PERSPECTIVES of HIGH ENERGY NEUTRINO ASTRONOMY. Paolo Lipari Vulcano 27 may 2006

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PERSPECTIVES of HIGH ENERGY NEUTRINO ASTRONOMY Paolo Lipari Vulcano 27 may 2006

High Energy Neutrino Astrophysics will CERTAINLY become an essential field in a New Multi-Messenger Astrophysics What is under discussion is how long and difficult this road will be. How Significant will be the results obtained with the Km3 Telescopes discussed in this Conference

PREDICTIONS about what we will see looking out of a NEW WINDOW to observe the universe around us are dangerous Surprising results are: possible... indeed likely... and in fact very desired by all interested in the field

As a WARNING for the audience... and for myself... One example from the History of Science : The birth of X-ray Astronomy th June 12 1962

BIRTH OF X-RAY ASTRONOMY June 12 1962

ONE GALACTIC SOURCE SCO-X1 Evidence for diffuse EXTRA-GALACTIC (isotropic) FLUX

PREDICTION (1960) Brightest Source the MOON

SKY MUCH BRIGHTER than the MOON 7000 sources/(o)2

CHANDRA Deep Field North

The X-ray SKY

A second Interesting history: TeV Gamma Ray Astronomy at the DOOR OF PARADISE Long History... 30 years of efforts before the first source (the CRAB Nebula) 1988 Richard Lamb, Vulcano

Neutrino Telescopes are Discovery Instruments the significance of their results will be verified only a Posteriori. But we do have some important guidance from the results of Gamma Astronomy (and Cosmic Ray Physics)

Extraordinary progress in recent years in High Energy Astrophysics. mostly in Gamma Astronomy (GeV and TeV) Identification of several classes of Astrophysical Accelerators SNR µquasars GRB AGN Important Guidance for the estimation of the Properties (Luminosity, Spectrum,...) of High Energy Neutrino Sources.

Components of the Neutrino Flux

ASTROPHYSICAL NEUTRINOS Astrophysical Object containing: p Populations of relativistic protons, Nuclei electrons/positrons Emission of: ± e γ rays Neutrinos Cosmic Rays

Relation between PHOTONS and NEUTRINOS Assuming HADRONIC production for the photons: In the absence of photon absorption One Photon One Neutrino

Ratio Neutrino-Photon

Effect of Neutrino Oscillations Before Oscillations After Oscillations

HESS Science March - 2005 SCAN of the Galactic Plane 15 New Sources + 3 Known

GALACTIC TEV SOURCES

TeV Galactic Sources Measured by HESS, MAGIC Have FLUX: Flux (Eγ > 1 TeV) = 0.11-2.1 UNIT : Two Brightest sources in the TeV sky: 2 young SNR RX 1713.7-3946 Vela Junior

VERY POSITIVE The HESS scan of the central part of the Milky Way has determined the scale (typical Power) of the High Energy Photon Sources Several (all) of these sources are candidates as Neutrino Sources. Less POSITIVE... The Sources (assuming no gamma absorption) are weak for the KM3 telescopes.

Sensitivity to Point Sources in a Neutrino Telescope Determine the minimum luminosity of a neutrino source to be detectable Normalization: Neutrino Flux = Eν > 1 TeV Shape Power Law : α = 2.2

5.6

Effect of Neutrino Absorption in the Earth

Event Rate of neutrino-induced Muons under the Assumption Flux (Neutrinos) = Flux (photons) FEW EVENTS PER YEAR for the STRONGEST HESS SOURCES

BACKGROUND Atmospheric Neutrinos

Angular Distribution of the Neutrino induced Muons

Control of the Background below 1/year is Possible but is a very difficult Problem: Source of Intrinsic small Size Quasi-Point Like Source High Energy cut Eµ > 1 TeV Very good Energy Resolution (Fraction of a degree) If this is achieved Sensitivity is SIGNAL Limited Brightest TeV Sources could be Detectable

GALACTIC NEUTRINOS

SuperNova Remnants: RX1713.7-3946

SuperNova RX1713.7-3946 Most natural (perhaps not unique) interpretation: Hadronic Cosmic Rays accelerated by the SN blast wave interacting with the interstellar medium

Photon Production Gas density Proton Population inside the SN remnant

49

PULSAR WIND NEBULAE Crab X-rays (Chandra) Electromagnetic Fields Near the Surface of the Neutron Star are strong enough to pull charged particles out of the neutron star (or generate pairs of e+e-) Creating a Pulsar Wind The pulsar wind creates shocks near the neutron star that accelerates electrons and positrons to relativistic energies

