Vertically resolved stratospheric ozone and nitrogen dioxide measurements used for surface air quality prediction

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Vertically resolved stratospheric ozone and nitrogen dioxide measurements used for surface air quality prediction June 12, 2015 University of Crete, Heraklion

Outline 1. How we got to where we are 2. The objectives 3. The Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imaging System (OISRIS) A limb profiling instrument 4. Recent limb-nadir work done to better quantify tropospheric NO 2 columns using OSIRIS and OMI measurements 5. The Canadian Atmospheric Tomography System Its µcats incarnation 6. Recent data assimilation studies

The Back Story In the recent past Environment Canada became interested in assimilating TEMPO measurements for the purpose of air quality forecasting specific to Canada Dealing with the stratospheric component of NO 2 and O 3 is always going to be an issue Canada was studying a limb profiling mission called ALiSS that included the CATS instrument and if coordinated with TEMPO this project could have provide very useful stratospheric information ALiSS was de-scoped but the Canadian Atmospheric Tomography System still struggles on in the form of µcats

The partners include: The Back Story The University of Saskatchewan where the CATS idea originated and the data will be processed in NRT using standard OSIRIS and tomographically adapted processing techniques The Canadian Space Agency from which the microsatellite program originated Environment Canada as end users of the CATS data Canadian Industry Perhaps other Canadian funding agencies such as NSERC and CFI Hopefully ESA through the Third Party Mission Program?

The Objectives of Some Ongoing Studies

Current and Planned Nadir Looking Missions UV/visible nadir-viewing instruments providing information on species relevant to air quality including O 3, NO 2, SO 2, SCIAMACHY OMI GOME2 / MetOp-A GOME2 / MetOp-B TropOMI (S5p) GOME2 / MetOp-C TEMPO Sentinel-5 LEO GEO 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 Year

O( 1 D) O 3 OH N 2 O Transport NO NO 2 hν Stratosphere Troposphere hν HNO3 Transport Diagram borrowed from presentation done by Richard Menard of Environment Canada HNO 3 wet/dry deposition Emission surface

N 2 O Transport O( 1 D) O 3 NO NO 2 hν Stratosphere Troposphere OH hν HNO3 Transport The idea is to make vertically resolved measurements of stratospheric ozone and nitrogen dioxide and use these along with TEMPO or TROPOMI vertical column measurements to better quantify the tropospheric columns Emission This can be done through limb nadir matching and/or data assimilation HNO 3 wet/dry deposition surface

Approved Limb Looking Missions

The Objective The objective of the current work is to demonstrate the utility of vertically resolved profiles of NO 2 and O 3 for air quality forecasting!

The Objective The objective of the current work is to demonstrate the utility of vertically resolved profiles of NO 2 and O 3 for air quality forecasting! and then convince funding agencies to support this modest limb profiling mission that will not only provide data that will continue very important stratospheric records but can help in air quality forecasting!

OSIRIS

OSIRIS Designed and built by ROUTES Inc. in Ottawa Original PI was Ted Llewellyn from the University of Saskatchewan Started in 1993 and was ready in 1999 Integrated onto the Odin spacecraft in 2000

Odin Designed and built by SSC in Sweden Project is an international venture that also includes Finland and France Includes a submillimeter millimeter radiometer that was also designed for astronomy Launched in 2001 out of Russia Currently an ESA sponsored TPM

Odin Launch February, 2001

The Odin Orbit OSIRIS sun-synchronous orbit 80 60 40 sun-synchronous near-terminator 98 degree inclination 1800h ascending node 0600h descending node 96 minute period 600 km altitude latitude (degrees) 20 0 ascending node -20-40 -60-80 0 6 12 18 24 local time (hours)

Tangent Altitude (km) 60 50 40 30 20 OSIRIS on Odin Optical Spectrograph and Infra-Red Imager System (OSIRIS) Limb Radiance (photons/s/cm 2 /nm/sterad) 10 300 400 500 600 700 800 Wavelength (nm) x 10 13 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1) Optical Spectrograph Single line of sight along satellite track Narrow horizontal slit (1 arc minute) Grating spectrograh 280-810 nm, 1 nm resolution Measures spectrum of scattered sunlight Tangent altitudes 0 to 100 km Odin moves to point OSIRIS 2) Infrared Imager Three channel filtered vertical imager 1.26 and 1.27 micron Singlet Delta O 2 1.53 micron OH Meinel Radiance (photons/s/cm 2 /nm/sterad) 7 x 1013 6 5 4 3 2 1 10 km 20 km 30 km 40 km 0 300 400 500 600 700 800 Wavelength (nm) O 3 Dust NO NO 2 Forest Fires BrO Noctilucent Clouds The Aurora OH Sodium Sulphate Aerosol Subvisual Cirrus

OSIRIS OMI Results

OSIRIS OMI Limb Nadir Matching Proof of concept to see how useful OSIRIS measurements are in improving tropospheric NO 2 amounts inferred from OMI measurements Work done by Elise Normand, Cristen Adams and Adam Bourassa at the University of Saskatchewan in collaboration with Chris McLinden at Environment Canada Downsview This ongoing work is currently funded by an EC Grant

OSIRIS NO 2 Measurements are of High Quality OSIRIS measures mainly at 0600h and 1800h local time When translated to 1530h local time the OSIRIS integrated stratospheric column measurements agree well with others. Figure taken from Normand et al. work that is in progress. It is adapted from Belmonte Rivas et al. (2014)

