Lecture 14 Secondary Structure Prediction

Similar documents
Lecture 7. Protein Secondary Structure Prediction. Secondary Structure DSSP. Master Course DNA/Protein Structurefunction.

Protein Secondary Structure Prediction

Lecture 14 Secondary Structure Prediction

Introduction to Bioinformatics Lecture 13. Protein Secondary Structure Elements and their Prediction. Protein Secondary Structure

Protein structure. Protein structure. Amino acid residue. Cell communication channel. Bioinformatics Methods

PROTEIN SECONDARY STRUCTURE PREDICTION: AN APPLICATION OF CHOU-FASMAN ALGORITHM IN A HYPOTHETICAL PROTEIN OF SARS VIRUS

Proteins: Characteristics and Properties of Amino Acids

Physiochemical Properties of Residues

Introduction to Comparative Protein Modeling. Chapter 4 Part I

Read more about Pauling and more scientists at: Profiles in Science, The National Library of Medicine, profiles.nlm.nih.gov

Protein Secondary Structure Prediction

Properties of amino acids in proteins

Protein Structures: Experiments and Modeling. Patrice Koehl

Bioinformatics III Structural Bioinformatics and Genome Analysis Part Protein Secondary Structure Prediction. Sepp Hochreiter

Protein Structure. Role of (bio)informatics in drug discovery. Bioinformatics

BIOINF 4120 Bioinformatics 2 - Structures and Systems - Oliver Kohlbacher Summer Protein Structure Prediction I

Using Higher Calculus to Study Biologically Important Molecules Julie C. Mitchell

Protein Structure Bioinformatics Introduction

Statistical Machine Learning Methods for Bioinformatics IV. Neural Network & Deep Learning Applications in Bioinformatics

Packing of Secondary Structures

Translation. A ribosome, mrna, and trna.

Protein Struktur (optional, flexible)

Secondary Structure. Bioch/BIMS 503 Lecture 2. Structure and Function of Proteins. Further Reading. Φ, Ψ angles alone determine protein structure

Basics of protein structure

PROTEIN SECONDARY STRUCTURE PREDICTION USING NEURAL NETWORKS AND SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINES

Protein Secondary Structure Prediction using Feed-Forward Neural Network

CAP 5510 Lecture 3 Protein Structures

Chemistry Chapter 22

Viewing and Analyzing Proteins, Ligands and their Complexes 2

Basic Principles of Protein Structures

7 Protein secondary structure

Exam III. Please read through each question carefully, and make sure you provide all of the requested information.

Bioinformatics: Secondary Structure Prediction

Protein Secondary Structure Prediction

8 Protein secondary structure

CHAPTER 29 HW: AMINO ACIDS + PROTEINS

Model Mélange. Physical Models of Peptides and Proteins

1. Amino Acids and Peptides Structures and Properties

Protein Structure Marianne Øksnes Dalheim, PhD candidate Biopolymers, TBT4135, Autumn 2013

Amino Acids and Peptides

The Structure of Enzymes!

The Structure of Enzymes!

Major Types of Association of Proteins with Cell Membranes. From Alberts et al

Details of Protein Structure

Bioinformatics: Secondary Structure Prediction

12 Protein secondary structure

Protein Struktur. Biologen und Chemiker dürfen mit Handys spielen (leise) go home, go to sleep. wake up at slide 39

PROTEIN STRUCTURE AMINO ACIDS H R. Zwitterion (dipolar ion) CO 2 H. PEPTIDES Formal reactions showing formation of peptide bond by dehydration:

Protein Structure Prediction and Display

Protein Secondary Structure Assignment and Prediction

UNIT TWELVE. a, I _,o "' I I I. I I.P. l'o. H-c-c. I ~o I ~ I / H HI oh H...- I II I II 'oh. HO\HO~ I "-oh

Solutions In each case, the chirality center has the R configuration

Introduction to" Protein Structure

The Select Command and Boolean Operators

Part 4 The Select Command and Boolean Operators

DATA MINING OF ELECTROSTATIC INTERACTIONS BETWEEN AMINO ACIDS IN COILED-COIL PROTEINS USING THE STABLE COIL ALGORITHM ANKUR S.

