Oceans in transition

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Oceans governance

Oceans in transition

OECD: Ocean industry value-added projected to double by 2030 from ~USD 1.5 to 3.0 trillion However, meeting anticipated demand for ocean space and resources will prove challenging because the ocean is already under stress.

OECD: Ocean industry value-added projected to double by 2030 from ~USD 1.5 (2010) to 3.0 trillion (c.f. PEMSEA absolute numbers) However, meeting anticipated demand for ocean space and resources will prove challenging because the ocean is already under stress.

The changing structure of the global ocean economy Capture fisheries Seafood processing Shipping & ports Shipbuilding & repair Offshore oil & gas Tourism Business services Education & training Manufacturing & construction Research and development Various informal sectors + Aquaculture Offshore renewable energy Maritime safety & surveillance Marine biotechnology High-tech products & services Deep & ultra-deep infrastructure Marine & seabed mining Desalination

2000 2030

Oceans governance How do we make big collective decisions about oceans (and coasts!)?

Oceans governance: Actors: government, business, third sector Rules: formal and informal Institutions Different spatial scales: local, national, regional, global Policies, plans, partnerships, program

International governance

Key rules relevant to oceans governance United Nations Charter and basic architecture of international law International agreements on environment and development International agreements on trade and investment International agreements on the law of the sea (e.g. 1982 Convention) National constitutions and legal systems

Basic framework of national rights and jurisdiction over natural resources

Spatial overlaps between national jurisdiction and natural resources

The post-2015 era

National governance In light of international commitments

Some holistic national strategies for oceanbased development (or blue economy) Bangladesh Brunei Cape Verde China Eastern Caribbean Regional Policy EU Blue Growth Strategy Grenada India Indonesia Ireland Namibia Norway Philippines Seychelles South Africa St Vincent and the Grenadines Thailand Trinidad and Tobago Tuvalu United Kingdom United States Vanuatu Vietnam Many large private sector actors, often with globalised value chains

National implementation of the 2015 Commitments

Links between accounting systems and international reporting

Natural capital approaches

Protected areas [Ben Milligan]

Local marine management

Planning: built infrastructure

Planning: built infrastructure

Planning: ecological infrastructure

Integrated spatial planning

Innovative financial instruments Debt for nature swaps Payments for ecosystem services Green / blue / climate bonds Fiscal reforms and incentives Biodiversity offsetting

Final thoughts on accounting The structures and institutions in which decision-makers operate are important Rules the decision-makers apply are important There are many governance challenges that are specifically relevant to accounting: Data ownership Technology licensing (e.g. software) Data partnerships: GEO, CEOS, GOOS, national, etc. Open access of academic research The business of big science and monitoring Account building must be coupled with governance capacity building, and institutional / process assessment Rule-makers are not generally aware of accounting concepts

Small design choices can have big consequences for use and scope of accounts: Framework environmental legislation The objective of this Code is protection of Country X s ecosystems, biodiversity and natural resources. OR The objective of this Code is protection, restoration and enhancement of Country X s ecosystems, biodiversity and other natural resources, recognizing that these assets are the foundation of Country X s development. Environmental impact assessment regulations The Minister shall consider impacts of the proposed development on the environment OR The Minister shall consider impacts of the proposed development on the environment, including on ecosystem goods and services Permitting requirements Are project developers required to disclose information relevant to accounts?

The Future Banar Fil Ardhi