OSIRIS NO 2 and OMI Local Times The OSIRIS measurements translated to 1345h local time and averaged over a three day period Smooth spatial interpolation The local time for each OMI measurements. Note the different local times at cross track locations

OSIRIS and Modelled Stratospheric NO 2 The OSIRIS measurements averaged over a three day period and translated to OMI measurement local time The model of the stratospheric column used to infer tropospheric NO 2 from OMI total column measurements

OSIRIS Improves OMI Tropospheric NO 2 Product? The tropospheric component using the measured OSIRIS stratospheric column There are almost no negative values Work is ongoing to produce a validated OMI minus OSIRIS (OmO) data product

Proof of concept seems to work OSIRIS vertical profile measurements can be used to infer tropospheric NO 2 from OMI total column measurements

µcats The Canadian Atmospheric Tomography System

One of five concepts being studied by the Canadian Space Agency Small, low-cost yet can still be of high value to other government departments like Environment Canada We are currently looking at ways of cutting the cost to the CSA and it may be desirable to embed the project within the University system in order to draw in other sources of funds including the Canadian Foundation for Innovation (CFI) and NSERC

The CATS Instrument Two modules on a common optical bench. One module measures from 280 nm to 550 nm (the Blue-Green module) with approximately 0.6 nm resolution while the other measures from 500 nm to 1000 nm (the Green- Red module) with approximately 1.1 nm resolution. Two star trackers are mounted directly to the optical bench for precise and accurate pointing knowledge.

Simplified OSIRIS Optics CCD Objective Mirror Slit Plate Collimator Mirror Grating Camera Mirror No Filter Slit Plate The OSIRIS slit has a 1 arc minute FOV or a vertical projection on the limb of 1 km at the tangent point UV/Blue Rejection Filter CCD Image

Simplified CATS Optics CCD Objective Mirror Slit Plate Collimator Mirror Grating Camera Mirror Linear Wedge Filter Slit Plate CCD Image The Blue-Green module will have four slits The Green-Red module will have three slits These slits will project vertically to approximately 200 m at the limb tangent point The scan range is such that one limb scan profile can be collected in 12 seconds

CASS-CATS Primary Data Products CATS is OSIRIS but with much higher spatial resolution! Species Height Range / Vertical Sampling Within UTLS / Horizontal Sampling Precision Accuracy O 3 (cm -3 ) 7-55 km / 200 m / 100 km +/- 5% +/- 4% NO 2 (cm -3 ) 8-40 km / 200 m / 100 km +/- 10% +/- 10% Stratospheric Aerosols (km -1 ) Tropopause-35 km / 200 m / 100 km +/- 10% +/-10% BrO (cm -3 ) 10-40 km / 200 m / 100 km TBD TBD

A group of Canadian researchers are currently working on a CSA sponsored project titled Assessment of the potential constraints on Stratospheric NO 2 from observations from µcats. This group includes: Dylan Jones, Martin Keller University of Toronto Chris McLinden, Yves Rochon Environment Canada Randall Martin Dalhousie University Adam Bourassa, Elise Normand, Cristen Adams University of Saskatchewan

NO 2 (ppb) a 30 km for LTAN = 1900, May 25 µcats Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) Generate pseudo-data by sampling GEOS- Chem along the µcats orbit to produce O3 (10 50 km) and NO2 (10 40 km) data. Use GEOS-Chem with an increased source of stratospheric NOx to provide a biased a priori stratosphere. Assimilate pseudo-data for April 1 May 31, 2013, assuming: o NO 2 precision is 1 x 10 8 cm -3 for z > 17 km and 2 x 10 8 cm -3 for z 17 km o O 3 precision is 5% for z 26 km and 10% for z < 26 km o A 50% uncertainty on the modeled NO 2 concentrations Data are assimilated using a sequential Kalman filter (following Parrington et al. [2008]) to optimize the stratospheric NO 2 distribution at a resolution of 4 x 5. 32

Impact of assimilated µcats data on the stratosphere NO 2 column (a priori bias) for May 25, 2013 NO 2 column (true state) for May 25, 2013 Relative (%) a priori bias (true prior) Relative (%) residual bias (true assim) Assimilation reduced the bias in the northern hemisphere (averaged 30-60N, May 15-31) from 20.4% to 5.6%. Properly accounting for the spatial correlations in the assimilation should further reduce the residual bias. 33

True tropospheric column (10 15 cm -2 ) Impact on Tropospheric NO 2 Columns (May 15-31, 2013) Column with stratospheric bias Biased tropospheric NO 2 columns obtained by transferring the stratospheric bias onto OMI tropospheric NO 2 columns. With assimilation of µcats data in the stratosphere, the impact of the stratospheric bias on the tropospheric NO 2 columns is significantly reduced. Next Steps Column after stratospheric assimilation Refine the stratospheric assimilation to reduce the residual stratospheric bias. Quantify the impact of the stratospheric bias on North American NOx emissions through inverse modeling of pseudo-data from TEMPO and TROPOMI with the nested GEOS-Chem model. 34

Summary Work done with OSIRIS vertical profile measurements has indicated that it is possible to use them to improve air quality information µcats will provide much higher spatial resolution measurements without compromising OSIRIS quality It is hopeful, that if the CATS measurements are provided in near real time, they can be used along with TEMPO measurements and an assimilation scheme to improve the Canadian AQHI forecast Thank You