Introduction to Data Assimilation
|
|
- Malcolm Allen
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Introduction to Data Assimilation Alan O Neill Data Assimilation Research Centre University of Reading What is data assimilation? Data assimilation is the technique whereby observational data are combined with output from a numerical model to produce an optimal estimate of the evolving state of the system. 8 th 9 th August 003
2 Why We Need Data Assimilation range of observations range of techniques different errors data gaps quantities not measured quantities linked 8 th 9 th August 003
3 Some Uses of Data Assimilation Operational weather and ocean forecasting Seasonal weather forecasting Land-surface process Global climate datasets Planning satellite measurements Evaluation of models and observations 3 8 th 9 th August 003
4 c What We Want To Know x( t) s( t) atmos. state vector surface fluxes model parameters X( ) ( x( t), s( t), c) t = What We Also Want To Know Errors in models Errors in observations What observations to make 4 8 th 9 th August 003
5 DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM Data Cache A Error Statistics model observations O DAS A Numerical Model F B The Data Assimilation Process observations forecasts compare reject adjust estimates of state & parameters errors in obs. & forecasts 5 8 th 9 th August 003
6 Retrievals and Assimilation Problems with retrievals a priori state and poorly known errors Problems with assimilation of radiance systematic errors and cloud clearing expensive (multi-channels) Need effective interface Information content with error analysis Statistical Approach to Data Assimilation 6 8 th 9 th August 003
7 Minimum Variance Combination of Data Unbiased, Uncorrelated Errors ~ x = α x + βx α + β = Var( x ) = σ Var( x ) = σ 7 8 th 9 th August 003
8 Minimum Variance Combination of Data Unbiased, Uncorrelated Errors ~ ) Var(x ( = α σ + α ) σ α Var( ~ x ) = ασ ( ) α σ = 0 α, β Minimum Variance Combination of Data Unbiased, Uncorrelated Errors ~ x = x σ + σ x σ + σ var( ~ x ) min( σ Best Linear Unbiased Estimate, σ ) 8 8 th 9 th August 003
9 Variational Method J ( x) = ( x σ x ) ( x x) + σ J (x) x~ at min J ( x) x~ x Maximum Likelihood Estimate Obtain or assume probability distributions for the errors The best estimate of the state is chosen to have the greatest probability, or maximum likelihood If errors normally distributed,unbiased and uncorrelated, then states estimated by minimum variance and maximum likelihood are the same 9 8 th 9 th August 003
10 Multivariate Case observation vector state vector y y y m x( t) = x x x n Variance becomes Covariance Matrix Errors in x i are often correlated spatial structure in flow dynamical or chemical relationships Variance for scalar case becomes Covariance Matrix for vector case COV Diagonal elements are the variances of x i Off-diagonal elements are covariances between x i and x j Observation of x i affects estimate of x j 0 8 th 9 th August 003
11 Estimating Covariance Matrix for Observations, O O usually quite simple: diagonal or for nadir-sounding satellites, non-zero values between points in vertical only Calibration against independent measurements Estimating Covariance Matrix for Model, B Use simple analytical functions constructed experimentally, e.g. B = σ σ exp( d ) ij where d ij i j is thehorizontal distancebetween x and i x j Run ensemble of forecasts from slightly different conditions and analyse error growth. ij 8 th 9 th August 003
12 Methods of Data Assimilation Optimal interpolation (or approx. to it) 3D variational method (3DVar) 4D variational method (4DVar) Kalman filter (with approximations) Optimal Interpolation observation observation operator analysis x a = x b background (forecast) + K( y H ( xb)) linearity H H matrix inverse K T T = BH ( HBH + O) limited area 8 th 9 th August 003
13 = y H ( x b ) at obs. point data void x b X observation model trajectory t 3 8 th 9 th August 003
14 Data Assimilation: an analogy Driving with your eyes closed: open eyes every 0 seconds and correct trajectory Variational Data Assimilation J (x) vary x to minimise J(x) x a x 4 8 th 9 th August 003
15 J ( x) ( x ( y Variational Data Assimilation x = b ) T B H ( x)) T ( x O x ( y b ) + H ( x)) nonlinear operator assimilate y directly global analysis Choice of State Variables and Preconditioning Free to choose which variables to use to define state vector, x(t) We d like to make B diagonal may not know covariances very well want to make the minimization of J more efficient by preconditioning : transforming variables to make surfaces of constant J nearly spherical in state space 5 8 th 9 th August 003
16 Cost Function for Correlated Errors x x Cost Function for x Uncorrelated Errors x 6 8 th 9 th August 003
17 x Cost Function for Uncorrelated Errors Scaled Variables x 4D Variational Data Assimilation obs. & errors given X(t o ), the forecast is deterministic t o t vary X(t o ) for best fit to data 7 8 th 9 th August 003