Lecture 15: Realities of Genome Assembly Protein Sequencing

Problem Set 1

Supersecondary Structures (structural motifs)

Section Week 3. Junaid Malek, M.D.

SEQUENCE ALIGNMENT BACKGROUND: BIOINFORMATICS. Prokaryotes and Eukaryotes. DNA and RNA

HIV protease inhibitor. Certain level of function can be found without structure. But a structure is a key to understand the detailed mechanism.

BCH 4053 Exam I Review Spring 2017

On the Structure Differences of Short Fragments and Amino Acids in Proteins with and without Disulfide Bonds

Getting To Know Your Protein

Outline. Levels of Protein Structure. Primary (1 ) Structure. Lecture 6:Protein Architecture II: Secondary Structure or From peptides to proteins

12/6/12. Dr. Sanjeeva Srivastava IIT Bombay. Primary Structure. Secondary Structure. Tertiary Structure. Quaternary Structure.

SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS

Sequence comparison: Score matrices

Sequence comparison: Score matrices. Genome 559: Introduction to Statistical and Computational Genomics Prof. James H. Thomas

Protein Structure. Hierarchy of Protein Structure. Tertiary structure. independently stable structural unit. includes disulfide bonds

Amino Acid Structures from Klug & Cummings. 10/7/2003 CAP/CGS 5991: Lecture 7 1

Presentation Outline. Prediction of Protein Secondary Structure using Neural Networks at Better than 70% Accuracy

ALL LECTURES IN SB Introduction

Tamer Barakat. Razi Kittaneh. Mohammed Bio. Diala Abu-Hassan

IT og Sundhed 2010/11

Neural Networks for Protein Structure Prediction Brown, JMB CS 466 Saurabh Sinha

Resonance assignments in proteins. Christina Redfield

Exam I Answer Key: Summer 2006, Semester C

Structure and evolution of the spliceosomal peptidyl-prolyl cistrans isomerase Cwc27

Outline. Levels of Protein Structure. Primary (1 ) Structure. Lecture 6:Protein Architecture II: Secondary Structure or From peptides to proteins

From Amino Acids to Proteins - in 4 Easy Steps

Week 10: Homology Modelling (II) - HHpred

A Model for Protein Secondary Structure Prediction Meta - Classifiers

Peptides And Proteins

Protein Structures. Sequences of amino acid residues 20 different amino acids. Quaternary. Primary. Tertiary. Secondary. 10/8/2002 Lecture 12 1

THE TANGO ALGORITHM: SECONDARY STRUCTURE PROPENSITIES, STATISTICAL MECHANICS APPROXIMATION

Advanced Certificate in Principles in Protein Structure. You will be given a start time with your exam instructions

Examples of Protein Modeling. Protein Modeling. Primary Structure. Protein Structure Description. Protein Sequence Sources. Importing Sequences to MOE

Secondary and sidechain structures

LS1a Fall 2014 Problem Set #2 Due Monday 10/6 at 6 pm in the drop boxes on the Science Center 2 nd Floor

Protein Secondary Structure Prediction using Pattern Recognition Neural Network

Sequence comparison: Score matrices. Genome 559: Introduction to Statistical and Computational Genomics Prof. James H. Thomas

Steps in protein modelling. Structure prediction, fold recognition and homology modelling. Basic principles of protein structure

Analysis and Prediction of Protein Structure (I)

EXAM 1 Fall 2009 BCHS3304, SECTION # 21734, GENERAL BIOCHEMISTRY I Dr. Glen B Legge

D Dobbs ISU - BCB 444/544X 1

SCOP. all-β class. all-α class, 3 different folds. T4 endonuclease V. 4-helical cytokines. Globin-like

BIRKBECK COLLEGE (University of London)

Central Dogma. modifications genome transcriptome proteome

Transcription:

