Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt Annexes to the final Interim Technical Report Client: European Commission - DG TRADE Rotterdam, 30 June 2014

Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt Annexes to the final Interim Technical Report Client: European Commission - DG TRADE Rotterdam, 30 June 2014

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Table of contents Annex B: CGE Tables 5 Annex C: Stakeholder input 39 Summary of the local workshop in Cairo 45 Annex D: Quantitative environmental analysis 59 Changes in the environmental quality 59 Welfare impacts of air pollution 60 Data 61 Climate change externalities 62 Definition of sectors 63 Annex E: CGE scenarios 69 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 3

Annex B: CGE Tables The tables below present the full results from the CGE modelling on both aggregate and sector level. Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 5

TableB.1 National Income, million euros short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 5.69 567.18 105.09-82.51 595.46-775.99 1390.06 221.33-323.65 511.76 Egypt 266.01 1272.72 163.48 640.86 2343.08 794.45 1774.30 107.57 698.00 3374.32 Jordan -0.92-3.37-0.09-1.69-6.06 3.35-5.22-0.21-1.94-4.03 Morocco and Tunisia 4.62-3.44-0.22 3.63 4.59 6.36-25.57-0.18 8.94-10.46 Rest of North Africa 16.56-19.87-1.40 8.46 3.75 15.79-5.35-1.59 53.12 61.97 Turkey -5.81-8.70-0.27 17.28 2.50-11.90-124.58-0.37 30.67-106.18 Golf cooperation council 55.61-71.57-5.76 11.47-10.25 126.44 84.54-6.51 205.46 409.93 Rest of Middle East 50.60-25.41-3.18 10.78 32.79 52.99-91.52-4.52 77.24 34.19 Sub-Saharan Africa 36.31-36.99-2.80 9.62 6.15 24.03-200.96-0.25 10.40-166.78 Rest of World 151.72-384.63-32.88 69.02-196.78 642.71-2974.03-47.45-462.03-2840.80 TableB.2 Equivalent variation, % short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Egypt 0.17 0.81 0.10 0.41 1.50 0.51 1.13 0.07 0.45 2.15 Jordan -0.01-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.04 0.02-0.03 0.00-0.01-0.03 Morocco and Tunisia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01-0.03 0.00 0.01-0.01 Rest of North Africa 0.01-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04 Turkey 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.01-0.02 Golf cooperation council 0.01-0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.04 Rest of Middle East 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.02 Rest of World 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01 6 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

TableB.3 GDP, % change short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Egypt 0.51 0.46 0.04 0.21 1.22 0.88 0.66 0.02 0.23 1.79 Jordan 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02-0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morocco and Tunisia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00-0.03 0.00 0.02-0.01 Rest of North Africa 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00-0.05 0.00 0.02-0.04 Turkey 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.01-0.02 Golf cooperation council 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 Rest of Middle East 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.02 Rest of World 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01 TableB.4 Exports, % change short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.03 0.03 0.00-0.01 0.06 0.03 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.08 Egypt 2.92 3.38 0.40 1.57 8.27 5.61 15.85 0.32 4.88 26.66 Jordan 0.00-0.03 0.00-0.03-0.06 0.03-0.04 0.00-0.02-0.04 Morocco and Tunisia 0.02-0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03-0.10 0.00 0.04-0.04 Rest of North Africa 0.01-0.03 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.05 0.13 Turkey 0.00-0.05 0.00 0.03-0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.07 Golf cooperation council 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.05 0.13 Rest of Middle East 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.06 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.08 Rest of World 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.01 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 7

TableB.5 Imports, % change short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.03 0.03 0.00-0.01 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.08 Egypt 2.61 3.18 0.40 1.54 7.73 5.02 14.84 0.30 4.58 24.75 Jordan -0.02-0.03 0.00-0.03-0.08 0.02-0.04 0.00-0.02-0.04 Morocco and Tunisia 0.02-0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02-0.09 0.00 0.03-0.05 Rest of North Africa 0.01-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.04 0.19 0.00 0.09 0.32 Turkey 0.00-0.03 0.00 0.02-0.02 0.01-0.01 0.00 0.04 0.04 Golf cooperation council 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.02 0.09 0.00 0.06 0.17 Rest of Middle East 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.06 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.07 Rest of World 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.02 TableB.6 Terms of trade, % change short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Egypt -1.05 0.69 0.14 0.39 0.17-1.27 0.03 0.10 0.17-0.97 Jordan 0.00-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.01 Morocco and Tunisia 0.01-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.01 0.02 0.00-0.01 0.02 Rest of North Africa 0.04-0.04 0.00-0.02-0.02 0.03 0.12 0.00 0.02 0.17 Turkey -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Golf cooperation council 0.02-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.06 Rest of Middle East 0.02-0.01 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.01-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Rest of World 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

TableB.7 Consumer price, % change short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01 Egypt -2.85 0.79 0.18 0.47-1.41-1.59 3.21 0.09 1.04 2.74 Jordan -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04-0.02-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.04 Morocco and Tunisia -0.02 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03 0.00-0.02-0.06 Rest of North Africa -0.03 0.00 0.00-0.02-0.05-0.02-0.11 0.00-0.06-0.19 Turkey -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01 Golf cooperation council -0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.04 0.00-0.02-0.08 Rest of Middle East -0.03 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.04-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.02 Sub-Saharan Africa -0.02 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03 0.00-0.02-0.06 Rest of World 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 TableB.8 Low skilled wages, % change short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.01 Egypt 1.19 0.49-0.01 0.18 1.86 0.56-2.00 0.00-0.53-1.98 Jordan -0.01-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morocco and Tunisia 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 Rest of North Africa 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00-0.13 0.00 0.00-0.13 Turkey -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.01-0.02 0.00 0.01-0.03 Golf cooperation council 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.03 0.00 0.00-0.02 Rest of Middle East 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04 0.00 0.00-0.04 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.01 Rest of World 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 9

TableB.9 Medium skilled wages, % change short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Egypt 3.07 0.99 0.22 0.50 4.78 2.26 0.45 0.15 0.31 3.18 Jordan 0.02-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.02-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.01 Morocco and Tunisia 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.01-0.07 0.00 0.00-0.06 Rest of North Africa 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04-0.01-0.21 0.00-0.03-0.25 Turkey 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.01-0.02 Golf cooperation council 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.04 Rest of Middle East 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.01-0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00-0.05 0.00-0.01-0.06 Rest of World 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01 TableB.10 High skilled wages, % change short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total European Union 28 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Egypt 2.69 0.94 0.15 0.09 0.09 2.02 0.19 0.10 0.09 0.09 Jordan 0.02-0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02-0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morocco and Tunisia 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01-0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rest of North Africa 0.03-0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 Turkey 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Golf cooperation council 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rest of Middle East 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01-0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sub-Saharan Africa 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rest of World 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 10 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

