Japan s Future Space Science Missions in Astronomy and Astrophysics

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ASTRO-H (2015) JUICE (ESA) (2022) LiteBIRD CMB B-mode Athena (2028) SPICA (2025) WISH Japan s Future Space Science Missions in Astronomy and Astrophysics For Committee on Reviewing the Progress Toward the Decadal Survey Vision in New Worlds, New Horizons in Astronomy and Astrophysics Kazuhisa Mitsuda Research Director Institute of Space and Astronautical Science, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency

outline JAXA space science missions overview Basic plan 2015 for space policy Strategic planning by the Science Council of Japan Mission status ( phase A1) Strategic L-size missions SPICA, LiteBIRD Strategic contributions to foreign large missions Athena Mission candidates (pre-phase A) X-ray astronomy Optical and IR astronomy 2

Three lines of Space Science Missions Basic Plan 2015 for Space policy Strategic Large missions (L) (300M$ class) for JAXA-led flagship science missions with H2A/H3 vehicle (3 in 10 years) Competitively-chosen mediumsize focused missions (M) (<150M$ class) with Epsilon launch vehicle (every 2 years) Approved/candidate missions Phobos/Deimos ERG (#2) LIteBIRD SLIM(#3) SPICA AO for #4 & #5 issued soon Small size missions (S) Mission of opportunity for foreign agency-led missions (~10M$/year), and sub-orbitals and ISS. JUICE Athena 3

Provisional Timeline Space Policy Commission under cabinet office intends to allocate predetermined steady annual budget for space science and exploration for ISAS/ JAXA to maintain its excellent scientific activities. This does not mean the mission time lines below are guaranteed. However, they are foreseeable. 2020 2030 Strategic Large missions (L) ~3 in 10 years ASTRO-H Phobos/Deimos LiteBIRD Solar Sail SPICA Medium-size focused missions (M) every ~2 years, ERG SLIM AO Small-size missions (S) MoO and suborbital ~10M$/year Bepi/Columbo JUICE Athena 4

Early phases of space science missions Pre-phase A Phase A1 Phase A2 Phase B Pha MDR Strategic L missions ISAS PPR SRR ISAS PRR Phobos/Deimos LIteBIRD Solar Sail JAXA PRR SDR SPICA JAXA PAR PDR WG or CS team Researchers Preparation team 5 Pre- project ISAS reviews with the advisory commi@ees of space science/engineering ISAS key decision points Project life cycle reviews by ISAS ISAS JAXA key decision points JAXA Project JAXA PPR=Project Planning Review PRR=Project Readiness Review PAR=Project Approval Review

Strategic planning in Japan outside JAXA ISAS/JAXA evaluates and makes decision for space-science. missions. However, there are future-research evaluation processes outside ISAS. Among these, the most important is done by Science Council of Japan. Science Council of Japan (SCJ) Science Council of Japan is the representative, highest-level organization of Japanese scientist community ranging over all fields of sciences subsuming humanities, social sciences, life sciences, natural sciences, and engineering. The SCJ is evaluating large research plans every ~ 3 to 4 years. Latest one is Master Plan 2014 and its follow-up Road Map 2014. The strategic planning by SCJ does not directly affect the decisions of agencies and government. However, it indirectly and implicitly influences the decisions. About 60% of plans which were highly recommended in the previous master plan, were funded. 6

Strategic planning by SCJ in all fields of sciences Strategic planning of large future research plans by Science Council of Japan (SCJ). Master plan 2014 (Science Council of Japan) Large future research plans in all science fields Plan period= 5-10 years, cost > a few 10 M$ 209 plans recommended from communities 192 were listed in the master plan 27 were highly recommended Roadmap 2014 (Science Council of Japan) 27 in master plan 2014 were further evaluated 10 plans were specially recommended. 5 got highest (AA) rank Space science A & Ap: 8 Planetary sci: 2 Space Eng: 4 SKA LiteBIRD SPICA Space Technology Demonstration Program for exploration LiteBIRD SPICA 7

Mission status ( phase A1)

SPICA (IR astronomy mission) status Restructure process (2013-2015) Extensive concept study lead by JAXA and ESA. Key sciences, system requirements, J-E responsibilities. A slot in late 2020 s Review process International science review in July 2015. JAXA Mission Definition Review for new SPICA concept completed in September 2015. European SPICA team will propose the New SPICA concept in response to the ESA CV M5 call. 9

SPICA: Enrichment of the Universe with metal and dust, leading to the formation of habitable worlds O O galaxy H D HH H metal and dust enrichment through evolution Mg Si O H planetary system formation to habitable systems O O 20 30 40 ~100 galaxies at z = 4 10 ~60,000 galaxies at z = 0.5 3 ~4,000 nearby galaxies >1,000 debris disks with mid-ir excess >200 proto-planetary disks HRS 17.2 17.3 20 40 λ (µm) 60 12 14 16 λ (µm) 18 AKARI Mid-IR all-sky map

