Monthly Trading Report July 218
Figure 1: July 218 (% change over previous month) % Major Market Indicators 2 2 4 USEP Forecasted Demand CCGT/Cogen/Trigen Supply ST Supply Figure 2: Summary of Trading Data USEP ($/h) Daily Average Daily Maximum Daily Minimum Forecasted Demand () Daily Average Daily Maximum Daily Minimum Reserve Regulation ($/h) Primary Contingency Regulation July 218 Weekdays Saturday Sunday 18.8 18.84 17.37 376.77 1.93 29.8 7.49 91.2 84.98 6,12,749,33 6,924 6,31 6,92 4,828,7 4,917.3.7.16 1.12 13.14 12.12 12.68 18.13 2.49 Generation () CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 6,28,648,43 133 133 133 Page 1 of 8 Trading Date: Jul 218
USEP, Forecasted Demand and Supply Figure 3: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP $/h Average Forecasted Demand 1 13 11 9 7 Average USEP 7, 6,, 4, 3, 2, 1, 3 1 Jul 4 Jul 7 Jul 1 Jul 13 Jul 16 Jul 19 Jul 22 Jul 2 Jul 28 Jul 31 Jul Figure 4: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP for Last 12 Months $/h Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP 13 11 9 7,8,4, 4,6 4,2 3,8 3 3,4 Page 2 of 8 Trading Date: Jul 218
USEP, Demand and Supply Figure : YOY % Change of USEP for Last 12 Months % 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 Figure 6: YOY % Change of Forecasted Demand for Last 12 Months % 6 4 3 2 1 Page 3 of 8 Trading Date: Jul 218
Ancillary Prices Figure 7: Primary Reserve Price $/h 3. 2. 2. Figure 8: Contingency Reserve Price $/h 3 2 2 1. 1 1.. 1. 1 Jul 8 Jul 1 Jul 22 Jul 29 Jul 1 Jul 8 Jul 1 Jul 22 Jul 29 Jul Primary Reserve Price ($/h) Contingency Reserve Price ($/h) Monthly Average.14 Monthly Average 1.84 Previous Month.3 Previous Month 12.26 Change 2.6% Change 11.6% Max 46.86 Max 18 Min.1 Min.1 Figure 9: Regulation Price $/h 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 Jul 8 Jul 1 Jul 22 Jul 29 Jul Regulation Price ($/h) Monthly Average 14.6 Previous Month 18.3 Change 2.2% Max 18 Min.88 Page 4 of 8 Trading Date: Jul 218
Generation Figure 1: Average Generation by Type 7, CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 6,, 4, 3, 2, 1, 1 Jul 4 Jul 7 Jul 1 Jul 13 Jul 16 Jul 19 Jul 22 Jul 2 Jul 28 Jul 31 Jul Figure 11: Average Generation by Type for Last 12 Months 7, CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 6,, 4, 3, 2, 1, Figure 12: Instances of GT Scheduled for Last 12 Months 7 6 4 3 2 1 Page of 8 Trading Date: Jul 218
Settlement Figure 13: Monthly Energy Payment for Last 12 Months Figure 3: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP $ $/h Million Average Forecasted Demand 1 6 Average USEP 7, 13 6,, 11 4 4, 9 3 3, 7 2 2, 1 1, 3 1 Jul 4 Jul 7 Jul 1 Jul 13 Jul 16 Jul 19 Jul 22 Jul 2 Jul 28 Jul 31 Jul Figure 14: Monthly Reserve Payment for Last 12 Months $/h Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP $ 13 Million 8. 11 7. 6. 9,8,4,. 7 4. 3. 2. 3 1. 4,6 4,2 3,8 3,4. Figure 1: Monthly Regulation Payment for Last 12 Months $ Million 2. 2. 1. 1... Page 6 of 8 Trading Date: Jul 218
