Daily Operations Briefing Wednesday, October 16, 2013 8:30 a.m. EDT 1
Significant Activity: Oct 15 16 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic Area 1 (10%) Eastern Pacific Tropical Depression Priscilla Central Pacific No tropical cyclones expected through Thursday evening Western Pacific Tropical Depression 26W Significant Weather: Heavy rains Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley Elevated fire weather conditions Southern California Critical Fire Weather Areas / Red Flag Warnings: None Space Weather: Minor radio blackouts observed; no space weather storms predicted for next 24 hours Earthquake Activity: M7.1 offshore of Papua New Guinea; no significant U.S. activity Declaration Activity: None 2
Atlantic Tropical Outlook Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT 3
Atlantic - Area 1 As of 8:00 a.m. EDT Broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extends from Bahamas northeast for several hundred miles Low pressure is expected to form southeast of Bermuda over the next day or two Will move N then NE over the west-central Atlantic Probability of tropical cyclone development: Next 48 hours: Low (10%) Next 5 days: Low (10%) 4
Eastern Pacific Tropical Outlook http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 5
Eastern Pacific Tropical Depression Priscilla As of 5:00 a.m. EDT Located 660 miles SW of southern tip of Baja California Mexico Moving WNW at 7 mph General motion expected through early Thursday tonight Maximum sustained winds 35 mph A decrease in forward speed and a turn W expected by early Thursday Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours Expected to degenerate into remnant low tonight or Thursday morning 6
Central Pacific Tropical Outlook http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/ This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 7
Western Pacific Tropical Depression 26W As of 5:00 a.m. EDT, October 16 Located 96 miles SSW of Guam; moving WSW at 13 mph Maximum sustained winds 35 mph, gust of 46 mph May become a tropical storm tonight or Thursday Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Guam and the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI) Guam and CNMI EOCs are not activated FEMA Region IX remains at Watch/Steady State 8
National Weather Forecast http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf 9
Active Watches/Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php 10
Precipitation Forecast 3 Day Day 1 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml Day 2 Day 3 11
River Forecast 7 Day 13
Convective Outlooks Days 1 3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 14
Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 8 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3-8 15
Hazard Outlook: Oct 18 22 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php 16
Space Weather NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme) Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: Minor None None Geomagnetic Storms None None None Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts R1 None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/ 19
International Earthquake Papua New Guinea M7.1 Papua New Guinea 6:31 p.m. EDT, October 16, 2013 44 miles WSW of Panguan, Papua New Guinea Depth of 21 miles USGS issued a Green PAGER alert indicating A low likelihood of casualties and damages No Pacific wide tsunami was generated No requests for FEMA assistance 23
Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 1 Date Requested KS DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding September 25, 2013 24
Open Field Offices as of October 16, 2013 28
OFDC Cadre Member Status Federal Coordinating Officer Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total 30 1 7 1 39 Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 8* 1 4 2 1 * All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions 8 1 1 9 10 As of: 10/11/2013 29
MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status Location Units Assigned MCOV FLEET STATUS Available FMC Deployed Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS MERS Maynard 3 3 0 0 0 DR-4145-CO 21 0 0 MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Thomasville 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0 DC Ft Worth 20 6 14 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 MERS Bothell 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 En Route Unit Prep TOTAL 55 31 21 0 3 TOTAL 21 0 0 0 Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0 Open Request Notes: Fully Mission Capable 52 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 3 Total Not Deployed 34 Data as of: 10/15/13 @ 1500 31
IA Registration Statistics DR/EM # - State IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 15, 2013 @ 1500 Registrations Approved Applicants Total HA Approved Total ONA Approved Total IHP Approved 4145 - CO 24,646 14,209 $40,046,054 $2,874,947 $42,921,001 Totals 24,646 14,209 $40,046,054 $2,874,947 $42,921,001 24 hour change +146 +117 +$582,962 +$58,024 +$640,986 NPSC Call Data for October 14, 2013 Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 1,529 Average time to answer call 15 seconds Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 1 min 14 seconds / 8 seconds 32
Housing Inspection Statistics DR #-State Inspectors Inspection Data as of October 15, 2013 @ 1500 Inspections Assigned Inspections Completed Inspection % Complete Turnaround Time (Days) 4145 - CO 27 21,528 21,240 98.66% 2.4 TOTAL 27 21,528 21,240 98.66% 2.4 24 hour change +1 +159 +130-0.13% -0.0 33
IMAT Status National Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status Blue/White East West CO Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status Region I Region V Region VIII Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1 Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2 Region IV-1 Region VII Region X Region IV-2 = Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Not Mission Capable 35
Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) Monthly On Call Rotation JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC WEST CENTRAL EAST Team Status Team Status Team Status CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available UT-TF1 Available = Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service 36
RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status Region RRCC Regional Watch Center I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7) II Not Activated 24/7 III Not Activated 24/7 IV Not Activated 24/7 V Not Activated 24/7 VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7) VII Not Activated 24/7 VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7) IX Not Activated 24/7 X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7) = Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable 37
National Team Status Team/Status Current Location Remarks National Watch Center Washington, DC Enhanced Watch (Day only) NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated HLT Miami, FL Activated DEST Washington, DC Not Activated Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable 38
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