C N T R F O R I N T G R A T I V Protein structure B I O I N F O R M A T I C S V U Lecture 14 Secondary Structure Prediction Bioinformatics Center IBIVU James Watson & Francis Crick (1953) Linus Pauling (1951) Molecular structure of nucleic acids Atomic Coordinates and Structure Factors for Two Helical Configurations of Polypeptide Chains Alpha-helix James Watson & Francis Crick (1953) Molecular structure of nucleic acids The Building Blocks (proteins) Proteins consist of chains of amino acids Bound together through the peptide bond Special folding of the chain yields structure Structure determines the function 1

Chains of amino acids Three-dimensional Structures Four levels of protein architecture Amino acids classes Hydrophobic aminoacids Alanine Ala A Valine Val V Phenylalanine Phe F Isoleucine Ile I Leucine Leu L Proline Pro P Methionine Met M Charged aminoacids Aspartate (-) Asp D Glutamate (-) Glu Lysine (+) Lys K Arginine (+) Arg R Polar aminoacids Serine Ser S Threonine Thr T Tyrosine Tyr Y Cysteine Cys C Asparagine Asn N Glutamine Gln Q Histidine His H Tryptophane Trp W Glycine (sidechain is only a hydrogen) Glycine Gly G Disulphide bridges Two cysteines can form disulphide bridges Anchoring of secondary structure elements Proline Restricts flexibility of the backbone Structure-breaker Ramachandran plot Only certain combinations of values of phi (φ) and psi (ψ) angles are observed psi phi psi omega phi 2

Motifs of protein structure Global structural characteristics: Outside hydrophylic, inside hydrophobic (unless ) Often globular form (unless ) Secondary structure elements Alpha-helix Beta-strand Artymiuk et al, Structure of Hen gg White Lysozyme (1981) Renderings of proteins Renderings of proteins Jane Richardson (1981): Irving Geis: Alpha helix Hydrogen bond: from N-H at position n, to C=O at position n-4 ( n-n+4 ) Other helices Alternative helices are also possible 310-helix: hydrogen bond from N-H at position n, to C=O at position n-3 Bigger chance of bad contacts α-helix: hydrogen bond from N-H at position n, to C=O at position n-4 π-helix: hydrogen bond from N-H at position n, to C=O at position n-5 structure more open: no contacts Hollow in the middle too small for e.g. water At the edge of the Ramachandran plot 3

Helices Backbone hydrogenbridges form the structure Directed through hydrophobic center of protein Sidechains point outwards Possibly: one side hydrophobic, one side hydrophylic Globin fold Common theme 8 helices (ABCDFGH), short loops Still much variation (16 99 % similarity) Helix length xact position Shift through the ridges Beta-strands form beta-sheets Beta-strands next to each other form hydrogen bridges Parallel or Antiparallel sheets Anti-parallel Sidechains alternating (up, down) Usually only parallel or anti-parallel Occasionally mixed Parallel barrels up-and-down barrels greek key barrels jelly roll barrels Beta structures Greek key barrels Greek key motif occurs also in barrels two greek keys (γ crystallin) combination greek key / up-and-down propeller like structure beta helix 4

Turns and motifs Secondary structure elements are connected by loops Very short loops between twee β-strands: turn Different secundary structure elementen often appear together: motifs Helix-turn-helix Calcium binding motif Hairpin Greek key motif β α β-motif Helix-turn-helix motif Helix-turn-helix important for DNA recognition by proteins F-hand: calcium binding motif Hairpin / Greek key motif β α β motif Different possible hairpins : type I/II Most common way to obtain parallel β-sheets Greek key: anti-parallel beta-sheets Usually the motif is right-handed Domains formed by motifs Within protein different domains can be identified For example: ligand binding domain DNA binding domain Catalytic domain Domains are built from motifs of secundary structure elements Domains often are a functional unit of proteins Protein structure summary Amino acids form polypeptide chains Chains fold into three-dimensional structure Specific backbone angles are permitted or not: Ramachandran plot Secundary structure elements: α-helix, β-sheet Common structural motifs: Helix-turn-helix, Calcium binding motif, Hairpin, Greek key motif, β α β-motif Combination of elements and motifs: tertiary structure Many protein structures available: Protein Data Bank (PDB) 5

