Large Deviations Techniques and Applications

Similar documents
COPYRIGHTED MATERIAL CONTENTS. Preface Preface to the First Edition

Probability via Expectation

Large deviation convergence of generated pseudo measures

An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications

Probability for Statistics and Machine Learning

ELEMENTS O F INFORMATION THEORY

Notes on Large Deviations in Economics and Finance. Noah Williams

Large-deviation theory and coverage in mobile phone networks

Stochastic Partial Differential Equations with Levy Noise

A Note On Large Deviation Theory and Beyond

Time Series: Theory and Methods

Monte Carlo Methods. Handbook of. University ofqueensland. Thomas Taimre. Zdravko I. Botev. Dirk P. Kroese. Universite de Montreal

Gärtner-Ellis Theorem and applications.

An inverse of Sanov s theorem

Extreme Value Theory An Introduction

2a Large deviation principle (LDP) b Contraction principle c Change of measure... 10

Elements of Multivariate Time Series Analysis

Sample path large deviations of a Gaussian process with stationary increments and regularily varying variance

Large Deviations for Weakly Dependent Sequences: The Gärtner-Ellis Theorem

Lessons in Estimation Theory for Signal Processing, Communications, and Control

1. Principle of large deviations

A Course on Large Deviations with an Introduction to Gibbs Measures. Firas Rassoul-Agha

Brownian intersection local times

STOCHASTIC PROCESSES IN PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY

Probability and Stochastic Processes

Contents. 1 Preliminaries 3. Martingales

PART I INTRODUCTION The meaning of probability Basic definitions for frequentist statistics and Bayesian inference Bayesian inference Combinatorics

Finding a Needle in a Haystack: Conditions for Reliable. Detection in the Presence of Clutter

Large deviation theory and applications

Stochastic Models. Edited by D.P. Heyman Bellcore. MJ. Sobel State University of New York at Stony Brook

ADAPTIVE FILTER THEORY

Large deviations for weighted empirical measures and processes arising in importance sampling. Pierre Nyquist

H. DJELLOUT A. GUILLIN

Introduction to Functional Analysis With Applications

Elementary Applications of Probability Theory

Théorie des grandes déviations: Des mathématiques à la physique

Fundamentals of Applied Probability and Random Processes

PRINCIPLES OF STATISTICAL INFERENCE

Information Dynamics Foundations and Applications

HANDBOOK OF APPLICABLE MATHEMATICS

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling

Classes of Linear Operators Vol. I

Statistical Methods in HYDROLOGY CHARLES T. HAAN. The Iowa State University Press / Ames

Infinite-Dimensional Dynamical Systems in Mechanics and Physics

Generalized Neyman Pearson optimality of empirical likelihood for testing parameter hypotheses

Weak convergence and large deviation theory

OXPORD UNIVERSITY PRESS

Contents. 2 Sequences and Series Approximation by Rational Numbers Sequences Basics on Sequences...

Testing Statistical Hypotheses

Handbook of Stochastic Methods

1. Numerical Methods for Stochastic Control Problems in Continuous Time (with H. J. Kushner), Second Revised Edition, Springer-Verlag, New York, 2001.

Introduction to. Process Control. Ahmet Palazoglu. Second Edition. Jose A. Romagnoli. CRC Press. Taylor & Francis Group. Taylor & Francis Group,

Elliptic Partial Differential Equations of Second Order

Adventures in Stochastic Processes

Quantum Mechanics: Foundations and Applications

Modules over Non-Noetherian Domains

GROUP THEORY IN PHYSICS

PROBABILITY AND STOCHASTIC PROCESSES A Friendly Introduction for Electrical and Computer Engineers

The large deviation principle for the Erdős-Rényi random graph

Directional Statistics

Testing Statistical Hypotheses

Econometrica, Vol. 69, No. 6 (November, 2001), ASYMPTOTIC OPTIMALITY OF EMPIRICAL LIKELIHOOD FOR TESTING MOMENT RESTRICTIONS

Classical Fourier Analysis

Entropy and Ergodic Theory Lecture 15: A first look at concentration

Irr. Statistical Methods in Experimental Physics. 2nd Edition. Frederick James. World Scientific. CERN, Switzerland

Mathematics for Economics and Finance

The Bayesian Choice. Christian P. Robert. From Decision-Theoretic Foundations to Computational Implementation. Second Edition.

