Daily Operations Briefing Thursday, August 27, 2015 8:30 a.m. EDT
Significant Activity: Aug 26-27 Significant Events: Tropical Storm Erika Tropical Activity: Atlantic: Tropical: Tropical Storm Erika; Eastern Pacific: Hurricane Ignacio; Tropical Storm Jimena Central Pacific: Tropical Storm Kilo Western Pacific: No significant activity affecting U.S. territories Significant Weather: Showers and Thunderstorms throughout the Plains; much of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic Flash Flooding Central Plains and Middle Mississippi Valley Red Flag Warnings WA & MT Elevated Fire Weather OR, WA, ID & MT Isolated Dry Thunderstorms Northern Intermountain into the Northern Plains Space Weather: Past 24 hours has been moderate with (G2) geomagnetic storms and minor (R1) radio blackouts; next 24 hours is predicted to be moderate with (G2) geomagnetic and minor (R1) radio blackouts likely Declaration Activity: Major Disaster Declaration Request - FL
2-Day Tropical Outlook Atlantic
Atlantic Tropical Storm Erika Tropical Storm Erika Advisory #10: (As of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located 211 miles ESE of US Virgin Islands Maximum winds of 50 mph; moving W at 16 mph with little change over next 48 hours Forecast to be near U.S. Virgin Island later today, and over Puerto Rico tonight Rain accumulations: 3-5 inches (maximum over 8 inches) in USVI & Puerto Rico State/Territory Response: FL EOC is Partially Activated; USVI and Puerto Rico EOCs are Fully Activated USVI - 4 shelters open with 56 occupants; Puerto Rico shelters are on standby Preparation efforts continue at the local level FEMA Response: FEMA Region II o RRCC is at Enhanced Watch (Day shift only); LNO deployed to NHC o IMATs & MERS personnel remain deployed to USVI and Puerto Rico FEMA Region IV o RRCC is not activated; LNO deployed to FL EOC FEMA HQ o NRCC is not activated; NWC at Watch/Steady State o ISB/FSA to be established at Marine Corps Logistics Air Base (MCLAB), Albany, GA
2-Day Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific
Eastern Pacific Hurricane Ignacio Hurricane Ignacio (eeg-nah-see-oh) Advisory #10: (as of 02:00 a.m. EDT) Located 1,205 miles ESE of Hilo, HI Moving WNW at 13 mph; this general motion to continue through Friday Maximum sustained winds 75 mph Additional strengthening forecast next 48 hours Hurricane force winds extend 25 miles Tropical storm force winds extend 60 miles
Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Jimena TS Jimena (he-may-na) Advisory #3: (as of 2:00 a.m. EDT) Located 845 miles SSW of southern tip of Baja California, Mexico Moving WNW at 15 mph; a turn W with some decrease in forward speed expected through Friday Maximum sustained winds 40 mph Forecast to become a hurricane on Friday Tropical storm force winds extend 35 miles
2-Day Tropical Outlook Central Pacific
Wildfire Summary Fire Name (County) Upper Skagit Complex (Skagit & Whatcom County) Chelan Complex (Chelan County, WA) Kettle Complex (Ferry County) Colville Complex (Stevens County) Okanogan Complex (Okanogan County) Canyon Creek Complex (Grant County) FMAG # FEMA-5109-FM-WA (Goodell Fire) Approved Aug 24 FEMA-5100-FM-WA Approved Aug 14 FEMA-5101-FM-WA Approved Aug 14 FEMA-5108-FM-WA (Renner Fire) Approved Aug 21 FEMA-5103-FM-WA Approved Aug 14 FEMA-5104-FM-WA Approved Aug 14 FEMA-5106-FM-WA (Twisp River Fire) Approved Aug 19 FEMA-5102-FM-OR Approved Aug 15 Acres burned 7,832 (+1,177) % Contained Washington (5) 28 (+28)% 88,142 47% 60,205 (+2,144) 9,596 (+876) 450,267 (+33,617) 16% Evacuations (Residents) Mandatory/ Voluntary 200 Voluntary 800 Mandatory/ Voluntary 334 Structures Threatened 48% N/A 449 (294 homes) 17% Oregon (2) 74,649 44% (+2) Mandatory/ Voluntary 872 Evacuations Lifted Structures Damaged/ Destroyed Fatalities / Injuries 116 2/1 0/0 2,130 (1,330 homes) 0/44 (21 homes) 0/7 4,130 (2,600 homes) 0/2 (1 home) 0/3 0/ 131 (68 homes) 0/1 9,325 (8,140 homes) 0/131 (68 homes) 3/4 75 homes 0 / 39 homes 0/2 Grizzly Bear Complex (Wallowa County) FEMA-5107-FM-OR Approved Aug 21 67,930 10% Evacuations Lifted 470 (400 homes) 0/ 33 (5 homes) 0/4