Protein primary structure 20 amino acid types A generic residue Peptide bond Now we go into predicting Secondary Structure lements SARS Protein From Staphylococcus Aureus 1 MKYNNHDKIR DFIIIAYMF RFKKKVKPV 31 DMTIKFILL TYLFHQQNT LPFKKIVSDL 61 CYKQSDLVQH IKVLVKHSYI SKVRSKIDR 91 NTYISISQ RKIARVTL FDQIIKQFNL 121 ADQSSQMIP KDSKFLNLM MYTMYFKNII 151 KKHLTLSFV FTILAIITSQ NKNIVLLKDL 181 ITIHHKYPQ TVRALNNLKK QGYLIKRST 211 DRKILIHM DDAQQDHAQ LLAQVNQLLA 241 DKDHLHLVF Protein secondary structure Alpha-helix Beta strands/sheet SARS Protein From Staphylococcus Aureus 1 MKYNNHDKIR DFIIIAYMF RFKKKVKPV DMTIKFILL TYLFHQQNT SHHH HHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHTTT SS HHHHHHH HHHHS S S 51 LPFKKIVSDL CYKQSDLVQH IKVLVKHSYI SKVRSKIDR NTYISISQ HHHHHHHS SS GGGTHHH HHHHHHTTS SSSTT HHH 101 RKIARVTL FDQIIKQFNL ADQSSQMIP KDSKFLNLM MYTMYFKNII HHHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHH HTT SS S SHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHHH 151 KKHLTLSFV FTILAIITSQ NKNIVLLKDL ITIHHKYPQ TVRALNNLKK HHH SS HHH HHHHHHHHTT TT HHHH HHHSSS HHH HHHHHHHHHH 201 QGYLIKRST DRKILIHM DDAQQDHAQ LLAQVNQLLA DKDHLHLVF HTSS S SSTT HHHHHHHHH HHHHHHHHTS SS TT SS Protein secondary structure prediction Why bother predicting them? SS Information can be used for downstream analysis: Framework model of protein folding, collapse secondary structures Fold prediction by comparing to database of known structures Can be used as information to predict function Can also be used to help align sequences (e.g. SS- Praline) Why predict when you can have the real thing? UniProt Release 1.3 (02/2004) consists of: Swiss-Prot Release : 144731 protein sequences TrMBL Release : 1017041 protein sequences PDB structures : : ~35000 protein structures Primary structure Secondary Structure An easier question what is the secondary structure when the 3D structure is known? Secondary structure Tertiary structure Quaternary structure Function Mind the gap 6

DSSP DSSP (Dictionary of Secondary Structure of a Protein) assigns secondary structure to proteins which have a crystal (x-ray) or NMR (Nuclear Magnetic Resonance) structure H = alpha helix DSSP uses hydrogen-bonding structure to assign Secondary Structure lements (SSs). The method is strict but consistent (as opposed to expert assignments in PDB B = beta bridge (isolated residue) = extended beta strand G = 3-turn (3/10) helix I = 5-turn (π) helix T = hydrogen bonded turn S = bend A more challenging task: Predicting secondary structure from primary sequence alone What we need to do How to develop a method 1) Train a method on a diverse set of proteins of known structure Test set of T<<N sequences with known structure Other method(s) prediction 2) Test the method on a test set separate from our training set 3) Assess our results in a useful way against a standard of truth 4) Compare to already existing methods using the same assessment Database of N sequences with known structure Training set of K<N sequences with known structure Method Trained Method Standard of truth Prediction Assessment method(s) Some key features ALPHA-HLIX: Hydrophobic-hydrophilic residue periodicity patterns BTA-STRAND: dge and buried strands, hydrophobic-hydrophilic residue periodicity patterns OTHR: Loop regions contain a high proportion of small polar residues like alanine, glycine, serine and threonine. The abundance of glycine is due to its flexibility and proline for entropic reasons relating to the observed rigidity in its kinking the main-chain. As proline residues kink the main-chain in an incompatible way for helices and strands, they are normally not observed in these two structures (breakers), although they can occur in the N- terminal two positions of α-helices. dge Buried Burried and dge strands Parallel β-sheet Anti-parallel β-sheet 7