TableB.11 % change in bilateral exports short run long run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Egypt's exports to EU 4.05 13.37 1.64-2.29 16.77 8.99 41.28 1.46 2.09 53.81 EU's exports to Egypt 12.86 12.13 0.97-0.94 25.02 17.57 26.32 0.88 2.26 47.03 TableB.12 Employment change, low skilled, EU Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops -0.06 0.08 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.00 0.01 0.18 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -0.08-0.04 0.00 0.01-0.10-0.04 0.00 0.00 0.02-0.02 Other agriculture and forestry products 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.16 Fish products 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.08 Mining 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 Livestock and Meat Products -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 Vegetable oils and fats -0.03 0.01 0.00-0.01-0.04 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.12 Other processed food 0.48 0.02 0.00-0.01 0.50 0.40 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.44 Beverages and tobacco 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.45 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.48 Textiles -0.07-0.02 0.01 0.02-0.07-0.05 0.19 0.01 0.08 0.22 Wearing apparel -0.04 0.00 0.01 0.01-0.03-0.03 0.10 0.00 0.04 0.12 Leather products -0.08-0.01 0.00 0.01-0.09-0.05 0.05 0.00 0.02 0.03 Wood, paper, publishing -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.03 0.18 Petro-chemicals -0.02 0.01-0.01 0.01-0.01-0.02 0.06-0.01 0.02 0.05 Chemical, rubber, plastic products -0.05-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.07-0.07 0.13 0.00 0.01 0.07 Ceramics, cement, etc. -0.01-0.04 0.00 0.00-0.04-0.01 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 Primary metals -0.05-0.04 0.00-0.02-0.09-0.04 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.02 Fabricated metals -0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.02-0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.03 Motor vehicles -0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 Electronics, computers -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.07-0.16 0.27 0.01 0.03 0.14 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 11

Short run Other machinery and equipment -0.05-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.07-0.12-0.46 0.01-0.09-0.67 Other manufacturing -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04-0.03 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.05 Utilities -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.04 Construction 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trade -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 Other transport services -0.02 0.03-0.03 0.01-0.01-0.01 0.07-0.02 0.02 0.07 Water transport 0.01 0.06 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.04 0.15 0.00 0.06 0.24 Air transport -0.19 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.18-0.20 0.04-0.01 0.01-0.16 Communications -0.01 0.01-0.01 0.01 0.00-0.01 0.04-0.01 0.01 0.04 Finance and insurance -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.03 Business and ICT -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 Personal and recreational services -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.02-0.02 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.01 Public and other services 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 % displacement 0.10 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.10 0.16 0.00 0.03 0.24 TableB.13 Employment change, medium skilled, EU Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops -0.06 0.07 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.17 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -0.07-0.04 0.00 0.01-0.10-0.04-0.01 0.00 0.02-0.02 Other agriculture and forestry products 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.15 Fish products 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.08 Mining 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 Livestock and Meat Products -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Vegetable oils and fats -0.03 0.01 0.00-0.01-0.03 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.11 Other processed food 0.49 0.01 0.00-0.01 0.50 0.41 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.43 Beverages and tobacco 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.46 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.48 Textiles -0.06-0.03 0.01 0.02-0.06-0.04 0.18 0.01 0.07 0.21 12 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Wearing apparel -0.04-0.01 0.01 0.01-0.02-0.02 0.09 0.00 0.04 0.11 Leather products -0.08-0.02 0.00 0.01-0.08-0.04 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.02 Wood, paper, publishing -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.01 0.13 0.00 0.03 0.17 Petro-chemicals -0.02 0.01-0.01 0.01-0.01-0.01 0.05-0.01 0.01 0.04 Chemical, rubber, plastic products -0.05-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.07-0.06 0.11 0.00 0.01 0.06 Ceramics, cement, etc. -0.01-0.04 0.00 0.00-0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 Primary metals -0.04-0.04 0.01-0.02-0.09-0.03 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 Fabricated metals -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.02-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.04 Motor vehicles -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 Electronics, computers -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.06-0.15 0.25 0.01 0.03 0.13 Other machinery and equipment -0.04-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.06-0.11-0.48 0.01-0.10-0.68 Other manufacturing -0.03-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.03-0.02 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.04 Utilities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03 Construction 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trade 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Other transport services -0.01 0.02-0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.06-0.02 0.02 0.05 Water transport 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.04 0.13 0.04 0.13 0.00 0.05 0.23 Air transport -0.18 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.17-0.19 0.03-0.01 0.01-0.17 Communications -0.01 0.01-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.03 Finance and insurance -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 Business and ICT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Personal and recreational services -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.02-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Public and other services 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 % displacement 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.06 0.06 0.10 0.00 0.02 0.15 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 13

TableB.14 Employment change, high skilled, EU Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops -0.06 0.07 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.17 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -0.07-0.04 0.00 0.01-0.10-0.04-0.01 0.00 0.02-0.02 Other agriculture and forestry products 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.15 Fish products 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.08 Mining 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 Livestock and Meat Products -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Vegetable oils and fats -0.03 0.01 0.00-0.01-0.04 0.09 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.11 Other processed food 0.48 0.02 0.00-0.01 0.50 0.40 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.44 Beverages and tobacco 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.46 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.48 Textiles -0.06-0.02 0.01 0.02-0.07-0.05 0.18 0.01 0.07 0.21 Wearing apparel -0.04 0.00 0.01 0.01-0.03-0.02 0.09 0.00 0.04 0.11 Leather products -0.08-0.02 0.00 0.01-0.09-0.05 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.02 Wood, paper, publishing -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.01 0.13 0.00 0.03 0.17 Petro-chemicals -0.02 0.01-0.01 0.01-0.01-0.01 0.05-0.01 0.01 0.04 Chemical, rubber, plastic products -0.05-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.07-0.07 0.12 0.00 0.01 0.06 Ceramics, cement, etc. -0.01-0.04 0.00 0.00-0.04 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 Primary metals -0.04-0.04 0.01-0.02-0.09-0.03 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 Fabricated metals -0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.02-0.02-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.04 Motor vehicles -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 Electronics, computers -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.07-0.16 0.26 0.01 0.03 0.13 Other machinery and equipment -0.04-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.07-0.11-0.47 0.01-0.10-0.67 Other manufacturing -0.03-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.04-0.03 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.04 Utilities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03 Construction 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trade -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Other transport services -0.01 0.02-0.03 0.01-0.01 0.00 0.06-0.02 0.02 0.06 14 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Water transport 0.02 0.06 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.04 0.14 0.00 0.05 0.23 Air transport -0.18 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.18-0.20 0.03-0.01 0.01-0.17 Communications -0.01 0.01-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.03 Finance and insurance -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 Business and ICT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 Personal and recreational services -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.02-0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Public and other services 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 % displacement 0.07 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.07 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.17 TableB.15 Employment change, low skilled, Egypt Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops 0.51-0.73-0.09-0.68-0.98-0.11-3.15-0.09-1.59-4.94 Vegetables, fruit & nuts 0.07-0.16-0.04 0.03-0.09-0.55-0.82-0.02-0.06-1.46 Other agriculture and forestry products 0.34-0.24-0.06-0.11-0.06-0.11-2.84-0.07-0.89-3.91 Fish products -0.90 0.59 0.10 0.44 0.24-0.92 0.87 0.06 0.46 0.47 Mining 0.37-0.13-0.04-0.12 0.09 0.52-2.71-0.07-0.94-3.19 Livestock and Meat Products 0.29-0.70-0.10-0.94-1.45-0.43-0.53-0.04-0.81-1.81 Vegetable oils and fats 4.74-2.07-0.34 2.06 4.39 1.83-7.33-0.28 0.08-5.70 Other processed food -13.60-0.32 0.09 1.16-12.67-9.49 2.16 0.09 1.46-5.79 Beverages and tobacco -49.57-0.18 0.18 0.45-49.11-27.88 3.89 0.12 1.38-22.50 Textiles 2.27-0.71-0.23-0.76 0.58 1.64-3.06-0.11-1.28-2.80 Wearing apparel 1.88 0.43-0.05-0.08 2.18 1.53 1.92 0.02 0.45 3.92 Leather products 5.62 1.40-0.30-1.06 5.66 5.28-0.42-0.17-1.48 3.21 Wood, paper, publishing 1.73 1.16 0.15 0.39 3.43 1.60 4.66 0.14 1.39 7.79 Petro-chemicals 5.17 0.28 0.55-1.53 4.47 2.24 4.83 0.21 1.21 8.49 Chemical, rubber, plastic products 4.06 3.81-0.25 1.65 9.27 6.02-3.96-0.28 0.71 2.49 Ceramics, cement, etc. 1.90 0.58 0.01 0.99 3.48 1.32 2.26 0.08 1.24 4.90 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 15

