NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
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- Rosalind Edwards
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1 January 2016 February 9, 2016 This was a dry month across the HSA despite one large and several smaller snowfalls. Most locations ended up 1-2 inches below normal for the month. The driest locations at 2-3 inches below normal were in Hardin and Clinton counties in Kentucky and Jefferson county in Indiana. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 1.01 inches, 2.23 inches below normal; Lexington 1.24 inches, 1.96 inches below normal; Frankfort 1.45 inches, 1.81 inches below normal; Bowling Green 1.81 inches, 1.80 inches below normal. January 2016 January 2016 Departure from Normal The first few weeks of the month were fairly dry with a just two main systems moving through that brought a quarter of an inch to an inch of rain each. The highest precipitation totals for the month came from two systems that brought accumulating snow from the 20 th -22 nd. The first system resulted in 2-4 inches of snow across much of the HSA. The second snowfall from the 22 nd brought 1-5 inches of snow to southern Indiana and Kentucky counties along the Ohio River. East central and south central Kentucky received anywhere from 6 to 19 inches of snowfall. Liquid equivalent from the storm on the 22 nd ranged from a few hundredths of an inch to almost an inch and a half. The only flooding for the month was on the Ohio River at Tell City and Cannelton, IN. This flooding was ongoing from the end of December and had receded by January 2 nd. By the end of the month streamflows were normal in most locations. Reservoir levels were near normal across the HSA.
2 NWS FORM E-3 NOAA, FLOOD STAGE REPORT HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA: MONTH: January YEAR: 2016 RIVER AND STATION FLOOD STAGE (FEET) ABOVE FLOOD STAGE (UTC) FROM TO STAGE (FEET) PRELIMINARY CREST (UTC) TIME (UTC) Ohio River Cannelton IN 42 12/29/15 22:30 1/1/16 04: /30/15 20:30 Tell City IN 38 12/29/15 00:00 1/2/16 20: /30/15 19:45 SA Still Above
3 February 2016 February 9, 2016 February was overall a warmer and wetter than normal across the region, despite some cold spells. Rainfall amounts were generally 4-6, with localized higher spots, mainly southeast of Bowling Green. Most locations ended up half an inch to two inches above normal. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 4.81 inches, 1.63 inches above normal; Lexington 4.46 inches, 1.26 inches above normal; Frankfort 4.57 inches, 1.28 inches above normal; Bowling Green 4.77 inches, 0.81 inches above normal. January 2016 January 2016 Departure from Normal The month started out warm and wet with of rain across the region. This led to minor flooding on the Green and Rough Rivers. The next significant precipitation came on Valentine s Day with 3-6 of snow along with some rain. On the 23 rd -24 th a low pressure system lifted out of the Gulf of Mexico and moved across central KY bringing widespread 1-3 of rain. This caused minor flooding on the Green River. By the end of the month streamflows were near normal in most locations. Reservoir levels by the end of the month were slightly elevated across the HSA. Soil moisture was slightly above normal as well.
4 NWS FORM E-3 NOAA, FLOOD STAGE REPORT HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA: MONTH: February YEAR: 2016 RIVER AND STATION FLOOD STAGE (FEET) ABOVE FLOOD STAGE (UTC) FROM TO STAGE (FEET) PRELIMINARY CREST (UTC) TIME (UTC) Rough River Dundee 25 02/03/16 20:37 02/04/16 13: /04/16 04:45 Green River Woodbury 33 02/04/16 03:30 02/06/16 08: /05/16 02:45 02/25/16 04:00 02/26/16 21: /25/16 20:30
5 March 2016 April 7, 2016 March was overall a warmer than normal across the region and wetter than normal north of a line from approximately Bowling Green, KY to Lexington, KY. South of that line, rainfall was near or below normal for the month. There was a wide range of rainfall totals for the month, from less than 2 inches in the east to over 8 inches near the Ohio River. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 5.50 inches, 1.33 inches above normal; Lexington 2.79 inches, 1.28 inches below normal; Frankfort 6.08 inches, 1.70 inches above normal; Bowling Green 3.82 inches, 0.59 inches below normal. March 2016 March 2016 Departure from Normal The largest rainfall for the month was from March 9-11 where 1-3 inches of rain fell over the 3 day period northwest of a line from Logan county KY to Harrison county KY. This caused minor flooding on the Rough River at Dundee. This was the only river flooding that occurred this month. By the end of the month streamflows were near normal in southern IN, but below normal in portions of central KY, particularly the Kentucky River basin. Reservoir levels by the end of the month were near normal across the HSA. Soil moisture was slightly above normal by the end of the month.
