Cosmology with Gamma-Ray. Bursts. Lorenzo Amati. May 29, 2012

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Cosmology with Gamma-Ray Bursts Lorenzo Amati Italian National Institute for Astrophysics (INAF), Bologna May 29, 2012

Outline Gamma-Ray Bursts: the brightest cosmological sources The Ep,i - intensity ( Amati ) correlation in GRBs GRB cosmology with the Ep,i - intensity correlation Reliability of the Ep,i intensity correlation Perspectives

The Gamma-Ray Burst phenomenon sudden and unpredictable bursts of hard-x / soft gamma rays with huge flux most of the flux detected from 10-20 kev up to 1-2 MeV, with fluences typically of ~10-7 10-4 erg/cm 2 and bimodal distribution of duration measured rate (by an all-sky experiment on a LEO satellite): ~0.8 / day; estimated true rate ~2 / day short long

Early evidences for a cosmological origin of GRBs isotropic distribution of GRBs directions paucity of weak events with respect to homogeneous distribution in euclidean space given the high fluences (up to more than 10-4 erg/cm2 in 20-1000 kev) a cosmological origin would imply huge luminosity thus, a local origin was not excluded until 1997!

Establishing the GRBs cosmological distance scale in 1997 discovery of afterglow emission by BeppoSAX prompt afterglow

(observational gap between prompt and afterglow emission will be filled by Swift in > 2004) ~ -3 ( 1 min t hours ) ~ -0.7 ~ - 1.3 10^5 10^6 s Swift team 10^2 10^3 s10^4 10^5 s ~ -2

1997: accurate (a few arcmin) and quick localization of X-ray afterglow -> optical followup -> first optical counterparts and host galaxies -> GRB-SN connection: GRB 980425, a normal GRB detected and localized by WFC and NFI, but in temporal/spatial coincidence with a type Ib/c SN at z = 0.008 bumps in optical afterglow light curves and optical spectra resembling that of GRB980425 Galama et al. 1998, Hjorth et al. 2003

1997: accurate (a few arcmin) and quick localization of X-ray afterglow -> optical follow-up -> first optical counterparts and host galaxies optical spectroscopy of afterglow and/or host galaxy > first measurements of GRB redshift

redshifts higher than 0.01 and up to > 8: GRB are cosmological! their isotropic equivalent radiated energy is huge (up to more than 10 54 erg in a few tens of s!) GRB COSMOLOGY? fundamental input for origin of long / short

Why looking for more cosmological probes? different distribution in redshift -> different sensitivity to different cosmological parameters D L = { [ ] } z 3 0.5 k k 1+ z + Ω 1+ z' dz' 0.5 0.5 2 ( ) ( ) ( ) 1+ z c H o k S 0 M + Ω Λ

Guy et al. 2010 Astier et al. 2006 Recent results from SNLS (231 SNe Ia at 0.15 < z < 1.1, Guy et al. 2010) compared to those of Astier et al. 2006 (44 low redshift SNe along with the 71 SNe from the SNLS first year sample)

Each cosmological probe is characterized by possible systematics e.g SN Ia: different explosion mechanism and progenitor systems? May depend on z? light curve shape correction for the luminosity normalisation may depend on z signatures of evolution in the colours correction for dust extinction anomalous luminosity-color relation contaminations of the Hubble Diagram by no-standard SNe-Ia and/or bright SNe-Ibc (e.g. HNe)

If the offset from the truth is just 0.1 mag. (slide by M. della Valle)

Are GRB standard candles? all GRBs with measured redshift (~260, including a few short GRBs) lie at cosmological distances (z = 0.033 9.4) (except for the peculiar GRB980425, z=0.0085) isotropic luminosities and radiated energy are huge and span several orders of magnitude: GRB are not standard candles (unfortunately) Jakobsson, 2009 Amati, 2009

jet angles, derived from break time of optical afterglow light curve by assuming standard scenario, are of the order of few degrees the collimation-corrected radiated energy spans the range ~5x10 49 5x10 52 erg-> more clustered but still not standard Ghirlanda et al., 2004

GRB have huge luminosity, a redshift distribution extending far beyond SN Ia high energy emission -> no extinction problems Ghirlanda et al, 2006

GRB have huge luminosity, a redshift distribution extending far beyond SN Ia high energy emission -> no extinction problems potentially powerful cosmological sources but need to investigate their properties to find ways to standardize them (if possible) Ghirlanda et al, 2006

GRB spectra typically described by the empirical Band function with parameters α= low-energy index, β= high-energy index, E 0 =break energy E p = E 0 x (2 + α) = observed peak energy of the νfν spectrum measured spectrum + measured redshift -> intrinsic peak enery and radiated energy E p,i = E p x (1 + z) The Ep,i Eiso correlation 190 GRB Ep Jakobsson (2009)

~260 GRBs with measured redshift, about 50% have measured spectra (Ep) both Ep,i and Eiso span several orders of magnitude and a distribution which can be described by a Gaussian plus a low energy tail ( intrinsic XRFs and sub-energetic events) 95 GRBs, sample of Amati, Frontera & Guidorzi, A&A (2009)

Amati et al. (A&A 2002): significant correlation between Ep,i and Eiso found based on a small sample of BeppoSAX GRBs with known redshift BeppoSAX GRBs

Ep,i Eiso correlation for GRBs with known redshift confirmed and extended by measurements of ALL other GRB detectors with spectral capabilities 130 long GRBs as of Sept. 2011 BeppoSAX GRBs

Ep,i of Swift GRBs measured by Konus-WIND, Suzaku/WAM, Fermi/GBM and BAT (only when Ep inside or close to 15-150 kev and values provided by the Swift/BAT team (GCNs or Sakamoto et al. 2008). Swift GRBs

strong correlation but significant dispersion of the data around the best-fit powerlaw; the distribution of the residuals can be fit with a Gaussian with σ(logep,i) ~ 0.2 the extra-statistical scatter of the data can be quantified by performing a fit whith a max likelihood method (D Agostini 2005) which accounts for sample variance and the uncertainties on both X and Y quantities with this method Amati et al. (2008, 2009) found an extrinsic scatter σ int (logep,i) ~ 0.18 and index and normalization t ~0.5 and ~100, respectively

the correlation holds also when substituting Eiso with Liso (e.g., Lamb et al. 2004) or Lpeak,iso (Yonetoku et al. 2004, Ghirlanda et al., 2005) this is expected because Liso and Lpeak,iso are strongly correlated with Eiso w/r to Eiso, Liso and Lp,iso are more difficult to estimate and subject to larger uncertainties

Implications of the Ep,i intensity correlation GRB prompt emission physics physics of prompt emission still not settled, various scenarios: SSM internal shocks, IC-dominated internal shocks, external shocks, photospheric emission dominated models, kinetic energy dominated fireball, poynting flux dominated fireball)

physics of prompt emission still not settled, various scenarios: SSM internal shocks, IC-dominated internal shocks, external shocks, photospheric emission dominated models, kinetic energy / Poynting flux dominated fireballs, e.g., Ep,i Γ -2 L 1/2 tν -1 for syncrotron emission from a power-law distribution of electrons generated in an internal shock (Zhang & Meszaros 2002, Ryde 2005) e.g., Ep,i Γ Tpk Γ 2 L -1/4 in scenarios in whch for comptonized thermal emission from the photosphere dominates (e.g. Rees & Meszaros 2005, Thomson et al. 2006)

identifying and understanding sub-classes of GRBs Up to date (Sept. 2011) Ep,i Eiso plane: 131 long GRBs, 4 XRFs, 13 short GRBs

Standardizing GRBs with the Ep,i-intensity intensity correlation 2004: evidence that by substituting Eiso with the collimation corrected energy Eγ the logarithmic dispersion of the correlation decreases significantly and is low enough to allow its use to standardize GRB (Ghirlanda et al., Dai et al, and many)

Method (e.g., Ghirlanda et al, Firmani et al., Dai et al., Zhang et al.): E p,i = E p,obs x (1 + z), tb,i = tb / /1 + z) D l = D l (z, H 0, Ω M, Ω Λ, ) not enough low-z GRBs for cosmology-independent calibration -> fit the correlation and construct an Hubble diagram for each set of cosmological parameters -> derive c.l. contours based on chi-square

BUT the Ep-Eγ correlation is model dependent: slope depends on the assumptions on the circum-burst environment density profile (ISM or wind) addition of a third observable introduces further uncertainties (difficulties in measuring t_break, and reduces substantially the number of GRB that can be used (e.g., #Ep,i Eγ ~ ¼ #Ep,i Eiso ) ISM WIND Nava et al.., A&A, 2005: ISM (left) and WIND (right)

lack of jet breaks in several Swift X-ray afterglow light curves, in some cases, evidence of achromatic break challenging evidences for Jet interpretation of break in afterglow light curves or due to present inadequate sampling of optical light curves w/r to X-ray ones and to lack of satisfactory modeling of jets?