18 4D Variational Data Assimilation Advantages consistent with the governing eqs. implicit links between variables Disadvantages very expensive model is strong constraint Problem model error covariances 8 8 th 9 th August 003
19 Kalman Filter (expensive) Use model equations to propagate B forward in time. B B(t) KAL Analysis step as in OI What are the benefits of data assimilation? Quality control Combination of data Errors in data and in model Filling in data poor regions Designing observational systems Maintaining consistency Estimating unobserved quantities 9 8 th 9 th August 003
20 Some Applications of Data Assimilation Skill Measures: Observation Increment, (O-F) The difference between the forecast from the first guess, F, and the observations, O, also known as observed-minusbackground differences or the innovation vector. This is probably the best measure of forecast skill. 0 8 th 9 th August 003
21 _ + T ECMWF Ozone monthlymean analysis increment. Sept th 9 th August 003
22 Best observations to make to characterize the chemical system Impact on NWP at the Met Office Mar 99. 3D-Var and ATOVS Jul 99. ATOVS over Siberia, sea-ice from SSM/I Oct 99. ATOVS as radiances, SSM/I winds May 00. Retune 3D-Var Feb/Apr 0. nd satellites, ATOVS + SSM/I 8 th 9 th August 003
23 Impact of satellite data in NWP Future Advanced Infrared Sounders 3 8 th 9 th August 003
24 IASI vs HIRS 4 8 th 9 th August 003
25 5 8 th 9 th August 003
26 6 8 th 9 th August 003
27 MERIS ocean colour Regional Scale: Walnut Gulch (Monsoon 90) Model Observation Tombstone, AZ 0% 0% Model with 4DDA Houser et al., th 9 th August 003
28 Land Initialization: Motivation Knowledge of soil moisture has a greater impact on the predictability of summertime precipitation over land at mid-latitudes than Sea Surface Temperature (SST). Conclusions Data assimilation should be essential part of ground-segment of all satellite missions. Aim should be to provide all data in near real time. Need to find optimal ways to assimilate data efficient interfaces. Challenges: errors, resolution, data. 8 8 th 9 th August 003
Applications of Data Assimilation in Earth System Science. Alan O Neill University of Reading, UK
Applications of Data Assimilation in Earth System Science Alan O Neill University of Reading, UK NCEO Early Career Science Conference 16th 18th April 2012 Introduction to data assimilation Page 2 of 20
More informationApplications of Data Assimilation in Earth System Science. Alan O Neill Data Assimilation Research Centre University of Reading
Applications of Data Assimilation in Earth System Science Alan O Neill Data Assimilation Research Centre University of Reading DARC Current & Future Satellite Coverage Formation Flying - Afternoon Constellation
More information4. DATA ASSIMILATION FUNDAMENTALS
4. DATA ASSIMILATION FUNDAMENTALS... [the atmosphere] "is a chaotic system in which errors introduced into the system can grow with time... As a consequence, data assimilation is a struggle between chaotic
More informationSatellite data assimilation for Numerical Weather Prediction II
Satellite data assimilation for Numerical Weather Prediction II Niels Bormann European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) (with contributions from Tony McNally, Jean-Noël Thépaut, Slide
More informationDirect assimilation of all-sky microwave radiances at ECMWF
Direct assimilation of all-sky microwave radiances at ECMWF Peter Bauer, Alan Geer, Philippe Lopez, Deborah Salmond European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reading, Berkshire, UK Slide 1 17
More informationRecent Data Assimilation Activities at Environment Canada
Recent Data Assimilation Activities at Environment Canada Major upgrade to global and regional deterministic prediction systems (now in parallel run) Sea ice data assimilation Mark Buehner Data Assimilation
More informationBrian J. Etherton University of North Carolina
Brian J. Etherton University of North Carolina The next 90 minutes of your life Data Assimilation Introit Different methodologies Barnes Analysis in IDV NWP Error Sources 1. Intrinsic Predictability Limitations
More informationQuantifying observation error correlations in remotely sensed data
Quantifying observation error correlations in remotely sensed data Conference or Workshop Item Published Version Presentation slides Stewart, L., Cameron, J., Dance, S. L., English, S., Eyre, J. and Nichols,
More informationSatellite data assimilation for Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
Satellite data assimilation for Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP Niels Bormann European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF (with contributions from Tony McNally, Slide 1 Jean-Noël Thépaut,
More informationAll-sky assimilation of MHS and HIRS sounder radiances
All-sky assimilation of MHS and HIRS sounder radiances Alan Geer 1, Fabrizio Baordo 2, Niels Bormann 1, Stephen English 1 1 ECMWF 2 Now at Bureau of Meteorology, Australia All-sky assimilation at ECMWF
More informationIn the derivation of Optimal Interpolation, we found the optimal weight matrix W that minimizes the total analysis error variance.
