Lokta-Volterra predator-prey equation dx = ax bxy dt dy = cx + dxy dt

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Periodic solutions A periodic solution is a solution (x(t), y(t)) of dx = f(x, y) dt dy = g(x, y) dt such that x(t + T ) = x(t) and y(t + T ) = y(t) for any t, where T is a fixed number which is a period of the solution. Periodicity in biology: life proceeds in a rhythmic and periodic style... the periodic patterns are not easily disrupted or changed by a noisy and random environment. 1

Examples: Predator-prey models (lynx-hare population, sharkfish population,), nerve conduction (Hodgkin-Huxley equations, Fitzhugh-Nagumo model), chemical reactions Lokta-Volterra predator-prey equation dx = ax bxy dt dy = cx + dxy dt Critiques of the equation: there are infinitely many periodic solutions, and all of them are neutrally stable. Ideally, the system should have a limit cycle which all solutions tend to. 2

Designing better models of predator-prey: More general predation equation: (prey P, predator Q) dp dt = kp ( 1 P ) N h(p )Q h(p ) is the functional response of predators to prey population Assumptions: 1. h(0) = 0: when the population is zero, there is nothing to harvest 2. h (P ) 0: when there is more can be harvested, then the harvest rate is higher In Lotka-Volterra model: h(p ) = kp (linear predation) 3

Holling s type II functional response h(p ) = dp dt = kp ( 1 P ) N AP 1 + BP Q AP 1 + BP Assumptions: The number of predator is assumed to be constant, and they cannot consume more preys when P is large. It takes the predator a certain amount of time to kill and eat each prey. So suppose that in one hour, the predator (a wolf) can catch AP number of prey (rabbits) (it is proportional to P since when P is larger, the wolf has better chance to meet rabbits,) but it needs T hour to handle and eat each rabbit caught. So for all AP rabbits, it takes AT P hours, and in fact the wolf spends 1 + AT P hours on these AP rabbits. So in 1 hour, the wolf AP actually only eats rabbits. We use B = AT as a new 1 + AT P parameter in the equation. 4

Holling s type I model dp dt = kp ( 1 P ) N h(p ) where h(p ) = ap when 0 P P 0 and h(p ) = ap 0 when P > P 0. Assumptions: The number of predator is assumed to be constant, and they cannot consume more preys when P is large. Type I is unusual, except for the case of filter-feeding crustacea feeding on algar cells. Holling s type III model dp dt = kp spruce budworm model (lecture 8) ( 1 P ) AP n N 1 + BP n 5

Predator-prey model with Holling type II predation (saturating interaction) (non-dimensionalized) du ds = u(1 mu) uv u + 1, dv ds = cv + puv u + 1. u-nullcline: u = 0, v = (1 mu)(u + 1) v-nullcline: v = 0, u = c p c Equilibrium points: (0, 0), (m 1 c p(p c mc), 0), (, p c (p c) 2 ). Case 1: (p < (m + 1)c) Two equilibrium points at (0, 0) and (m 1, 0), and (m 1, 0) is a sink which attracts any initial values. Case 2: (p > (m + 1)c) Three equilibrium points at (0, 0), (m 1 c p(p c mc), 0), (u 0, v 0 ) = (, p c (p c) 2 ). Stability of (u 0, v 0 )? 6

A brief theory of periodic orbits Theorem 1 Inside a periodic orbit, there is at least one equilibrium point. Corollary 2 Let (x 0, y 0 ) be an equilibrium point. If there is a stable or unstable orbit of this equilibrium going to infinity as t ±, then there is no periodic orbit around this equilibrium point. Corollary 3 Let (x 0, y 0 ) be an equilibrium point. If the direction of vector field on the nullclines near (x 0, y 0 ) is not clockwise or counterclockwise, then there is no periodic orbit around this equilibrium point. 7

Theorem 4 (Poincaré-Bendixon) If there is a donut region (a region without equilibrium point) that the vector field is pointing inside at any point on the boundary, then there is a periodic orbit in the donut region. Corollary 5 If in a region, there is only one equilibrium point which is a source or spiral source, and the vector field is pointing inside at any point on the boundary, then there is a periodic orbit around this equilibrium point. A typical case: the solutions from outside are spiraling in, and the equilibrium point is a spiral source. 8