CRAB NEBULA (Self Synchrotron Compton) Synchrotron Emission Inverse Compton

GALACTIC CENTER Point like core Extended tail Similar to NFW profile Colors: H.E.S.S. Contours: Radio Angular distribution

Power law index 2.3 No significant Variability in 40 hourse of observations distributed in 2 years

MICROQUASARS GRS 1915+105 Galactic binary system with one stellar mass black hole Symmetric emission of Plasma "blobs" Detection in Radio (VLBI)

Geometry of the emission of the two jets

Radio emission

Minimization

LS 5039

ABSORPTION

JETs in ASTROPHYSICS

GALACTIC DIFFUSE NEUTRINOS

EXTRA-GALACTIC NEUTRINOS

EXTRA-GALACTIC NEUTRINOS UNRESOLVED FLUX Sum of all High Energy Neutrino Sources. Proportional to the Average Power Density of the Neutrino Sources in the Universe

Flux Particle density Energy density

POWER INJECTION IN THE UNIVERSE

Neutrinos Injected with a Power Law of slope α

α=2 Current Limit on the diffuse flux : Km3 Detector Sensitivity

STELLAR POWER

SDSS Z [0.015, 0.080]

COSMIC HISTORY OF the STAR FORMATION Heavens et al. ``The Complete Star Formation History of the Universe,'' Nature 428, 625 (2004)

INITIAL MASS FUNCTION

POWERING THE GALACTIC COSMIC RAYS Power Provided by the conversion with an efficiency of order 15-20 % of the Kinetic Energy of SuperNovae.

It is Natural to Expect that the Production of Cosmic Rays is a Universal Process, correlated with Star Formation and Death (and therefore to Optical Light )

Good Matching between the power needed to have Universal Cosmic Ray Production: and the Power available in SN explosions.

ACTIVE GALACTIC NUCLEI

AGN Fueled by ACCRETION POWER What is the ENERGY OUTPUT of the ensemble of AGN?

1

Relation between AGN Power and the SUPER MASSIVE BLACK HOLES MASS

Correlation between Mass Velocity Dispersion

ESTIMATES of the TOTAL MASS in SUPER MASSIVE BLACK HOLES

Marconi et al. MNRAS 304, L7 (2003) Comparing L(AGN, bolometric) to M(SMBH) Good consistency Efficiency ~ 0.10

Compton Gamma Ray Observatory 1991-2000

EGRET all Sky Map

EGRET EXTRAGALACTIC FLUX

WHAT IS (ARE) THE SOURCE(S) OF THE EGRET DIFFUSE EXTRAGALACTIC GAMMA RAY FLUX? Can UNRESOLVED BLAZARS account for the diffuse Flux?

Estimate the Possible Contribution of BLAZARS to the EGRET Extragalactic Background Number density of sources Model of the emission for a source of luminosity L Source of Luminosity L at redshift z

Total FLUX Resolved Sources : above a minimum flux Distribution of the observed properties of the sources Redshift, Luminosity

Estimates of the Blazar constribution to the diffuse Gamma Ray flux vary: Stecker & Salamon (Ap.J. 464, 600 (1996) : Blazars contribution can account for the extragalactic diffuse flux. Chiang & Mukherjee (Ap.J 496, 752 (1998): Blazars = 0.25 Extragalactic diffuse flux The Most common explanations for the Blazar Gamma Radiation is via LEPTONIC (SSC) Models Associated Neutrino Flux not well determined Exciting Possibility: Additional (unknown) source of High Energy Photons

WAXMAN-BAHCALL BOUND

Summary of POWER SOURCES Significant Power is available AMANDA, ANTARES, BAIKAL are STARTING TO PROBE INTERESTING ASTROPHYSICAL TERRITORY EGRET LEVEL VERY IMPORTANT!

The potential of the planned km3 neutrino telescopes to open the new window of neutrino Astronomy are reasonably good. Probably only few sources will be resolved with signals of few events/year. The detection of point sources is not fully guaranteed. Most likely sources are SNR, microquasars, the Galactic Center. AGN and GRB's A diffuse extragalactic Flux is likely to be seen. Even in the most optimistic case the new telescopes will just scratch the surface of high energy neutrino Science, and the question of developing higher sensitivity detectors is very important.

High Energy Neutrino Astronomy The Km3 detectors have a very Exciting Potential will SOON become a Reality

Cosmological Neutrinos Geophysical Neutrinos Solar Neutrinos NEUTRINO PHYSICS is a VERY RICH FIELD SuperNova Neutrinos (SuperNova Relic Neutrinos) Atmospheric Neutrinos Astrophysical Neutrinos GZK Neutrinos Exotic Physics Neutrinos (Top Down Models) Dark Matter Annihilation Neutrinos (from the Sun or the Center of the Earth)