6 NWS FORM E-3 NOAA, FLOOD STAGE REPORT HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA: MONTH: March YEAR: 2016 RIVER AND STATION FLOOD STAGE (FEET) ABOVE FLOOD STAGE (UTC) FROM TO STAGE (FEET) PRELIMINARY CREST (UTC) TIME (UTC) Rough River Dundee 25 03/11/16 14:30 03/12/16 02: /11/16 20:30
7 April 2016 May 10, 2016 The first few weeks of April were mostly dry with only a couple of systems moving through bringing half an inch to two inches of rain to the HSA. A series of systems them moved through during the end of the month bringing an additional 2-4 inches of rain to some portions of the region, particularly across north central KY and southern IN. The month ended with above normal precipitation along and north of the Ohio River and below normal precipitation across most of central Kentucky. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 3.18 inches, 0.83 inches below normal; Lexington 3.31 inches, 0.29 inches below normal; Frankfort 3.07 inches, 0.62 inches below normal; Bowling Green 1.53 inches, 2.81 inches below normal. April 2016 April 2016 Departure from Normal Despite a system bringing 2-3 inches of rain to southern IN and north central KY April 27-28, no flooding occurred on any rivers in the HSA during the month. It did result in above normal streamflows across southern IN and in the Kentucky River and Rolling Fork river basins. Reservoir levels were above normal at Patoka Lake by the end of the month due to the large amounts of rainfall and restrictions on water releases at the site. On the other hand, levels at Barren River Lake were below normal due to the below normal rainfall for the season so far. No problems were noted with water supply or navigation.
8 May 2016 June 8, 2016 Multiple systems spread throughout the month brought rain to the HSA. The most significant was from May where 2-4 inches of rain region-wide resulted in rises in the rivers. Rainfall for the month ended up mainly above normal south of the Bluegrass Parkway in KY, with the exception of the Lake Cumberland region. North of the Parkway, rainfall varied from slightly above to slightly below normal. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 4.56 inches, 0.71 inches below normal; Lexington 6.49 inches, 1.23 inches above normal; Frankfort 4.49 inches, 0.36 inches below normal; Bowling Green 7.24 inches, 1.63 inches above normal. May 2016 May 2016 Departure from Normal No river flooding occurred within the HSA this month. However, a Flood Advisory was issued for Alvaton on Drake s Creek and Dundee on the Rough River on May 12 following the heavy rainfall. Dundee was eventually upgraded to a Flood Warning, but crested 0.4 feet below flood stage. Heavy rain on May 26 led to flash flooding in Horse Cave, KY. Water in the cave rose quickly and trapped a tour group. The group was eventually able to exit the cave safely with no injuries. By the end of the month streamflows were normal across the HSA. Reservoir levels were also near normal except at Patoka Lake and Rough River Lake which were 5 to 7 feet above due to the large amounts of rainfall and restrictions on water releases downstream. No problems were noted with water supply or navigation.
9 June 2016 Erin Rau, Assistant Hydrologist July 9, 2016 The month started out wet with multiple systems moving through during the first week. The rest of the month saw only sporadic systems moving through with multiple days of dry weather in between. Much of central Kentucky ended up drier than normal for the month while much of southern Indiana ended up wetter than normal. Specific patterns were difficult to discern. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 4.25 inches, 0.46 inches above normal; Lexington 4.56 inches, 0.12 inches above normal; Frankfort 4.43 inches, 0.34 inches above normal; Bowling Green 2.47 inches, 1.73 inches below normal. June 2016 June 2016 Departure from Normal Despite the drier than normal conditions across much of central KY, soil moisture was near normal by the end of the month. No areas were in a drought. Streamflows and reservoir levels were near normal for the month as well across the region.
