Overview of past procurement of Solar Direct Drive (SDD) refrigeration systems and UNICEF SD support in Cold Chain

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Bennett Griffith
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1 Overview of past procurement of Solar Direct Drive (SDD) refrigeration systems and UNICEF SD support in Cold Chain 1

UNICEF Supply Does Make a Difference The overall objectives include:

establishing Long Term Arrangements Ensuring an uninterrupted sustainable

UNICEF has been part of the SolarChill partnership and procured the first

2 UNICEF Supply Does Make a Difference The overall objectives include: Shorten procurement and production process (at least by one month) by establishing Long Term Arrangements Ensuring an uninterrupted sustainable supply of affordable quality products. UNICEF has been part of the SolarChill partnership and procured the first two SDD systems for testing in As of today, UNICEF has procured 1,841 SDD systems for 24 different countries. 2

3 Key Drivers of SDD adoption New vaccine introduction Innovation controlled environment, less recurrent cost implications and reduced maintenance needs Sustainability - Increased interest and demand for sustainable products move towards solar direct drive Emerging Market - Global Partner engagement 3

4 SDD past procurement 4

5 Majority of the cold chain procurement consists of refrigerators and freezers (based on value) 100% 90% 80% 32% 39% 26% 47% 42% 14% 29% 70% 60% 50% % of other CC items of total 40% 30% 68% 61% 74% 53% 58% 86% 71% % of Refr/Freezers of total 20% 10% 0% YTD 5

6 The SDD off-take is increasing and represents 13.2% of all refrigerators and freezers procured by in ,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, ,908 6,770 8,910 6,943 4, YTD 6 17,996 4,274 Non-SDD SDD

7 There is a clear decline in the demand for absorption refrigerators 6,000 5,642 5,000 4,000 3,000 3,171 2,478 SDD Absorption 2,000 1, ,511 1, YTD 7

UNICEF procurement of SDD systems 2007 2013 ytd by category 6% 20% 21%

8 UNICEF procurement of SDD systems ytd by category 6% 20% 21% 23% 30% <30L, temp L, hot L, hot L, temp. >150L, temp. 8

9 D proc. volumes (ytd. 2013) YTD >150L, temp L, temp L, hot 30-60L, hot <30L, temp

The Increased off-take off SDDs is anticipated to continue. So far, in 2013 27% of solar based systems supplied by SD are SDDs.

10 The Increased off-take off SDDs is anticipated to continue. So far, in % of solar based systems supplied by SD are SDDs. 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,864 1,563 1, YTD 10 SDD BPS

11 SDD introduction at country level 11

12 68% of the SDD demand has been for the African Region ( ytd) SSD Systems by region EAPRO ESARO MENA TACRO WCARO 12

9 out of 25 WCARO countries (West and Central Africa) have ordered SDD systems (2010-2013 ytd) 90 30

13 9 out of 25 WCARO countries (West and Central Africa) have ordered SDD systems ( ytd) Chad DR Congo Gambia Guinea Conakry Mali Mauritania Niger 10 Sierra Leone Togo 13

14 5 out of 23 ESARO countries (Eastern and Southern Africa) have ordered SDD systems ( ytd) Ethiopia Kenya Madagascar South Sudan Zimbabwe 14

15 8 out of 30 EAPRO countries (East Asia and the Pacific) have ordered SDD systems ( ytd) Korea DPR Philippines PICs 6 PICs with SDD orders: Cook Islands, Fiji, Kiribati, Micronesia, Sol. Islands, Vanuatu 15

16 1 out of 20 MENA countries (Middle East and North Africa) have ordered SDD systems ( ytd) 24 Sudan 16

17 1 out of TACRO countries (Latin America and the Caribbean) have ordered SDD systems ( ytd) 248 Haiti 17

18 Complex and challenging forecast 18

One country program pushed the demand for compression refrigerators and freezers exceptionally high 2012 16,000 15,429 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000

19 One country program pushed the demand for compression refrigerators and freezers exceptionally high ,000 15,429 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 5,348 4,000 2,000 3,036 2,820 2,096 2,575 3,306 1,749 0 forecast actual forecast actual forecast actual forecast actual YTD

The off take of absorption refrigerators and freezers are declining (2010-2013 ) 4,500 4,163 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,458 2,237 2,000

20 The off take of absorption refrigerators and freezers are declining ( ) 4,500 4,163 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,458 2,237 2,000 1,500 1,000 1,233 1, , actual forecast actual forecast actual forecast actual YTD forecast

The forecast for conventional (BPS) solar systems suggests an increase in 2014 while the current off-take for 2013 is 53% of the forecasted quantity 3,500 3,000 2,971

21 The forecast for conventional (BPS) solar systems suggests an increase in 2014 while the current off-take for 2013 is 53% of the forecasted quantity 3,500 3,000 2,971 3,156 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,634 1,563 1, forecast actual forecast actual forecast actual forecast actual YTD forecast

22 The majority of the current forecasted 2014 demand of BPS solar systems is for refrigerators and freezers of a capacity over 50 litres 2,500 2,000 2,085 1,500 1,000 BPS forecast refr/fr <30L refr/fr 30-50L refr/fr >50L refr >120L Refrig or Fr >100L 22

The suggested forecast for 2014 suggests an increase by 378% to be supplied through while the plausible volume is currently estimated around 1000 systems.

