Status of 1/25 Global HYCOM Simulations

Similar documents
O.M Smedstad 1, E.J. Metzger 2, R.A. Allard 2, R. Broome 1, D.S. Franklin 1 and A.J. Wallcraft 2. QinetiQ North America 2. Naval Research Laboratory

An Update on the 1/12 Global HYCOM Effort

Pacific HYCOM. E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft, Luis Zamudio and Patrick J. Hogan

An Update on the 1/12 Global HYCOM Effort

Concurrent simulation of the eddying general circulation and tides in a global ocean model

HYCOM and GODAE in Relation to Navy Ocean Prediction

Energetics of a global ocean circulation model compared to observations

An Overview of Nested Regions Using HYCOM

Defense Technical Information Center Compilation Part Notice

O.M Smedstad 1, E.J. Metzger 2, R.A. Allard 2, R. Broome 1, D.S. Franklin 1 and A.J. Wallcraft 2. QinetiQ North America 2. Naval Research Laboratory

Applying Basin-Scale HyCOM Hindcasts in Providing Open Boundary Conditions for Nested High-Resolution Coastal Circulation Modeling

Forecasting Tides in Global HYCOM

1/12 Pacific HYCOM: The End Of A Long Simulation

Enhancing predictability of the Loop Current variability using Gulf of Mexico Hycom

Ocean Modeling. Matt McKnight Boxuan Gu

Nested Gulf of Mexico Modeling with HYCOM

Forecasting Tides in Global HYCOM

U.S. Navy Global Ocean Forecast System (GOFS)

The Center for Ocean Atmospheric Prediction Studies, FSU, Tallahassee, FL 32306

Multi-decadal simulation of Atlantic Ocean climate variability driven by realistic high-frequency atmospheric reanalysis

HYCOM Caspian Sea Modeling. Part I: An Overview of the Model and Coastal Upwelling. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, USA

Cold air outbreak over the Kuroshio Extension Region

An Overview of Nested Regions Using HYCOM

Results from High Resolution North Atlantic HYCOM Simulations

Upper Ocean - Topographic Coupling in an Ocean Model with High Vertical Resolution

ESPC-2 Operational Implementation and Validation of the Coupled System

Impact of frontal eddy dynamics on the Loop Current variability during free and data assimilative HYCOM simulations

ESPC-2 Operational Implementation and Validation of the Coupled System

Dynamical Evaluation of Gulf Stream Simulations in Models with High Vertical Resolution

An Assessment of the Navy's Sea Ice Outlook Predictions for 2014

GFDL, NCEP, & SODA Upper Ocean Assimilation Systems

1/12 Pacific HYCOM: The End Of A Long Simulation

John Kindle. Sergio derada Igor Shulman Ole Martin Smedstad Stephanie Anderson. Data Assimilation in Coastal Modeing April

Abyssal Current Steering of Upper Ocean Current Pathways in an Ocean Model with High Vertical Resolution

Regional eddy-permitting state estimation of the circulation in the Northern Philippine Sea

Flow Through the Straits of the Philippine Archipelago Simulated by Global HYCOM and EAS NCOM

Assimilation of satellite altimetry referenced to the new GRACE geoid estimate

Eddy Resolving Global Ocean Prediction including Tides

Interannual Variability of the Gulf of Mexico Loop Current

Assessing Shelf Sea Tides in Global HYCOM

Analysis of Mixing and Dynamics Associated with the Dissolution of Hurricane-Induced Cold Wakes

New Salinity Product in the Tropical Indian Ocean Estimated from OLR

Comparing Mesoscale Eddy to Internal Gravity Kinetic Energy from HighResolution Global Ocean Models with. Moored Current Meter Observations

Applications of an ensemble Kalman Filter to regional ocean modeling associated with the western boundary currents variations

Arctic Cap Nowcast Forecast System (ACNFS) end of summer 2013 Ice Extent Projection July Report

Irminger Current Anticyclones in the Labrador Sea observed in the Hydrographic Record of

Eddy Shedding from the Kuroshio Bend at Luzon Strait

North Atlantic circulation in three simulations of 1/12, 1/25, and 1/50

Alexander Barth, Aida Alvera-Azc. Azcárate, Robert H. Weisberg, University of South Florida. George Halliwell RSMAS, University of Miami

ALASKA REGION CLIMATE FORECAST BRIEFING. October 27, 2017 Rick Thoman National Weather Service Alaska Region

HYCOM Caspian Sea Modeling. Part I: An Overview of the Model and Coastal Upwelling. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, USA

