Improving the long-term stability of the GDR orbit solutions

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Improving the long-term stability of the GDR orbit solutions L. Cerri 1, A. Couhert 1, S. Houry 1, F. Mercier 1 (1) CNES Toulouse OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 POD Splinter Session

Status of the POD standards applied in GDR orbits Current POD models are applied in GDR orbits since July 2008 and are referred to as GDR-C standards Sometimes the GDR-C naming convention is used, because final orbits were reprocessed removing the GRACE-derived drifts in the EIGEN- GL04S-Annual model (estimated over only two years of data at that time) GDR-C orbits are dynamic solutions consistent with ITRF2005 and are the first GDR solutions that attempt to model the non-tidal periodic component of the time varying gravity field Annual and semi-annual component from Grace/Lageos EIGEN-GL04S- Annual Atmospheric gravity from the AGRA service at GSFC (NCEP pressure fields) OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 2

Error budget of GDR-C orbits Table extracted from 2010 MG paper POD standards for the Jason series of altimeter missions OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 3

Error budget of GDR-C orbits Table extracted from 2010 MG paper POD standards for the Jason series of altimeter missions OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 4

Availability of improved models makes current standard obsolete The focus is on the long term stability of the orbit solutions ITRF2008 DPOD2008 (dedicated presentation from P. Willis) IGS08 (JPL solution at IGS) Gravity: EIGEN-GRGS_RL02bis_MEAN-FIELD: GRGS RL02bi a new mean model from CNES/GRGS spanning 8 years of Grace data Other modeling improvements (negligible impact on the GDR orbits) GPT/GMF tropospheric correction IERS2010 mean pole model New atmospheric tide model (Biancale/Bode) Preliminary set of orbits (Jason1, Jason2, Envisat) has been produced with this new standards Cryosat-2 results will not be presented here but are in line with what is presented for other satellites OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 5

Radial orbit difference between GDR-C and GDR-D RMS of radial differences is mostly driven by the new variable terms in the gravity field Below 1 cm RMS for Jason, reaches 1 cm on Envisat OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 6

Radial difference between GDR-C and preliminary GDR-D orbits For MSL applications, the most significant difference between GDR-C and GDR-D orbits is a geographically correlated radial drift with opposite sign between Envisat and Jason Envisat GDRD-GDRC (2002-2011.5) Jason2 GDRD-GDRC (2008.5-2011.5) -3 mm/year +3 mm/year New orbits correct the E/W hemispheric differences between Envisat and Jason SSH Cryosat-2 orbits behave similarly as those of Envisat (Proceedings of the 2011 CS-2 Validation Jason1 GDRD-GDRC (2002-2011.5) Workshops) OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 7

SLR residuals on reference stations Orbit accuracy is noticeably improved when using the GDRD preliminary orbit standard Core SLR Network (7080,7090,7105,7839,7840,7810), all elevations OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 8

How does the mean model compare to the 10-day series Comparison of GDRC orbit with a GDRD-like test orbit in which the 50x50 part of the mean model is replaced by the 10-day series of Grace-derived gravity fields (not available for operational orbit production) GDR-C: mean model derived over 2003-2005 OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 9

How does the mean model compare to the 10-day series When the same series of 10-day gravity field test orbit is compared with the GDRD orbits, the comparison is quite stable through the 2002-2011 time span This indicates that the new mean model captures most of the variability OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 10

N/S consistency of Jason 1 and 2 DORIS/SLR vs GPS- based orbits (internal CNES orbits) GDR-C GDR-D DORIS coordinates DPOD2005 DPOD2008 SLR coordinates SLRF2005 / LPOD2005 ITRF2008 GPS orbits and clocks (JPL) IGS05 IGS08 JASON1 TRSR JASON2 GPSP OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 11

N/S consistency of Jason 1 and 2 DORIS/SLR vs GPS- based orbits (internal CNES orbits) GDR-C GDR-D N/S drift betwen internal CNES solutions : GPS - DORIS/SLR Jas1+Jas2 0.8 ± 0.2 mm/year -0.2 ± 0.2 mm/year Jas1 1.4 ± 0.6 mm/year 0.9 ± 0.6 mm/year Jas2 2.7 ± 1.2 mm/year 0.4 ± 1.2 mm/year OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 12

N/S consistency of Jason 1 and 2 DORIS/SLR vs GPS- based orbits (internal CNES orbits) GPS-based orbits appear to be more closely centered to the Earth CoM, while Doris+SLR orbits are tied to the ITRF GPS-based orbit DORIS/SLR orbit Earth CM O ITRF OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 13

N/S consistency of Jason 1 and 2 DORIS/SLR vs GPS- based orbits As expected, TZ geocenter correction maps directly into significant radial orbit difference at high and low latitudes Amplitude of annual signal in Jason-2 radial orbit difference CNES GPS CNES DORIS/SLR (GDRD) CNES GPS CNES DORIS/SLR (GDRD) including ng geocenter correction on station coordinates mm OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 14 mm

Centering of GPS-based solutions depends on parameterization The centering of JPL solution is closer to DORIS/SLR orbits, with respect to CNES gps-only dynamic orbit Stronger tie of reduced dynamic orbits to the ITRF? TZ between JPL and CNES GPS orbits OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 15

Annual geocenter model? Current standards only include the tidal (ocean loading) contribution to geocenter motion An annual geocenter correction applied in the next POD standards would make DORIS/SLR based orbits centered at the instantaneous center of mass clearly improve internal consistency with GPS-based orbits (whose centering in general depends on parameterization and solution strategy) Even though agreement between different geocenter models has improved (*) A consensus model is not yet available in IERS conventions Do all altimeter analysts need an orbit centered at the instantaneous center of mass? Needs to be clarified (*) Seasonal Geocenter Motion from Space Geodesy and Models Ries, J.C. at GGOS Unified Analysis Workshop OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 16

Open points and proposed schedule To be done before the end of the year Test if any improvement in using EIGEN6S versus EIGEN- GRGS_RL02bis_MEAN-FIELD Include JPL receiver phase maps consistent with JPL IGS08 orbits/clocks and IGS08 antex file Revisit the relative weight of DORIS/SLR/GPS and carefully check the weight of SLR stations Proposed schedule Switch to new GDR orbit standards in January 2012 Make final reprocessed orbits for all missions (Jason-1, Jason-2, Envisat, Cryosat-2, HY2A) available at the same time OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 17

Conclusions Long term variations of the gravity field must be taken into account for multi-mission regional MSL analysis CNES POD team suggests to adopt the new orbit standards, which have proven to give accurate results over the 2002-2011 time span We cannot predict how the gravity field will evolve, but we will carefully monitor the difference between dynamic (operational) orbits vs reduced dynamic orbits (internal solutions, jpl-gps solutions, gsfc dl solutions) as long as they are available, compare orbits using the mean field with orbits using the 10-day series of Grace derived fields Time-varying gravity field solutions inferred from Grace data remain a fundamental input for the analysis of mean-sea level, especially on a regional scale without these time series, we wouldn t know that gravity is still the major source of error in orbit solutions Neglected annual geocenter motion is likely provoking the discrepancies observed along the N/S direction between solutions using different tracking techniques. A geocenter model could be introduced in POD computation at a later stage, once a consensus model is made available in the IERS conventions Will require full reprocessing Orbit reprocessing tasks can now run in parallel on CNES linux cluster, computing time is no more an issue (all missions can be reprocessed in few hours) OSTST Meeting 19-21 Oct. 2011 San Diego (CA) - POD Splinter session 18