Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: July 18, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: July 18, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO"

Transcription

1 Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: July 18, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO JUNE 2014 REVIEW Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. during June was 69.6 F, 1.1 ABOVE NORMAL, ranking as the 33rd warmest June in the 120-year period of record. The average maximum (daytime) June temperature for the contiguous U.S. was 81.8 F, 0.4 F ABOVE NORMAL, while the average minimum (nighttime) June temperature was 57.4 F, 1.7 F ABOVE NORMAL, tying as the 10th warmest June minimum temperature. ABOVE NORMAL June temperatures were observed along the East Coast and into the Midwest. The Southwest was also warmer than average, where AZ and CA both had their 11th warmest June on record. No state had a top 10 warm June. Near-average June temperatures were observed from the central Gulf Coast, through the Central Plains, and into the Northwest. BELOW NORMAL temperatures were observed in the Northern Rockies and parts of the Northern Plains. No state had a top 10 cool June.

2 Interestingly, in much of the Lower Mississippi Valley and mid-south, afternoon temperatures were below normal, while nighttime temperatures were much above normal. This likely reflects a relatively wet and cloudy summer month acting to moderate both afternoon and overnight temperatures. The June national precipitation total was 3.62 inches, 0.69 inch ABOVE NORMAL, marking the sixth wettest June on record, and the wettest since A significant portion of the contiguous U.S. parts of the Northeast, Southeast, Midwest, and the Great Plains had ABOVE NORMAL precipitation during June. Eight states had one of their 10 wettest Junes on record, with MN being record wet for the month. The 7.75 inches of precipitation averaged across Minnesota was 3.64 inches ABOVE NORMAL, marking the wettest month of any month for the state, surpassing July 1897 and June 1914 when 7.32 inches of precipitation was observed. In Canton, South Dakota, inches of precipitation fell during June, setting a new record among all months for any location in the state, according to the South Dakota State Climatologist. BELOW NORMAL June precipitation was observed in the Southwest, across parts of the coastal Southeast, and southern New England. AZ tied its third driest June on record, with 0.01 inch of precipitation, 0.28 inch BELOW NORMAL; only June 1916 and 1951 were drier. AK was much wetter than average during June with a statewide precipitation total 53% above the average, the second wettest June for the state. The wettest June occurred in 1980 when the monthly precipitation was 74 percent above average. Juneau and Fairbanks each had their wettest June on record, while Anchorage had its second wettest. According to the July 1 U.S. Drought Monitor report, 34.0 percent of the contiguous U.S. was in drought, down about 3.3 percent compared to the beginning of June. Beneficial rain improved drought conditions by one to three categories across parts of the Midwest and the Central and Southern Plains. NE, which had its fourth wettest June, saw dramatic drought improvement. Warm and dry conditions in parts of the West led to scattered locations experiencing worsening drought conditions. In CA, the percent area of the state experiencing exceptional drought, the worst category, expanded to 36.5 percent, up over 11 percent since early June. In the East, abnormally dry conditions expanded in the Tennessee River Valley and southern New England. Based on NOAA's Residential Energy Demand Temperature Index (REDTI), the contiguous U.S. temperature-related energy demand during June was 33 percent above average and the 25th highest in the period of record. There were more record cool high temperature records (676) than record warm high temperature records (391), but warm nighttime temperatures dominated with more record warm low temperatures (1257) than record cold low temperatures (344). When aggregated together, there were more than one and a half times as many record warm daily highs and lows (1648) as record cold daily highs and lows (1020). Climate Highlights Year to Date (Jan June) The contiguous U.S. average temperature for the first half of 2014 was 47.6 F, 0.1 F ABOVE NORMAL. This ranked near the middle value in the 120-year period of record, and marked the coldest first half of any year since The average maximum (daytime) year-to-date temperature for the contiguous U.S. was 59.8 F, 0.4 F ABOVE NORMAL, while the average minimum (nighttime) January-June temperature was 35.4 F, 0.3 F BELOW NORMAL.

