Climate Services in Seychelles

Transcription

1 Climate Services in Seychelles Vincent Amelie Seychelles Met. Services Regional Consultation on Climate Services in the Indian Ocean Islands, Ebène, Mauritius, March 2016

2 1. Capacities for the management of climatic data (a) Indicate the percentage of data that is not digitized (b) Indicate the percentage of quality controlled and homogenized data (c) Indicate if the databases in the country are integrated or not: yes /no (d) Indicate if there available products derived from the climatic data base (e) Indicate if there is a climatic atlas of your country (f) Indicate the reference climatological period in use (g) Indicate if there is access to the climatic database and climatological products 2% (mainly the upper air data) QC about 40% (TMax, TMin and Rainfall) Homogeneous done for rainfall, because other parameters are recorded at one station only. No (probably when install Climsoft) Yes (State of the Climate, Climate Change Scenario, Climate variability, MJO.), but could have done more if have the capacity. No (the new period stipulated by WMO) Not to database but through website and upon written request.

3 2. Current capacities for climate monitoring a. Indicate if there is a permanent monitoring system for climate and information system for ENSO b. Indicate if there is a defined national observation network for climatic purposes c. Indicate if the stations of the observation network observe the standards established by GCOS d. Indicate if the NMHSs has conducted analysis of climatic extreme vents at national and subnational levels e. Indicated if the NMHSs maintains analysis of climatic trends and detection of climate change at national and sub-national levels f. Indicate if the NMHSs has data derived from climate change scenarios for analysis and application No, because haven t really established the relationship between ENSO and climate pattern, although have experienced that El Nino is linked with warm anomalies of SST and La Nina with cold SST anomalies. Yes, initially only for rainfall but over recent years have installed a number of AWSs measuring various weather parameters. Not too sure about the established standards Yes, to some extent/through regional projects Climate trend yes but detection of climate change is a challenge (need capacity to do so). Yes

4 3. Current capacities for the provision of climate services to climate-sensitive sectors a. Indicate what are the climate services you provide to the agricultural sector b. Indicate what are the climatic services you provide to the health sector c. Indicate what are the climate services you provide to the water sector d. Indicate what are the climate services you provide to the disaster risk reduction sector e. Indicate if you provide climate services to any other sector. Which services do you provide f. Indicate if the climate services you provide are differentiated for each sector g. Indicate how is the communication or interface with the users managed or maintained h. Indicate if National Climate Forums are conducted. Please indicate the frequency of these forums Rainfall amount and potential rainfall, daily Tmax and Tmin with three/four day outlook, RH, wind dir/speed, duration of insulation/cloud conditions + 3 to 4 day outlook, daily evaporation, 3 months outlook for r/f. Daily temperature/rainfall and seasonal outlook Daily summaries e.g. rainfall, temperature, cloud amount, evaporation Seasonal climate forecast, bad weather advisory/warning including tsunami threat Hotels (daily forecast), aviation (TAF, METAR ), sailors, construction companies (rainfall and winds - upon request). Yes Daily climate services are sent automatically thus are managed by the technical staff The forum is conducted twice a year, before rainy and dry seasons, the two main seasons in Seychelles / also RIMES Forum

5 4. Limitations of the NMHSs in the provision of climate services a. Indicate what sectors do not benefit from specific climate services b. Indicate how many people in the NMHSs are dedicated to the production of climate services c. Indicate what are the critical elements for the production of climate services operationally d. Indicate what would be the priorities to strengthen the provision of climate services by the NMHSs e. Indicate what opportunities at national and international level you identify to strengthen the provision of climate services in your country f. Indicate what role the private sector could play to improve the provision of climate services in your country None 2 Trained manpower, adequate/appropriate equipment and modeling capacity, communication channel, observation network (AWSs) Training/capacity building of personnel, equipment, use of the social media to disseminate information Collaboration with local partners that are involved with climate related issues, government/state communication services, and small financial resources i.e. national executive projects. External bodies: Notre Dame University, Meteo France La Reunion, RIMES, Reading University There are possibilities but they are yet to be exploited.

6 5. User interface Platforms a. Describe how was the interface with users developed and how it works b. Indicate if there are cooperation agreements for the co-production of specific climate services c. Indicate if the interface mechanisms with users are institutionalized or are Ad hoc Demand originated from the users, both from the private and public sectors, but the services requested fall within what is provided generally and is within the present capacity of the NMHS. RIMES, Notre Dame University, Meteo France La Reunion Both Institutionalized: daily forecast/products e.g. general public, agriculture, marine etc. Ad hoc: upon request e.g. construction companies, consultants etc

7 Regional/International Cooperation Notre Dame University Reading University, UK UK Met Office RIMES Meteo France La Reunion

8 6. Good practices in the development and application of climate services Examples of good practices in the provision of climate services at national and local level Seasonal forecast Early warning

9 BAD WEATHER EVENT ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE FELLENG Jan 2013 Fig: Two different models predicting rain over Mahe/inner islands associated with a circulation further to the southeast Friday 25: Public was informed through media about possibility of bad weather on Monday 28 th Jan

10 What were the lessons learnt? Have to be consistent Timely and accurate forecast, also in layman terms Public awareness / Climate forum Strengthening of the observation network of end users/clients

11 Thank you EEWS