRANSMISSION

Modeling Seepage into Heated Waste Emplacement Tunnels in Unsaturated Fractured Rock

On the Effective Continuum Method. Multicomponent Transport and Heat Transfer in Fractured Rock

COMPUTER MODELLING OF HEAT AND MASS FLOW IN STEAMING GROUND AT KARAPITI THERMAL AREA, NEW ZEALAND

A Modeling Study of Flow Diversion and Focusing in Unsaturated Fractured Rocks

It is widely recognized that fractures play an important

THE APPLICATION OF CFD TO VENTILATION CALCULATIONS AT YUCCA MOUNTAIN

DETERMINING FAULT PERMEABILITY FROM SUBSURFACE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE

Chapter 12 - Incorporation of Geostatistics into Flow and Transport Simulations

MODELING OF GAS MIGRATION THROUGH LOW-PERMEABILITY CLAY USING INFORMATION ON PRESSURE AND DEFORMATION FROM FAST AIR INJECTION TESTS

Modeling the thermal-hydrologic processes in a large-scale underground heater test in partially saturated fractured tuff

WM2012 Conference, February 26 March 1, 2012, Phoenix, Arizona, USA

An approximate analytical solution for non-darcy flow toward a well in fractured media

Numerical Simulation of Single-Phase and Multiphase Non-Darcy Flow in Porous and Fractured Reservoirs

A Generalized Numerical Approach for Modeling Multiphase Flow and Transport in Fractured Porous Media

Fracture-Flow-Enhanced Matrix Diffusion in Solute Transport Through Fractured Porous Media

Geophysics with applications to subsurface waste disposal: Case history

INCREASED STORAGE CAPACITY AT YUCCA MOUNTAIN FAVORS THERMAL MANAGEMENT FOR A COLD REPOSITORY

Three-DimensionalNumericalModeling ofthe InfluenceofFaultson Groundwater Flowat Yucca Mountain,Nevada

Qb:rVA. 6/b/03. Stefan Finsterle Earth Sciences Division Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

REDUCING COST AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF GEOTHERMAL POWER THROUGH MODELING OF CHEMICAL PROCESSES IN THE RESERVOIR

A NOVEL FULLY COUPLED GEOMECHANICAL MODEL FOR CO 2 SEQUESTRATION IN FRACTURED AND POROUS BRINE AQUIFERS

Analytical and Numerical Modeling of Heat Transport in Fractured Reservoirs

Deep Borehole Disposal Performance Assessment and Criteria for Site Selection

Evaluation of the hydraulic gradient at an island for low-level nuclear waste disposal

INVERSE MODELING OF LABORATORY TESTS FOR ROCK THERMAL PROPERTY ESTIMATION. A.V. Kiryukhin, A.Y. Polyakov, A.V. Mushinsky

Numerical Simulation of Devolution and Evolution of Steam-Water Two-Phase Zone in a Fractured Geothermal Reservoir at Ogiri, Japan

SPE MS. Copyright 2014, Society of Petroleum Engineers

*:-... '.!,. *. : Artif icu bak Traature* . ).#A I. SUBJECT: ' Request for Patent Release. LBL- LbltJl860

RATE OF FLUID FLOW THROUGH POROUS MEDIA

Homogenization and numerical Upscaling. Unsaturated flow and two-phase flow

Comparison of CFD Natural Convection and Conduction-only Models for Heat Transfer in the Yucca Mountain Project Drifts

Joint inversion of geophysical and hydrological data for improved subsurface characterization

Unsaturated Flow (brief lecture)

Infiltration in stratified, heterogeneous soils: Relative importance of parameters and model variations

Seepage into drifts and tunnels in unsaturated fractured rock

PROBABILISTIC TRANSPORT PATH ANALYSIS THROUGH THREE-DIMENSIONAL DISCRETE FRACTURE NETWORKS FOR UNDERGROUND RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL FACILITIES

Chapter 2 Overview of Processes Occurring During CO 2 Geological Storage and Their Relevance to Key Questions of Performance

A New T-H-M-C Model Development for Discrete-Fracture EGS Studies

WATER ON AND UNDER GROUND. Objectives. The Hydrologic Cycle

Safety assessment for disposal of hazardous waste in abandoned underground mines

Hydrogeology of Deep Borehole Disposal for High-Level Radioactive Waste

Supporting Information

NEW DEMANDS FOR APPLICATION OF NUMERICAL SIMULATION TO IMPROVE RESERVOIR STUDIES IN CHINA

Uncertainty Underground: Yucca Mountain and the Nation s High-Level Nuclear Waste. Allison Macfarlane July 7, 2006 STS Program, MIT