3 During the January-June period, above-average temperatures dominated from the Rockies, westward. AZ, NV, OR, and UT each had one of their 10 warmest starts to the year, while CA was record warm. The CA statewide average temperature was 58.0 F, 4.8 F ABOVE NORMAL, surpassing the previous record warm January-June that occurred in 1934 by 1.1 F. For CA, all six months so far in 2014 have been above-average, with five falling in the "much above average" or top ten percent. BELOW NORMAL temperatures were widespread east of the Rockies. Two regions, the western Great Lakes and the southern Mississippi River Valley, had much-below-average temperatures during the six-month period. AR, IL, IN, LA, MI, MS, and WI each had a top 10 cold January-June. No state had six-month temperatures that were record cold. The national precipitation total for the January-June period was inches, 0.02 inch BELOW NORMAL. ABOVE NORMAL precipitation was observed across the Northern tier and parts of the Southeast. MN had its second wettest six-month period, with inches of precipitation, 5.46 inches ABOVE NORMAL, behind only WI had its sixth wettest start to the year. BELOW NORMAL precipitation stretched from the Southwest into the Southern Plains. AZ had its third driest six-month period, with 1.42 inches of precipitation, 3.19 inches BELOW NORMAL. The city of Wichita Falls, Texas, experienced its driest 45 consecutive months ending in June The U.S. Climate Extremes Index (USCEI) for January-June was above average. On the national-scale, the spatial extent of one-day precipitation extremes ranked as the third highest value on record at 80 percent above average. On the regional scale, the West had its highest value on record, driven largely by warm daytime and nighttime temperatures and the spatial extent of drought. The Upper Midwest had its second highest value on record, driven largely by cold daytime and nighttime temperatures, high one-day precipitation totals, and high number of days with precipitation. The USCEI is an index that tracks extremes (falling in the upper or lower 10 percent of the record) in temperature, precipitation, drought, and land-falling tropical cyclones across the contiguous United States. Based on REDTI, the contiguous U.S. temperature-related energy demand during January-June was 25 percent above average and the 24th highest in the period of record.

4

5

6

7

8

9 Climate Highlights Soil Moisture Conditions

10

11

12

13

14 Climate Highlights Severe Weather Analytics All Event Distribution June

15 Tornado Event Distribution June Wind Event Distribution - June

16 Hail Event Distribution - June

17 LONG RANGE TREND MAPPING Rendered JULY 1, 2014 Trend Adjustments Made by S.A. Root --- JULY 1, 2014 The current pattern reviewed was MAY 15 TH JUN 29 TH resulting in these two observations: looking back at the past 30, 60, 90 and 120-days, we have:

18 REVIEW of S ROOT s JUNE 01 ANALOG SELECTION: 54, 58, 69, 92, 04, and 2009

19 These previous trend selections were carrying too much cold across central and eastern Canada, and I consider all of these significant off-trend 1954 and 2009 may potentially, still be used. REVIEW of AW s updated ANALOGS: 51, 86, 94, 02, 06 and 2009 these selections were better; 1986 and 2006 are still good candidates, and well in-trend as is S ROOT NEW ANALOGS for CONSIDERATION

20 I think 2012 and 2013 are strong candidates, because of the warmth across Canada and 2001 has warmth out west, a good input. As a further test, and to gain insight, the AVERAGE DFN from NORMAL DAILY TEMPS for all 59 regional hub cities were gathered, then averaged across May 15 th June 29 th for every year, 1950 through 2013 correlation coefficients were calculated comparing each year to 2014; typically during fall, winter and spring, I see CC values from 65% to 90%, and thus gain good insight; during summer, this is usually not the case, and this effort was no different the highest CC values ranged from 25% to 40%, and thus were of little support. In order to gain additional insight on how the current DROUGHT may aid in analog selection I reviewed the SOIL MOISTURE DFN s for all analogs under review:

21

22 It appears that the analog years of 1951, 1954, 1986, 2001, 2006 and 2013 have the best/cloeset-tocurrent SOIL MOISTURE and temperature mappings S ROOT REVIEW OF ALL TREND YEARS (above) 1 st PASS and MAPPED to 30-DAY T & SOIL MOISTURE DFN:

23 S ROOT ANALOG SELECTIONS ALL POSSIBLE + CALIBRATIONS It appears that the analog years of 1951, 1954, 1986, 2001, 2006 and 2013 have the best/cloeset-tocurrent SOIL MOISTURE and TEMP mappings so I render these projectsion based upon: 1951, 1954, 1986, 2001, 2006 and 2013 all equally weighted (16.67%) Here are the TEMP trend mappings (analog forecasts):

24 JULY 2014 AUGUST 2014 SEP 2014 OCT 2014 NOV 2014 DEC 2014 So, these inputs were installed by S ROOT on July 3, 2014: 1951, 1954, 1986, 2001, 2006 and %

25 ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEANS MODEL OUTPUTS TEMPERATURES and PRECIPITATION:

26 CPC SEASONAL TEMP OUTLOOKS

27 CPC SEASONAL PRECIP OUTLOOKS

28 Here is the NOAA CFS v2 Seasonal TEMP Outlook:

29 Here is the NOAA CFS v2 Seasonal PRECIP Outlook:

30 WeatherBank s 2014 Summer Forecast Monthly CDDs for SUMMER 2014 (out of 64 past summer s from , GCS = Gas Consuming States): Forecast Made June 6, 2014: o Summer 2014 Full USA: 54,019 CDDs; 22 nd Warmest; o Summer 2014 GCS: 25,530 CDDs; 16 th Warmest; Forecast Made July 21, 2014: o Summer 2014 Full USA: 54,019 CDDs; 22 nd Warmest; o Summer 2014 GCS: 24,555 CDDs; 28 th Warmest; Summer 2013: Summer 2012: Summer 2011: Summer 2010: Summer 2009: Summer 2008: Summer 2007: 5-Year Summer Average: 10-Year Summer Average: HOTTEST SUMMER since 1950: COLDEST SUMMER since 1950: 58,245 CDDs; #8 Hottest 62,987 CDDs; #1 Hottest 60,402 CDDs; #2 Hottest 58,908 CDDs; #5 Hottest 50,054 CDDs; #41 Hottest 53,932 CDDs; #231 Hottest 58,404 CDDs; #7 Hottest 58,119 CDDs 56,801 CDDs 2012, 62,987 CDDs 1965, 43,3329 CDDs Background Methodology for the WeatherBank LROM Using observed calendar day MAX and MIN temperatures at major cities across North America, WeatherBank generates daily Heating Degree Days (HDDs) and Daily Cooling Degree Days (CDDs). By comparing observations of HDDs in winter and CDDs during summer, one may obtain a real-time description of how warm or cold the current season is. Basically, the hotter a location is in summer, or colder in winter, the more degree days that location earns. By adding all degree days from all locations, one can obtain a relative description of the current season. By comparing the current season to the degree days totals for past seasons, one obtains a ranking of the current season. WeatherBank's Long Range Outlook Model (LROM) fundamentally assumes that future weather patterns will be similar to a highly correlating, past weather pattern that was determine by trend composite. All similar weather trends of the past are compared to the current weather trend, then analyzed using a variety of tests. Global inputs such as MEI, average upper level flow patterns, etc., are also used. Correlation coefficients for each input years are generated, and used to define the relative strength of each year and how that trend could be used in the forecast process. Since mid- August 2007, strong correlations have remained between the equally weighted (same calendar 13-week period called current, to the same 13-week period of all past years; no lag applied) time-periods of the past.

31

32

33

34

35

SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW

SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: October 21, 2013 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com SEPTEMBER 2013 REVIEW Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average temperature

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: May 15, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: May 15, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: May 15, 2014 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com APRIL 2014 REVIEW Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average temperature for

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 25, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com MARCH 2016 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The March

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sroot@weatherbank.com SEPTEMBER 2016 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The contiguous

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 15, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com JANUARY 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review During January, the average

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 1, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 1, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 1, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com FEBRUARY 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The February contiguous U.S. temperature

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sroot@weatherbank.com MARCH 2017 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average contiguous

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com OCTOBER 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com AUGUST 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 04, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 04, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: February 04, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com Severe thunderstorms spawned tornadoes northeast of Birmingham, Alabama on January

More information

Every state in the nation experienced a record warm daily temperature during March.

Every state in the nation experienced a record warm daily temperature during March. Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: April 05, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com March 2012 Record and near record breaking temperatures dominated the eastern two thirds

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter 2016-17 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University February 7, 2017 What a difference from last year at this time. Temperatures in January and February

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2017 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University August 4, 2017 July largely held true to forecast, although it ended with the start of one of the most extreme

More information

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: March 06, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO

Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: March 06, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: March 06, 2012 Steven A. Root, CCM, President/CEO sroot@weatherbank.com Warmer than average temperatures dominated the northern and eastern regions of the

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2019 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College January 4, 2019 Summary: December was mild and dry over much of the west, while the east was much warmer than

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast November 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College November 7, 2017 Summary: October was relatively cool and wet north, while warm and very dry south. Dry conditions

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast August 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College August 5, 2018 Summary: July 2018 will likely go down as one of the top five warmest July s on record for many

More information

2012 Growing Season Weather Summary for North Dakota. Adnan Akyüz and Barbara A. Mullins Department of Soil Science October 30, 2012

2012 Growing Season Weather Summary for North Dakota. Adnan Akyüz and Barbara A. Mullins Department of Soil Science October 30, 2012 2012 Growing Season Weather Summary for North Dakota Adnan Akyüz and Barbara A. Mullins Department of Soil Science October 30, 2012 Introduction The 2012 growing season (the period from April through September)