Short run Primary metals 2.41 1.59-0.29 0.99 4.69 1.82-1.36-0.14 0.65 0.97 Fabricated metals 2.12-2.67-0.18-0.51-1.24 1.52-3.66-0.04-0.65-2.84 Motor vehicles 2.69 6.64 0.39 1.65 11.36 2.09 7.41 0.23 2.05 11.78 Electronics, computers 1.80-0.30 0.04-0.42 1.12 1.84 0.58 0.11-0.06 2.47 Other machinery and equipment 2.26 13.61-0.14 3.73 19.47 30.95 270.81-2.69 69.55 368.62 Other manufacturing 1.65 0.56-0.27-0.13 1.80 2.06 7.51-0.11 2.01 11.47 Utilities 2.19 3.54 0.36 2.13 8.22 2.37 10.87 0.03 3.29 16.56 Construction 0.73 0.08 0.18 0.06 1.05 0.85 3.55 0.13 1.05 5.57 Trade 1.90 1.02 0.30 0.60 3.81 2.05 4.66 0.20 1.53 8.43 Other transport services 4.46-0.76 1.10 0.03 4.83 3.46 1.49 1.01 0.71 6.67 Water transport 8.71 0.19 0.65 0.23 9.79 5.37 5.07 0.45 1.61 12.50 Air transport 62.47 1.52 1.36 0.61 65.96 47.06 4.75 1.14 1.58 54.53 Communications 2.13 0.37 0.35 0.25 3.10 1.70 4.37 0.22 1.34 7.63 Finance and insurance 1.63 0.47-0.04 0.25 2.31 1.77 2.40-0.05 0.78 4.90 Business and ICT 1.91-0.73-0.34-0.42 0.42 1.63-0.90-0.28-0.35 0.10 Personal and recreational services 8.74 0.99 0.63 0.60 10.97 6.49 4.26 0.45 1.45 12.65 Public and other services 1.04 1.17 0.25 0.64 3.10 1.55 4.91 0.14 1.56 8.15 % displacement 5.73 1.02 0.19 0.59 5.97 3.86 9.02 0.17 2.45 12.77 TableB.16 Employment change, medium skilled, Egypt Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops -0.11-0.89-0.16-0.79-1.96-0.67-3.97-0.14-1.87-6.65 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -0.41-0.29-0.10-0.05-0.85-0.99-1.47-0.07-0.29-2.81 Other agriculture and forestry products -0.13-0.36-0.12-0.19-0.79-0.53-3.45-0.11-1.10-5.19 Fish products -1.25 0.50 0.06 0.38-0.32-1.25 0.38 0.03 0.30-0.54 Mining 0.01-0.22-0.08-0.18-0.47 0.20-3.17-0.10-1.09-4.17 Livestock and Meat Products -1.49-1.17-0.32-1.24-4.22-2.08-3.00-0.20-1.64-6.92 16 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Vegetable oils and fats 2.83-2.53-0.56 1.71 1.45 0.14-9.57-0.43-0.76-10.61 Other processed food -15.08-0.77-0.12 0.84-15.13-10.85-0.35-0.07 0.58-10.69 Beverages and tobacco -50.16-0.57 0.00 0.18-50.54-28.50 1.46-0.03 0.54-26.53 Textiles 0.24-1.23-0.47-1.10-2.56-0.26-5.71-0.28-2.18-8.43 Wearing apparel -0.17-0.11-0.30-0.43-1.01-0.42-0.97-0.16-0.53-2.09 Leather products 3.48 0.84-0.54-1.41 2.36 3.20-3.22-0.35-2.40-2.76 Wood, paper, publishing -0.33 0.61-0.10 0.03 0.20-0.39 1.63-0.05 0.36 1.56 Petro-chemicals 3.05-0.26 0.29-1.87 1.21 0.22 1.79 0.02 0.19 2.22 Chemical, rubber, plastic products 1.90 3.20-0.50 1.26 5.86 3.91-6.63-0.46-0.27-3.44 Ceramics, cement, etc. -0.16 0.03-0.23 0.61 0.25-0.64-0.66-0.10 0.23-1.17 Primary metals 0.32 1.02-0.54 0.62 1.43-0.13-4.10-0.32-0.32-4.87 Fabricated metals 0.11-3.16-0.42-0.86-4.33-0.38-6.29-0.22-1.57-8.46 Motor vehicles 0.53 5.98 0.12 1.25 7.88 0.04 4.25 0.04 0.99 5.32 Electronics, computers -0.23-0.83-0.21-0.77-2.03-0.11-2.25-0.07-1.02-3.46 Other machinery and equipment -0.11 12.83-0.40 3.30 15.62 24.32 255.08-3.03 65.20 341.56 Other manufacturing -0.39 0.02-0.51-0.49-1.37-0.14 4.35-0.29 0.96 4.88 Utilities 0.08 2.93 0.10 1.73 4.84 0.26 7.54-0.16 2.18 9.82 Construction -1.48-0.50-0.09-0.33-2.40-1.28 0.29-0.08-0.06-1.14 Trade -0.73 0.30-0.03 0.13-0.33-0.54 0.74-0.05 0.19 0.35 Other transport services 1.75-1.43 0.76-0.43 0.65 0.82-2.27 0.75-0.58-1.28 Water transport 5.85-0.52 0.31-0.24 5.40 2.59 1.07 0.19 0.26 4.11 Air transport 57.71 0.63 0.94 0.04 59.33 41.99 0.15 0.82 0.04 43.01 Communications 0.07-0.18 0.10-0.11-0.12-0.29 1.34 0.03 0.32 1.40 Finance and insurance -0.41-0.08-0.29-0.11-0.88-0.19-0.52-0.23-0.22-1.17 Business and ICT -0.12-1.26-0.58-0.76-2.71-0.29-3.65-0.46-1.29-5.69 Personal and recreational services 6.49 0.42 0.37 0.23 7.51 4.30 1.18 0.26 0.40 6.13 Public and other services -1.00 0.62 0.00 0.27-0.11-0.44 1.86-0.05 0.52 1.89 % displacement 7.12 0.98 0.35 0.46 7.37 4.96 8.36 0.32 2.17 12.17 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 17