PRELIMINARY EFFORTS TO COUPLE TETRAD WITH GEOPHYSICS MODELS

Pore Connectivity, Episodic Flow, and Unsaturated Diffusion in Fractured Tuff

Analyzing effect of fluid flow on surface subsidence

Groundwater Hydrology

Predicting the soil-water characteristics of mine soils

kt r klim 9 = - KVT (3) Karsten Pruess Earth Sciences Division Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory Berkeley, California 94720

Strontium isotope evolution of pore water and,calcite in the Topopah Spring Tuff, Yucca

Groundwater. (x 1000 km 3 /y) Reservoirs. Oceans Cover >70% of Surface. Groundwater and the. Hydrologic Cycle

-344- LIQUID-DOMINATED GEOTHERMAL RESERVOIRS. Lewis Semprini and Paul Kruger Civil Engineering Department Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305

16 Rainfall on a Slope

Radon production and migration in karstic environment: experimental data and numerical modelling (Fourbanne site, French Jura Mountains)

Groundwater. (x 1000 km 3 /y) Oceans Cover >70% of Surface. Groundwater and the. Hydrologic Cycle

RADIONUCLIDE DIFFUSION IN GEOLOGICAL MEDIA

On the solution of incompressible two-phase ow by a p-version discontinuous Galerkin method

dynamics of f luids in porous media

Nuclear Waste Management. T. A. Buscheck W. E. Glassley K. Lee M. W. Owens J. J. Rwerts

Simulations of Carbon Dioxide Injection, Seismic Monitoring, and Well Logging for. Enhanced Characterization of Faults in Geothermal Systems

Reservoir Simulator Compaction Modelling: A Predictor for Accelerated Coupled Rock Mechanics -- Reservoir Simulation

NUMERICAL MODELING STUDY OF SIBAYAK GEOTHERMAL RESERVOIR, NORTH SUMATRA, INDONESIA

Potential Igneous Processes Relevant to the Yucca Mountain Repository: Intrusive-Release Scenario

WM2014 Conference, March 2-6, 2014, Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Drilling And Testing in the Deep Borehole Field Test

MODELING MULTIPHASE NON-ISOTHERMAL FLUID FLOW AND REACTIVE GEOCHEMICAL TRANSPORT IN VARIABLY SATURATED FRACTURED ROCKS: 1.

Application of Inverse Modeling to Geothermal Reservoir Simulation

HYDROTHERMAL FLUID FLOW AND MINERAL ALTERATION IN A FRACTURED ROCK UNDER MULTIPHASE H 2O- CO 2 MIXTURE CONDITIONS

Capabilities of TOUGH Codes for Modeling Geologic Sequestration and Leakage of CO 2

Soils, Hydrogeology, and Aquifer Properties. Philip B. Bedient 2006 Rice University

Heat (& Mass) Transfer. conceptual models of heat transfer. large scale controls on fluid movement. distribution of vapor-saturated conditions

MODELING AND NUMERICAL ANALYSIS OF THE TWO-PHASE GEOTHERMAL RESERVOIR AT OGIRI, KYUSHU, JAPAN

1. Introduction. 2. Model Description and Assumptions

Slope Stability Model of the Questa Rock Pile Phase 2

Parallel Simulation of Subsurface Fluid Flow

Introduction to Aspects of Multiscale Modeling as Applied to Porous Media

COMPARING FRACHEM AND TOUGHREACT FOR REACTIVE TRANSPORT MODELING OF BRINE-ROCK INTERACTIONS IN ENHANCED GEOTHERMAL SYSTEMS (EGS)

Code-to-Code Benchmarking of the PORFLOW and GoldSim Contaminant Transport Models using a Simple 1-D Domain

Thermal Modeling of the Mountain Home Geothermal Area

LBL Radionuclide Solubility and Speciation Studies for the Yucca Mountain Site Characterization Project

An Introduction to COMSOL Multiphysics v4.3b & Subsurface Flow Simulation. Ahsan Munir, PhD Tom Spirka, PhD

In all of the following equations, is the coefficient of permeability in the x direction, and is the hydraulic head.