10 July 2016 Erin Rau, Assistant Hydrologist August 8, 2016 An X inside this box indicates that no flooding occurred within this hydrologic service area. July was a wet month across the HSA as all areas ended up with above normal rainfall. In particular, southwest central Kentucky and south central Indiana ended up with well above normal rainfall. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 4.65 inches, 0.42 inches above normal; Lexington 4.98 inches, 0.33 inches above normal; Frankfort 7.61 inches, 3.22 inches above normal; Bowling Green inches, 7.02 inches above normal. July 2016 July 2016 Departure from Normal A series of storm systems moved through during the first week of July. This culminated in a system moving through on July 6 which brought 2-5 inches of rain to south central Kentucky. The 5 day totals across south central Kentucky ranged from 5-7 inches. This resulted in flooding on the Green River at Rochester and Woodbury as well as on Drake s Creek at Alvaton. The flood crest at Rochester had to be estimated as there is a section of the staff gauge missing. Several other systems brought 1-2 of rain to the area in a 24 hour period, and one on July 27 resulted in 2-4 of rain. However, no other river flooding occurred during the month. Due to the above normal rainfall, streamflows were above normal at the end of the month. Soil moisture at the end of the month was above normal as well. Reservoir levels were near normal by the end of the month across the region.
11 NWS FORM E-3 NOAA, FLOOD STAGE REPORT HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA: MONTH: July YEAR: 2016 RIVER AND STATION FLOOD STAGE (FEET) ABOVE FLOOD STAGE (UTC) FROM TO STAGE (FEET) PRELIMINARY CREST (UTC) TIME (UTC) Drakes Creek Alvaton 24 07/07/16 20:05 07/08/16 19: /08/16 05:15 Green River Woodbury 33 07/07/16 11:45 07/11/16 18: /09/16 11:30 Rochester 17 07/08/16 10:20 07/13/16 10: E 07/10/16 18:00 E - Estimated
12 August 2016 Erin Rau, Assistant Hydrologist September 8, 2016 August precipitation was one to three inches above normal in most locations across the HSA. The wettest spot was in Grayson County, KY. The only area that had below normal rain for the month was south central KY which was an inch or two shy of normal. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 5.71 inches, 2.38 inches above normal; Lexington 6.54 inches, 3.29 inches above normal, tenth wettest August on record; Frankfort 4.35 inches, 0.99 inches above normal; Bowling Green 5.16 inches, 1.83 inches above normal. August 2016 August 2016 Departure from Normal A series of storm systems moved through the region throughout the month. These systems prompted numerous Areal Flood Advisories as well as a few Flash Flood Warnings both at the beginning and the end of the month. No River Flood Warnings were issued, but three systems moving over the Green basin during the middle of the month dropped 3-4 of rain, resulting in the Green River at Rochester rising to Action stage. Due to the above normal rainfall, streamflows were above normal at the end of the month. Soil moisture at the end of the month was above normal as well. Several reservoirs were above normal pool at the end of the month, but were dropping back to normal. No areas remained in a drought.
13 September 2016 Erin Rau, Assistant Hydrologist October 10, 2016 After a very wet August, September was a very dry month across most of the HSA. With the exception of some isolated spots receiving above normal rainfall, most locations received half an inch to three inches below the normal rainfall for the month. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 2.28 inches, 0.77 inches below normal; Lexington 1.67 inches, 1.24 inches below normal; Frankfort 2.05 inches, 1.28 inches below normal; Bowling Green 1.57 inches, 2.36 inches below normal. September Departure from Normal Most of the rainfall for the month came from a few systems that brought fairly widespread rainfall. The most significant of these was during the middle of the month when a large portion of south central KY and portions of east central KY received 1-3 inches of rain. Between these few systems were long dry periods of up to a week. No areas of drought were noted at the beginning of the month due to the wet August. However, by the end of the month southern IN and portions of north central KY stretching towards Lexington were classified as D0, slight drought, due to the dry month. Despite this, soil moisture was near normal and streamflows were near normal for most area rivers. Reservoir levels were near normal as well. There were no problems reported with navigation or water supply.