TableB.17 Employment change, high skilled, Egypt Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops 0.01-0.88-0.14-0.78-1.78-0.60-3.88-0.12-1.84-6.44 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -0.32-0.28-0.08-0.04-0.71-0.93-1.40-0.05-0.26-2.65 Other agriculture and forestry products -0.03-0.35-0.10-0.18-0.66-0.47-3.39-0.09-1.08-5.03 Fish products -1.19 0.51 0.07 0.39-0.22-1.20 0.43 0.04 0.31-0.41 Mining 0.08-0.21-0.07-0.17-0.37 0.24-3.13-0.09-1.08-4.05 Livestock and Meat Products -1.15-1.13-0.25-1.21-3.73-1.85-2.75-0.14-1.56-6.30 Vegetable oils and fats 3.20-2.49-0.49 1.76 1.98 0.37-9.34-0.37-0.68-10.02 Other processed food -14.79-0.73-0.05 0.87-14.69-10.65-0.10-0.02 0.66-10.11 Beverages and tobacco -50.03-0.53 0.06 0.22-50.29-28.39 1.71 0.02 0.62-26.05 Textiles 0.63-1.18-0.39-1.06-2.00-0.08-5.44-0.22-2.10-7.83 Wearing apparel 0.23-0.06-0.22-0.39-0.44-0.15-0.68-0.10-0.44-1.37 Leather products 3.89 0.89-0.46-1.37 2.95 3.48-2.94-0.28-2.31-2.05 Wood, paper, publishing 0.07 0.66-0.02 0.07 0.78-0.12 1.94 0.02 0.46 2.30 Petro-chemicals 3.46-0.21 0.38-1.83 1.80 0.50 2.10 0.08 0.28 2.97 Chemical, rubber, plastic products 2.32 3.26-0.42 1.31 6.47 4.19-6.36-0.40-0.17-2.74 Ceramics, cement, etc. 0.24 0.08-0.15 0.66 0.83-0.38-0.36-0.04 0.32-0.45 Primary metals 0.73 1.08-0.46 0.67 2.01 0.13-3.83-0.26-0.23-4.17 Fabricated metals 0.50-3.12-0.34-0.82-3.77-0.12-6.03-0.16-1.49-7.79 Motor vehicles 0.95 6.05 0.21 1.30 8.50 0.32 4.57 0.10 1.10 6.09 Electronics, computers 0.17-0.78-0.13-0.72-1.47 0.15-1.96-0.01-0.93-2.75 Other machinery and equipment 0.46 12.92-0.31 3.35 16.41 25.22 256.81-2.89 65.65 344.79 Other manufacturing -0.10 0.07-0.43-0.44-0.91 0.29 4.67-0.22 1.06 5.80 Utilities 0.49 2.99 0.19 1.78 5.45 0.55 7.88-0.09 2.29 10.62 Construction -1.05-0.45 0.00-0.28-1.78-0.99 0.61-0.01 0.04-0.34 Trade -0.22 0.37 0.08 0.18 0.41-0.18 1.13 0.04 0.32 1.31 18 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Other transport services 2.27-1.37 0.87-0.37 1.39 1.18-1.90 0.83-0.46-0.34 Water transport 6.40-0.46 0.42-0.18 6.18 2.96 1.47 0.28 0.39 5.10 Air transport 58.61 0.72 1.08 0.11 60.51 42.65 0.62 0.92 0.19 44.38 Communications 0.47-0.12 0.18-0.06 0.46-0.02 1.65 0.10 0.41 2.15 Finance and insurance -0.01-0.03-0.21-0.06-0.31 0.08-0.23-0.17-0.12-0.44 Business and ICT 0.28-1.21-0.50-0.72-2.15-0.03-3.38-0.39-1.20-5.00 Personal and recreational services 6.93 0.47 0.45 0.27 8.13 4.59 1.49 0.32 0.50 6.91 Public and other services -0.60 0.67 0.08 0.32 0.46-0.17 2.17 0.02 0.62 2.64 % displacement 6.70 1.03 0.34 0.52 6.99 4.60 8.47 0.30 2.21 12.20 TableB.18 Output change, EU Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops -0.05 0.06 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.15 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -0.06-0.03 0.00 0.01-0.08-0.05-0.01 0.00 0.02-0.04 Other agriculture and forestry products 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.14 Fish products 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.05 Mining 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 Livestock and Meat Products -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Vegetable oils and fats -0.02 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.02 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.11 Other processed food 0.27 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.41 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.45 Beverages and tobacco 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.47 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.49 Textiles -0.05-0.02 0.01 0.01-0.05-0.05 0.19 0.01 0.08 0.22 Wearing apparel -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01-0.02-0.03 0.10 0.00 0.04 0.12 Leather products -0.05-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.06-0.05 0.05 0.00 0.02 0.02 Wood, paper, publishing -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.03 0.18 Petro-chemicals -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.02 0.06-0.01 0.01 0.04 Chemical, rubber, plastic products -0.03-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.04-0.08 0.12 0.01 0.01 0.06 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 19