Available online at ScienceDirect

Tournemire Underground Laboratory: Geophysical Monitoring of Claystone Desaturation in a Ventilated Borehole.

Transcription:

MODELING COUPLED PROCESSES OF MULTIPHASE FLOW AND HEAT TRANSFER IN UNSATURATED FRACTURED ROCK YU-SHU WU 1, S. MUKHOPADHYAY 1, K. ZHANG 1, AND G. S. BODVARSSON 1 1 Earth Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, MS 90-1116, Berkeley CA94720, USA ABSTRACT A mountain-scale, thermal-hydrologic (TH) numerical model is developed for investigating unsaturated flow behavior in response to decay heat from the radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, USA. The TH model, consisting of three-dimensional (3-D) representations of the unsaturated zone, is based on the current repository design, drift layout, and thermal loading scenario under estimated current and future climate conditions. More specifically, the TH model implements the current geological framework and hydrogeological conceptual models, and incorporates the most updated, best-estimated input parameters. This mountain-scale TH model simulates the coupled TH processes related to mountain-scale multiphase fluid flow, and evaluates the impact of radioactive waste heat on the hydrogeological system, including thermally perturbed liquid saturation, gas- and liquid-phase fluxes, and water and rock temperature elevations, as well as the changes in water flux driven by evaporation/condensation processes and drainage between drifts. For a better description of the ambient geothermal condition of the unsaturated zone system, the TH model is first calibrated against measured borehole temperature data. The ambient temperature calibration provides the necessary surface and water table boundary as well as initial conditions. Then, the TH model is used to obtain scientific understanding of TH processes in the Yucca Mountain unsaturated zone under the designed schedule of repository thermal load. 1. INTRODUCTION Since the 1980s, the 500 700 m thick unsaturated zone (UZ) of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, USA, has been extensively investigated as a potential subsurface repository for storing high-level radioactive wastes. While site characterization has been carried out mostly for analyzing unsaturated flow and tracer transport under ambient conditions (Wu et al., 1999; Wu et al. 2002), the inherent nature of nonisothermal flow and transport processes, created by repository heating from radioactive decay, has also motivated many research efforts to understand coupled thermalhydrological (TH) behavior and its impact on repository performance within the UZ. In 1

Wu. Mukhopadhyay, Zhang, and Bodvarsson particular, significant progress has been made in quantitative TH modeling studies at Yucca Mountain (Haukwa et al. 1999; Haukwa et al. 2003; Buscheck et al. 2002). The need to quantitatively characterize TH processes occurring in the UZ geological formation at Yucca Mountain has posed a tremendous challenge for investigators as well as motivated a continual effort to develop and apply different scale fluid and heat flow models (Tsang and Pruess, 1987; Pruess et al., 1990a; 1990b; Buscheck et al., 1994; Haukwa et al., 1999; 2003; Buscheck et al., 2002; Mukhophadhyay and Tsang, 2002; 2003). These numerical models have played a crucial role in understanding coupled fluid and heat flow as well as in assessing how TH conditions affect various aspects of the overall UZ waste disposal system. These modeling investigations are complementary to laboratory studies and field heater experiments to study physical processes on the temporal and spatial scales relevant to understanding nuclearwaste-repository performance in a geological formation. Despite the significant advances made in modeling TH processes within the UZ repository system at Yucca Mountain, previous studies have been (for the most part) limited to small spatial- and temporal-scale analyses. For large, mountain-scale multidimensional modeling exercises, the effective continuum model (ECM), rather than the more rigorous dual-continuum approach, has often been resorted to in these studies (Wu et al., 1995; Haukwa et al., 1999). This choice primarily results from the numerical difficulty and computational intensity involved in solving highly nonlinear coupled two-phase fluid flow and heat transfer under boiling conditions in unsaturated fractured rock. In recent years, mountain-scale TH models implementing the dualpermeability approach have been developed (Haukwa et al., 2003) with a two-dimensional model. Mountain-scale TH processes have also been investigated with the multiscale thermalhydrologic model (Buscheck et al., 2002). In general, there has been the lack of modeling effort using the 3-D, large spatial and temporal scale, fully coupled TH analyses in Yucca Mountain fractured rock using the dual-permeability modeling (DKM) approach. It is in this context that the 3-D, mountain-scale, fully coupled TH model is presented in this paper. This paper presents the results of our continuing effort to develop a representative mountainscale fully coupled TH model that could characterize TH processes in the UZ repository under thermal load (Wu et al., 2005). More specifically, the TH model implements the current geological framework and hydrogeological conceptual model, and incorporates the updated input parameters (Wu et al., 2004). Using the rigorous dual-permeability modeling approach, the TH model described in this paper implements a full 3-D representation within the repository and UZ system, which explicitly includes every waste emplacement drift of the repository in which flow and heat transfer processes along drifts are approximated as porous-medium phenomena without considering the details of air dynamics within the tunnel. For a better understanding of the ambient geothermal conditions of the UZ system, the TH model is first calibrated against measured borehole temperature data under the ambient geothermal condition, providing the needed surface and water table boundary as well as initial conditions for the TH model. In this paper, the 3-D mountain-scale TH model is presented to study the TH perturbation at Yucca Mountain. The objective is to investigate spatial and temporal perturbation and its impact on temperature, matrix and fracture liquid saturation, and percolation fluxes in the mountain caused by repository heating. Distribution of infiltration fluxes at the top of the mountain and 2

