Influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High on summertime ozone variability in East China

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Influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High on summertime ozone variability in East China Zijian Zhao 1 and Yuxuan Wang 1,2 1 Dept. Earth System Sciences, Tsinghua University, China 2 Dept. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Houston, US 9 June 2017 3 rd ACAM Workshop, Guangzhou, China

Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) Boreal summer subtropical high WPSH Bermuda High Li et al., 2011 East Asia summer monsoon WPSH WPSH influences East Asian summer climate via: Subtropical rain belt Track of tropical cyclones over western north Pacific He et al., 2016 2

Bermuda High variability affects US ozone Correlation between Ozone (JJA) and Bermuda High Intensity (1993-2010) Positive corr July 850 hpa geopotential height and winds (1998-2013 mean) r Negative corr BH-Lon Bermuda High Zhu and Liang, 2013 Houston Ozone: 40-50% interannual variability linked with BH-Lon Trend:-0.33 ppbv/yr Wang Y et al, ACP, 2016 3

Monitoring network in China established after 2013 MDA8 O 3 (JJA 2014) JJA 2015 JJA 2016 El Nino? Daily MDA8 Ozone (Yangtze River Delta) 81 ppbv 51 ppbv Zhao and Wang, submitted 2014 4

EOF analysis of daily ozone anomalies Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) 25.2% MDA8 Ozone (JJA 2014) EOF1 North-south contrast EOF2 12.4% East-west contrast Zhao and Wang, submitted 5

A few established WPSH indices WPSH-I (intensity index) WPSH-W (westward extension index) WPSH-WR (west ridge point) Domain 1 Domain 2 WPSH-W = Average gpm in domain1 - Average gpm in domain2 Longitude where the 5880-gpm contour line reaches its most westward position (90 E - 180 E). H o = 5880 gpm (500 hpa) 6

O 3 daily variability: correlated with WPSH-I r = 0.67 Positive corr EOF1 Negative corr WPSH-1 North-south contrast r = 0.87 Zhao and Wang, submitted 7

Mechanism of negative relationship between WPSH-I and surface ozone in South China WPSH intensity Stronger Southwesterly winds More water vapor and convection Total cloud cover Convective precipitation UV and solar radiation Temperature Surface ozone RH WPSH

North-South contrast in meteorological conditions Summertime mean (2014) Wind speed RH Cloud cover UV temperature Correlation with WPSH-I Wind speed RH Cloud cover UV temperature Zhao and Wang, submitted 9

Use model ozone on interannual time scale Surface Ozone GEOS-Chem global model simulation MERRA 2 o x 2.5 o 1990-2015, year-to-year changes in emissions Simulated Ozone (JJA 2014) Simulated O3 and WPSH-I correlation ppb Wang et al., ACP, 2011 10

Interannual scale: Ozone and WPSH-I does not correlate ozone Ozone domain: 24 N -32 N,115 E -120 E (South China) 11

Interannual scale: Ozone and WPSH-I does not correlate WPSH-I r = 0.14 ozone Ozone domain: 24 N -32 N,115 E -120 E (South China) Correlation between JJA mean surface ozone over South China and WPSH-I is not significant on interannual scale, with r= 0.14, p>0.05 12

Interannual scale: WPSH westward extension correlates with O 3 variability WPSH-W (westward extension index) WPSH-WR (west ridge point) Westward extension of WPSH linked with east-west contrast Westward extension of WPSH W WR Surface ozone in Inland China East coast East-west contrast Correlations between ozone and WPSH-W are significant in most of the grids.

Conclusion Dominant feature of surface ozone daily variability in East China is the north-south contrast Such contrast is associated with the WPSH intensity variability both spatially and temporally Drivers of this linkage are southwesterly winds and associated moisture transport Ozone variability on interannual scale is associated better with the position of of the WPSH (westward extension) than its intensity Intensity and position of WPSH are not necessarily correlated on daily or interannual scale 14