Sunday, November 25, 2018 8:30 a.m. EST
Significant Activity Nov 24-25 Significant Events: CA Wildfires Tropical Activity: Atlantic Disturbance 1: Low (near 0%) Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1: Low (near 0%); Disturbance 2: Low (10%) Central Pacific No new tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days Western Pacific No activity affecting U.S. interests Significant Weather: Heavy Snow and Blizzard conditions portions of Central Plains into the Great Lakes Freezing Rain Northeast Declaration Activity: None
Camp Fire CA Fire Name (County) Camp (Butte) FMAG Acres Burned Percent Contained 5278-FM-CA 153,336 98% (+3) Evacuations (Residents) Mandatory (34,634) Structures (multiple and single residences) Threatened Damaged Destroyed 0 736 (492 homes) 18,744 (13,965 homes) Fatalities / Injuries 87 (+3) / 3 Situation: Fire began November 8, 2018 in Butte County CA. Dry conditions will continue through Monday. Another round of rain and mountain snow will move across northern CA on Tuesday; locally heavy rain possible. Impacts: 14 (+5) shelters / 867 (+312) occupants (ARC Midnight Shelter Count as of Nov 25) 13.8k customers without power in Butte County* Communications unstable: Damaged infrastructure and shutdowns for repairs Contact with debris and ash may be hazardous to survivors and responders *Customer outage data: DOE EAGLE-I as of 7:00 a.m. EST; comprehensive *National coverage of service providers is not available.
Camp Fire CA Fire Name (County) Camp (Butte) FMAG Acres Burned Percent Contained 5278-FM-CA 153,336 98% (+3) Evacuations (Residents) Mandatory (34,634) Structures (multiple and single residences) Threatened Damaged Destroyed 0 736 (492 homes) 18,744 (13,965 homes) Fatalities / Injuries 87 (+3) / 3 Response: State/Local: Governor: Declared State of Emergency, activated National Guard, EMAC, and CA EOC Boil water advisory remains in effect Federal: Declarations: 3 FMAGs, EM-3409-CA, and DR-4407-CA approved NWC and Region IX RWC at Steady State, continue to monitor N-IMAT W, Region IX IMAT-1, LNO deployed to CA EOC HQ ISB team and MERS assets deployed NVOADs, FBI, HHS, and NTSB: Advise & assist for fatality management Staging Area established to meet state/local requests Recovery: Efforts underway to feed sheltered and non-sheltered animals Collaboration underway to determine household hazardous waste removal; no established timeline for stabilization Two DRCs and two Mobile Recovery Intake Centers open IA Registrations: 19,442 (+624) (Open Disaster IA update 4407-DR, as of Nov 25)
Tropical Outlook Atlantic Disturbance 1 (as of 7:00 a.m. EST) South of Bermuda, moving ENE Forecast to intensify; could reach hurricane-force strength by Tuesday Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (near 0%) Formation chance through 5 days: Low (near 0%) 48 Hour 5 Day 1 (0%)
Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific Disturbance 1 (as of 7:00 a.m. EST) 600 miles S of Mexico Moving slowly W or NW Forecast to become more conducive for development Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (near 0%) Formation chance through 5 days: Low (30%) 48 Hour Disturbance 2 (as of 7:00 a.m. EST) 1,100 miles SSW of Baja California, Mexico Moving slowly W Forecast to become more conducive for development Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%) Formation chance through 5 days: Low (20%) 2 (20%) 1 (30%) 5 Day
Tropical Outlook Central Pacific 48 Hour Outlook 5 Day Outlook
National Weather Forecast Sun Mon Tue
Winter Precipitation Outlook Forecast Snowfall Forecast Ice Accumulation
Long Range Outlooks Nov 30 Dec 4 6-10 Day Temperature Probability 6-10 Day Precipitation Probability
Space Weather Space Weather Activity Geomagnetic Storms Solar Radiation Radio Blackouts Past 24 Hours None None None None Next 24 Hours None None None None For further information on NOAA Space Weather Scales refer to: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region I III IV VI VII State / Location CT VA NC TX IA Event Severe Storms and Flooding September 25, 2018 Hurricane Michael October 10-11, 2018 Hurricane Michael October 10-12, 2018 Flooding September 10, 2018 and continuing Flooding, Tornadoes, and Severe Weather August 28 to October 27, 2018 IA / PA Number of Counties Requested Completed Start End IA 0 0 N/A PA 2 0 11/05 TBD IA 0 0 N/A PA 39 29 10/29 TBD IA 0 0 N/A PA 20 3 11/19 TBD IA 3 3 10/31 11/05 PA 54 19 10/29 TBD IA 0 0 N/A PA 17 0 TBD
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 6 IA PA HM Date Requested 0 0 TX DR Severe Storms and Flooding X X X October 30, 2018 PA DR Severe Storms and Flooding X X X November 2, 2018 Tohono O odham Nation DR Remnants of Tropical Storm Rosa X X X November 8, 2018 MA EM Gas Explosion and Fire X November 9, 2018 KS DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding X X November 14, 2018 CT DR Severe Storms and Flooding X X November 20, 2018
Readiness Deployable Teams and Assets Resource Force Strength Available Deployed Other Cadres with 25% or Less Availability IM Workforce 12,286 2,222 18% 6,421 3,643 National IMATs* (1-2 Teams) Regional IMATs ( 3 Teams) National ISBs (0 Teams) US&R (>66%) MERS (>66%) FCO ( 3 Type I) FDRC ( 1 ) East : Composite: West: Available Available Deployed Assigned: 13 Available: 1 PMC / NMC: 4 Deployed: 8 Team A Deployed Team B Team C Deployed Deployed Assigned: 28 Available: 21 (+1) PMC / NMC: 7 (-1) Deployed: 0 Assigned: 36 Available: 33 PMC / NMC: 0 Deployed: 3 Assigned: 30 Available: 7 PMC / NMC: 0 Deployed: 23 Assigned: 13 Available: 5 PMC / NMC: 0 Deployed: 8 * B-2 Status: Assemble 2-hrs, On Site 18-hrs; B-48 Status: Assemble and deploy 48hrs; Charlie Status: No team assemble time requirement DSA 18% (149/848); EA 23% (128/551); EHP 6% (25/437); ER 0% (0/43); FL 14% (24/174); FM 21% (56/269); HM 11% (106/1,011); HR 10% (24/242); IT 10% (67/643); LOG 9% (116/1,241); OPS 14% (37/262); PA 7% (133/1,910); PLAN 12% (41/348); SAF 7% (4/59); SEC 3% (3/117)
FEMA Readiness Activation Teams Status Activated Team Activation Level Activation Times Reason / Comments NWC (5 Teams) Steady State NRCC (2 Teams) Steady State HLT Activated RWC / MOCs (10 Regions) Steady State RRCCs (10 Regions) Steady State Backup Regions: VI, X, and VIII
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