hree-dimensional variational assimilation (3D-Var) In the derivation of Optimal Interpolation, we found the optimal weight matrix W that minimizes the total analysis error variance. Lorenc (1986) showed
More informationSatellite Observations of Greenhouse Gases
Satellite Observations of Greenhouse Gases Richard Engelen European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Outline Introduction Data assimilation vs. retrievals 4D-Var data assimilation Observations
More informationFundamentals of Data Assimilation
National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO USA GSI Data Assimilation Tutorial - June 28-30, 2010 Acknowledgments and References WRFDA Overview (WRF Tutorial Lectures, H. Huang and D. Barker)
More informationM.Sc. in Meteorology. Numerical Weather Prediction
M.Sc. in Meteorology UCD Numerical Weather Prediction Prof Peter Lynch Meteorology & Climate Cehtre School of Mathematical Sciences University College Dublin Second Semester, 2005 2006. Text for the Course
More informationBackground and observation error covariances Data Assimilation & Inverse Problems from Weather Forecasting to Neuroscience
Background and observation error covariances Data Assimilation & Inverse Problems from Weather Forecasting to Neuroscience Sarah Dance School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Reading
More informationQuantifying observation error correlations in remotely sensed data
Quantifying observation error correlations in remotely sensed data Conference or Workshop Item Published Version Presentation slides Stewart, L., Cameron, J., Dance, S. L., English, S., Eyre, J. and Nichols,
More informationPlans for the Assimilation of Cloud-Affected Infrared Soundings at the Met Office
Plans for the Assimilation of Cloud-Affected Infrared Soundings at the Met Office Ed Pavelin and Stephen English Met Office, Exeter, UK Abstract A practical approach to the assimilation of cloud-affected
More informationOptimal Interpolation ( 5.4) We now generalize the least squares method to obtain the OI equations for vectors of observations and background fields.
Optimal Interpolation ( 5.4) We now generalize the least squares method to obtain the OI equations for vectors of observations and background fields. Optimal Interpolation ( 5.4) We now generalize the
More informationNumerical Weather prediction at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Numerical Weather prediction at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Time series curves 500hPa geopotential Correlation coefficent of forecast anomaly N Hemisphere Lat 20.0 to 90.0 Lon
More informationData assimilation; comparison of 4D-Var and LETKF smoothers
Data assimilation; comparison of 4D-Var and LETKF smoothers Eugenia Kalnay and many friends University of Maryland CSCAMM DAS13 June 2013 Contents First part: Forecasting the weather - we are really getting
More informationSatellite data assimilation for NWP: II
Satellite data assimilation for NWP: II Jean-Noël Thépaut European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) with contributions from many ECMWF colleagues Slide 1 Special thanks to: Tony McNally,
More informationWeak Constraints 4D-Var
Weak Constraints 4D-Var Yannick Trémolet ECMWF Training Course - Data Assimilation May 1, 2012 Yannick Trémolet Weak Constraints 4D-Var May 1, 2012 1 / 30 Outline 1 Introduction 2 The Maximum Likelihood
More informationRelative Merits of 4D-Var and Ensemble Kalman Filter
Relative Merits of 4D-Var and Ensemble Kalman Filter Andrew Lorenc Met Office, Exeter International summer school on Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (ISSAOS) "Atmospheric Data Assimilation". August 29
More informationNumerical Weather Prediction: Data assimilation. Steven Cavallo
Numerical Weather Prediction: Data assimilation Steven Cavallo Data assimilation (DA) is the process estimating the true state of a system given observations of the system and a background estimate. Observations
More informationProgress towards better representation of observation and background errors in 4DVAR
Progress towards better representation of observation and background errors in 4DVAR Niels Bormann 1, Massimo Bonavita 1, Peter Weston 2, Cristina Lupu 1, Carla Cardinali 1, Tony McNally 1, Kirsti Salonen
More information1. Current atmospheric DA systems 2. Coupling surface/atmospheric DA 3. Trends & ideas
1 Current issues in atmospheric data assimilation and its relationship with surfaces François Bouttier GAME/CNRM Météo-France 2nd workshop on remote sensing and modeling of surface properties, Toulouse,
More informationComparing Variational, Ensemble-based and Hybrid Data Assimilations at Regional Scales
Comparing Variational, Ensemble-based and Hybrid Data Assimilations at Regional Scales Meng Zhang and Fuqing Zhang Penn State University Xiang-Yu Huang and Xin Zhang NCAR 4 th EnDA Workshop, Albany, NY