BASIN-SCALE OCEAN PREDICTION SYSTEM Lead PI: Robert C. Rhodes, NRL 7323 Telephone: (601) Fax: (601)

Nesting the Gulf of Mexico in Atlantic HYCOM: Oceanographic processes generated by Hurricane Ivan

Modeling of deep currents in the Japan/East Sea

A Modeling Study on Flows in the Strait of Hormuz (SOH)

Dmitry Dukhovskoy and Mark Bourassa

Eddy Resolving Global Ocean Prediction including Tides

GPC Exeter forecast for winter Crown copyright Met Office

Upper Ocean Circulation

General Comment on Lab Reports: v. good + corresponds to a lab report that: has structure (Intro., Method, Results, Discussion, an Abstract would be

A New Mapping Method for Sparse Observations of Propagating Features

3.6 EFFECTS OF WINDS, TIDES, AND STORM SURGES ON OCEAN SURFACE WAVES IN THE JAPAN/EAST SEA

The first operational weather prediction

A Regional HYCOM Model for the US West Coast

The US Navy s Current and Future Sea Ice Forecast Capabilities

Eddy Resolving Global Ocean Prediction including Tides

Development of a coastal monitoring and forecasting system at MRI/JMA

NOAA/OAR Observing Systems

ESPC Coupled Global Prediction System

WWOSC Montreal August 18, 2014

Investigate the influence of the Amazon rainfall on westerly wind anomalies and the 2002 Atlantic Nino using QuikScat, Altimeter and TRMM data

Robert Weaver, Donald Slinn 1

Coastal Antarctic polynyas: A coupled process requiring high model resolution in the ocean and atmosphere

July Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2016

Implementation of the SEEK filter in HYCOM

Validation of an Arctic/North Atlantic model system. Kristine S. Madsen, Till A.S. Rasmussen, Mads H. Ribergaard Danish Meteorological Institute

NOTES AND CORRESPONDENCE. Wind Stress Drag Coefficient over the Global Ocean*

Data Assimilation of Argo Profiles in Northwest Pacific Yun LI National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Beijing

Eddy and Chlorophyll-a Structure in the Kuroshio Extension Detected from Altimeter and SeaWiFS

Recent Improvements in the U.S. Navy s Ice Modeling Efforts Using CryoSat-2 Ice Thickness for Model Initialization

SEA ICE PREDICTION NETWORK (SIPN) Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Outlook Core Contributions July 2015 Report

Toward the Development of a Coupled COAMPS-ROMS Ensemble Kalman Filter and Adjoint with a focus on the Indian Ocean and the Intraseasonal Oscillation

Chapter 24 Tropical Cyclones

Developing Coastal Ocean Forecasting Systems and Their Applications

2009 NRL REVIEW N a V a L RE s E a R c h L abo R a t o R y

Typhoon Impacts and Student Support

Early Student Support for a Process Study of Oceanic Responses to Typhoons

August Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2012

Impact of Resolution on Extended-Range Multi-Scale Simulations

Analysis of Mixing and Dynamics Associated with the Dissolution of Hurricane-Induced Cold Wakes

Yellow Sea Thermohaline and Acoustic Variability

Effects of Eddy Variability on the Circulation of the Japan/ East Sea

Abyssal Current Steering of Upper Ocean Current Pathways in an Ocean Model with High Vertical Resolution

Upper-Ocean Processes under the Stratus Cloud Deck in the Southeast Pacific Ocean

Improvements to the Wind Driven Component of the OSCAR Surface Current Product

Predicting Tropical Cyclone Formation and Structure Change

LOM Layered Ocean Model Workshop, 2-4 June 2015, Copenhagen

Multi-century climate integrations at NOC

Global HYCOM and Advanced Data Assimilation

COUPLED TROPICAL CYCLONE-OCEAN MODELING FOR CAPABILITIES. Graduate School of Oceanography. Phone: Fax:

Transcription:

Status of 1/25 Global HYCOM Simulations Luis Zamudio 1 & Joe Metzger 2 1 Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University 2 Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, Mississippi Layer Ocean Model Workshop, Ann Arbor, Michigan, 21-23 May 2013

Background The 1/25 HYCOM/NCODA/CICE system (~3.5 km midlatitude resolution) is scheduled to replace the 1/12 GOFS 3.1 at the Naval Oceanographic Office in FY16 Preliminary hindcast of 1/25 HYCOM/NCODA ran on Navy DSRC Cray XT5 (Einstein), but it is not currently running on the new Navy DSRC IBMs Hindcast length: May 2010 through January 2012 Development path of 1/25 non-assimilative model is somewhat lagged due to cost and time HPC Grand Challenge project supplies computer resources Miscellaneous results from various 1/25 nonassimilative simulations are presented here along with a process study that focuses on the Labrador Sea 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 2