thermal loading at the repository are the two factors that primarily control the evolution of TH processes in the mountain. Changes in the infiltration flux resulting from climate changes have been accounted for in this paper by considering a time-dependent net infiltration map with a three-step increase, representing present-day, monsoon, and glacial climates. The impact of repository thermal loading on TH processes in the mountain has been investigated in this study by considering two separate thermal loading scenarios with or without ventilation along repository drifts. 2. HYDROGEOLOGICAL AND NUMERICAL MODELS The geological model used for developing the TH model numerical grid is based on the current geological framework model for Yucca Mountain (BSC, 2004a). In this geological model, the UZ geological system is organized into layered hydrogeologic units, based primarily on the degree of welding (Montazer and Wilson, 1984), the Tiva Canyon welded (TCw) hydrogeologic unit, the Paintbrush nonwelded unit (PTn), the Topopah Spring welded (TSw) unit, the Calico Hills nonwelded unit (CHn), and the Crater Flat undifferentiated (CFu) units. Shown in Figure 1 is the 3-D numerical grid used in this study for the mountain-scale TH model, in which the 3-D UZ model domain is represented using an irregular, unstructured, control-volume grid (Pan et al., 2001). The 3-D TH model grid, as shown in Figure 1 in its plan view, covers approximately 20 km 2 of the area, uses a refined mesh in the vicinity of the emplacement drifts, and incorporates every repository drift explicitly by taking into account their orientations, lengths, elevations, and spacing. Specifically, a grid spacing of 81 m is used in the direction perpendicular to drifts, the same as the designed drift spacing. At the repository horizon, a segment of a 5.5 m diameter cylinder is inserted and used to represent waste emplacement drifts for thermal-loading TH studies. The 3-D TH model grid consists of 86,440 gridblocks and 343,520 connections between the gridblocks in a dual-permeability mesh. The modeling approach used in this work for handling multiphase flow and heat transfer through fractured rock is based on the dual-permeability method. This approach considers global fluid and heat flow occurring not only between fractures but also between matrix blocks. In this approach, one rock-volume domain is represented by two overlapping fracture and matrix continua. The fracture-matrix fluid flow is evaluated using the quasi-steady-state approximation (Warren and Root, 1963), which has been extended for estimating local energy exchange terms between fracture and matrix systems. The actual simulation of physical processes associated with fluid and heat flow in fractured tuffs are carried out using the TOUGH2 code (Pruess et al., 1999). Fluid flow and heat-transfer processes in a two-phase, air-water system of fractured rock are described separately using a doublet of governing equations, respectively, for the two fracture and matrix continua. Twophase flow is described by the multiphase extension of Darcy s law, whereas relative permeability and capillary functions of both fractures and matrix are assumed to follow the model of van Genuchten (1980). Heat-transfer mechanisms in the two-phase system include conduction, convection, and radiation, associated with latent heat caused by phase changes in vaporization (boiling) and condensation in the fractured rock. The integral finite-difference scheme is used for 3