More informationERA-CLIM: Developing reanalyses of the coupled climate system
ERA-CLIM: Developing reanalyses of the coupled climate system Dick Dee Acknowledgements: Reanalysis team and many others at ECMWF, ERA-CLIM project partners at Met Office, Météo France, EUMETSAT, Un. Bern,
More informationAssimilation of the IASI data in the HARMONIE data assimilation system
Assimilation of the IASI data in the HARMONIE data assimilation system Roger Randriamampianina Acknowledgement: Andrea Storto (met.no), Andrew Collard (ECMWF), Fiona Hilton (MetOffice) and Vincent Guidard
More informationSatellite Radiance Data Assimilation at the Met Office
Satellite Radiance Data Assimilation at the Met Office Ed Pavelin, Stephen English, Brett Candy, Fiona Hilton Outline Summary of satellite data used in the Met Office NWP system Processing and quality
More informationIntroduction to Data Assimilation. Saroja Polavarapu Meteorological Service of Canada University of Toronto
Introduction to Data Assimilation Saroja Polavarapu Meteorological Service of Canada University of Toronto GCC Summer School, Banff. May 22-28, 2004 Outline of lectures General idea Numerical weather prediction
More informationOcean data assimilation for reanalysis
Ocean data assimilation for reanalysis Matt Martin. ERA-CLIM2 Symposium, University of Bern, 14 th December 2017. Contents Introduction. On-going developments to improve ocean data assimilation for reanalysis.
More informationEffect of Predictor Choice on the AIRS Bias Correction at the Met Office
Effect of Predictor Choice on the AIRS Bias Correction at the Met Office Brett Harris Bureau of Meterorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia James Cameron, Andrew Collard and Roger Saunders, Met
More informationAn Overview of Atmospheric Analyses and Reanalyses for Climate
An Overview of Atmospheric Analyses and Reanalyses for Climate Kevin E. Trenberth NCAR Boulder CO Analysis Data Assimilation merges observations & model predictions to provide a superior state estimate.
More informationCurrent Limited Area Applications
Current Limited Area Applications Nils Gustafsson SMHI Norrköping, Sweden nils.gustafsson@smhi.se Outline of talk (contributions from many HIRLAM staff members) Specific problems of Limited Area Model
More informationPCA assimilation techniques applied to MTG-IRS
PCA assimilation techniques applied to MTG-IRS Marco Matricardi ECMWF Shinfield Park, Reading, UK WORKSHOP Assimilation of Hyper-spectral Geostationary Satellite Observation ECMWF Reading UK 22-25 May
More informationCross-validation methods for quality control, cloud screening, etc.
Cross-validation methods for quality control, cloud screening, etc. Olaf Stiller, Deutscher Wetterdienst Are observations consistent Sensitivity functions with the other observations? given the background
More informationNumerical Weather Prediction in 2040
Numerical Weather Prediction in 2040 10.8 µm GEO imagery (simulated!) Peter Bauer, ECMWF Acks.: N. Bormann, C. Cardinali, A. Geer, C. Kuehnlein, C. Lupu, T. McNally, S. English, N. Wedi will not discuss
More informationNew Applications and Challenges In Data Assimilation
New Applications and Challenges In Data Assimilation Met Office Nancy Nichols University of Reading 1. Observation Part Errors 1. Applications Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Ensemble covariances for coupled
More informationAssimilation of precipitation-related observations into global NWP models
Assimilation of precipitation-related observations into global NWP models Alan Geer, Katrin Lonitz, Philippe Lopez, Fabrizio Baordo, Niels Bormann, Peter Lean, Stephen English Slide 1 H-SAF workshop 4
More informationCoupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation in the presence of model error. Alison Fowler and Amos Lawless (University of Reading)
Coupled atmosphere-ocean data assimilation in the presence of model error Alison Fowler and Amos Lawless (University of Reading) Introduction Coupled DA methods are being developed to initialise forecasts
More informationModel errors in tropical cloud and precipitation revealed by the assimilation of MW imagery
Model errors in tropical cloud and precipitation revealed by the assimilation of MW imagery Katrin Lonitz, Alan Geer, Philippe Lopez + many other colleagues 20 November 2014 Katrin Lonitz ( ) Tropical
More informationThe Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) Eric Kostelich. Main topics
The Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) Eric Kostelich Arizona State University Co-workers: Istvan Szunyogh, Brian Hunt, Ed Ott, Eugenia Kalnay, Jim Yorke, and many others http://www.weatherchaos.umd.edu
More informationECMWF. ECMWF Land Surface Analysis: Current status and developments. P. de Rosnay M. Drusch, K. Scipal, D. Vasiljevic G. Balsamo, J.