23 The suggested forecast for 2014 suggests an increase by 378% to be supplied through while the plausible volume is currently estimated around 1000 systems. 3,500 3,000 3,230 2,500 2,396 2,000 1,500 1, forecast actual forecast actual forecast actual forecast actual YTD forecast

24 36 percent of the 2014 suggested forecast for SDD system is for systems with 60<90 liters capacity. So far there are none WHO PQS listed. 1,200 1,163 1, SDD forecast refr <30L refr 30-60L refr 60-90L refr L refr/fr L refr >120L 24

25 So far, 648 systems or 27% of the 2013 forecast quantity has materialized various explanations exists Other procurement channels - Shift from UNICEF to Government or other (HSS) Other plausible reasons: Funding availability and timing Optimistic forecasting - Competing priorities at country level potential shift of the forecast to

26 SD Cold Chain Support 26

27 Cold Chain Support offered to countries by Technical Support including Deployment Support - EVM assessments - Pre- and Post technical support - Needs assessment and guidance on equipment - Training in installation, use and preventive maintenance - Cold Chain Gap analysis targeting GAVI countries, - Solar system sizing tool enabling determination of the solar energy requirement by a refrigerator based on the insolation and ambient temperature. Post procurement follow up and monitoring - Follow up and support in installation and training in installation, use and preventive maintenance - Performance monitoring - Procurement process and establishments of Long Term Arrangements - Expediting and complaints handling 27

28 Sample of performance monitoring - Solar Direct Drive refrigeration systems The Tent. 1/3 Donation by the Suppliers of the complete range of PQS listed SDD system sized for Danish conditions: 7 SDD products - 3 technologies (ice banks, ice-lined and PCM) and 1 Battery power storage (BPS) system conventional solar 28

29 Sample of performance monitoring - Solar Direct Drive refrigeration systems. - 2/3 Purpose Monitor performance (Technical Unit) Get acquainted with new technologies (Innovation Team) Exhibit for visitors (MOHs, EPI/Supply/Program, CO and RO colleagues, Donors, Partners, Good will Ambassadors etc.) 29

30 Sample of performance monitoring - Solar Direct Drive refrigeration systems ytd. 3/3 Outcome - Enhanced procurement support pre- and post procurement. Hands on knowledge of equipment, installation and required maintenance with a better understanding of the systems, how they work, how they perform, and how they are set up. Strengthened and expanded technical expertise of the new technologies benefitting country programs Capacity Development Basis for system enhancement of each one of the exhibit products Individual supplier sessions on performance and observations made planned for Q4. 30

31 Almost 10 weeks of Remote Temperature monitoring Each unit was fitted with a cable sensor placed as near as possible to the center of the refrigeration compartment. In parallel, monitoring of the Ambient temperature in the tent. (Min/Max temperatures inside the tent +5.4ºC /37.5ºC. A drastic drop in temp. and Irradiation is expected soon, which will fall outside the working Ambient temperature for most units, (Between 5ºC and 43ºC). Monitoring will continue as long as the weather conditions allow. 31

32 11:00:00 13:20:00 15:40:00 18:00:00 20:20:00 22:40:00 01:00:00 03:20:00 05:40:00 08:00:00 10:20:00 12:40:00 15:00:00 17:20:00 19:40:00 22:00:00 00:20:00 02:40:00 05:00:00 07:20:00 09:40:00 12:00:00 14:20:00 16:40:00 19:00:00 21:20:00 23:40:00 02:00:00 04:20:00 06:40:00 09:00:00 11:20:00 13:40:00 16:00:00 18:20:00 20:40:00 23:00:00 01:20:00 03:40:00 06:00:00 08:20:00 10:40:00 13:00:00 15:20:00 17:40:00 20:00:00 22:20:00 00:40:00 03:00:00 05:20:00 07:40:00 10:00:00 Sample of a Temperature monitoring period over 5 days

33 Welcome! 33

34 UNICEF REGIONAL CLASSIFICATION Eastern and Southern Africa Eastern and Southern Africa Regional Office (ESARO) Angola, Botswana, Burundi, Comoros, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Rwanda, Seychelles, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Swaziland, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe West and Central Africa West and Central Africa Regional Office (WCARO) Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Congo, Côte d Ivoire, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Liberia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Togo Middle East and North Africa Middle East and North Africa Regional Office (MENARO) Algeria, Bahrain, Djibouti, Egypt, Iran (Islamic Republic of), Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, State of Palestinian, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syrian Arab Republic, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, Yemen Central and Eastern Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States Central and Eastern Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States Regional Office (CEE/CIS) Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, Kyrgyzstan, Montenegro, Republic of Moldova, Romania, Russian Federation, Serbia, Tajikistan, The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan South Asia Regional Office for South Asia (ROSA) Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Federal Democratic Republic of Nepal, India, Maldives, Pakistan, Sri Lanka East Asia and the Pacific* East Asia and Pacific Regional Office (EAPRO) Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Cook Islands, Democratic People s Republic of Korea, Indonesia, Kiribati, Lao People s Democratic Republic, Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Micronesia (Federated States of), Mongolia, Myanmar, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Republic of Fiji, Republic of Korea, Samoa, Singapore, Solomon Islands, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Viet Nam Latin America and the Caribbean* Latin America and the Caribbean Regional Office (TACRO**) Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Bolivia (Plurinational State of), Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Grenada, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 1-2 October 2013 Solar Direct 34 Drive

GINA Children. II Global Index for humanitarian Needs Assessment (GINA 2004) Sheet N V V VI VIII IX X XI XII XII HDR2003 HDR 2003 UNDP

GINA Children. II Global Index for humanitarian Needs Assessment (GINA 2004) Sheet N V V VI VIII IX X XI XII XII HDR2003 HDR 2003 UNDP Human UNICEF Index Index Natural 2003 GDP per Total as % of Total Rate HDI HPI Disasters Conflicts capita Population population 5 1 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 2,80000 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 Burundi