Malvin H. Kalos, Paula A. Whitlock. Monte Carlo Methods. Second Revised and Enlarged Edition WILEY- BLACKWELL. WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co.

INTRODUCTION TO о JLXJLA Из А lv-/xvj_y JrJrl Y üv_>l3 Second Edition

MATHEMATICS FOR ECONOMISTS. An Introductory Textbook. Third Edition. Malcolm Pemberton and Nicholas Rau. UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO PRESS Toronto Buffalo

arxiv: v2 [math.pr] 30 Sep 2009

Global Optimization, Generalized Canonical Ensembles, and Universal Ensemble Equivalence

STAT 7032 Probability. Wlodek Bryc

An Introduction to Complex Function Theory

PATTERN CLASSIFICATION

General Theory of Large Deviations

Large Deviation Theory. J.M. Swart December 2, 2016

Stochastic-Process Limits

arxiv: v3 [cond-mat.stat-mech] 29 Feb 2012

Ergodicity for Infinite Dimensional Systems

Wiley. Methods and Applications of Linear Models. Regression and the Analysis. of Variance. Third Edition. Ishpeming, Michigan RONALD R.

Contents LIST OF TABLES... LIST OF FIGURES... xvii. LIST OF LISTINGS... xxi PREFACE. ...xxiii

TIME SERIES ANALYSIS. Forecasting and Control. Wiley. Fifth Edition GWILYM M. JENKINS GEORGE E. P. BOX GREGORY C. REINSEL GRETA M.

Spherical Inversion on SL n (R)

Introduction to the Mathematics of Medical Imaging

A large-deviation principle for Dirichlet posteriors

Course Description - Master in of Mathematics Comprehensive exam& Thesis Tracks

A large deviation principle for a RWRC in a box

Optimization: Insights and Applications. Jan Brinkhuis Vladimir Tikhomirov PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS PRINCETON AND OXFORD

On asymptotically efficient simulation of large deviation probabilities

HI CAMBRIDGE n S P UNIVERSITY PRESS

Manfred Einsiedler Thomas Ward. Ergodic Theory. with a view towards Number Theory. ^ Springer

Condensed Table of Contents for Introduction to Stochastic Search and Optimization: Estimation, Simulation, and Control by J. C.

George G. Roussas University of California, Davis

Large Deviations for Small-Noise Stochastic Differential Equations

University of Southampton Research Repository eprints Soton

Large deviations for Poisson random measures and processes with independent increments

Large Deviations for Small-Noise Stochastic Differential Equations

An almost sure invariance principle for additive functionals of Markov chains

Statistical Mechanics

Transcription:

Amir Dembo Ofer Zeitouni Large Deviations Techniques and Applications Second Edition With 29 Figures Springer

Contents Preface to the Second Edition Preface to the First Edition vii ix 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Rare Events and Large Deviations 1 1.2 The Large Deviation Principle 4 1.3 Historical Notes and References 9 2 LDP for Finite Dimensional Spaces 11 2.1 Combinatorial Techniques for Finite Alphabets 11 2.1.1 The Method of Types and Sanov's Theorem 12 2.1.2 Cramer's Theorem for Finite Alphabets in IR... 18 2.1.3 Large Deviations for Sampling Without Replacement 20 2.2 Cramer's Theorem 26 2.2.1 Cramer's Theorem in IR 26 2.2.2 Cramer's Theorem in M d 36 2.3 The Gartner-Ellis Theorem 43 2.4 Concentration Inequalities 55 2.4.1 Inequalities for Bounded Martingale Differences... 55 2.4.2 Talagrand's Concentration Inequalities 60 2.5 Historical Notes and References 68 xin