Liang & Zhang (2005) ans Xu (2005) performed a multi-variable correlation analysis between various observables of prompt and afterglow, founding a tight correlation between Epi, Eiso and tb with respect to Ep,i Eg correlation it has the advantage of being model independent, but it is somewhat more dispersed

growing number of outliers to the Ep-Eiso-tb correlation GRB 080916C GRB071010B Amati, Frontera, Guidorzi 2009 Urata et al. 2009

A tight correlation between Ep,i, Lpeak,iso and time scale T 0.45 was also claimed, based on still small number of events and proposed for standardizing GRBs (Firmani et al. 2006 and others)

but Rossi et al. 2008 and Schaefer et al. 2008, based on BeppoSAX and Swift GRBs, showed that the dispersion of the Lp-Ep-T 0.45 correlation is significantly higher than thought before and that the Ep,i-Lp,iso-T0.45 correlation my be equivalent to the Ep,i-Eiso correlation

Using the simple E p,i -E iso correlation for cosmology Ep,i Eiso vs. other Ep,i - intensity correlations Ep,i Liso 04 Eiso<->Liso Ep,i Eiso Amati 02 Eiso<->Lp,iso Ep,i Lp,iso Yonetoku 04 tb,opt + jet model tb,opt T0.45 = Ep,i Eγ Ghirlanda 04 Ep,i Eiso-tb Liang-Zhang 05 Ep,i Lp,iso-T0.45 Firmani 06

Eiso is the GRB brightness indicator with less systematic uncertainties Lp,iso is affected by the lack of or poor knowledge of spectral shape of the peak emission (the time average spectrum is often used) and by the subjective choice and inhomogeneity in z of the peak time scale addition of a third observable introduces further uncertainties (difficulties in measuring t_break, chromatic breaks, model assumptions, subjective choice of the energy band in which compute T 0.45, inhomogeneity on z of T 0.45 ) and substantially reduces the number of GRB that can be used (e.g., #E p,i E γ ~ ¼ #E p,i E iso ) recent evidences that dispersion of E p,i -L p,iso -T 0.45 correlation is comparable to that of E p,i -E iso and evidences of outliers / higher dispersion of the E p -E γ and E p -E iso -t b correlations

Amati et al. (2008): let s make a step backward and focus on the Ep,i Eiso correlation Ep,i Liso 04 Eiso<->Liso Ep,i Eiso Amati 02 Eiso<->Lp,iso Ep,i Lp,iso Yonetoku 04 tb,opt + jet model tb,opt T0.45 = Ep,i Eγ Ghirlanda 04 Ep,i Eiso-tb Liang-Zhang 05 Ep,i Lp,iso-T0.45 Firmani 06

Amati et al. (2008): let s make a step backward and focus on the Ep,i Eiso correlation Ep,i Liso 04 Eiso<->Liso Ep,i Eiso Amati 02 Eiso<->Lp,iso Ep,i Lp,iso Yonetoku 04 tb,opt + jet model tb,opt T0.45 = Ep,i Eγ Ghirlanda 04 Ep,i Eiso-tb Liang-Zhang 05 Ep,i Lp,iso-T0.45 Firmani 06

does the extrinsic scatter of the E p,i -E iso correlation vary with the cosmological parameters used to compute E iso? D l = D l (z, H 0, Ω M, Ω Λ, ) 70 GRB Amati et al. 2008

a fraction of the extrinsic scatter of the E p,i -E iso correlation is indeed due to the cosmological parameters used to compute E iso Evidence, independent on SN Ia or other cosmological probes, that, if we are in a flat ΛCDM universe, Ω M is lower than 1 Simple PL fit Amati et al. 2008 Amati et al. 2008