Wu. Mukhopadhyay, Zhang, and Bodvarsson spatial discretization, and time discretization is carried out with a backward, first-order, finitedifference scheme. The resulting discrete nonlinear algebraic equations for describing mass and energy conservation are written in a residual form and solved using the Newton/Raphson iteration scheme. N Repository Block Observation cell Borehole G F I J H WT-18 H-5 C A B E UZ#4 NRG-7A UZ#5 D H-4 S FIGURE 1. Plan view of the three-dimensional TH model grid showing the model domain, faults incorporated, several borehole locations, and TH model boundaries In the TH model, input parameters for fracture and matrix rock as well as fluid properties were estimated in several studies (Wu et al., 2004; Ghezzehei and Liu, 2004; Pan and Liu, 2004). In addition, thermal properties, including grain density, wet and dry thermal conductivity, and grain-specific heat for each model grid layer, are provided in Wu et al. (2004). Temperaturedependent fluid properties, such as fluid density, viscosity, and specific enthalpy, are incorporated in the formulation of the TOUGH2 code. The repository thermal load and its schedule are shown in Figure 2, based on an average initial thermal line load of 1.45 kw/m, along each emplacement drift for the radioactive heat source, decreasing with time as a result of radioactive decay. A base-case thermal load scenario is that heat is removal by forced ventilation, for which, during the first 50 years after waste emplacement, 86.3% of the heat is assumed to be removed by ventilation. After the first 50 years, the full thermal load becomes applicable (i.e., no difference in thermal load with the noventilation case). The no ventilation case is used for sensitivity analysis in this paper. Note that the actual process of ventilation is not modeled in this study, though the heat-generation rate is reduced to account for heat removal by ventilation. 4

1.4 Repository Thermal Load (kw/m) 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Radioactive Decay 86.3% Heat Removal Through Ventilation End of Ventilation (50 years) 0 10 0 10 1 10 2 10 3 10 4 10 5 10 6 Time (years) FIGURE 2. Radioactive heat decay curve for an initial thermal load of 1.45 kw/m. showing the thermal load when 86.3% of the heat is removed by ventilation during the first 50 years The 3-D TH model uses the ground surface of Yucca Mountain (or the tuff-alluvium contact in areas of significant alluvial cover) as the top model boundary, and the water table is treated as the bottom model boundary. Both the top and bottom boundaries of the models are specified as constant over time, but spatially varying temperatures and gas pressures. The water table is relatively flat, increasing its elevation only in the north. At the southern part of the model domain, the water table is about 730 m above sea level (masl). Gas pressures are estimated as 92 kpa at an elevation of 730 masl. The surface gas pressures are then determined by running the TOUGH2 software to steady state under given temperature, bottom pressure, and surfaceinfiltration conditions. In addition, at the surface boundary, the TH model uses three net infiltration rates as a step function of time for surface-water-recharge boundary conditions. The three averaged net infiltration rates consist of one present-day and two future (monsoon and glacial infiltration, respectively) scenarios, determined by studies of modern and future climates (BSC, 2004b) for their spatial distributions. The actual timing of the three TH-model infiltration rates are shown in Table 1, indicating average values over the model domain for three time periods: present (0 to 600 years), monsoon (600 to 2,000 years), and glacial transition (2,000 years and beyond). 3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION In this section, results are presented from the 3-D mountain-scale TH model to provide predictive information about the responses of the UZ system under thermal load (Wu et al. 2005). More specifically, the simulation results presented here are compared for the impact of ventilation on mountain-scale TH processes. 3.1 Temperature Figures 3 (3A and 3B) and 4 (4A and 4B) show contours of temperatures simulated along the repository horizon of the 3-D numerical grid, respectively, at 100 years and 1,000 years for the 5

Wu. Mukhopadhyay, Zhang, and Bodvarsson two scenarios with and without ventilation. The simulated temperatures at repository horizon after 100 years of repository thermal load with ventilation, as shown in Figures 3A and 3B, indicate a large difference in simulated temperature contours from these two thermal loading scenarios with and without ventilation. Figure 3B shows that without ventilation, a boiling condition at the ambient atmospheric pressure (~ 96 o C) is reached in most of the repository blocks, while only several isolated rock blocks may reach the boiling condition with ventilation. (Note that temperatures shown in these figures are for the rock surrounding the drift and not for the drift itself, where boiling temperatures are reached within most drifts with the ventilation case in 100 years.) Temperature Distribution at Repository Horizon (100 years) Temp ( o C) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 FIGURE 3A. Model-predicted rock temperature distribution at repository horizon at time of 100 years after nuclear waste emplacement (the base-case model with ventilation). Temperature Distribution at Repository Horizon (100 years, nv) Temp ( o C) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 FIGURE 3B. Rock temperature distribution at the repository horizon 100 years after waste emplacement as predicted by the 3-D TH model 6

