CropCast Europe Weekly Report Kenny Miller Monday, June 05, 2017 Europe Hot Spots Abundant showers should ease dryness across northern and central UK as well as across western Norway and Sweden. Improvements are also likely in Germany, western Poland, Czech Republic, and eastern Hungary. More rains are needed in Spain, northern France, Italy, and western Romania, however. Europe Vegetative Health Index (VHI) Europe Change in VHI from Last Year
Western Europe Past Week Rainfall (mm) Precip % Normal-Past 45 Days Past Week Temp Departure ( C) United Kingdom PAST WEEK: Light showers were seen across the region last week. FORECAST: Abundant showers are expected in northern and central areas this week, with relatively lighter showers favoring southern locales. CROP IMPACT: Expected widespread showers in northern and central areas should greatly improve moisture for crop growth this week. Showers in southern areas will maintain adequate soil moisture. Scandinavia PAST WEEK: Showers were fairly widespread across the region this past week. FORECAST: Widespread showers should favor Norway and southern Sweden this week. CROP IMPACT: Continued showers in Norway this week will maintain sufficient soil moisture while showers in southern Sweden continue to improve moisture for crop conditions. France PAST WEEK: Widespread showers favored central and southwestern areas. Lighter showers favored northern areas. FORECAST: Scattered showers will be limited to the northern tier of the region this week. CROP IMPACT: Recent showers in central areas have replenished soil moisture, but dryness can still be found in northern areas. Only minor improvements are expected there this week. Germany PAST WEEK: Showers were seen across much of the region last week. FORECAST: Scattered showers should continue across the region this week. CROP IMPACT: Showers should ease dryness some in northern and western areas, but additional rains will still be needed in those areas beyond this week. Spain/Portugal PAST WEEK: Showers favored northeastern areas last week. FORECAST: Conditions should be mostly dry this week. CROP IMPACT: Dry weather this week will maintain dryness and stress on corn and sunflower growth this week. Some improvements are possible in eastern areas during the 6-10 day period. Italy PAST WEEK: Conditions remained dry this past week. FORECAST: A few showers are expected in northern areas this week. CROP IMPACT: Mostly dry weather in central and southern areas will further increase dryness and stress on crop growth. Only very minor improvements are possible in northern areas.
Eastern Europe Past Week Rainfall (mm) Precip % Normal-Past 45 Days Past Week Temp Departure ( C) Poland PAST WEEK: Showers were seen across western and southern areas last week. FORECAST: Showers should primarily favor northern and western areas this week. CROP IMPACT: Showers in western areas should improve moisture for crop growth this week. Spotty dryness will linger in northeastern areas, however. Czech Republic/Slovakia PAST WEEK: Showers were noted across Slovakia last week, with scattered showers favoring Czech Republic. FORECAST: Showers should increase across Czech Republic this week, with light showers possible in Slovakia. CROP IMPACT: Expected showers in Czech Republic should improve moisture for crop growth this week. Dryness will remain fairly widespread across Slovakia as only light showers are expected. Hungary PAST WEEK: Showers were noted in western and southern areas last week. FORECAST: Showers will be limited to eastern areas this week. CROP IMPACT: Dryness has increased across the majority of the region, particularly eastern locales. Showers there this week may lead to minor improvements, however. Romania PAST WEEK: Spotty showers favored northern and central areas last week. FORECAST: Showers should increase across the central tier of the region this week. CROP IMPACT: Dryness has redeveloped over western and far eastern areas, with no major improvements expected there this week. Showers in central locales will maintain sufficient moisture. Former Yugoslavia PAST WEEK: Showers were fairly widespread last week. FORECAST: Scattered showers are expected this week. CROP IMPACT: Showers will maintain acceptable soil moisture for crop growth in most areas this week. Bulgaria PAST WEEK: Showers were widespread across the region this past week. FORECAST: Showers should continue to favor the region this week. CROP IMPACT: Showers will continue to supply the region with sufficient soil moisture for crop growth this week.