By using a maximum likelihood method the extrinsic scatter can be parametrized and quantified (e.g., Reichart 2001, D Agostini 2005) Ω M can be constrained to 0.04-0.43 (68%) and 0.02-0.71 (90%) for a flat ΛCDM universe (Ω M = 1 excluded at 99.9% c.l.) significant constraints on both Ω M and Ω Λ expected from sample enrichment 70 (real) GRBs 70 (real) + 150 (sim.) GRBs Amati et al. 2008

analysis of the most updated sample of 137 GRBs shows significant improvements w/r to the sample of 70 GRBs of Amati et al. (2008) this evidence supports the reliability and perspectives of the use of the Ep,i Eiso correlation for the estimate of cosmological parameters Ωm (flat universe) 70 GRBs (Amati+ 08) 137 GRBs (Amati+ 12) 68% 0.04 0.43 0.06 0.34 90% 0.02 0.71 0.03 0.54 70 GRBs 137 114 GRBs

GRB

Combining Ep,i intensity correlation with other (less tight) GRB correlations (e.g., Schaefer 2007, Mosquera Cuesta et al. 2008) Luminosity-Variability correlation (Reichart et al., Guidorzi et al., Rizzuto et al.) Luminosity-time lag correlation (Norris et al.)

pseudo redshift estimates and GRB Hubble diagram cosmological parameters consistent with standard cosmology with no dark energy evolution drawbacks: no substantial improvements in estimation accuracy with respect to Ep - intensity correlations alone; adding other more dispersed correlations and new observables adds more systematics and uncertainties (and some correlations are not independent)

Calibrating the Ep,i Eiso correlation with SN Ia Recently, several authors (e.g., Kodama et al., 2008; Liang et al., 2008, Li et al. 2008, Demianski et al. 2010-2011) calibrated GRB spectrum energy correlation at z < 1.7 by using the luminosity distance redshift relation derived for SN Ia The aim is to extend the SN Ia Hubble diagram up to redshift where the luminosity distance is more sensitive to dark energy properties and evolution Obtained significant constraints on both Ω M and Ω Λ but with this method GRB are no more an indipendent cosmological probe

But is the Ep,i intensity correlation real? different GRB detectors are characterized by different detection and spectroscopy sensitivity as a function of GRB intensity and spectrum this may introduce relevant selection effects / biases in the observed Ep,i Eiso and other correlations Sakamoto et al. 2011 Band 2008

? OK

Amati, Frontera & Guidorzi (2009): the normalization of the correlation varies only marginally using GRBs with known redshift measured by individual instruments with different sensitivities and energy bands Amati, Frontera & Guidorzi 2009

Detection, arcmin localization and study of GRBs in the GeV energy range through the Fermi/LAT instrument, with dramatic improvement w/r CGRO/EGRET Detection, rough localization (a few degrees) and accurate determination of the shape of the spectral continuum of the prompt emission of GRBs from 8 kev up to 30 MeV through the Fermi/GBM instrument

When computing Ep,i and Eiso based on the fit with Band function (unless CPL significantly better) all Fermi/GBM long GRBs with known z are fully consistent with Ep,i Eiso correlation as determined with previous / other experiments, both when considering preliminary fits (GCNs) or refined analysis (e.g., Nava et al. 2011) Amati 2012 Zhang et al. 2012

selection effects are likely to play a relevant role in the process leading to the redshift estimate (e.g., Coward 2008, Jakobbson et al. 2010) Swift: reduction of selection effects in redshift -> Swift GRBs expected to provide a robust test of the Ep,i Eiso correlation

Swift era: substantial increase of the number of GRBs with known redshift: ~45 in the pre-swift era (1997-2003), ~230 in the Swift era (2004-2012) thanks also to combination with other GRB experiments with broad energy band (e.g., Konus/WIND, Fermi/GBM), substantial increase of GRBs in the Ep,i Eiso plane Pre-Swift: 37 GRBs

Ep,i of Swift GRBs measured by Konus-WIND, Suzaku/WAM, Fermi/GBM and BAT (only when Ep inside or close to 15-150 kev and values provided by the Swift/BAT team (GCNs or Sakamoto et al. 2008, 2011): Swift GRBs are consistent with the Ep,i Eiso correlation Red points = Swift GRBs Slope ~ 0.5 σ (logep,i) ~ 0.2 Gaussian distribution of data scatter