At a longer time of 1,000 years, as shown in Figures 4A and 4B, the boiling condition still lasts along the central portion of drifts away from the repository layout boundary for both scenarios. Note that boiling or near-boiling zones for the non-ventilation case (Figure 4B) is larger than in the ventilation scenario (Figure 4A). However, the difference becomes smaller when compared with Figures 3A and 3B for 100 years. This indicates that the impact of 50-year ventilation gets progressively weaker as time goes on. Note that after 1,000 years, the thermal effect of repository heating starts decreasing (Figure 2). Temperature Distribution at Repository Horizon (1000 year, v) Temp ( o C) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 FIGURE 4A. Model-predicted rock temperature distribution at repository horizon at 1,000 years after nuclear waste emplacement (the base-case model with ventilation) Temperature Distribution at Repository Horizon (1000 year, nv) Temp ( o C) 100 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 FIGURE 4B. Rock temperature distribution at the repository horizon 1,000 years after waste emplacement as predicted by the 3-D TH model 7

Wu. Mukhopadhyay, Zhang, and Bodvarsson Figures 5A and 5B show the vertical spatial variations at 5,000 years in simulated temperatures along the NS cross section of the 3-D model (Figure 1). The highest temperatures within the repository horizon, at this time, are only about 60 o C. At these later times, the two scenarios become almost identical. Elevation (m) 00 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 Temperature at N-S cross section at time 5000 years Temp ( o C) 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 800 N-S (m) FIGURE 5A. Model-predicted temperature distribution at the n-s cross section at 5,000 years after nuclear waste emplacement (the base-case model with ventilation) Elevation (m) 00 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 Temperature at N-S cross section at time 5000 years (nv) Temp ( o C) 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 800 N-S (m) FIGURE 5B. Rock temperature distribution at the n-s cross section 5,000 years after waste emplacement as predicted by the 3-D TH model 3.2 Percolation Flux One of the primary utilities of the mountain-scale TH model is to analyze the impact of repository heating on the spatial distribution of percolation fluxes. Using the 3-D numerical grid, the ambient vertical fracture fluxes in a horizontal cross section at the repository horizon are shown in Figure 6. The ambient percolation flux distribution of Figure 6A is based on the 8

present-day infiltration scenario (see Table 1). In the central part of the repository (to the left of the ), the percolation fluxes in the fractures are on the order of 7 9 mm/year under ambient conditions. Compare Figure 6A with Figure 6B, which shows the contribution of vertical fracture fluxes at 500 years in the same cross section as that of Figure 6A. Percolation fluxes significantly increase in the repository horizon, particularly in the areas directly above the drifts. Again, water displaced from the rock matrix by boiling condenses above the dryout zone and drains through the fractures. As a result, percolation fluxes in the fractures above the drift increase considerably during and immediately after the boiling periods at 500 years with repository thermal loading under ventilation conditions. TABLE 1. Averaged infiltration rates (mm/yr) and time period over the TH model domain Scenario Time Period Mean Infiltration (mm/yr) Present-Day/Modern 0 600 years 3.6 Monsoon 600 2,000 years 10.4 Glacial Transition 2,000 and beyond 16.1 Vertical Flux at Repository Horizon (Initial condition) Flux (mm/y) 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 FIGURE 6A. Total vertical flux distribution at repository horizon under ambient conditions with the present-day, mean infiltration rates (Table 1) as predicted by the 3-D TH model 9

Wu. Mukhopadhyay, Zhang, and Bodvarsson Vertical Flux at Repository Horizon (500 years, v) Flux (mm/y) 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 FIGURE 6B. Model-predicted total vertical flux distribution at repository horizon at 500 years after nuclear waste emplacement (the base-case model with ventilation) Percolation flux distribution under repository thermal loading without ventilation is more clearly seen in Figure 6C. In this thermal loading scenario, the percolation flux above the repository (in the condensate zone) is twice the ambient infiltration, resulting from displacement of matrix pore water by boiling. At the same time, model results show that fracture fluxes just below the repository are considerably smaller. Because of the capillary barrier effects of the emplacement drifts, water cannot enter the drifts and is diverted through the pillar region, resulting in a relatively dry region below the drift. Vertical Flux at Repository Horizon (500 years, nv) Flux (mm/y) 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 FIGURE 6C. Total vertical flux distribution at repository horizon 500 years after waste emplacement as predicted by the 3-D TH model without ventilation 10

4. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS This paper describes a 3-D, mountain-scale TH model and its application to assess thermal and hydrological responses to repository heat release at Yucca Mountain. The TH model numerically simulates the impact of nuclear-waste heat release on the natural hydrogeological system, including a representation of heat-driven processes occurring at the repository drifts (as well as in the far field). The mountain-scale TH model provides a predictive tool for thermally affected liquid saturation, gas- and liquid-phase fluxes, and water and rock temperature. The 3-D mountain-scale TH model in this paper uses the dual-permeability modeling approach for handling fracture-matrix interaction. The 3-D TH model grid, though having relatively coarse grid spacing, incorporates every repository drift explicitly by taking into account orientations, lengths, elevations, and spacing of the repository drifts, such that adjacent drifts are represented one-to-one by adjacent gridblocks 81 m wide. To account for future climates and their impact on TH behavior at the repository, the mountain-scale TH model implements three infiltration rates over three time periods, stepped up sequentially over the modeled period: present-day (0 600 years), monsoon (600 2,000 years), and glacial transition (2,000 and beyond). Initial and boundary conditions are obtained by calibration to observed geothermal gradients at Yucca Mountain. Representative repository thermal load at Yucca Mountain is used as the source of heating. Two thermal loading scenarios are investigated. In the first scenario, no heat is removed by ventilation. In the second scenario, approximately 86% of the repository thermal load is removed by forced ventilation during the first 50 years after waste emplacement. Mountain-scale TH model results demonstrate that when heat is removed by ventilation, rock temperatures around the drift barely reach boiling (although temperatures within the drifts may be above boiling). However, the enhancement in fracture percolation fluxes during the thermal period near the repository drifts is significant, but relatively smaller compared to the noventilation thermal loading scenario. Overall, the impact of ventilation on the evolution of TH processes at Yucca Mountain is limited in the vicinity of the drifts and during the first few hundred years or so. Elsewhere in the mountain and at other times, the TH conditions are comparable between the two thermal loading scenarios. The mountain-scale TH models in this paper provide a contemporary understanding of the TH processes likely to occur in the mountain. These models not only provide useful predictions about the TH conditions in the mountain, but also provide the considerations for safe design of the repository. As a result, the reliability of these models is an important issue. There are, of course, certain limitations to the mountain-scale models, and one significant limitation to the mountainscale TH model in this paper is that it does not incorporate small- and large-scale heterogeneities within each stratigraphic unit. In addition, repository heating causes chemical and mechanical changes in the rock. These chemical and mechanical changes in turn alter the hydrological properties of the rock, which have the potential to alter the TH response of the rock. These dynamic changes in the rock concurrent with repository heating have not been considered in this paper. Future modeling efforts may be directed towards resolving some of these issues. 11