Short run Ceramics, cement, etc. -0.01-0.02 0.00 0.00-0.03-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 Primary metals -0.03-0.02 0.00-0.01-0.06-0.04 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 Fabricated metals -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.03-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.04 Motor vehicles -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 Electronics, computers -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04-0.17 0.27 0.01 0.03 0.13 Other machinery and equipment -0.03-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.05-0.12-0.48 0.01-0.10-0.69 Other manufacturing -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.02-0.03 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.04 Utilities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 Construction 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trade 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Other transport services -0.01 0.01-0.02 0.01 0.00-0.01 0.07-0.02 0.02 0.05 Water transport 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.03 0.15 0.00 0.05 0.24 Air transport -0.12 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.12-0.21 0.04-0.01 0.01-0.18 Communications 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.04 0.00 0.01 0.03 Finance and insurance 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Business and ICT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Personal and recreational services -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Public and other services 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 TableB.19 Exports change, EU Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops -0.24 0.33 0.01-0.05 0.04-0.24 0.47 0.01-0.02 0.22 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -0.11 0.04 0.00 0.01-0.06-0.11 0.07 0.00 0.02-0.02 Other agriculture and forestry products -0.11 0.04 0.00 0.00-0.06-0.03 0.08 0.00 0.01 0.06 Fish products 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.06 Mining 0.01 0.05 0.00-0.01 0.05 0.01 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.08 Livestock and Meat Products -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04-0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 20 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Vegetable oils and fats -0.05 0.03 0.00-0.02-0.04 0.07 0.06 0.00-0.01 0.12 Other processed food 1.12 0.08 0.00-0.01 1.19 1.41 0.13 0.00-0.01 1.54 Beverages and tobacco 1.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 1.07 2.12 0.05 0.00 0.01 2.18 Textiles -0.05 0.03 0.01 0.01-0.01-0.06 0.25 0.01 0.08 0.28 Wearing apparel -0.04 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.03-0.04 0.19 0.00 0.05 0.21 Leather products -0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00-0.05-0.06 0.09 0.00 0.03 0.06 Wood, paper, publishing -0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.00 0.44 0.00 0.10 0.54 Petro-chemicals 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.01 0.09 Chemical, rubber, plastic products -0.04 0.02 0.00-0.01-0.02-0.10 0.22 0.01 0.01 0.13 Ceramics, cement, etc. -0.02 0.08 0.01-0.01 0.06-0.02 0.16 0.00 0.02 0.17 Primary metals -0.03 0.04 0.00-0.02 0.00-0.03 0.19 0.00 0.01 0.18 Fabricated metals -0.03 0.07 0.00-0.01 0.05-0.02 0.23 0.00 0.02 0.23 Motor vehicles -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 Electronics, computers -0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00-0.03-0.21 0.39 0.01 0.04 0.23 Other machinery and equipment -0.05 0.04 0.00-0.02-0.03-0.15-0.41 0.01-0.12-0.67 Other manufacturing -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.04-0.06 0.16 0.00 0.03 0.13 Utilities -0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.07 Construction -0.04 0.00 0.02 0.00-0.02-0.02 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.06 Trade -0.03-0.01 0.01 0.01-0.02-0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 Other transport services 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.13 Water transport 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.16 0.01 0.06 0.27 Air transport -0.12 0.00 0.01 0.00-0.10-0.20 0.05 0.01 0.01-0.13 Communications -0.02 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.04-0.02 0.11 0.03 0.03 0.16 Finance and insurance -0.03-0.01 0.02 0.01-0.01-0.01 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.05 Business and ICT -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00-0.02 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.08 Personal and recreational services -0.04-0.01 0.01 0.00-0.03-0.04 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 Public and other services -0.06 0.00 0.05 0.01 0.01-0.01 0.14 0.05 0.05 0.23 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 21

TableB.20 Imports change, EU Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops 0.14 0.13 0.00-0.01 0.25 0.22 0.08 0.00-0.02 0.28 Vegetables, fruit & nuts 0.09 0.02 0.00-0.01 0.10 0.14 0.01 0.00-0.01 0.14 Other agriculture and forestry products 0.21 0.04 0.00-0.01 0.24 0.24 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.31 Fish products 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.17 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.19 Mining -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00-0.01-0.02 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.04 Livestock and Meat Products 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.05 0.01 0.00-0.01 0.05 Vegetable oils and fats 0.20 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.26 0.03 0.00-0.01 0.28 Other processed food 0.17 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.12 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.16 Beverages and tobacco 0.16 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04 0.01 0.00-0.01 0.05 Textiles 0.02 0.03 0.00-0.01 0.04 0.01-0.05 0.00-0.04-0.09 Wearing apparel 0.04 0.03 0.00-0.02 0.05 0.02-0.06 0.00-0.05-0.10 Leather products 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.00-0.01 0.03 Wood, paper, publishing 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.06 Petro-chemicals -0.02 0.03-0.01 0.00 0.00-0.03 0.05-0.01 0.00 0.01 Chemical, rubber, plastic products 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.00-0.01 0.01 Ceramics, cement, etc. 0.02 0.16 0.00-0.02 0.16 0.01 0.09 0.00-0.03 0.07 Primary metals -0.01 0.04 0.00-0.01 0.02-0.04-0.05 0.00-0.03-0.12 Fabricated metals 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.05-0.02-0.07 0.00-0.03-0.11 Motor vehicles 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.01 0.00-0.01 0.00 Electronics, computers 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00-0.06 0.00-0.02-0.07 Other machinery and equipment 0.01 0.05 0.00-0.01 0.05 0.06 0.54 0.00 0.07 0.67 Other manufacturing 0.04 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.03-0.02 0.00-0.02-0.01 Utilities 0.02 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.02 Construction 0.06-0.02 0.07-0.02 0.09 0.02-0.14 0.08-0.06-0.10 Trade 0.02 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.03 0.00-0.02 0.01-0.02-0.02 Other transport services 0.07-0.05 0.11-0.04 0.09 0.08-0.28 0.14-0.10-0.16 22 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Water transport 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.02 0.10 Air transport 0.17 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.18 0.28-0.01 0.02-0.01 0.27 Communications 0.04-0.05 0.05-0.03 0.01 0.03-0.22 0.06-0.08-0.20 Finance and insurance 0.02 0.01 0.01-0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.00 Business and ICT 0.02 0.00 0.01-0.01 0.03 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.02-0.03 Personal and recreational services 0.18-0.02 0.04-0.02 0.18 0.18-0.09 0.05-0.04 0.10 Public and other services 0.06-0.01 0.04-0.02 0.07 0.01-0.09 0.05-0.05-0.08 TableB.21 Output change, Egypt Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops 0.28-0.44-0.05-0.42-0.63-0.19-3.65-0.09-1.71-5.64 Vegetables, fruit & nuts 0.01-0.08-0.02 0.04-0.06-0.61-1.22-0.03-0.17-2.02 Other agriculture and forestry products 0.19-0.13-0.04-0.06-0.04-0.16-3.19-0.07-0.98-4.39 Fish products -0.45 0.24 0.04 0.18 0.01-0.66 0.21 0.03 0.19-0.23 Mining 0.01-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.27-2.75-0.06-0.90-3.45 Livestock and Meat Products -0.45-0.64-0.13-0.73-1.95-1.33-3.84-0.11-1.83-7.10 Vegetable oils and fats 2.94-1.87-0.35 1.48 2.19 0.90-9.77-0.35-0.71-9.94 Other processed food -8.05-0.33 0.00 0.54-7.85-10.33-1.64 0.01 0.31-11.66 Beverages and tobacco -7.75-0.06 0.01 0.04-7.75-28.59-1.62 0.05-0.25-30.41 Textiles 0.35-0.31-0.10-0.29-0.35 0.72-8.74-0.20-2.98-11.19 Wearing apparel 0.26 0.04-0.06-0.10 0.14 0.57-3.66-0.07-1.21-4.36 Leather products 3.98 0.95-0.37-1.13 3.42 4.11-2.72-0.25-2.21-1.08 Wood, paper, publishing 0.28 0.38 0.01 0.08 0.75 0.59-0.30 0.05-0.10 0.24 Petro-chemicals 0.31 0.00 0.03-0.13 0.21 1.34-2.32 0.12-0.89-1.75 Chemical, rubber, plastic products 1.19 1.43-0.15 0.59 3.05 5.04-9.06-0.38-0.80-5.20 Ceramics, cement, etc. 0.19 0.06-0.02 0.19 0.41 0.37-3.90 0.00-0.57-4.10 Primary metals 0.88 0.86-0.28 0.54 1.99 0.76-4.82-0.23-0.42-4.71 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 23