History (1) History (2) Using computers in predicting protein secondary has its onset >30 years ago (Nagano (1973) J. Mol. Biol., 75, 401) on single sequences. The accuracy of the computational methods devised earlyon was in the range 50-56% (Q3). The highest accuracy was achieved by Lim with a Q3 of 56% (Lim, V. I. (1974) J. Mol. Biol., 88, 857). The most widely used early method was that of Chou-Fasman (Chou, P. Y., Fasman, G. D. (1974) Biochemistry, 13, 211). Random prediction would yield about 40% (Q3) correctness given the observed distribution of the three states H, and C in globular proteins (with generally about 30% helix, 20% strand and 50% coil). Nagano 1973 Interactions of residues in a window of 6. The interactions were linearly combined to calculate interacting residue propensities for each SS type (H, or C) over 95 crystallographically determined protein tertiary structures. Lim 1974 Predictions are based on a set of complicated stereochemical prediction rules for α helices and β sheets based on their observed frequencies in globular proteins. Chou-Fasman 1974 - Predictions are based on differences in residue type composition for three states of secondary structure: α helix, β strand and turn (i.e., neither α helix nor β strand). Neighbouring residues were checked for helices and strands and predicted types were selected according to the higher scoring preference and extended as long as unobserved residues were not detected (e.g. proline) and the scores remained high. How do secondary structure prediction methods work? They often use a window approach to include a local stretch of amino acids around a considered sequence position in predicting the secondary structure state of that position The next slides provide basic explanations of the window approach (for the GOR method as an example) and two basic techniques to train a method and predict SSs: k-nearest neighbour and neural nets Secondary Structure Remindersecondary structure is usually divided into three categories: Alpha helix Beta strand (sheet) Anything else turn/loop Central residue H H H Sequence of known structure H H H Sequence of known structure A constant window of n residues long slides along sequence The frequencies of the residues in the window are converted to probabilities of observing a SS type The GOR method uses three 17*20 windows for predicting helix, strand and coil; where 17 is the window length and 20 the number of a.a. types At each position, the highest probability (helix, strand or coil) is taken. A constant window of n residues long slides along sequence The frequencies of the residues in the window are converted to probabilities of observing a SS type The GOR method uses three 17*20 windows for predicting helix, strand and coil; where 17 is the window length and 20 the number of a.a. types At each position, the highest probability (helix, strand or coil) is taken. 8

H H H Sequence of known structure H H H Sequence of known structure A constant window of n residues long slides along sequence The frequencies of the residues in the window are converted to probabilities of observing a SS type The GOR method uses three 17*20 windows for predicting helix, strand and coil; where 17 is the window length and 20 the number of a.a. types At each position, the highest probability (helix, strand or coil) is taken. A constant window of n residues long slides along sequence The frequencies of the residues in the window are converted to probabilities of observing a SS type The GOR method uses three 17*20 windows for predicting helix, strand and coil; where 17 is the window length and 20 the number of a.a. types At each position, the highest probability (helix, strand or coil) is taken. Chou and Fasman (1974) The propensity of an amino acid to be part of a certain secondary structure (e.g. Proline has a low propensity of being in an alpha helix or beta sheet breaker) Name P(a) P(b) P(turn) Alanine 142 83 66 Arginine 98 93 95 Aspartic Acid 101 54 146 Asparagine 67 89 156 Cysteine 70 119 119 Glutamic Acid 151 037 74 Glutamine 111 110 98 Glycine 57 75 156 Histidine 100 87 95 Isoleucine 108 160 47 Leucine 121 130 59 Lysine 114 74 101 Methionine 145 105 60 Phenylalanine 113 138 60 Proline 57 55 152 Serine 77 75 143 Threonine 83 119 96 Tryptophan 108 137 96 Tyrosine 69 147 114 Valine 106 170 50 Chou-Fasman prediction Look for a series of >4 amino acids which all have (for instance) alpha helix values >100 xtend ( ) Accept as alpha helix if average alpha score > average beta score Ala Pro Tyr Phe Phe Lys Lys His Val Ala Thr α 142 57 69 113 113 114 114 100 106 142 83 β 83 55 147 138 138 74 74 87 170 83 119 Chou and Fasman (1974) Success rate of 50% GOR: the older standard The GOR method (version IV) was reported by the authors to perform single sequence prediction accuracy with an accuracy of 64.4% as assessed through jackknife testing over a database of 267 proteins with known structure. (Garnier, J. G., Gibrat, J.-F.,, Robson, B. (1996) In: Methods in nzymology (Doolittle, R. F., d.) Vol. 266, pp. 540-53.) The GOR method relies on the frequencies observed in the database for residues in a 17- residue window (i.e. eight residues N-terminal and eight C- terminal of the central window position) for each of the three structural states. GOR-I 17 H C GOR-II GOR-III 20 GOR-IV 9

