Chapter 14. Representative Table and Composite Regions. Betina V. Dimaranan Representative Table

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Chapter 14 Representative Table and Composite Regions Betina V. Dimaranan This chapter describes the representative input-output table and the construction of input-output tables for the composite regions in the GTAP version 5 data base. 14.1 Representative Table A representative table is created from the set of input-output tables which have full sectoral disaggregation. It is an I-O table created as a linear combination of these regions I-O tables. Ideally, the regions comprising the representative table should represent a broad economic and geographic spectrum. The representative table for GTAP 5 is a linear combination of the I-O tables of the following 12 regions: Australia, Korea,,, Denmark, France, Italy, Sweden, Hungary, Botswana, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. The representative table is used in several stages in the data base construction process. In the initial I-O table cleaning procedure, the representative table is used together with the initial I-O table as a source of scaling factors which are used in revising abnormal or infeasible values in the initial I-O table. The representative table is also used in the I-O table disaggregation procedure (chapter 13). For sectors that are not split in the original I-O table, the structure of production, intermediate usage, and consumption are adapted from the representative table. This is especially true for the nonagricultural sectors (we use agricultural I-O data for disaggregating agriculture; see chapter 12).

14-2 14.2 Composite Regions The GTAP 5 data base includes contributed input-output tables for 56 of the 66 regions 1. The regions for which we have original I-O data are referred to as primary regions. The I-O data for the primary regions are used to construct I-O tables for the 11 composite regions which account for the rest of the economies in the world that are not covered by the primary regions. The composite regions are: Rest of South Asia (XSA), Central America and the Caribbean (XCM), Rest of Andean Pact (XAP), Rest of South America (XSM), Rest of Central European Associates (XCE), Rest of Middle East (XME), Rest of North Africa (XNF), Rest of Southern Africa Customs Union (XSC), Other Southern Africa (XSF), Rest of Sub-Saharan Africa (XSS), and Rest of World (XRW). The I-O tables for the composite regions are constructed from the I-O tables of primary regions which have similar GDP per capita and economic characteristics as the countries that comprise the composite regions (see table 8.2 in chapter 8 for the country composition of the composite regions). We assume here that the average patterns of production, consumption, and savings in any individual country in the 11 composite regions can be approximated by patterns observed in one of the primary regions. We start by associating a primary region with each of the member countries in a composite region. The steps involved in the procedure are: all the 211 standard countries are matched with a primary region on the basis of similarity in GDP per capita the target total GDP is generated for each composite region; this is the sum of GDP for the individual countries comprising the composite region the primary regions matching the countries in the composite region in terms of similarity in GDP per capita are noted and GDP weights (ratio of country GDP to total target GDP) are assigned to each primary region for some composite regions, the primary region matching is revised based on similarity of economic characteristics between the country and the primary region the I-O table for each composite region is constructed by combining the I-O data from the primary region tables summed according to the GDP share weights 1 The 56 primary regions includes 55 GTAP regions plus the region within South Africa border region (i.e. Lesotho, Swaziland, and South Africa) for which we have a contributed input-output table. Together with Namibia, for which we have no I-O table, the region is referred to as the Rest of Southern Africa Customs Union (XSC) which is considered as a composite region in the data base.

14-3 Table 14.1 illustrates the procedure described above for the region Rest of South Asia. Thirteen percent of the final XSA I-O table comes from the I-O table of and 87 percent comes from the n I-O table. Table 14.2 reports the primary region I-O table sources for all the composite regions in the data base. In the case of XME, XSS, and XRW, no revision was made to the initial calculated matching between country components and primary regions. Table 14.1 Matching between Primary Regions and Country Components for Rest of South Asia Country Components Country GDP Primary Region Match Share Weight Initial Matching: Bhutan 273 0.38 Maldives 4027 New Zealand 5.68 Nepal 4922 Mozambique 6.94 Pakistan 61673 87.00 Total GDP in XSA 70895 100.00 Revised Matching: Bhutan + Maldives + Nepal Pakistan 9223 13.01 61673 86.99 70895 100.00 Rest of South Asia (XSA) Rest of Central America and Caribbean (XCM) Peru Brazil Chile Portugal Spain 13.01 86.99 4.49 3.75 6.28 9.72 18.62 9.49 11.36 9.52 10.08 11.69 1.99 2.99 Contd

14-4 (Continued) Rest of Andean Pact (XAP) Peru 100.00 Rest of South America (XSM) 7.04 45.07 47.89 Rest of EFTA (XEF) Switzerland 100.00 Rest of Middle East (XME) New Zealand Italy Former Soviet Union Morocco 23.43 1.03 2.73 1.93 29.66 8.99 27.68 4.54 Rest of North Africa (XNF) Morocco 100.00 Rest of SACU (XCU) within South Africa Border 100.00 Rest of Southern Africa (XSF) Malawi Mozambique Tanzania Zambia Zimbabwe Rest of Sub-Saharan Africa (XSS) Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Hungary Malawi Mozambique Tanzania Zambia 64.20 1.48 0.29 2.64 0.03 44.39 5.29 1.93 0.37 3.55 5.64 11.63 2.75 4.74 Contd

14-5 (Continued) Zimbabwe Rest of World (XRW) New Zealand China Hongkong Indonesia Thailand Brazil Belgium Greece Portugal Spain Poland Former Soviet Union Morocco 16.05 0.69 2.30 0.82 0.61 10.19 0.76 0.99 4.67 3.53 0.08 3.16 6.86 0.61 0.28 2.95 0.04 2.66 57.75 0.26 0.08 1.42