Short run Fabricated metals 0.39-1.11-0.11-0.27-1.11 0.57-8.92-0.13-2.22-10.70 Motor vehicles 0.17 0.69 0.03 0.16 1.04 1.16 0.40 0.15 0.00 1.71 Electronics, computers 0.34-0.30-0.04-0.31-0.31 0.85-4.11 0.02-1.48-4.72 Other machinery and equipment 0.05 0.60-0.01 0.16 0.80 30.94 277.52-3.17 70.87 376.16 Other manufacturing 0.10 0.04-0.07-0.06 0.01 1.09 0.93-0.20 0.08 1.90 Utilities 0.07 0.29 0.02 0.17 0.55 1.37 3.66-0.07 1.20 6.17 Construction 0.10-0.03 0.06-0.01 0.12 0.07-1.54 0.06-0.45-1.86 Trade -0.10 0.28 0.05 0.14 0.38 0.24-0.76 0.05-0.16-0.63 Other transport services 1.08-0.66 0.41-0.18 0.66 1.80-5.32 0.89-1.35-3.99 Water transport 2.62-0.18 0.17-0.07 2.53 3.76-2.36 0.31-0.62 1.09 Air transport 23.78 0.31 0.43 0.05 24.57 45.59-3.76 1.00-0.94 41.89 Communications 0.11-0.03 0.04-0.01 0.11 0.63-2.07 0.13-0.56-1.87 Finance and insurance -0.06-0.02-0.16-0.05-0.29 0.29-1.70-0.17-0.51-2.10 Business and ICT 0.19-0.82-0.34-0.49-1.47 0.24-4.96-0.39-1.62-6.73 Personal and recreational services 4.00 0.27 0.26 0.16 4.69 5.03-0.60 0.34-0.04 4.72 Public and other services -0.37 0.38 0.04 0.18 0.22 0.18 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.29 TableB.22 Exports change, Egypt Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops 4.97 8.21-0.31 3.83 16.70 3.92-1.35-0.36-0.16 2.06 Vegetables, fruit & nuts 5.49 1.14-0.28 0.28 6.62 3.91-3.32-0.24-0.44-0.09 Other agriculture and forestry products 5.07 2.08-0.32 2.36 9.19 3.65-4.91-0.32 0.36-1.23 Fish products 5.66-1.99-0.59-1.22 1.86 3.30-4.98-0.31-1.49-3.47 Mining -0.60 2.31-0.05 1.57 3.22-2.32-2.28-0.31-0.14-5.05 Livestock and Meat Products 10.12 12.04-1.64 5.37 25.90 2.57-11.57-1.09-2.56-12.65 Vegetable oils and fats 6.09-1.31-0.39 7.15 11.53 4.40-9.71-0.39 4.50-1.21 Other processed food 16.42 3.27-0.42 5.20 24.47 6.57-3.10-0.25 3.98 7.19 24 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Beverages and tobacco 126.51 2.97-0.59 0.38 129.27 2.67-6.47-0.17-1.30-5.27 Textiles 1.48 0.58-0.42-0.06 1.58 1.41-19.71-0.58-6.48-25.35 Wearing apparel 1.83-0.96-0.74-1.13-1.00 1.30-18.23-0.58-6.04-23.55 Leather products 8.77 8.20-0.80-1.46 14.72 7.94 1.26-0.48-3.34 5.38 Wood, paper, publishing 1.91 1.92-0.35 0.30 3.78 1.21-6.52 0.01-1.70-7.00 Petro-chemicals -0.86 1.81-0.21 0.37 1.10-0.66-1.30-0.15-0.95-3.06 Chemical, rubber, plastic products 2.14 12.35-0.32 3.12 17.29 8.21-5.19-0.65 0.83 3.21 Ceramics, cement, etc. 0.80 7.18-0.46 4.96 12.48 0.68-6.76-0.25 2.64-3.68 Primary metals 1.17 6.92-0.38 3.94 11.65 0.55-1.93-0.26 2.31 0.66 Fabricated metals 0.94 8.12-0.46 5.54 14.14 0.59-13.82-0.45-0.13-13.80 Motor vehicles -0.52 20.79-0.57 5.09 24.78 0.62 20.05 0.00 4.79 25.47 Electronics, computers 3.05 24.69-0.56 11.14 38.31 2.20-1.79 0.04 3.23 3.69 Other machinery and equipment 0.05 8.37-0.01 1.94 10.35 48.51 423.57-4.53 106.24 573.78 Other manufacturing 0.87 16.78-0.10 5.17 22.71 1.83 4.60-0.38 1.77 7.82 Utilities -0.58-9.43 3.01-3.19-10.19-0.27-16.57 3.49-3.69-17.05 Construction 2.19-2.26 2.11-0.82 1.22 0.76-11.50 2.26-2.94-11.42 Trade 1.31-5.46 1.94-2.15-4.36-0.01-13.90 2.36-3.96-15.49 Other transport services 2.34-2.31 1.18-0.70 0.52 3.17-12.10 2.17-3.10-9.87 Water transport 3.55-0.60 0.26-0.24 2.98 4.83-3.62 0.48-0.97 0.73 Air transport 42.35-0.13 1.79 0.08 44.09 81.64-7.74 2.88-1.71 75.08 Communications 1.82-5.22 2.05-2.21-3.56 2.01-19.58 2.76-5.70-20.51 Finance and insurance 0.83-5.70 1.86-2.10-5.11-0.58-14.67 2.06-4.17-17.36 Business and ICT 1.03-5.12 2.37-2.06-3.79 0.13-19.23 2.11-5.84-22.83 Personal and recreational services 20.47-4.15 1.94-1.69 16.57 22.10-13.32 2.63-3.60 7.82 Public and other services 3.14-4.80 1.41-1.66-1.91 1.44-13.81 1.76-3.66-14.26 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 25