Land Surface Analysis: Current status and developments P. de Rosnay M. Drusch, K. Scipal, D. Vasiljevic G. Balsamo, J. Muñoz Sabater 2 nd Workshop on Remote Sensing and Modeling of Surface Properties,
More informationConvective-scale NWP for Singapore
Convective-scale NWP for Singapore Hans Huang and the weather modelling and prediction section MSS, Singapore Dale Barker and the SINGV team Met Office, Exeter, UK ECMWF Symposium on Dynamical Meteorology
More informationCOUPLED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE 4DVAR
COUPLED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE 4DVAR Hans Ngodock, Matthew Carrier, Clark Rowley, Tim Campbell NRL, Stennis Space Center Clark Amerault, Liang Xu, Teddy Holt NRL, Monterey 11/17/2016 International workshop on
More informationAccounting for Correlated Satellite Observation Error in NAVGEM
Accounting for Correlated Satellite Observation Error in NAVGEM Bill Campbell and Liz Satterfield Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey CA ITSC-20 Oct 27 Nov 3, 2015 Lake Geneva, WI, USA 1 Sources of Observation
More informationModel error and parameter estimation
Model error and parameter estimation Chiara Piccolo and Mike Cullen ECMWF Annual Seminar, 11 September 2018 Summary The application of interest is atmospheric data assimilation focus on EDA; A good ensemble
More informationThe potential impact of ozone sensitive data from MTG-IRS
The potential impact of ozone sensitive data from MTG-IRS R. Dragani, C. Lupu, C. Peubey, and T. McNally ECMWF rossana.dragani@ecmwf.int ECMWF May 24, 2017 The MTG IRS Long-Wave InfraRed band O 3 Can the
More informationLand Data Assimilation for operational weather forecasting
Land Data Assimilation for operational weather forecasting Brett Candy Richard Renshaw, JuHyoung Lee & Imtiaz Dharssi * *Centre Australian Weather and Climate Research Contents An overview of the Current
More informationAssimilation of IASI data at the Met Office. Fiona Hilton Nigel Atkinson ITSC-XVI, Angra dos Reis, Brazil 07/05/08
Assimilation of IASI data at the Met Office Fiona Hilton Nigel Atkinson ITSC-XVI, Angra dos Reis, Brazil 07/05/08 Thanks to my other colleagues! Andrew Collard (ECMWF) Brett Candy, Steve English, James
More informationApplication of PCA to IASI: An NWP Perspective. Andrew Collard, ECMWF. Acknowledgements to Tony McNally, Jean-Noel Thépaut
Application of PCA to IASI: An NWP Perspective Andrew Collard, ECMWF Acknowledgements to Tony McNally, Jean-Noel Thépaut Overview Introduction Why use PCA/RR? Expected performance of PCA/RR for IASI Assimilation
More informationDynamic Infrared Land Surface Emissivity Atlas based on IASI Retrievals
Dynamic Infrared Land Surface Emissivity Atlas based on IASI Retrievals EUMETSAT Fellowship 2015-2018 Rory Gray rory.gray@metoffice.gov.uk Thanks to: Ed Pavelin, Bill Bell, Chawn Harlow www.metoffice.gov.uk
More informationSatellite Retrieval Assimilation (a modified observation operator)
Satellite Retrieval Assimilation (a modified observation operator) David D. Kuhl With Istvan Szunyogh and Brad Pierce Sept. 21 2009 Weather Chaos Group Meeting Overview Introduction Derivation of retrieval
More informationData Assimilation: Finding the Initial Conditions in Large Dynamical Systems. Eric Kostelich Data Mining Seminar, Feb. 6, 2006
Data Assimilation: Finding the Initial Conditions in Large Dynamical Systems Eric Kostelich Data Mining Seminar, Feb. 6, 2006 kostelich@asu.edu Co-Workers Istvan Szunyogh, Gyorgyi Gyarmati, Ed Ott, Brian
More informationDynamic Inference of Background Error Correlation between Surface Skin and Air Temperature