14 October 2016 Erin Rau, Assistant Hydrologist November 11, 2016 Dry conditions worsened across the region through the month of October as high pressure dominated. Rainfall amounts area wide ranged from one to four inches below normal for the month. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 0.65 inches, 2.57 inches below normal; Lexington 0.83 inches, 2.30 inches below normal; Frankfort 0.65 inches, 2.59 inches below normal; Bowling Green 0.56 inches, 2.82 inches below normal. October 2016 Oct Departure from Normal With the lack of rainfall, all of central Kentucky was upgraded to a D1 drought by the end of the month. Southern Indiana was split between a D1 in the west and a D0 in the east. Some agricultural interests across south central KY had begun to experience issues with farm ponds and wells getting low. However, no municipal water supplies were affected. Streamflows were running below normal on some streams across central Kentucky, but near normal on the larger rivers and across southern IN. Soil moisture was below normal across central KY, with the worst conditions near the Lake Cumberland region. Soil moisture across southern IN remained near normal. Despite the drought, drawdowns on area reservoirs to winter levels were expected to proceed as normal.
15 November 2016 Erin Rau, Assistant Hydrologist December 10, 2016 The drought worsened across the region through the month of November. Rainfall amounts area widely ranged from one to three inches below normal for the month. This is on the heels of an October with a rainfall deficit of one to four inches area wide. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 1.65 inches, 1.94 inches below normal; Lexington 1.34 inches, 2.19 inches below normal; Frankfort 1.49 inches, 2.24 inches below normal; Bowling Green 1.91 inches, 2.31 inches below normal. In addition, this was one of the top ten warmest Novembers on record at many locations. November 2016 Nov Departure from Normal By the end of the month, the Lake Cumberland region of central Kentucky had been upgraded to D3 drought with the rest of central KY in D2. Southern Indiana was mainly in D1. The extreme drought (D3) was the first in that area since Due to the dryness of fuels, burn bans were in effect across much of the region by the end of the month. Many forest fires were recorded. Cattle producers were hauling in hay and grain to feed cattle due to lack of field growth. Some also had to haul in water due to ponds drying up. Streamflows were running below normal or much below normal on most of the rivers across the HSA. Despite the drought, drawdowns to winter pool continued as normal on area reservoirs. While there was some concern, no problems were reported with municipal supplies.
16 December 2016 Erin Rau, Assistant Hydrologist December 10, 2016 An X inside this box indicates that no flooding occurred within this hydrologic service area. December brought much needed rain to the area as multiple systems through the month brought over an inch of rain, with a few other smaller rain makers moving through as well. Most of the region saw between 4-8 inches of rain, which is generally 1-4 inches above normal for December. The only area near or slightly below normal was a few counties in southern IN. Specific rainfall amounts for area airports are: Louisville 5.30 inches, 1.47 inches above normal; Lexington 6.18 inches, 2.25 inches above normal; Frankfort 5.47 inches, 1.46 inches above normal; Bowling Green 4.74 inches (may be low due to equipment failure), 0.06 inches below normal. December 2016 Dec Departure from Normal By the end of the month, the Lake Cumberland region of central Kentucky had been upgraded to D3 drought with the rest of central KY in D2. Southern Indiana was mainly in D1. The extreme drought (D3) was the first in that area since Due to the dryness of fuels, burn bans were in effect across much of the region by the end of the month. Many forest fires were recorded. Cattle producers were hauling in hay and grain to feed cattle due to lack of field growth. Some also had to haul in water due to ponds drying up. Streamflows were running below normal or much below normal on most of the rivers across the HSA. Despite the drought, drawdowns to winter pool continued as normal on area reservoirs. While there was some concern, no problems were reported with municipal supplies.
The hydrologic service area (HSA) for this office covers Central Kentucky and South Central Indiana.
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