Market Statistics Figure 16: Price Statistics for Year 218 USEP ($/h) Forecasted Demand () Generation (%) Average Min Max Average Min Max CCGT/Cogen /Trigen ST GT Jan 86.1 68.32 1.48,622 4,33 6,636 97.3 2.47. Feb 98.7 74.1 49.1,628 4,464 6,676 97.9 2.41. Mar 14.31 7.4 62.,828 4,723 6,789 98. 2.. Apr 13.29 76.97 7.76,93 4,727 6,973 97.97 2.3. May 112.6 8.18 963.2 6,31 4,92 7,71 98.11 1.89. Jun 11.71 2.41 77.38 6,3 4,879 7,1 97.92 2.8. Jul 18.6 7.49 376.77,981 4,828 6,924 97.8 2.2. Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly 13.41 2.41 963.2,89 4,33 7,71 97.8 2.1. Q1 96.26 68.32 62.,69 4,33 6,789 97.71 2.29. Q2 18.9 2.41 963.2,98 4,727 7,71 98. 2.. Q3 18.6 7.49 376.77,981 4,828 6,924 97.8 2.2. Q4 Average Price ($/h) Average Requirements () Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Primary Reserve Contingency Reserve Regulation Primary Reserve Contingency Reserve Regulation.6 6.91 11.96 176 91 111.69 12.3 16.91 183 97 12.24 1.2 23.18 188 69 12.36 13.6 21.6 191 69 12.39 1.99 23.76 192 611 12.3 12.26 18.3 182 69 12.14 1.84 14.6 176 62 12.3 12.41 18.7 184 119.32 11.36 17.36 182 117.3 13.99 21.9 188 12.14 1.84 14.6 176 12 Page 7 of 8 Trading Date: Jul 218
Market Statistics Figure 17: WEP, Fuel Oil, Vesting Price and Tariffs for Year 218 WEP($/h) Fuel Oil(US$/MT) BVP($/h) Average HSFO 18 CST Vesting price LVP($/h) Vesting price Jan 86.31 419.37 143.72 14.9 Feb 98.92 43.3 143.72 14.9 Mar 14.9 42.9 143.72 14.9 Apr 13.9 426.81 147.62 18.7 May 112.69 47.63 147.62 18.7 Jun 11.99 483.64 147.62 18.7 Jul 18.17 496.43 19.18 169.99 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly 13.64 444.2 147.6 18.34 Q1 96.3 48.79 143.72 14.9 Q2 19.13 462.18 147.62 18.7 Q3 18.17 496.43 19.18 169.99 Q4 Tariffs( /kwh) Domestic Electricity Tariffs 21.6 21.6 21.6 22.1 22.1 22.1 23.6 22.11 21.6 22.1 23.6 WEP Components ($/h) USEP AFP HEUC MEUC EMC Fees PSO Fees Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 86.1 98.7 14.31 13.33 112.6 11.71 18.6 13.41 96.26 18.91 18.6.23.3.48.43.47.3.29.37.3.42.29.77.79.91.97 1.13.86.96.92.83.99.96.22.24.2.21.21.2.19.21.22.21.19.26.26.26.3.3.3.3.29.26.3.3.26.29.2.29.28.29.28.28.27.29.28 Note: Data since 1 January 23 can be available via data subscription package at www.emcsg.com/datasubscriptionform Disclaimer This Report is prepared and provided for general information purposes only. Information in this Report was obtained or derived from sources that the Energy Market Company Pte Ltd (EMC) considers reliable. All reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable at time of printing. EMC does not represent that information in this Report is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. In particular, in presentation of charts, certain assumptions were made which may not be stated therein. As such, EMC assumes no fiduciary responsibility or liability for any construction or interpretation you may take based on the information contained nor for any consequences, financial or otherwise, from transactions where information in this Report may be relied upon. You should make your own appraisal and should consult, to the extent necessary, your own professional advisors to ensure that any decision made based on the information in this Report is suitable for your circumstances. If you have any specific queries about this Report or its contents, you should contact us at marketoperationsb@emcsg.com. Monthly Trading Report Trading Date: Jul 218 Restricted Page 8 of 8