Dynamic Inference of Background Error Correlation between Surface Skin and Air Temperature Louis Garand, Mark Buehner, and Nicolas Wagneur Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, P. Quebec, Canada Abstract
More informationEstimates of observation errors and their correlations in clear and cloudy regions for microwave imager radiances from NWP
Estimates of observation errors and their correlations in clear and cloudy regions for microwave imager radiances from NWP Niels Bormann, Alan J. Geer and Peter Bauer ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2
More informationAssimilation of Cloud-Affected Infrared Radiances at Environment-Canada
Assimilation of Cloud-Affected Infrared Radiances at Environment-Canada ECMWF-JCSDA Workshop on Assimilating Satellite Observations of Clouds and Precipitation into NWP models ECMWF, Reading (UK) Sylvain
More informationScatterometer Wind Assimilation at the Met Office
Scatterometer Wind Assimilation at the Met Office James Cotton International Ocean Vector Winds Science Team (IOVWST) meeting, Brest, June 2014 Outline Assimilation status Global updates: Metop-B and spatial
More information4DEnVar. Four-Dimensional Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation. Colloque National sur l'assimilation de données
Four-Dimensional Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation 4DEnVar Colloque National sur l'assimilation de données Andrew Lorenc, Toulouse France. 1-3 décembre 2014 Crown copyright Met Office 4DEnVar: Topics
More informationON DIAGNOSING OBSERVATION ERROR STATISTICS WITH LOCAL ENSEMBLE DATA ASSIMILATION
ON DIAGNOSING OBSERVATION ERROR STATISTICS WITH LOCAL ENSEMBLE DATA ASSIMILATION J. A. Waller, S. L. Dance, N. K. Nichols University of Reading 1 INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION Motivation Only % of observations
More informationASSIMILATION OF CLOUDY AMSU-A MICROWAVE RADIANCES IN 4D-VAR 1. Stephen English, Una O Keeffe and Martin Sharpe
ASSIMILATION OF CLOUDY AMSU-A MICROWAVE RADIANCES IN 4D-VAR 1 Stephen English, Una O Keeffe and Martin Sharpe Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB Abstract The assimilation of cloud-affected satellite
More informationIntroduction to Ensemble Kalman Filters and the Data Assimilation Research Testbed
Introduction to Ensemble Kalman Filters and the Data Assimilation Research Testbed Jeffrey Anderson, Tim Hoar, Nancy Collins NCAR Institute for Math Applied to Geophysics pg 1 What is Data Assimilation?
More informationOBSERVING SYSTEM EXPERIMENTS ON ATOVS ORBIT CONSTELLATIONS
OBSERVING SYSTEM EXPERIMENTS ON ATOVS ORBIT CONSTELLATIONS Enza Di Tomaso and Niels Bormann European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts Shinfield Park, Reading, RG2 9AX, United Kingdom Abstract
More informationThe role of data assimilation in atmospheric composition monitoring and forecasting
The role of data assimilation in atmospheric composition monitoring and forecasting Why data assimilation? Henk Eskes Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, The Netherlands Atmospheric chemistry
More informationBias correction of satellite data at the Met Office
Bias correction of satellite data at the Met Office Nigel Atkinson, James Cameron, Brett Candy and Steve English ECMWF/EUMETSAT NWP-SAF Workshop on Bias estimation and correction in data assimilation,
More informationThe Choice of Variable for Atmospheric Moisture Analysis DEE AND DA SILVA. Liz Satterfield AOSC 615
The Choice of Variable for Atmospheric Moisture Analysis DEE AND DA SILVA Liz Satterfield AOSC 615 Which variable to use for atmospheric moisture analysis? Met Office, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
More informationCan hybrid-4denvar match hybrid-4dvar?
Comparing ensemble-variational assimilation methods for NWP: Can hybrid-4denvar match hybrid-4dvar? WWOSC, Montreal, August 2014. Andrew Lorenc, Neill Bowler, Adam Clayton, David Fairbairn and Stephen
More informationAssimilation of SST data in the FOAM ocean forecasting system
Assimilation of SST data in the FOAM ocean forecasting system Matt Martin, James While, Dan Lea, Rob King, Jennie Waters, Ana Aguiar, Chris Harris, Catherine Guiavarch Workshop on SST and Sea Ice analysis
More informationMasahiro Kazumori, Takashi Kadowaki Numerical Prediction Division Japan Meteorological Agency
Development of an all-sky assimilation of microwave imager and sounder radiances for the Japan Meteorological Agency global numerical weather prediction system Masahiro Kazumori, Takashi Kadowaki Numerical
More informationMET report. The IASI moisture channel impact study in HARMONIE for August-September 2011
MET report no. 19/2013 Numerical Weather Prediction The IASI moisture channel impact study in HARMONIE for August-September 2011 Trygve Aspelien, Roger Randriamampianina, Harald Schyberg, Frank Thomas
More informationRosemary Munro*, Graeme Kelly, Michael Rohn* and Roger Saunders
ASSIMILATION OF METEOSAT RADIANCE DATA WITHIN THE 4DVAR SYSTEM AT ECMWF Rosemary Munro*, Graeme Kelly, Michael Rohn* and Roger Saunders European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts Shinfield Park,
More informationThe Latest Science of Seasonal Climate Forecasting
The Latest Science of Seasonal Climate Forecasting Emily Wallace Met Office 7 th June 2018 Research and Innovation Program under Grant 776868. Agreement Background: - Why are they useful? - What do we
More informationSSMIS 1D-VAR RETRIEVALS. Godelieve Deblonde
SSMIS 1D-VAR RETRIEVALS Godelieve Deblonde Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, Québec, Canada Summary Retrievals using synthetic background fields and observations for the SSMIS (Special Sensor Microwave
More informationBias correction of satellite data at the Met Office
Bias correction of satellite data at the Met Office Nigel Atkinson, James Cameron, Brett Candy and Stephen English Met Office, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, United Kingdom 1. Introduction At the Met Office,
More informationUPDATES IN THE ASSIMILATION OF GEOSTATIONARY RADIANCES AT ECMWF
UPDATES IN THE ASSIMILATION OF GEOSTATIONARY RADIANCES AT ECMWF Carole Peubey, Tony McNally, Jean-Noël Thépaut, Sakari Uppala and Dick Dee ECMWF, UK Abstract Currently, ECMWF assimilates clear sky radiances
More informationVariational data assimilation
Background and methods NCEO, Dept. of Meteorology, Univ. of Reading 710 March 2018, Univ. of Reading Bayes' Theorem Bayes' Theorem p(x y) = posterior distribution = p(x) p(y x) p(y) prior distribution
More informationEstimating interchannel observation-error correlations for IASI radiance data in the Met Office system
Estimating interchannel observation-error correlations for IASI radiance data in the Met Office system A BC DEF B E B E A E E E E E E E E C B E E E E E E DE E E E B E C E AB E BE E E D ED E E C E E E B
More informationDevelopment of 3D Variational Assimilation System for ATOVS Data in China
Development of 3D Variational Assimilation System for ATOVS Data in China Xue Jishan, Zhang Hua, Zhu Guofu, Zhuang Shiyu 1) Zhang Wenjian, Liu Zhiquan, Wu Xuebao, Zhang Fenyin. 2) 1) Chinese Academy of
More informationData Short description Parameters to be used for analysis SYNOP. Surface observations by ships, oil rigs and moored buoys
3.2 Observational Data 3.2.1 Data used in the analysis Data Short description Parameters to be used for analysis SYNOP Surface observations at fixed stations over land P,, T, Rh SHIP BUOY TEMP PILOT Aircraft
More informationProspects for radar and lidar cloud assimilation
Prospects for radar and lidar cloud assimilation Marta Janisková, ECMWF Thanks to: S. Di Michele, E. Martins, A. Beljaars, S. English, P. Lopez, P. Bauer ECMWF Seminar on the Use of Satellite Observations
More informationMonitoring and Assimilation of IASI Radiances at ECMWF
Monitoring and Assimilation of IASI Radiances at ECMWF Andrew Collard and Tony McNally ECMWF Slide 1 Overview Introduction Assimilation Configuration IASI First Guess Departures IASI Forecast Impacts The
More informationDoes the ATOVS RARS Network Matter for Global NWP? Brett Candy, Nigel Atkinson & Stephen English
Does the ATOVS RARS Network Matter for Global NWP? Brett Candy, Nigel Atkinson & Stephen English Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom 1. Introduction Along with other global numerical weather prediction
More informationAtmospheric Soundings of Temperature, Moisture and Ozone from AIRS