Improvements in the 1990 s K-nearest neighbour Sequence fragments from database of known structures (exemplars) Conservation in MSA Smarter algorithms (e.g. HMM, neural networks). Compare window with exemplars Qseq Central residue Get k most similar exemplars HH PSS Central residue Neural nets Sequence database of known structures Neural Network Qseq The weights are adjusted according to the model used to handle the input data. Neural nets Training an NN: Forward pass: the outputs are calculated and the error at the output units calculated. Backward pass: The output unit error is used to alter weights on the output units. Then the error at the hidden nodes is calculated (by backpropagating the error at the output units through the weights), and the weights on the hidden nodes altered using these values. For each data pair to be learned a forward pass and backwards pass is performed. This is repeated over and over again until the error is at a low enough level (or we give up). Y = 1 / (1+ exp(-k.(σ W in * X in )), where W in is weight and X in is input The graph shows the output for k=0.5, 1, and 10, as the activation varies from -10 to 10. xample of widely used neural net method: PHD, PHDpsi, PROFsec The three above names refer to the same basic technique and come from the same laboratory (Rost s lab at Columbia, NYC) Three neural networks: 1) A 13 residue window slides over the alignment and produces 3-state raw secondary structure predictions. 2) A 17-residue window filters the output of network 1. The output of the second network then comprises for each alignment position three adjusted state probabilities. This post-processing step for the raw predictions of the first network is aimed at correcting unfeasible predictions and would, for example, change (HHHHH) into (HHHHHHH). 3) A network for a so-called jury decision over a set of independently trained networks 1 and 2 (extra predictions to correct for training biases). The predictions obtained by the jury network undergo a final simple filtering step to delete predicted helices of one or two residues and changing those into coil. Multiple Sequence Alignments are the superior input to a secondary structure prediction method Multiple sequence alignment: three or more sequences that are aligned so that overall the greatest number of similar characters are matched in the same column of the alignment. nables detection of: Regions of high mutation rates over evolutionary time. volutionary conservation ation. Regions or domains that are critical to functionality. Sequence changes that cause a change in functionality. Modern SS prediction methods all use Multiple Sequence Alignments (compared to single sequence prediction >10% better) 10

Rules of thumb when looking at a multiple alignment (MA) Hydrophobic residues are internal Gly (Thr, Ser) in loops MA: hydrophobic block -> internal β-strand MA: alternating (1-1) hydrophobic/hydrophilic => edge β-strand MA: alternating 2-2 (or 3-1) periodicity => α-helix MA: gaps in loops MA: Conserved column => functional? => active site Rules of thumb when looking at a multiple alignment (MA) Active site residues are together in 3D structure MA: inconsistent alignment columns and alignment match errors! Helices often cover up core of strands Helices less extended than strands => more residues to cross protein β-α-β motif is right-handed in >95% of cases (with parallel strands) Secondary structures have local anomalies, e.g. β-bulges How to optimise? Differentiate along SSs The Yaspin method (Lin et al., 2005) Lin K., Simossis V.A., Taylor W.R. and Heringa J. (2005) A simple and fast secondary structure prediction algorithm using hidden neural networks. Bioinformatics. 21(2):152-9. Helices and strands are dissected in (begin, middle, end) sections. The Yaspin method then tries to regognise these sections. How to optimise? Capture long-range interactions (Important for β-strand prediction) Predator (Frishman and Argos, 1995) side-chains show subtle patterns in cross-strand contacts SSPro (Polastri et al., 2002) uses bidirectional recurrent neural networks One basic sliding window is used, with two more windows that slight in from opposite sites at each basic window position. This way allpossible long-range interactions are checked. A stepwise hierarchy 1) Sequence database searching PSI-BLAST, SAM-T2K These basically are local alignment techniques to collect homologous sequences from a database so a multiple alignment containing the query sequence can be made Step 1: Database sequence search Sequence database The current picture PSI-BLAST Single sequence SAM-T2K Sequence database 2) Multiple sequence alignment of selected sequences PSSMs, HMM models, MSAs Step 2: MSA Check file PSSM Homologous sequences HMM model 3) Secondary structure prediction of query sequences based on the generated MSAs Single methods: PHD, PROFsec, PSIPred, SSPro, JNT, YASPIN consensus Step 3: SS Prediction MSA method MSA Trained machine-learning Algorithm(s) Secondary structure prediction 11

