Simulated MSG SEVIRI Imagery from HARMONIE-AROME

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Simulated MSG SEVIRI Imagery from HARMONIE-AROME Angeles Hernandez, AEMET Joint 28th ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting 2018 - Toulouse, 16-20 Apr 2018

Outline 1. Simulated Satellite Images (SSI) Introduction. 2. Tool: HARMONIE-AROME Simulated MSG-SEVIRI images. 3. Application areas. 4. Tool in progress: future work. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 2

1. SSI - Introduction RTTOV radiative transfer model (and others) can estimate the radiances / brightness temperatures that a satellite instrument would measure, for a specific channel (supported by that RT model), at a specific position of the satellite, from an atmospheric profile + surface conditions, e.g. from an NWP analysis or forecast. We can present the simulated BTs as an image: Model geometry - BT at the grid points. Satellite geometry - BT at the pixel positions of the observed satellite images. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 3

1. SSI - Introduction other SSI / pseudo-images Meteosat-10 IR10.8 / SSI from IFS OBS Meteosat-10 IR10.8 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 4

1. SSI - Introduction other SSI / pseudo-images 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 5

2. Tool: HARMONIE-AROME Sim. MSG-SEVIRI images Tool in development: the idea is to produce Simulated Meteosat-11 images (MSG, SEVIRI). From HARMONIE-AROME forecasts, using RTTOV. HARMONIE-AROME: Detailed description of the atmosphere. Default nominal horizontal resolution is 2.5 km comparable to the horizontal resolution of the MSG satellites (3km at the SSP). RTTOV (software package: RT model + extras) V12 can estimate BTs for the 12 SEVIRI channels. But what is not in the model is not going to come out in the image! 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 6

2. HARMONIE-AROME Simulated MSG SEVIRI Images. Tool in progress, using: HARMONIE-AROME cycle 40h1.1.1.rc1 / RTTOV v 12. MSG SEVIRI channels IR10.8 and WV6.2. Model geometry. Next: HA/RTTOV simulation: loop hh+00, hh+01,, hh+24. Storm Hugo last March. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 7

2. HARMONIE-AROME Simulated MSG SEVIRI Images. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 8

2. HARMONIE-AROME Simulated MSG SEVIRI Images. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 9

3. Application areas: weather forecasting. Operational forecasting: WV6.2 images often used as a snapshot of the state of the atmosphere. Early assessment of the quality of an NWP analysis compare SSI for AN or very short range vs. OBS. Also case studies. The difference image SSI OBS highlights features not seen by the naked eye (often the case with WV images): Both images must have the same geometry. SSI must replicate a specific channel, e.g. WV6.2 on MSG. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 10

3. Application areas: forecasting example. Red means: at high levels model feature is: warmer / drier / lower height / cloud cover is lower / optical depth is lower. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 11

3. Application areas: forecasting example. Just to show the area in the loop: Western Med. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 12

3. Application areas: model development. Visual comparison - or diff SSI - OBS, as above. Objective comparison: BT frequency distributions. Effective horizontal resolutions. Object-based methods. Index-based methods. Overall assessment of the quality of a model / version. Or specific aspects, e.g. cloud microphysics. Early times for objective comparison: many challenges 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 13

4. SSI - tool in progress: plans for future work. Tool not yet there. Near future: something simple but sound to the trunk. Thorough testing. A couple of fixes needed. Wiki documentation. Simulated BTs in GRIB ed2 format currently hijacking GRIB ed1. Take into account position of satellite (currently as if every grid point was the nadir of the satellite). Map to satellite geometry: BT in pixels (interpolation / nearest grid point). 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 14

4. SSI - tool in progress: plans for future work. Replace defaults with explicit estimates - e.g. surface emissivity - now left to RTTOV. Extend to other SEVIRI channels: VIS, WV7.3, IR12.0, Optimisation computationally expensive application. Optional offline tool, to get SSI from archive? Optional extension above the top of HA with IFS? Optional extension with O3 from IFS? 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 15

Thanks to ECMWF: Cristina Lupu, Iain Russell, AEMET / NWP ++ : Alvaro Subias, Daniel Santos, Alberto Jimenez, AEMET / EUMETSAT Nowcasting SAF: Miguel Angel Martinez AEMET / Forecasters: Felisa Aguado, Olinda Carretero, Benito Elvira 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 16

Thank you for your attention ahernandezc@aemet.es 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 17

Acronyms BT - Brightness Temperature. IR Infra-Red. MSG - Meteosat Second Generation. MSG-4 (Meteosat- 11) is the current EUMETSAT geo. sat. at 0 lon. RT - Radiative Transfer. RTTOV - Radiative transfer model (Radiative Transfer for TOVS, originally). SEVIRI - Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (instrument on MSG satellites). ToA - Top of Atmosphere. WV Water Vapour. 18 April 2018 Joint 28TH ALADIN Workshop & HIRLAM All-Staff Meeting Toulouse 16-20 Apr 2018 18