Atmospheric Soundings of Temperature, Moisture and Ozone from AIRS M.D. Goldberg, W. Wolf, L. Zhou, M. Divakarla,, C.D. Barnet, L. McMillin, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA Oct 31, 2003 Presented at ITSC-13 Risk Reduction
More informationAircraft Validation of Infrared Emissivity derived from Advanced InfraRed Sounder Satellite Observations
Aircraft Validation of Infrared Emissivity derived from Advanced InfraRed Sounder Satellite Observations Robert Knuteson, Fred Best, Steve Dutcher, Ray Garcia, Chris Moeller, Szu Chia Moeller, Henry Revercomb,
More informationIntroduction to ensemble forecasting. Eric J. Kostelich
Introduction to ensemble forecasting Eric J. Kostelich SCHOOL OF MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS MSRI Climate Change Summer School July 21, 2008 Co-workers: Istvan Szunyogh, Brian Hunt, Edward Ott, Eugenia
More informationExperiences from implementing GPS Radio Occultations in Data Assimilation for ICON
Experiences from implementing GPS Radio Occultations in Data Assimilation for ICON Harald Anlauf Research and Development, Data Assimilation Section Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany IROWG 4th
More informationInstrumentation planned for MetOp-SG
Instrumentation planned for MetOp-SG Bill Bell Satellite Radiance Assimilation Group Met Office Crown copyright Met Office Outline Background - the MetOp-SG programme The MetOp-SG instruments Summary Acknowledgements:
More informationTangent-linear and adjoint models in data assimilation
Tangent-linear and adjoint models in data assimilation Marta Janisková and Philippe Lopez ECMWF Thanks to: F. Váňa, M.Fielding 2018 Annual Seminar: Earth system assimilation 10-13 September 2018 Tangent-linear
More informationCoupled data assimilation for climate reanalysis
Coupled data assimilation for climate reanalysis Dick Dee Climate reanalysis Coupled data assimilation CERA: Incremental 4D-Var ECMWF June 26, 2015 Tools from numerical weather prediction Weather prediction
More informationMet Office convective-scale 4DVAR system, tests and improvement
Met Office convective-scale 4DVAR system, tests and improvement Marco Milan*, Marek Wlasak, Stefano Migliorini, Bruce Macpherson Acknowledgment: Inverarity Gordon, Gareth Dow, Mike Thurlow, Mike Cullen
More informationApplications of an ensemble Kalman Filter to regional ocean modeling associated with the western boundary currents variations
Applications of an ensemble Kalman Filter to regional ocean modeling associated with the western boundary currents variations Miyazawa, Yasumasa (JAMSTEC) Collaboration with Princeton University AICS Data
More informationSkin SST assimilation using GEOS Atmospheric Data Assimilation System
Skin SST assimilation using GEOS Atmospheric Data Assimilation System Santha Akella Collaboration with: Ricardo Todling and Max Suarez Global Modeling & Assimilation Office NASA CDAW 2016 (October, 18,
More informationIntroduction to initialization of NWP models
Introduction to initialization of NWP models weather forecasting an initial value problem traditionally, initialization comprised objective analysis of obs at a fixed synoptic time, i.e. 00Z or 12Z: data
More informationIASI Level 2 Product Processing
IASI Level 2 Product Processing Dieter Klaes for Peter Schlüssel Arlindo Arriaga, Thomas August, Xavier Calbet, Lars Fiedler, Tim Hultberg, Xu Liu, Olusoji Oduleye Page 1 Infrared Atmospheric Sounding
More informationThe Use of a Self-Evolving Additive Inflation in the CNMCA Ensemble Data Assimilation System
The Use of a Self-Evolving Additive Inflation in the CNMCA Ensemble Data Assimilation System Lucio Torrisi and Francesca Marcucci CNMCA, Italian National Met Center Outline Implementation of the LETKF
More informationThe Canadian Land Data Assimilation System (CaLDAS)
The Canadian Land Data Assimilation System (CaLDAS) Marco L. Carrera, Stéphane Bélair, Bernard Bilodeau and Sheena Solomon Meteorological Research Division, Environment Canada Dorval, QC, Canada 2 nd Workshop
More informationThe ECMWF coupled assimilation system for climate reanalysis
The ECMWF coupled assimilation system for climate reanalysis Patrick Laloyaux Earth System Assimilation Section patrick.laloyaux@ecmwf.int Acknowledgement: Eric de Boisseson, Per Dahlgren, Dinand Schepers,
More informationFeature-tracked 3D Winds from Satellite Sounders: Derivation and Impact in Global Models
Feature-tracked 3D Winds from Satellite Sounders: Derivation and Impact in Global Models David Santek 1, A.-S. Daloz 1, S. Tushaus 1, M. Rogal 1, W. McCarty 2 1 Space Science and Engineering Center/University
More informationA New Microwave Snow Emissivity Model
A New Microwave Snow Emissivity Model Fuzhong Weng 1,2 1. Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation 2. NOAA/NESDIS/Office of Research and Applications Banghua Yan DSTI. Inc The 13 th International TOVS
More information