Sakamoto et al. 2011BAT (Swift/ Official Catalog)

the Ep,i Liso correlation holds also within a good fraction of GRBs (Liang et al.2004, Firmani et al. 2008, Frontera et al. 2009, Ghirlanda et al. 2009): robust evidence for a physical origin and clues to explanation BATSE (Liang et al., ApJ, 2004) Fermi (e.g., Li et al., ApJ, 2012)

No evidence of evolution of index and normalization of the correlation with redshift Ghirlanda et al. 2008

The future: what is needed? increase the number of z estimates, reduce selection effects and optimize coverage of the fluence-ep plane in the sample of GRBs with known redshift more accurate estimates of Ep,i by means of sensitive spectroscopy of GRB prompt emission from a few kev (or even below) and up to at least ~1 MeV NARROW BAND BROAD BAND Swift is doing greatly the first job but cannot provide a high number of firm Ep estimates, due to BAT narrow energy band (sensitive spectral analysis only from 15 up to ~200 kev) in last years, Ep estimates for some Swift GRBs from Konus (from 15 kev to several MeV) and, to minor extent, RHESSI and SUZAKU

present and near future: main contribution expected from joint Fermi + Swift measurements Up to 2009: ~290 Fermi/GBM GRBs, Ep estimates for ~90%, ~35 simultaneously detected by Swift (~13%), 13 with Ep and z estimates (~10% of Swift sample) 2008 pre-fermi : 61 Swift detections, 5 BAT Ep (8%), 15 BAT + KONUS + SUZAKU Ep estimates (25%), 20 redshift (33%), 11 with Ep and z estimates (~15% of Swift sample) Fermi provides a dramatic increase in Ep estimates (as expected), but a only small fraction of Fermi GRBs is detected / localized by Swift (~15%) -> low number of Fermi GRBs with Ep and z (~5%). It is difficult to improve this number: BAT FOV much narrower than Fermi/GBM; similar orbits, each satellite limited by Earth occultation but at different times, ) Summary: 15-20 GRB/year in the Ep,i Eiso plane

In the > 2014 time frame a significant step forward expected from SVOM: spectral study of prompt emission in 5-5000 kev -> accurate estimates of Ep and reduction of systematics (through optimal continuum shape determination and measurement of the spectral evolution down to X-rays) fast and accurate localization of optical counterpart and prompt dissemination to optical telescopes -> increase in number of z estimates and reduction of selection effects optimized for detection of XRFs, short GRB, subenergetic GRB, high-z GRB substantial increase of the number of GRB with known z and Ep -> test of correlations and calibration for their cosmological use

the simulatenous operation of Swift, Fermi/GBM, Konus-WIND is allowing an increase of the useful sample (z + Ep) at a rate of 15-20 GRB/year, providing an increasing accuracy in the estimate of cosmological parameters future GRB experiments (e.g., SVOM) and more investigations (physics, methods, calibration) will improve the significance and reliability of the results and allow to go beyond SN Ia cosmology (e.g. investigation of dark energy) 300 GRB 300 GRB Adapted from Amati+ 12 and Ghirlanda+ 2007

Conclusions and perspectives Given their huge radiated energies and redshift distribution extending from ~ 0.1 up to > 9, GRBs are potentially a very powerful cosmological probe, complementary to other probes (e.g., SN Ia, clusters, BAO) The Ep,i intensity correlation is one of the most robust (no firm evidence of significant selection / instrumental effects) and intriguing properties of GRBs and a promising tool for cosmological parameters Analysis in the last years (>2008) provide already evidence, independent on, e.g., SN Ia, that if we live in a flat ΛCDM universe, Ωm is < 1 at >99.9% c.l. (χ 2 minimizes at Ωm ~ 0.3, consistent with standard cosmology) the simulatenous operation of Swift, Fermi/GBM, Konus-WIND is allowing an increase of the useful sample (z + Ep) at a rate of 15-20 GRB/year, providing an increasing accuracy in the estimate of cosmological parameters future GRB experiments (e.g., SVOM) and more investigations (physics, methods, calibration) will allow to go beyond SN Ia cosm. (e.g.,dark energy EOS)