Europe 1-7 Day Forecast Europe 8-14 Day Forecast Europe Next Month Forecast
CROPCAST SOFT WHEAT FORECAST FOR EUROPE GERMANY 3280 3200 7100 7400 23288 23680-5.9-1400 1.7 392 FRANCE 5100 5200 6000 6700 30600 34840-4.5-1560 13.9 4240 ITALY 575 575 5450 5300 3134 3048-0.1-4 -2.8-86 NETHERLANDS 150 125 8800 8200 1320 1025-17.4-179 -22.3-295 BELG/LUX. 220 225 8650 8575 1903 1929-0.3-6 1.4 26 U.K. 1850 1825 8100 7900 14985 14418 0.0 0-3.8-568 IRELAND 66 61 9300 9100 614 555-2.8-15 -9.6-59 DENMARK 625 650 7200 7400 4500 4810-2.7-130 6.9 310 GREECE 225 180 2350 1700 529 306-5.9-18 -42.1-223 SPAIN 1800 1800 3450 2900 6210 5220-17.2-900 -15.9-990 PORTUGAL 55 47 205 185 11 9-5.8-1 -22.9-3 SWEDEN 450 450 7175 6500 3229 2925-3.1-90 -9.4-304 AUSTRIA 280 265 57050 57200 15974 15158-5.4-816 -5.1-816 EU-15 14926 14813 7187 7338 107271 108699-4.8-5218 1.3 1428 ROMANIA 2000 2000 3900 3900 7800 7800 0.0 0 0.0 0 BULGARIA 1050 1100 4500 4725 4725 5198-0.5-28 10.0 473 POLAND 2350 2400 4650 4600 10928 11040 1.0 113 1.0 113 CZECH/SLOVAK 1220 1200 10975 11050 7085 6783-1.2-78 -4.3-302 HUNGARY 950 980 5050 4825 4798 4729-3.6-172 -1.4-69 EU-28 22496 22493 6339 6413 142606 144248-3.7-5383 1.2 1642 CROPCAST SOFT WHEAT FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 PCT ACTUAL PCT ACTUAL YUGOSLAVIA 1320 1310 3650 3650 4818 4782 0.0 0-0.8-37 TURKEY 7800 7800 2225 2250 17355 17550 0.0 0 1.1 195 OTHER EUR 9120 9110 2431 2451 22173 22332 0.0 0 0.7 159 EU-28 22496 22493 6339 6238 142606 144248-3.7-5383 1.2 1642 TOTAL EUR 31616 31603 5212 5271 164779 166579-3.2-5383 1.1 1800
CROPCAST BARLEY FORECAST FOR EUROPE AREA YIELD PRODUCTION 2017 PRODUCTION CHANGE (T HA) (KG/HA) (TMT) OVER PAST WK OVER 2016 GERMANY 1650 1600 6800 6600 11220 10560-1.9-206 -5.9-660 FRANCE 1775 1875 6800 6300 12070 11813-0.4-50 -2.1-258 ITALY 250 250 3675 3500 919 875-5.0-44 -4.8-44 NETHER. 35 32 6600 6500 231 208-18.5-38 -10.0-23 BELG/LUX. 56 53 7750 7600 434 403-3.9-16 -7.2-31 U. K. 1135 1120 6400 6050 7264 6776-2.9-199 -6.7-488 IRELAND 200 180 7600 7400 1520 1332-0.7-9 -12.4-188 DENMARK 675 650 5900 5900 3983 3835-0.8-33 -3.7-148 GREECE 140 145 1475 1400 207 203-7.1-15 -1.7-4 SPAIN 2700 2575 3300 2800 8910 7210-11.3-815 -19.1-1700 PORTUGAL 27 26 1900 1900 51 49-5.3-3 -3.7-2 AUSTRIA 150 140 5500 5500 825 770-5.0-38 -6.7-55 SWEDEN 330 325 4900 4900 1617 1593-2.0-33 -1.5-25 FINLAND 500 430 3400 3300 1700 1419-5.8-82 -16.5-281 EU-15 9623 9401 5295 5004 50950 47045-3.4-1579 -7.7-3905 ROMANIA 500 420 3850 3475 1925 1460-8.8-128 -24.2-466 BULGARIA 180 150 4000 4200 720 630-13.3-84 -12.5-90 POLAND 850 950 3700 3600 3145 3420-0.7-24 8.7 275 CZECH/SLOVAK 510 480 9600 9475 2595 2414-1.8-43 -7.0-181 HUNGARY 310 300 4600 4525 1426 1358-1.7-23 -4.8-69 EU-28 11973 11701 5075 4814 60761 56326-3.3-1880 -7.3-4435 CROPCAST BARLEY FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE AREA YIELD PRODUCTION 2016 PRODUCTION CHANGE (T HA) (KG/HA) (TMT) OVER PAST WK OVER 2015 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 PERCENT ACTUAL PERCENT ACTUAL YUGOSLAVIA 215 225 2650 2750 570 619 0.0 0 8.6 49 TURKEY 3375 3400 2175 1500 7341 5100 0.0 0-30.5-2241 OTHER EUR 3590 3625 2203 1578 7910 5719 0.0 0-27.7-2192 EU-28 11755 11973 4973 5081 58452 60835 0.0 0 4.1 2382 TOTAL EUR 15345 15598 2203 1578 66363 66553 0.0 0 0.3 191