TableB.23 Imports change, Egypt Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops -6.82 1.17 0.16 1.12-4.36-8.06 4.49 0.20 2.78-0.59 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -9.00 4.69 0.23 2.65-1.43-9.62 6.54 0.21 2.86 0.00 Other agriculture and forestry products -7.94 1.84 0.17 2.30-3.63-8.97 3.67 0.18 2.86-2.25 Fish products -6.69 7.02 0.81 4.38 5.52-3.90 11.69 0.45 5.02 13.26 Mining 0.66 6.15 0.08 3.11 9.99 2.87 7.23 0.30 3.78 14.18 Livestock and Meat Products -7.19 3.39 0.62 3.19 0.01-6.67 10.72 0.53 5.76 10.34 Vegetable oils and fats -8.26-0.22 0.02-0.20-8.66-10.48-1.16 0.03-0.33-11.94 Other processed food 83.73 7.26 0.48 2.29 93.77 96.09 11.71 0.40 2.89 111.09 Beverages and tobacco 210.98 1.60 0.71 1.27 214.56 411.65 9.54 0.91 2.72 424.82 Textiles -1.38 5.39 0.33 2.79 7.14-1.47 23.41 0.52 8.54 31.00 Wearing apparel -1.67 7.34 0.59 3.63 9.89-1.01 21.37 0.53 7.79 28.68 Leather products -4.54 5.82 0.39 2.18 3.85-2.54 21.93 0.07 6.39 25.85 Wood, paper, publishing -1.47 1.15 0.10 0.64 0.41 2.09 52.44-0.58 13.77 67.72 Petro-chemicals 2.98 3.61 0.28 1.77 8.64 5.58 3.53 0.37 2.38 11.86 Chemical, rubber, plastic products -0.25 3.93 0.04 0.86 4.57-0.52 8.20 0.03 1.65 9.36 Ceramics, cement, etc. -0.84 16.84 0.58 8.11 24.70-0.69 33.56 0.35 10.84 44.05 Primary metals -0.27 4.73 0.08 2.66 7.20 2.41 28.81-0.22 8.66 39.67 Fabricated metals -0.44 8.21 0.35 3.51 11.63 1.59 40.22 0.26 11.49 53.55 Motor vehicles 3.02 0.56 0.28 0.01 3.87 5.36-1.10 0.47-0.36 4.37 Electronics, computers -1.38 6.11 0.24 3.28 8.25 1.48 44.17-0.33 13.40 58.72 Other machinery and equipment -0.23 0.97-0.04 0.30 1.00 1.00 15.18-0.19 3.82 19.81 Other manufacturing -0.52 5.30 0.04 1.62 6.44 3.39 51.44-0.23 13.47 68.07 Utilities 0.17 10.36 7.34 6.37 24.25 4.96 52.75 7.70 16.23 81.65 Construction -1.41 1.84 3.00 2.13 5.56 0.22 13.85 2.82 5.22 22.12 Trade -1.02 5.03 3.43 3.66 11.09 0.58 12.11 3.01 5.21 20.91 Other transport services -0.51 1.50 2.57 1.65 5.21-0.17 8.74 1.96 3.49 14.02 26 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Water transport -2.97 0.86 0.95 1.03-0.14-3.98 3.72 0.73 1.78 2.26 Air transport -11.27 0.19 0.56 0.42-10.10-19.01 6.30 0.25 2.00-10.47 Communications -1.31 3.90 3.52 2.70 8.81-1.10 16.98 2.86 5.95 24.70 Finance and insurance -0.75 4.41 2.95 2.96 9.57 0.31 10.71 2.77 4.42 18.21 Business and ICT -0.59 3.68 2.89 2.51 8.48 0.59 18.16 2.92 6.46 28.13 Personal and recreational services -5.22 1.82 0.90 1.23-1.27-5.27 4.56 0.69 1.77 1.74 Public and other services -2.21 3.93 2.14 3.06 6.92 1.30 24.45 1.67 8.07 35.48 TableB.24 Change in Egypt's exports to the EU Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops 5.68 21.28-0.34 0.86 27.47 4.54 10.08-0.39-3.26 10.97 Vegetables, fruit & nuts 9.85 9.57-0.30-1.73 17.38 8.10 4.70-0.25-2.47 10.08 Other agriculture and forestry products 5.80 17.31-0.33-1.31 21.47 4.24 9.25-0.34-3.26 9.89 Fish products 6.49 2.36-0.65-2.47 5.72 3.84-0.95-0.34-2.76-0.20 Mining -0.65 13.51-0.06-1.05 11.76-2.48 8.30-0.32-2.75 2.75 Livestock and Meat Products 12.48 52.20-1.88-3.87 58.93 3.35 19.29-1.24-11.54 9.86 Vegetable oils and fats 8.26 43.68-0.48-1.87 49.59 6.05 30.92-0.47-4.54 31.96 Other processed food 27.02 29.53-0.48-0.32 55.76 14.68 20.79-0.28-1.38 33.82 Beverages and tobacco 140.14 12.21-0.64-1.98 149.73 2.91-0.39-0.18-3.09-0.76 Textiles 1.57 7.60-0.43-1.82 6.91 1.49-14.13-0.59-8.21-21.45 Wearing apparel 1.96 6.37-0.76-3.03 4.54 1.38-12.20-0.60-7.92-19.34 Leather products 8.91 11.24-0.81-2.21 17.13 8.06 4.11-0.48-4.09 7.60 Wood, paper, publishing 2.11 9.57-0.36-1.57 9.74 1.33 0.41 0.02-3.60-1.84 Petro-chemicals -0.86 3.49-0.21-0.05 2.37-0.66 0.37-0.15-1.35-1.79 Chemical, rubber, plastic products 2.41 36.06-0.34-2.22 35.90 9.12 15.78-0.69-4.46 19.74 Ceramics, cement, etc. 1.17 49.05-0.56-4.76 44.90 0.96 29.20-0.30-7.05 22.81 Primary metals 1.40 38.47-0.42-3.26 36.19 0.69 27.14-0.29-4.78 22.76 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 27

Short run Fabricated metals 1.25 44.24-0.53-2.46 42.50 0.82 14.50-0.51-8.00 6.81 Motor vehicles -0.47 52.36-0.64-1.94 49.31 0.76 51.81 0.01-2.39 50.18 Electronics, computers 4.20 94.22-0.68-2.96 94.78 3.10 53.53 0.05-10.73 45.96 Other machinery and equipment 0.09 53.52-0.01-9.06 44.55 63.83 648.66-5.49 94.86 801.86 Other manufacturing 1.06 44.38-0.11-0.78 44.56 2.16 29.41-0.42-4.19 26.96 Utilities -0.54-9.68 9.24-4.60-5.58-0.25-17.03 9.60-5.08-12.77 Construction 2.28-2.28 5.96-1.79 4.16 0.79-11.67 5.91-3.89-8.86 Trade 1.38-5.52 5.40-3.04-1.78-0.18-14.08 5.67-4.84-13.43 Other transport services 2.41-2.33 4.88-1.64 3.32 3.24-12.29 5.73-4.04-7.37 Water transport 9.59-1.68 6.12-1.08 12.95 12.81-10.05 6.55-3.11 6.21 Air transport 44.70-0.14 6.49-1.06 49.99 86.26-8.16 8.01-3.04 83.07 Communications 1.87-5.26 4.84-2.93-1.47 2.05-19.81 5.38-6.42-18.80 Finance and insurance 0.89-5.76 5.56-3.06-2.37-0.57-14.89 5.58-5.11-14.99 Business and ICT 1.08-5.17 5.50-2.87-1.45 0.15-19.48 4.98-6.63-20.97 Personal and recreational services 20.84-4.18 5.52-2.61 19.57 22.50-13.50 6.08-4.51 10.57 Public and other services 3.26-4.86 5.47-2.70 1.17 1.48-14.02 5.63-4.69-11.60 TableB.25 Change in EU's exports to Egypt Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops -7.48 14.37 0.17-2.13 4.94-8.83 18.29 0.21-0.49 9.18 Vegetables, fruit & nuts -9.34 12.10 0.24 0.90 3.89-10.03 14.01 0.21 1.11 5.30 Other agriculture and forestry products -8.71 14.09 0.18-0.67 4.89-9.73 16.10 0.19-0.11 6.45 Fish products -7.12 12.57 0.83 3.09 9.37-4.20 17.49 0.46 3.72 17.47 Mining 0.72 21.94 0.08-0.61 22.13 3.08 23.32 0.32 0.03 26.75 Livestock and Meat Products 27.45 33.26 0.79-3.25 58.26 30.11 44.40 0.67-0.30 74.88 Vegetable oils and fats -9.66 27.10 0.02-7.17 10.29-12.05 25.80 0.03-7.23 6.55 Other processed food 516.01 39.50 1.05-1.04 555.53 562.83 51.31 0.89 0.15 615.18 28 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt

Short run Beverages and tobacco 539.72 5.60 1.16 1.38 547.86 955.24 20.70 1.53 3.96 981.42 Textiles -1.50 12.35 0.34 1.16 12.35-1.62 31.55 0.53 6.91 37.37 Wearing apparel -1.81 16.37 0.61 1.53 16.70-1.12 31.56 0.55 5.68 36.67 Leather products -4.77 13.73 0.40 0.30 9.66-2.68 31.08 0.07 4.49 32.96 Wood, paper, publishing -1.54 5.46 0.10-0.42 3.59 2.12 58.89-0.59 12.65 73.08 Petro-chemicals 3.14 14.72 0.29-0.90 17.25 5.86 14.72 0.38-0.33 20.63 Chemical, rubber, plastic products -0.28 10.63 0.04-0.77 9.62-0.58 15.19 0.03 0.00 14.64 Ceramics, cement, etc. -0.97 33.88 0.61 4.44 37.96-0.81 52.75 0.37 7.11 59.41 Primary metals -0.32 20.74 0.08-1.18 19.32 2.60 48.42-0.23 4.68 55.47 Fabricated metals -0.51 21.61 0.37 0.38 21.84 1.65 57.51 0.26 8.24 67.67 Motor vehicles 3.09 7.40 0.29-1.71 9.07 5.51 5.73 0.48-2.09 9.63 Electronics, computers -1.60 26.28 0.26-1.49 23.46 1.36 71.80-0.35 8.49 81.31 Other machinery and equipment -0.27 13.47-0.04-2.87 10.29 1.03 29.28-0.20 0.70 30.81 Other manufacturing -0.60 15.01 0.05-0.72 13.74 3.50 65.35-0.23 11.04 79.65 Utilities 0.11 10.61 14.76 4.76 30.24 5.12 54.34 16.41 14.60 90.48 Construction -1.48 1.86 7.32 1.08 8.79 0.20 14.11 7.42 4.17 25.89 Trade -1.11 5.09 8.44 2.48 14.90 0.56 12.35 8.18 4.02 25.11 Other transport services -0.56 1.52 7.63 0.42 9.02-0.19 8.92 7.17 2.25 18.15 Water transport -3.07 0.88 7.09-0.48 4.41-4.11 3.79 6.94 0.27 6.89 Air transport -11.49 0.20 4.44-0.54-7.39-19.36 6.40 4.13 1.05-7.77 Communications -1.36 3.93 7.47 1.75 11.79-1.14 17.24 7.02 5.00 28.12 Finance and insurance -0.80 4.46 7.28 1.92 12.86 0.29 10.88 7.23 3.38 21.78 Business and ICT -0.64 3.72 6.74 1.58 11.40 0.57 18.46 7.07 5.52 31.62 Personal and recreational services -5.37 1.83 5.48 0.10 2.05-5.42 4.64 5.32 0.64 5.18 Public and other services -2.34 3.99 8.24 1.61 11.50 1.32 25.05 8.40 6.58 41.35 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt 29

TableB.26 Change in Egypt's value added Short run Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Tariffs Goods NTMs Services NTMs Spillovers Total Grains and crops 0.28-0.44-0.05-0.42-0.63-0.19-3.65-0.09-1.71-5.64 Vegetables, fruit & nuts 0.01-0.08-0.02 0.04-0.06-0.61-1.22-0.03-0.17-2.02 Other agriculture and forestry products 0.19-0.13-0.04-0.06-0.04-0.16-3.19-0.07-0.98-4.39 Fish products -0.45 0.24 0.04 0.18 0.01-0.66 0.21 0.03 0.19-0.23 Mining 0.01-0.01 0.00-0.01-0.01 0.27-2.75-0.06-0.90-3.45 Livestock and Meat Products -0.45-0.64-0.13-0.73-1.95-1.33-3.84-0.11-1.83-7.10 Vegetable oils and fats 2.94-1.87-0.35 1.48 2.19 0.90-9.77-0.35-0.71-9.94 Other processed food -8.05-0.33 0.00 0.54-7.85-10.33-1.64 0.01 0.31-11.66 Beverages and tobacco -7.75-0.06 0.01 0.04-7.75-28.59-1.62 0.05-0.25-30.41 Textiles 0.35-0.31-0.10-0.29-0.35 0.72-8.74-0.20-2.98-11.19 Wearing apparel 0.26 0.04-0.06-0.10 0.14 0.57-3.66-0.07-1.21-4.36 Leather products 3.98 0.95-0.37-1.13 3.42 4.11-2.72-0.25-2.21-1.08 Wood, paper, publishing 0.28 0.38 0.01 0.08 0.75 0.59-0.30 0.05-0.10 0.24 Petro-chemicals 0.31 0.00 0.03-0.13 0.21 1.34-2.32 0.12-0.89-1.75 Chemical, rubber, plastic products 1.19 1.43-0.15 0.59 3.05 5.04-9.06-0.38-0.80-5.20 Ceramics, cement, etc. 0.19 0.06-0.02 0.19 0.41 0.37-3.90 0.00-0.57-4.10 Primary metals 0.88 0.86-0.28 0.54 1.99 0.76-4.82-0.23-0.42-4.71 Fabricated metals 0.39-1.11-0.11-0.27-1.11 0.57-8.92-0.13-2.22-10.70 Motor vehicles 0.17 0.69 0.03 0.16 1.04 1.16 0.40 0.15 0.00 1.71 Electronics, computers 0.34-0.30-0.04-0.31-0.31 0.85-4.11 0.02-1.48-4.72 Other machinery and equipment 0.05 0.60-0.01 0.16 0.80 30.94 277.52-3.17 70.87 376.16 Other manufacturing 0.10 0.04-0.07-0.06 0.01 1.09 0.93-0.20 0.08 1.90 Utilities 0.07 0.29 0.02 0.17 0.55 1.37 3.66-0.07 1.20 6.17 Construction 0.10-0.03 0.06-0.01 0.12 0.07-1.54 0.06-0.45-1.86 Trade -0.10 0.28 0.05 0.14 0.38 0.24-0.76 0.05-0.16-0.63 Other transport services 1.08-0.66 0.41-0.18 0.66 1.80-5.32 0.89-1.35-3.99 30 Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment in support of negotiations of a DCFTA between the EU and Egypt