SPICA 10-15 SOFIA AKARI FIS-FTS Limiting Line Flux (5σ- 1hr) / Wm - 2 10-16 10-17 10-18 10-19 10-20 10 AKARI IRC R=25000 JWST/MIRI R=3000 Spitzer R=1000 SPICA/SMI SPICA ISO/LWS SOFIA R=300 HERSCHEL SPICA/SAFARI 2010's 2020's 20 100 200 350 1000 Wavelength / µm Parameter 11 ALMA Telescope Payload Module (PLM) Service Module (SVM) Description Core Wavelength 17 230 µm Orbit Launcher 2.5 m aperture, cooled below 8 K Halo around S-E L2 JAXA H3 Launch Year 2027-2028 ESA CDF

Work-sharing plan Telescope Payload Module Cryocooler Focal Plane Instrument Assembly FIR Spectrometer (SAFARI) NL + European countries + Canada & US MIR Instrument (SMI) SPICA Data Center (NAOJ) Bus Module Launcher Focal Plane Attitude Sensor Science Community JP, Europe, US, KR, TW,,, Exoplanet Spectroscopy (SPEChO) European countries 8 Possible US contributions Science Advisory Board members Natural extension of international science evaluation committee and SAFARI (?)

LiteBIRD (CMB B-mode mission) status Detection of CMB B-mode polarization down to a sensitivity of r = 0.001. A strong candidate for the mid 2020 s slot Proposal submitted to ISAS in response to a call for a strategic large mission in Feb. 2015. One of the two missions selected for phase-a1 study. US major contribution is expected. Proposal submitted to NASA in response to a call for SMEX and MoO in Dec. 2014. One of the two MoO missions selected for Phase A study J-US unified team is working hard in Phase-A(1) study. 13

LiteBIRD Overview Lite (Light) Satellite for the Studies of B-mode Polarization and Inflation from Cosmic Background Radiation Detection Total uncertainty on r: σ(r) < 0.001 Multipole coverage: 2 l 200 Each bump (reionization, recombination) with σ> 5 if r>0.01 This proposal polarized pola dust @ 95 GHz rize p=15%, f d sky=65% @9 syn chro 5GH z t fsky=, p=15% ron 65%, r=0.1 L D R I iteb This propo sal r=0.01 L2 orbit >3 year mission life

Why is LiteBIRD light? Space mission Ground telescope array All sky coverage but limited spatial resolution σ(r) < 0.001 2 l 200 high spatial resolution but limited sky coverage 30 l 10000 Good synergy HeavyBIRD is not very feasible as a space mission 15

LiteBIRD instruments 15 frequency bands Polarization sensitivity 15 frequency bands 10 4 Sensitivity [K] CO J43 CO J32 CO J21 CO J10 on otr hr nc Sy 10 2.4 µkarcmin (3 year operation, including margin) LFT Rotating HWP (4K) HFT Secondary mirror (4K) 5 st u D HFT HFT Primary mirror (4K) LFT CMB 10 LFT 6 40 100 Focal plane (0.1K) 400 Frequency [GHz] Masashi Hazumi (KEK, Kavli IPMU) US contribution LFT/HFT Focal plane sensor +cold frond-end +Last stage cooler Data analysis 2015/9/29 16

Participation to Athena (ESA led X-ray astronomy mission) $50M-100M participation. Mainly for cryogenic of the X-IFU. Importance of the participation is highly recognized by ISAS. Presently in the transition phase from pre-phase A to phase A1. The most important activity in phase A1, which is participation in the CC CTP (Cooling-Chain Core Technology Program) of ESA led by CNES, is recognized as technology development common to SPICA and LiteBIRD, and starts soon, 17 ESA CDF Pradines (CNES)

A& Ap Mission concepts (Pre-phase A) (studied by researcher communities, working groups, under support of ISAS)

X-ray astronomy ASTRO-H (L size) Structure formation, feedback and Black hole Super ASTRO-H ATHENA (ESA: MoO, S size) High-resolution spectroscopy (2028) (early 2016) Hard X-ray Imaging spectroscopy Wide-FOV high-resolution spectroscopy ~100 times more grasp than ASTRO-H SXS Structure formation, Missing Baryon US participation: X-ray microcalorimeter contribution to cryogenic instrument NGHXT (M size) 15 resolution (~4 times better than Nu-Star) US participation: Hard X-ray optics DIOS (M size) 19

Optical & IR astronomy WISH (L size) The early universe: The earliest galaxy formation at z=8-15 Cosmic Expansion History with type Ia Supernovae S-JASMINE (M size) US participation: IR detector array and front-end electronics Evolution of the Galactic bulge and the central BH IR astrometry of the Galactic Center region Europe and China collaborations for data analysis Mission was not selected in down selection in 2015. Restructure of mission is being considered. Participation to WFIRSTAFTA/ (NASA, MoO, S size) Participation in coronagraph is studied 20

Summary In the basic plan of space policy revised in Jan. 2015, mission sizes and frequencies (or budge size) of three mission lines are pre-determined, which makes Japanese future space science missions foreseeable. JAXA is selecting strategic L-size missions for the three slots down to late 2020 s. Presently US contribution is not formalized for SPICA. However there are some possible areas of collaboration. US contribution is essential for LiteBIRD. Several missions are under concept study by researcher communities. All of them involves International collaboration. 21

ASTRO-H (2015) JUICE (ESA) (2022) LiteBIRD CMB B-mode Athena (2028) SPICA (2025) WISH THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION www.jaxa.jp www.isas.jaxa.jp www.astro.isas.jaxa.jp/ mitsuda