xiv 3 Applications The Finite Dimensional Case 71 3.1 Large Deviations for Finite State Markov Chains 72 3.1.1 LDP for Additive Functionals of Markov Chains.. 73 3.1.2 Sanov's Theorem for the Empirical Measure of Markov Chains 76 3.1.3 Sanov's Theorem for the Pair Empirical Measure of Markov Chains 78 3.2 Long Rare Segments in Random Walks 82 3.3 The Gibbs Conditioning Principle for Finite Alphabets... 87 3.4 The Hypothesis Testing Problem 90 3.5 Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test for Finite Alphabets.. 96 3.6 Rate Distortion Theory 101 3.7 Moderate Deviations and Exact Asymptotics in IR d 108 3.8 Historical Notes and References 113 4 General Principles 115 4.1 Existence of an LDP and Related Properties 116 4.1.1 Properties of the LDP 117 4.1.2 The Existence of an LDP 120 4.2 Transformations of LDPs 126 4.2.1 Contraction Principles 126 4.2.2 Exponential Approximations 130 4.3 Varadhan's Integral Lemma 137 4.4 Bryc's Inverse Varadhan Lemma 141 4.5 LDP in Topological Vector Spaces 148 4.5.1 A General Upper Bound 149 4.5.2 Convexity Considerations 151 4.5.3 Abstract Gartner-Ellis Theorem 157 4.6 Large Deviations for Projective Limits 161 4.7 The LDP and Weak Convergence in Metric Spaces 168 4.8 Historical Notes and References.. 173

XV 5 Sample Path Large Deviations 175 5.1 Sample Path Large Deviations for Random Walks 176 5.2 Brownian Motion Sample Path Large Deviations 185 5.3 Multivariate Random Walk and Brownian Sheet 188 5.4 Performance Analysis of DMPSK Modulation 193 5.5 Large Exceedances in IR d 200 5.6 The Freidlin-Wentzell Theory 212 5.7 The Problem of Diffusion Exit from a Domain 220 5.8 The Performance of Tracking Loops 238 5.8.1 An Angular Tracking Loop Analysis 238 5.8.2 The Analysis of Range Tracking Loops 242 5.9 Historical Notes and References 248 6 The LDP for Abstract Empirical Measures 251 6.1 Cramer's Theorem in Polish Spaces 251 6.2 Sanov's Theorem 260 6.3 LDP for the Empirical Measure The Uniform Markov Case 272 6.4 Mixing Conditions and LDP 278 6.4.1 LDP for the Empirical Mean in K d 279 6.4.2 Empirical Measure LDP for Mixing Processes... 285 6.5 LDP for Empirical Measures of Markov Chains 289 6.5.1 LDP for Occupation Times 289 6.5.2 LDP for the fc-empirical Measures 295 6.5.3 Process Level LDP for Markov Chains 298 6.6 A Weak Convergence Approach to Large Deviations... 302 6.7 Historical Notes and References. ^ 306 7 Applications of Empirical Measures LDP 311 7.1 Universal Hypothesis Testing 311 7.1.1 A General Statement of Test Optimality 311 7.1.2 Independent and Identically Distributed Observations. 317 7.2 Sampling Without Replacement 318

xvi 7.3 The Gibbs Conditioning Principle 323 7.3.1 The Non-Interacting Case 327 7.3.2 The Interacting Case 330 7.3.3 Refinements of the Gibbs Conditioning Principle.. 335 7.4 Historical Notes and References 338 Appendix 341 A Convex Analysis Considerations in lr d 341 B Topological Preliminaries 343 B.I Generalities 343 B.2 Topological Vector Spaces and Weak Topologies.. 346 B.3 Banach and Polish Spaces 347 B.4 Mazur's Theorem 349 C Integration and Function Spaces 350 C.I Additive Set Functions 350 C.2 Integration and Spaces of Functions 352 D Probability Measures on Polish Spaces 354 D.I Generalities 354 D.2 Weak Topology 355 D.3 Product Space and Relative Entropy Decompositions 357 E Stochastic Analysis 359 Bibliography 363 General Conventions 385 Index of Notation 387 Index 391