Theorem 6 (Poincaré-Andronov-Hopf bifurcation) If there is a bifurcation occurring that an equilibrium point changes from a spiral sink to spiral source, and the solutions from outside are always spiraling in, then there is a periodic orbit around the spiral source. Jules Henri Poincaré (1854-1912): One of greatest mathemati- 9

cians in 20th century http://www-gap.dcs.st-and.ac.uk/ history/mathematicians/poincare.ht

Hopf Bifurcation 10

du ds = u(1 mu) uv u + 1, dv ds = cv + puv u + 1. Stability of (u 0, v 0 ): c(p c mp mc) J = p(p c) c p p (m + 1)c 0 Eigenvalue equation: λ 2 c(p c mp mc) λ+ c p(p c) p (p c mc) = 0 Spiral sink or sink: p c mp mc < 0 (or m > p c p + c ) Spiral source or source: p c mp mc > 0 (or 0 < m < p c p + c ) 11

Conclusion: m = p c p + c m > p c p + c is where Hopf bifurcation occurs. When but near p c p + c, (u 0, v 0 ) is a spiral sink, and all solutions tend to (u 0, v 0 ) in an oscillating fashing; when m passes p c p + c but near p c p + c, (u 0, v 0 ) becomes a spiral source, but all solutions away from (u 0, v 0 ) still tends toward (u 0, v 0 ) (spiral inward), thus a periodic solution (with small oscillation) emerges around (u 0, v 0 ), and it is a limit cycle. Examples: p = 1, c = 0.5, the Hopf bifurcation point is m = 1/3 0.33333 12

Hopf bifurcation destablizes the equilibrium (from stable spiral sink to unstable spiral source) du ds = u(1 mu) uv u + 1, dv ds = cv + puv u + 1. What can cause Hopf bifurcation: m is small! m 1 is carrying capacity, so that m is smaller implies carrying capacity is larger. Larger carrying capacity for the prey is called enrichment, which seems lead to stabilizing. But instead it leads to Hopf bifurcation and destablizing of the equilibrium. This is called paradox of enrichment 13

Hodgkin-Huxley model: v (t) = 1 C [g Nam 3 h(v v Na ) + g K n 4 (v v K ) + g L (v v L )] n (t) = α n (v)(1 n) β n (v)n, m (t) = α m (v)(1 m) β m (v)m, h (t) = α h (v)(1 h) β h (v)h, where α n (v) = 0.01(v + 10)(e (v+10)/10 1) 1, β n (v) = 0.125e v/80 α m (v) = 0.01(v + 25)(e (v+25)/10 1) 1, β m (v) = 4e v/18 α h (v) = 0.07e v/20, β h (v) = (e (v+30)/10 + 1) 1 and g Na = 120, g K = 36, g L = 0.3, v Na = 115, v K = 12, and v L = 10.5989 Numerical simulation of HH-model was a great success! 14

Hodgkin, A., and Huxley, A. (1952): A quantitative description of membrane current and its application to conduction and excitation in nerve. Journal of Physiology 117:500544. Alan Lloyd Hodgkin(1914-1998), and Andrew Fielding Huxley (1917-) won the 1963 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine for their work on the basis of nerve action potentials, the electrical impulses that enable the activity of an organism to be coordinated by a central nervous system. Hodgkin and Huxley shared the prize that year with John Carew Eccles, who was cited for research on synapses. Hodgkin and Huxley s findings led the pair to hypothesize the existence of ion channels, which were isolated only decades later. Confirmation of ion channels came with the development of the patch clamp, which led to a Nobel prize in 1991 to Erwin Neher and Bert Sakmann. 15

FitzHugh-Nagumo equation: a simpler system but retain many of qualitative features of Hodgkin-Huxley system (and the simplified 2-d system of FitzHugh) FitzHugh (1961), Nagumo et. al. (1962) ɛ dv dw = v(v a)(1 v) w, = v bw c. dt dt v(t) is the excitability of the system (voltage), w(t) is recovery variable representing the force that tends to return the resting state Excitability: small perturbation will return to resting state quickly, and a larger perturbation will cause a full circle going around before returning to the resting state. 16

Case 1: ɛ = 0.01, a = 0.1, b = 0.5 and c = 0 Equilibrium (0, 0) stable Case 2: ɛ = 0.01, a = 0.1, b = 0.5 and c = 0.1 Equilibrium (0, 0) unstable, and a periodic solution 17