1/25 global HYCOM: GLBa0.04-04.0 Initialized from rest using T & S from GDEM 3.0 Spun-up for 10 years with ERA40 climatology Topography from a modified version of NRL DBDB2 5 m isobath as land-sea boundary Built-in energy loan (thermodynamic) sea ice model 32 layers, non-assimilative, no tidal forcing Relax SSS toward the Polar Science Center climatology 1/25 global HYCOM: GLBa0.04-04.1/04.2 Initialized from GLBa0.04-04.0 Interannual 0.5 NOGAPS forcing: 2003-2010 Long-term NOGAPS wind stress mean was replaced by ERA40 mean for consistency on the large scale 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 3

GLBa0.04 simulations often produce a realistic and robust Gulf Stream SSH mean over years 5-8 SSH variability over years 5-8 Figures 11 & 12 from Hurlburt et al. (2011, Operational Oceanography) This was the best-to-date representation of the Gulf Stream from non-assimilative HYCOM; Kuroshio looked equally good 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 4

Impact of Increasing Horizontal Resolution on RMS SSH Variability in the Gulf of Mexico Region 1/12 Global HYCOM 1/25 Global HYCOM From satellite altimeter data Core of high variability is farther north at 1/25 in western Gulf Higher variability extends farther to the west at 1/25 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 5

Response to Tropical Storms ONR sponsor S. Harper asked us to investigate the upper ocean response to tropical storms as part of the Impact of Typhoons on the Ocean in the Pacific (ITOP) project what is the response in existing global models? See an upper ocean response in 1/25 HYCOM but it is muted because of the weaker than observed atmospheric signal in 0.5 NOGAPS Typhoon Fanapi had Category 3 winds but only Tropical Storm force winds in NOGAPS Anticipate NAVGEM to perform better if distributed on 0.33 grid OPTEST showed improved tropical cyclone statistics 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 6

Upper Ocean Response to Typhoon Fanapi: Sept 2010 Mixed Later Depth SST SSH Wind speed

Impact of Irminger Ring Generation on the Labrador Sea Deep Convection Temp at 600 m Fan et al. (2013, JPO): Irminger Rings transport buoyant fresh and warm water to Labrador Sea providing resistance to deep convection Formed off west coast of Greenland where topographic slope changes Diameters range from 15-70 km Significant barotropic component to these eddies 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 8

Impact of Increasing Horizontal Resolution on EKE 2008 mean: EKE 0 m 1/25 1/12 1/4 1/25 1/12 1/4 EKE 700 m Better representation of Irminger Rings in 1/25 HYCOM

Strong Barotropic Component of Simulated Irminger Rings 500 m 1500 m Significant relative vorticity signature of Irminger Rings even at 1500 m 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 10

Significant Difference in Labrador Sea Deep Convection in 2007 and 2008 Based on Argo floats The observations of Yashayaev and Loder (2009, GRL) show shallow (deep) Labrador Sea mixed layer during the 2007 (2008) winter season. That is primarily due to weak (strong) wind events (heat loss from the ocean to the atmosphere) during the 2007 (2008) winter season and a secondary hypothesis is an increase (decrease) in the generation of Irminger Rings during the 2007 (2008) winter season.

The EKE Time Series Supports the Secondary Hypothesis of Irminger Rings Impacting Winter Deep Convection EKE at 500 m in eddy generation region 21 May 2013 12

1/25 global HYCOM: GLBb0.04-01.2 Initialized from GLBa0.04-04.0 Spun-up for 9 years with ERA40 climatology Topography from a modified version of GEBCO 10 cm isobath as land-sea boundary 1/25 global HYCOM: GLBb0.04-01.5 Initialized from GLBb0.04-01.2 Interannual 0.5 NOGAPS forcing: Jan 2007 Dec 2011 No tidal forcing 1/25 global HYCOM: GLBb0.04-01.7 Initialized from GLBb0.04-01.5 Interannual 0.5 NOGAPS forcing: Jul 2007 Jan 2011 Tidal forcing 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 13

1-hourly Steric SSH 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 14

Internal Tidal Signature Seen in Steric Sea Surface Height No Tides Tides 21 May 2013 LOM 2013 15