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 1 Date Requested 0 FL DR Severe Storms and Flooding August 25, 2015
Major Disaster Declaration Request FL Aug 25, 2015 Governor of Florida requested a Major Disaster Declaration For severe storms and flooding during the period Aug 1-9, 2015 Requesting: o Individual Assistance for 5 counties o Hazard Mitigation statewide
Open Field Offices as of Aug 27
Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region State / Location Event IA/PA Number of Counties Requested Complete Start End IV FL Heavy Rain & Flooding July 26, 2015 & continuing IA 5 5 8/12-8/19 PA 5 0 TBD
National Weather Forecast Day 1 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php Today Tomorrow
Active Watches/Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
Fire Weather Outlook, Days 1-2 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Today Tomorrow
Precipitation Forecast, 1-3 Day Day 1 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml Day 2 Day 3
Significant River Flood Outlook http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php
Hazard Outlook, Aug 29- Sep 2 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php
Space Weather Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: Moderate Minor Moderate Geomagnetic Storms G2 G1 G2 Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts R1 None R1 HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weatherenthusiasts http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/geophysical-alert-wwv-text http://spaceweather.com/
FEMA Readiness Deployable Teams /Assets Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available Deployable Teams/Assets Not Available Detailed, Deployed, Activated FCO 35 9 26% 0 1 25 FDRC 9 5 56% 0 0 4 Comments US&R 28 27 96% 0 1 0 NM-TF1 (Red) Personnel shortages National IMAT 3 3 100% 0 0 0 Regional IMAT 13 3 23% 1 0 9 Deployed: RI to NH/MA Aug 6 - TBD (training but FMC) RII (Team A) to CAD RIV (Team 1) deployed to KY RVI (Team 1 & 2) deployed to TX RVII deployed to MO RVIII (Team 1) deployed to SD & CO RIX (Teams 1 & 2) deployed to CNMI RX (Team 1) deployed to WA Partially Mission Capable: RV returned to region (Reconstituting) Rating Criterion OFDC Readiness: FCO Green Yellow Red Type 1 3+ 2 1 Type 2 4+ 3 2 Type 3 4 3 2 FDRC 3 2 1 Green = Available/FMC Yellow = Available/PMC Red = Out-of-Service Blue = Assigned/Deployed Green: 3 avail Yellow: 1-2 avail Red: 0 avail (Individual N-IMAT red if 50% of Section Chiefs and/or Team Leader is unavailable for deployment.) Green: 7 or more avail Yellow: 4-6 teams available Red: > 8 teams deployed/unavailable R-IMAT also red if TL Ops/Log Chief is unavailable & has no qualified replacement MCOV 59 47 80 0 11 1 1 unit in TX Green = 80 100% avail Yellow = 60 79% avail Red = 59% or below avail Readiness remains 95%
FEMA Readiness National/Regional Teams Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available National/Regional Teams Not Available Status NWC 5 5 100% 0 0 Not Activated NRCC 2 344 89% 0 44 Not Activated Comments Rating Criterion Green = FMC Yellow = PMC Red = NMC HLT 1 N/A N/A 0 0 Activated DEST Not Activated RRCCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Activated Region II at Enhanced Watch (0700-1900) RWCs/MOCs 10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated