WFIRST is not just for Cold Planets: Transiting Planets with the WFIRST Microlensing Survey

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is not just for Cold Planets: Transiting Planets with the Microlensing Survey Matthew Penny, Ben Montet, Jennifer Yee Microlensing Science Investiagion Team Ohio State University penny@astronomy.ohio-state.edu

Acknowledgements Reporting the work of Ben Montet Measuring the Galactic Distribution of Transiting Planets with Montet, Yee & Penny 2017, PASP, 192, 044401 Also worth reading: ExELS: an exoplanet legacy science proposal for the ESA Euclid mission - II. Hot exoplanets and substellar systems McDonald et al. 2014, MNRAS, 445, 4137

Conclusions The microlensing is also a transit survey for free will discover more transiting planet candidates than Kepler & TESS combined Many candidates will be confirmable with the survey data, and most false positives will be removed The transiting planets will find will be an important link between s microlensing discoveries and Kepler s planet sample

The Microlensing Survey Kepler

Microlensing Survey 432 day survey 6x72 seasons over 5 years 2 deg2 15 min cadence Wide 1-2um bandpass Discover ~1500 cold exoplanets, including ~200 Earth-mass planets and hundreds of free-floating planets

Field of View 0.4 deg 0.8 deg

Field of View 0.05% - 1.8 x1.8

Compared to Transit Surveys Kepler TESS Area ~100 deg2 ~37,000 deg2 ~2 deg2 Cadence 30 min (+1 min) 30 min (+2 min) 15 min (+sub-exp.) Baseline Total Exposure 4.25 years 4.25 years 27 days-1 year 27 days-1 year 72 days-4.5 years 432 days Filter 0.4-0.9 um 0.6-1.0 um 1.0-2.0 um + some of R,Z,Y,J,H,F184 Systematic floor ~0.02 mmag/30 min <0.06 mmag/hr 1 mmag/15 min

Compared to Transit Surveys Kepler TESS Area ~100 deg2 ~37,000 deg2 ~2 deg2 Cadence 30 min (+1 min) 30 min (+2 min) 15 min (+sub-exp.) Baseline Total Exposure 4.25 years 4.25 years 27 days-1 year 27 days-1 year 72 days-4.5 years 432 days Filter 0.4-0.9 um 0.6-1.0 um 1.0-2.0 um + some of R,Z,Y,J,H,F184 Systematic floor ~0.02 mmag/30 min <0.06 mmag/hr 1 mmag/15 min

Compared to Transit Surveys Kepler TESS Area ~100 deg2 ~37,000 deg2 ~2 deg2 Cadence 30 min (+1 min) 30 min (+2 min) 15 min (+sub-exp.) Baseline Total Exposure 4.25 years 4.25 years 27 days-1 year 27 days-1 year 72 days-4.5 years 432 days Filter 0.4-0.9 um 0.6-1.0 um 1.0-2.0 um + some of R,Z,Y,J,H,F184 Systematic floor ~0.02 mmag/30 min <0.06 mmag/hr 1 mmag/15 min

Compared to Transit Surveys Kepler TESS Area ~100 deg2 ~37,000 deg2 ~2 deg2 Cadence 30 min (+1 min) 30 min (+2 min) 15 min (+sub-exp.) Baseline Total Exposure 4.25 years 4.25 years 27 days-1 year 27 days-1 year 72 days-4.5 years 432 days Filter 0.4-0.9 um 0.6-1.0 um 1.0-2.0 um + some of R,Z,Y,J,H,F184 Systematic floor ~0.02 mmag/30 min <0.06 mmag/hr 1 mmag/15 min Montet, Yee & Penny (2017)

Combine Galactic Model (Besancon) + Kepler Planet Occurrence Rates (Howard et al. 2012, Morton & Swift 2014 for M-dwarfs). Consider effect of [Fe/H] on occurrence. Apply SNR relations for Microlensing Survey Inject transits into simulated lightcurves

Combine Galactic Model (Besancon) + Kepler Planet Occurrence Rates (Howard et al. 2012, Morton & Swift 2014 for M-dwarfs). Consider effect of [Fe/H] on occurrence. Apply SNR relations for Microlensing Survey Inject transits into simulated lightcurves

Period-Radius Sensitivity Montet, Yee & Penny (2017)

Host Type Distribution *Numbers are here too large by ~30% due to switch from 10 to 7 fields [slew rates] Montet, Yee & Penny (2017)

False Positive Rejection Montet, Yee & Penny (2017) Secondary Eclipses detectable for 1100 hot Jupiters in W149 bandpass secondary eclipses of EB impostors much easier to detect. Also, ingress & egress durations can distinguish planets from EBs (A)chromatic primary eclipses? Not yet investigated

False Positive Rejection TTVs can also be used to confirm planets in favorable cases Montet, Yee & Penny (2017)

Compared to Transit Surveys Kepler TESS Number of Stars ~100,000 ~million ~100 million Horizon ~1 kpc (G2V) ~200 pc (G2V) ~8 kpc Populations Thin+thick disk Local Thin disk, bulge Planets Jupiters >8R ~200 ~300 ~1500 ~2300 Neptunes 4-8 S. Earths 2-4 Earths <2R 17000 Thompson et al. (2018) 3000 ~600 Sullivan et al. (2015) ~30-80,000* ~13-27,000* ~500* *f([fe/h]) ~0 Montet, Yee & Penny (2017)

Why more transits?

Combining & Kepler F, G, K, early M-dwarfs Late Mdwarfs Disk Bulge Kepler

Combining & Kepler MW Bulge MW Disk Hasselquist+2017 (APOGEE) Palladino et al. (2014)

s Transiting Planets Montet, Yee & Penny (2017)

Data Processing Montet, Yee & Penny (2017) Raw star lightcurves provided as data downloaded + delay ~day-week, calibrated No detrending, transit search, it s up to you! Funding will be available through the Guest Investigator program!

Possibilities for GO Proposals Propose! Propose! Propose! Propose! R062-F184 High cadence?

The Microlensing Survey Kepler

The Microlensing+Transit Survey Kepler

The Microlensing+Transit Survey CGI Kepler

Backup slides

Compared to Transit Surveys Kepler TESS Area ~100 deg2 ~37,000 deg2 ~2 deg2 Cadence 30 min (+1 min) 30 min (+2 min) 15 min (+sub-exp.) Baseline Total Exposure 4.25 years 4.25 years 27 days-1 year 27 days-1 year 72 days-4.5 years 432 days Filter 0.4-0.9 um 0.6-1.0 um 1.0-2.0 um + some of R,Z,Y,J,H,F184 Systematic floor ~0.02 mmag/30 min <0.06 mmag/hr Assumed 0.1 mmag/15 min Rauscher et al. (2007)