CROPCAST RAPESEED FORECAST FOR EUROPE GERMANY 1320 1300 3500 3450 4620 4485-6.4-285 -2.9-135 FRANCE 1450 1400 3100 3100 4495 4340 0.0 0-3.4-155 U.K. 600 550 3700 3425 2220 1884 4.8 90-15.1-336 DENMARK 164 165 4250 4100 697 677-1.2-8 -2.9-21 SPAIN 80 80 2400 1950 192 156 6.3 10-18.8-36 OTHER <1> 16 16 2000 2025 32 32 0.0 0 1.3 0 SWEDEN 105 105 3350 3225 352 339-2.3-8 -3.7-13 FINLAND 65 70 1450 1450 94 102-1.7-2 7.7 7 AUSTRIA 42 42 3250 3250 137 137-2.4-3 0.0 0 EU-15 3885 3772 3339 3257 12971 12285-1.7-208 -5.3-687 POLAND 850 875 2850 3000 2423 2625 1.7 45 8.4 203 CZECH/SLOVAK 510 510 6400 6300 1710 1672-2.5-41 -2.3-39 HUNGARY 225 250 2800 2650 630 663-5.7-38 5.2 33 EU-28 6090 6137 3259 3151 19847 19337-0.8-163 -2.6-509 <1> ITALY, NETHERLANDS, BELGIUM/LUX, IRELAND CROPCAST RAPESEED FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE (T HA) (KG/HA) (TMT) OVER PAST WK OVER 2016 OTHER EUR 230 235 2050 2100 472 494 0.0 0 4.7 22 EU-28 6090 6137 3259 3151 19847 19337-0.8-163 -2.6-509 TOTAL EUR 6320 6372 3215 3112 20318 19831-0.8-163 -2.4-487 <1> BULGARIA, ROMANIA, YUGOSLAVIA
CROPCAST SUNFLOWER FORECAST FOR EUROPE GERMANY 26 26 2150 2125 56 55-1.2-1 -1.2-1 FRANCE 620 550 2200 2150 1364 1183-11.6-138 -13.3-182 ITALY 100 120 2250 2200 225 264 3.1 8 17.3 39 GREECE 82 95 1275 1275 105 121 13.7 17 15.9 17 SPAIN 810 725 1000 990 810 718-27.0-194 -11.4-92 PORTUGAL 26 26 800 725 21 19-10.3-2 -9.4-2 AUSTRIA 26 24 2700 2750 70 66-8.3-6 -6.0-4 EU-15 1690 1566 1568 1549 2650 2425-13.0-314 -8.5-225 ROMANIA 1000 1050 2000 1850 2000 1943-2.7-53 -2.9-58 BULGARIA 800 800 2350 2250 1880 1800-2.2-40 -4.3-80 CZECH-SLOVAK 30 27 4750 4675 70 62-12.3-8 -11.0-8 HUNGARY 650 640 2500 2600 1625 1664-1.6-26 2.4 39 EU-28 4177 4090 1972 1933 8237 7906-5.6-441 -4.0-331 CROPCAST SUNFLOWER FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE YUGOSLAVIA 250 250 1400 1400 350 350 0.0 0 0.0 0 TURKEY 600 625 2200 2150 1320 1344 0.0 0 1.8 24 OTHER EUR 850 875 1965 1936 1670 1694 0.0 0 1.4 24 EU-28 4177 4090 1972 1933 8237 7906-5.6-441 -4.0-331 TOTAL EUR 5027 4965 1971 1934 9907 9600-4.6-441 -3.1-307
CROPCAST CORN FORECAST FOR EUROPE (T HA) (KG/HA) (TMT) OVER PAST WK OVER 2016 GERMANY 475 400 9650 9650 4584 3860-7.4-284 -15.8-724 FRANCE 1500 1400 8000 8800 12000 12320-6.4-790 2.7 320 ITALY 735 700 9200 9150 6762 6405-0.5-35 -5.3-357 GREECE 170 165 7100 7000 1207 1155-7.6-88 -4.3-52 SPAIN 380 365 10100 10600 3838 3869-8.9-343 0.8 31 PORTUGAL 100 110 7600 7800 760 858 0.0 0 12.9 98 OTHER <1> 66 68 8250 8250 545 561 0.0 0 3.0 17 AUSTRIA 190 190 1000 1025 190 195 0.0 0 2.5 5 EU-15 3626 3408 8259 8594 29946 29287-5.3-1541 -2.2-660 ROMANIA 2575 2600 3800 3725 9785 9685-2.0-195 -1.0-100 BULGARIA 425 430 5200 5925 2210 2548-6.0-152 15.3 338 POLAND 675 575 6000 6725 4050 3867-5.5-213 -4.5-183 CZECH/SLOVAK 315 325 13650 13750 2072 2163-4.2-91 4.4 90 HUNGARY 1100 1075 6200 6300 6820 6773-2.3-158 -0.7-48 EU-28 8716 8413 6297 6457 54884 54321-4.3-2350 -1.0-562 <1> BELGIUM/LUX, NETHERLANDS CROPCAST CORN FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE YUGOSLAVIA 2180 2200 3125 3125 6813 6875 0.0 0 0.9 63 TURKEY 580 650 9600 9825 5568 5502 0.0 0-1.2-66 OTHER EUR 2760 2760 4486 4484 12381 12377 0.0 0 0.0-4 EU-28 8716 8413 6297 6457 54884 54321-4.3-2350 -1.0-562 TOTAL EUR 11476 11173 5861 5970 67264 66698-3.5-2350 -0.8-566
CROPCAST OATS FORECAST FOR EUROPE FRANCE 94 90 4600 4450 432 401-3.4-14 -7.4-32 ITALY 108 100 2400 2350 259 235-0.1 0-9.3-24 NETHER. 2 2 4850 4500 10 9-7.8-1 -7.2-1 BELG/LUX. 7 7 5000 5000 35 35-0.5 0-0.5 0 U. K. 135 135 5900 5725 797 773-1.3-10 -3.0-24 IRELAND 22 22 7500 7500 165 165 0.0 0 0.0 0 DENMARK 40 60 5000 5200 200 312 31.3 98 56.0 112 GREECE 45 45 2200 2200 99 99 0.0 0 0.0 0 SPAIN 475 500 2000 1800 950 900 0.0 0-5.3-50 PORTUGAL 53 53 1250 1325 66 70-1.9-1 6.0 4 AUSTRIA 24 24 4100 4100 98 98 0.0 0 0.0 0 SWEDEN 180 170 4350 4150 783 706-3.6-26 -9.9-78 FINLAND 325 305 3300 3300 1073 1007-4.7-48 -6.2-66 EU-15 1636 1638 3402 3295 5566 5397 0.3 16-3.0-169 POLAND 475 485 2700 2750 1283 1334 2.1 28 4.0 51 CZECH/SLOVAK 58 53 6000 5900 189 171-3.7-6 -9.7-18 ROMANIA 170 160 1650 1650 281 264 0.0 0-5.9-17 NORWAY 79 79 3300 3300 261 261 0.0 0 0.0 0 EU-28 2419 2404 3095 3037 7487 7300 0.4 30-2.5-187 CROPCAST OATS FORECAST FOR OTHER EUROPE (T HA) (KG/HA) (TMT) OVER PAST WK OVER 2016 YUGOSLAVIA 64 64 1950 1950 125 125 0.0 0 0 0 TURKEY 105 105 2225 2300 234 242 0.0 0 3.4 8 OTHER EUR 169 169 2121 2167 358 366 0.0 0 2.2 8 NORWAY 79 79 3300 3300 261 261 0.0 0 0.0 0 TOTAL EUR 2588 2573 3031 2980 7845 7667 0.4 30-2.3-179 <1> BULGARIA
CROPCAST RYE FORECAST FOR EUROPE GERMANY 590 550 5400 5300 3186 2915-11.1-325 -8.5-271 FRANCE 26 25 4500 4500 117 113-6.3-7 -3.8-5 DENMARK 105 120 6100 6050 641 726-0.8-6 13.3 86 SPAIN 150 155 2000 1875 300 291-5.8-17 -3.1-9 PORTUGAL 20 20 1075 1075 22 22 0.0 0 0.0 0 OTHER <1> 46 46 4075 4075 187 187 0.0 0 0.0 0 SWEDEN 18 18 6100 6100 110 110-12.0-13 0.0 0 FINLAND 32 32 3150 2850 101 91-8.8-8 -9.5-10 AUSTRIA 40 36 4450 4650 178 167-11.1-19 -6.0-11 EU-15 1027 1002 4714 4612 4841 4621-8.5-395 -4.5-220 POLAND 900 950 2900 2650 2610 2518-0.1-3 -3.5-93 CZECH/SLOVAK 43 36 8050 8100 185 153-4.4-7 -17.4-32 HUNGARY 36 32 3100 2850 112 91-19.0-17 -18.3-20 EU-28 2006 2020 3912 3700 7848 7474-5.7-429 -4.8-374 CROPCAST RYE FORECAST FOR EUROPE (T HA) (KG/HA) (TMT) OVER PAST WK OVER 2016 YUGOSLAVIA 32 32 2300 2300 74 74 0.0 0 0.0 0 TURKEY 145 145 2500 2500 363 363 0.0 0 0.0 0 EU-28 2006 2020 3912 3700 7848 7474-5.7-429 -4.8-374 TOTAL EUR 2183 2197 3912 3700 8284 7910-5.4-429 -4.5-374 <1> BULGARIA, ROMANIA, YUGOSLAVIA