Wu. Mukhopadhyay, Zhang, and Bodvarsson ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This work was supported by the Director, Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management, U.S. Department of Energy, through Memorandum Purchase Order EA9013MC5X between Bechtel SAIC Company, LLC, and the Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab). The support is provided to Berkeley Lab through the U.S. Department of Energy Contract No. DE-AC03-76SF00098. The reviews and comments of Guoxiang Zhang and Dan Hawkes from Berkeley Lab are greatly appreciated. REFERENCES BSC (2004a), Geologic Framework Model (GFM2000), MDL-NBS-GS-000002 REV 02, Bechtel SAIC Company, Las Vegas, Nevada. BSC (2004b), Future Climate Analysis, ANL-NBS-GS-000008 REV 01, Bechtel SAIC Company, Las Vegas, Nevada. Buscheck, T.A., N.D. Rosenberg, J. Gansemer, and Y. Sun (2002), Thermohydrologic Behavior at an Underground Nuclear Waste Repository, Water Resources Research, 38(3), pp. 1-19. Buscheck, T.A., J.J. Nitao, and S.F. Saterlie (1994), Evaluation of Thermo-Hydrological Performance in Support of the Thermal Loading Systems Study, High Level Radioactive Waste Management, Proceedings of the Fifth Annual International Conference, Las Vegas, Nevada, May 22-26, 1994. 2, pp. 592-610. Ghezzehei, T. A. and H. H. Liu (2004), Calibrated Properties Model, MDL-NBS-HS-000003 REV 02, Bechtel SAIC Company, Las Vegas, Nevada. Haukwa, C.B., Y-S. Wu, Y-S. and G.S. Bodvarsson (2003), Modeling Thermal Hydrological Response of the Unsaturated Zone at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, to Thermal Load at a Potential Repository, Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 62-63, pp. 529-552. Haukwa, C.B., Y-S. Wu, and G.S. Bodvarsson (1999), Thermal Loading Studies Using the Yucca Mountain Unsaturated Zone Model, Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 38(1-3), pp. 217-255. Montazer, P. and W.E. Wilson (1984), Conceptual Hydrologic Model of Flow in the Unsaturated Zone, Yucca Mountain, Nevada, Water-Resources Investigations Report 84-4345, U.S. Geological Survey, Lakewood, Colorado. Mukhophadhyay, S. and Y.W. Tsang (2003), Uncertainties in Coupled Thermal-Hydrological Processes Associated with the Drift Scale Test at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 62-63, pp. 595-612. Mukhophadhyay, S. and Y.W. Tsang (2002), Understanding the Anomalous Temperature Data from the Large Block Test at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, Water Resources Research, 38(10), pp. 28-1 28-12. Pan, L. and H.H. Liu (2004), Analysis of Hydrologic Properties Data, ANL-NBS-HS-000042 REV 00, Bechtel SAIC Company, Las Vegas, Nevada Pan, L., J. Hinds, C.B. Haukwa, Y-S. Wu, and G.S. Bodvarsson (2001), WinGridder - An interactive grid generator for TOUGH, Version 1.0 User's Manual, LBNL-42957, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, Berkeley, California. Pruess, K., C. Oldenburg, and G. Moridis (1999), TOUGH2 User s Guide, Version 2.0, LBNL-43134, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California. Pruess, K., J.S.Y. Wang, J.S.Y., and Y.W. Tsang (1990a), On Thermohydrologic Conditions Near High-Level Nuclear Wastes Emplaced in Partially Saturated Fractured Tuff, 1. Simulation Studies with Explicit Consideration of Fracture Effects, Water Resources Research, 26(6), pp. 1235-1248. Pruess, K., J.S.Y. Wang, and Y.W. Tsang (1990b), On Thermohydrologic Conditions Near High-Level Nuclear Wastes Emplaced in Partially Saturated Fractured Tuff, 2. Effective Continuum Approximation, Water Resources Research, 26(6), pp. 1249-1261. Tsang, Y.W. and K. Pruess (1987), A Study of Thermally Induced Convection near a High-Level Nuclear Waste Repository in Partially Saturated Fractured Tuff, Water Resources Research, 23(10), pp. 1958-1966. 12

van Genuchten, M.T. (1980), A Closed-Form Equation for Predicting the Hydraulic Conductivity of Unsaturated Soils, Soil Science Society of America Journal, 44(5), pp. 892-898. Warren, J.E. and P.J. Root (1963), The Behavior of Naturally Fractured Reservoirs, Society of Petroleum Engineers Journal, 3(3), pp. 245-255. Wu, Y.S, S. Mukhopadhyay, K. Zhang, E.L. Sonnenthal, G. Zhang, G., and J. Rutqvist (2005), Mountain-Scale Coupled Processes (TH/THC/THM) Models, MDL-NBS-HS-000007 REV03, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, Bechtel SAIC Company, Las Vegas, NV. Wu, Y.S., G. Lu, K. Zhang, G. Zhang, H.H. Liu, T. Xu, and E.L. Sonnenthal (2004), UZ Flow Models and Submodels, Research Report (AMR), MDL-NBS-HS-000006, REV02, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, Bechtel SAIC Company, Las Vegas, Nevada. Wu, Y. S., L. Pan, W. Zhang, and G.S. Bodvarsson (2002), Characterization of Flow and Transport Processes within the Unsaturated Zone of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, Under Current and Future Climates, Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 54(3-4), pp. 2-247. Wu, Y.S., C. Haukwa, and G.S. Bodvarsson (1999), A Site-Scale Model for Fluid and Heat Flow in the Unsaturated Zone of Yucca Mountain, Nevada, Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 38(1-3), pp. 185-2. Wu, Y. S., G. Chen, and G.S. Bodvarsson (1995), Preliminary Analysis of Effects of Thermal Loading on Gas and Heat Flow within the Framework of LBNL/USGS Site-Scale Model, LBL-37729: UC-814, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California. 13