A jackknife test is a test scenario for prediction methods that need to be tuned using a training database. In its simplest form: Jackknife test For a database containing N sequences with known tertiary (and hence secondary) structure, a prediction is made for one test sequence after training the method on a training database containing the N-1 remaining sequences (one-at-a-time jackknife testing). A complete jackknife test involves N such predictions, after which for all sequences a prediction is made. If N is large enough, meaningful statistics can be derived from the observed performance. For example, the mean prediction accuracy and associated standard deviation give a good indication of the sustained performance of the method tested. If the jackknife test is computationally too expensive, the database can be split in larger groups, which are then jackknifed. The latter is called Cross-validation Cross validation To save on computation time relative to the Jackknife, the database is split up in a number of non-overlapping sub-databases. For example, with 10-fold cross-validation, the database is divided into 10 equally (or near equally) sized groups. One group is then taken out of the database as a test set, the method trained on the remaining nine groups, after which predictions are made for the sequences in the test group and the predictions assessed. The amount of training required is now only 10% of what would be needed with jackknife testing. Standards of truth What is a standard of truth? - a structurally derived secondary structure assignment (using a 3D structure from the PDB) Why do we need one? - it dictates how accurate our prediction is How do we get it? - methods use hydrogen-bonding patterns along the main-chain to define the Secondary Structure lements (SSs). Some examples of programs that assign secondary structures in 3D structures 1) DSSP (Kabsch and Sander, 1983) most popular 2) STRID (Frishman and Argos, 1995) 3) DFIN (Richards and Kundrot, 1988) Annotation: Helix: 3/10-helix (G), α-helix (H), π-helix (I) H Strand: β-strand (), β-bulge (B) Turn: H-bonded turn (T), bend (S) Rest: Coil ( ) C Assessing a prediction How do we decide how good a prediction is? 1. Q n : the number of correctly predicted n SS states over the total number of predicted states Q3 = [(PH + P + PC)/N] 100% 2. Segment OVerlap (SOV): the number of correctly predicted n SS states over the total number of predictions with higher penalties for core segment regions (Zemla et al, 1999) Assessing a prediction How do we decide how good a prediction is? 3. Matthews Correlation Coefficients (MCC): the number of correctly predicted n SS states over the total number of predictions taking into account how many prediction errors were made for each state: C S ( P ~ ~ S N S ) ( P S N ) = S, ( P ~ P ) ( P ~ N ) ( N ~ P ) ( N ~ S + S S + S S + S S + N S ) ~ P = false positive, ~ N = false negative, S = one of three states (H, or C) 12

Single vs. Consensus predictions The current standard ~1% better on average Accuracy H H H C Predictions from different methods Max observations are kept as correct Accuracy of prediction seems to hit a ceiling of 70-80% accuracy Long-range interactions are not included Beta-strand prediction is difficult Method Chou & Fasman Adding the MSA MSA+ sophisticated computations Accuracy 50% 69% 70-80% Some Servers PSI-pred uses PSI-BLAST profiles JPRD Consensus prediction PHD home page all-in-one prediction, includes secondary structure nnpredict uses neural networks BMRC PSA Server IBIVU YASPIN server BMC launcher choose your prediction program 13