Orbital Obliquities of Small Planets from CHARA Stellar Diameters

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Orbital Obliquities of Small Planets from CHARA Stellar Diameters Samuel Quinn & Russel White Georgia State University CHARA Meeting March 19, 2015 Hébrard+ (2011)

How do planets migrate? Giant planets may migrate through the gas disk (Type II) or via interactions with other bodies (planet-planet scattering, Kozai cycles) Disk migration P-P scattering P. Armitage Kozai Ford & Rasio Obliquities hold clues to migration history

Lessons from giant planets Winn (2006) Obliquities determined mainly via the Rossiter-McLaughlin effect

Lessons from giant planets Quinn+ (2015)

Lessons from Kepler Systems of small planets tend to be mutually coplanar Sanchis-Ojeda+ (2012) Some of these systems may still be misaligned with the stellar spin (e.g., Kepler-56) Can sometimes determine obliquities photometrically: (Repeated) starspot crossings Most techniques work best for big planets (R-M, tomography, Gravity darkened transits spots, grav. dark., etc.) or only Full photodynamical models special cases (seismology, grav. Asteroseismology dark., spots, etc.) Huber+ (2014)

The promise of TESS Ricker+ (2014) Similar performance to Kepler, but all-sky and bright, nearby stars Follow-up observations more feasible: RVs, atmospheres, DIAMETERS However, shorter timespan of observations make obliquities hard: asteroseismology is difficult fewer transits, spot crossings

New life for an old idea Stellar inclination can be crudely estimated from estimates of the stellar radius, a rotation period, and a spectroscopically measured vsin(i). Schlaufman 2010 used predicted rotation periods and radii with vsin(i ) measurements to identify possible misaligned hot Jupiters, and found consistency with emerging Rossiter-McLaughlin results for misalignment. But with rotation periods from TESS, angular diameters from CHARA, and (soon!) distances from Gaia, we can directly observe all terms in the equation, with most sources of error significantly reduced.

Is this technique feasible? How precisely can we determine the inclination? What are error sources (and magnitudes of error)? Ex.: 0.055 2 = 0.05 2 + 0.01 2 + 0.02 2 + (~0) How many obliquity measurements can we expect to make? How many TESS stars can CHARA resolve? How many of those will have (transiting) planets? How many will have detected rotation periods? N obliq = N CHARA f pl f tr f rot Can we determine the underlying obliquity distribution of small planets?

Simulation: Stellar Population The TRILEGAL stellar population synthesis code (Girardi+ 2005) allows us to generate realistic galactic populations with known properties (e.g., radius, distance, age, (B-V), effective temperature, etc.) We run TRILEGAL for ~1/10 th of the sky (400 10 deg 2 pointings), and can scale final numbers up to all-sky. To match TESS targets, select only F5V-M0V with I<12 and M0V-M9V with J<13. Calculate angular size from (known) R, d

A Mathematical Aside Determining evenly-spaced points on a sphere for TRILEGAL pointings. Not as easy as one might think No (known) analytical solution! Coolest one? e- constrained to a sphere.

Simulation: Rotation Periods Mamajek & Hillenbrand (2008) gyrochronology relation: McQuillan+ (2014) Kepler rotation periods:

Simulation: Projected Rotational Velocities Choose underlying distribution of stellar spins (3 cases): i. isotropic (suitable for a random sample of stars with no priors) ii. nearly edge-on (what we d expect if all planets have low obliquities) iii. a mix of i. and ii. (as expected from multiple migration channels/ effects of outer bodies/primordial disk misalignment) Draw inclinations, calculate vsin(i ) from R, P rot, i. Estimate error as ~0.25 km/s (Further assume (σ Θ /Θ)~2% and σ d ~0.7 µas)

How do errors affect derived i? 14000 d 8000 10000 Number of stars Number of stars 12000 8000 6000 Prot 6000 4000 4000 2000 2000 0 0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 sin(i*) (degrees) 0.8 1.0 1.2 0.0 14000 12000 0.4 0.6 sin(i*) (degrees) 0.8 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.6 sin(i*) (degrees) 0.8 1.0 1.2 15000 Θ vsin(i ) Number of stars 10000 Number of stars 0.2 8000 6000 10000 5000 4000 2000 0 0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 sin(i*) (degrees) 0.8 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.2

Simulation: Transiting Planets Kepler occurrence rates are fairly well known Petigura+ (2013) provide power law approximation for Sun-like stars Fressin+ (2013) suggest little dependence on stellar mass We assign planets from this period distribution, and calculate transit probability: R? P (transit) = a Petigura+ (2013)

Results: Resolvable TESS Dwarfs d (pc) 100 10 1 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 R* (RSun) 0.6 0.4 0.2

Should TESS observe subgiants? 1000 d (pc) 100 10 1 3 2 R* (RSun) 1

Remaining Work Estimate more precisely which stars will have detected rotation periods (use McQuillan distributions and frequencies of detection) For three underlying obliquity distributions (isotropic, aligned, mixed): Calculate inclincations, errors, and distributions of those quantities for typical systems that survive all of our cuts (and have planets). Compare our simulated distributions to theoretical underlying distributions how many detections do we need to distinguish between the three cases? (K-S tests)

Summary Obliquities of small planets, which place constraints on the migration history and architecture of planetary systems, are difficult to obtain using current techniques The synergy between TESS, CHARA, and Gaia will allow a new (old) method to be employed -- with very precise results in certain cases. We estimate that a handful of TESS systems will be amenable to this technique (analysis is ongoing to determine overall impact of results) The inclusion of CHARA-resolvable subgiant stars in the TESS sample would improve the results (and open up other valuable areas of stellar astrophysics research)