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College March 7, 2018 Summary: The ridge pattern that brought drier and warmer conditions from December through most

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2017 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2017 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College October 4, 2017 Summary: Typical variability in September temperatures with the onset of fall conditions evident

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Fall/Winter 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University November 5, 2016 After a year where we were seemingly off by a month in terms of temperatures (March

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College December 5, 2017 Summary: November was relatively cool and wet from central California throughout most of

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast January 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College January 5, 2018 Summary: A persistent ridge of high pressure over the west in December produced strong inversions

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Winter 2016-17 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University December 5, 2016 Well after an October that felt more like November, we just finished a November that

More information

Champaign-Urbana 1999 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 1999 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 1999 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sws.uiuc.edu Maria Peters, Weather Observer A major snowstorm kicked off the new

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast February 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College February 5, 2018 Summary: For the majority of the month of January the persistent ridge of high pressure

More information

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Interagency Fire Center Predictive Services Issued: September, 2007 Wildland Fire Outlook September through December 2007 Significant fire

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer into Harvest 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer into Harvest 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer into Harvest 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University September 3, 2016 With school and football season starting a hint of fall is right on time

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University August 5, 2016 The month of July saw the continued flip, flop of the western US temperatures. It was warm

More information

Champaign-Urbana 2001 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 2001 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 2001 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sws.uiuc.edu Maria Peters, Weather Observer January: After a cold and snowy December,

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast October 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College October 4, 2018 Summary: Much of Washington, Oregon, coastal California and the Bay Area and delta region

More information

Champaign-Urbana 1998 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 1998 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 1998 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY Audrey Bryan, Weather Observer 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sparc.sws.uiuc.edu The development of the El Nìno

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast April 2018 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College April 4, 2018 Summary: A near Miracle March played out bringing cooler and wetter conditions to the majority

More information

2011 Year in Review TORNADOES

2011 Year in Review TORNADOES 2011 Year in Review The year 2011 had weather events that will be remembered for a long time. Two significant tornado outbreaks in April, widespread damage and power outages from Hurricane Irene in August

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast March 2019 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College March 2, 2019 Summary: Dramatic flip from a mild winter to a top five coldest February on record in many locations

More information

The Weather Wire. Contents: Summer 2018 Outlook. Summer 2018 Outlook Drought Monitor May Summary/Statistics June Preview Rainfall Totals

The Weather Wire. Contents: Summer 2018 Outlook. Summer 2018 Outlook Drought Monitor May Summary/Statistics June Preview Rainfall Totals The Weather Wire June 2018 Volume 25 Number 6 Contents: Summer 2018 Outlook Drought Monitor May Summary/Statistics June Preview Rainfall Totals Summer 2018 Outlook June 1 st marked the first day of meteorological

More information

January 2008 Climate Summary

January 2008 Climate Summary Joseph Mays (765) 494-6574 Feb 5, 2008 http://www.iclimate.org Summary January 2008 Climate Summary January was a mix bag of conditions, with an oscillatory pattern developing. We experienced phases of

More information

Midwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update

Midwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update Midwest and Great Plains Climate and Drought Update June 20,2013 Laura Edwards Climate Field Specialist Laura.edwards@sdstate.edu 605-626-2870 2012 Board of Regents, South Dakota State University General

More information

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016

Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016 Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast Summer 2016 Gregory V. Jones Southern Oregon University June 6, 2016 May 2016 continued the warm trend for portions of the west, while providing some relief for

More information

Arizona Climate Summary February 2012

Arizona Climate Summary February 2012 Arizona Climate Summary February 2012 Summary of conditions for January 2012 January 2012 Temperature and Precipitation Summary January 1 st 20 th : The New Year has started on a very dry note. The La

More information

Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018

Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018 Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook September 20, 2018 Brian Fuchs National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln School of Natural Resources September 20, 2018 General Information

More information

2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW

2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW 2015: A YEAR IN REVIEW F.S. ANSLOW 1 INTRODUCTION Recently, three of the major centres for global climate monitoring determined with high confidence that 2015 was the warmest year on record, globally.

More information

Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary

Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary Champaign-Urbana 2000 Annual Weather Summary ILLINOIS STATE WATER SURVEY 2204 Griffith Dr. Champaign, IL 61820 wxobsrvr@sws.uiuc.edu Maria Peters, Weather Observer January: January started on a mild note,

More information

The Pennsylvania Observer

The Pennsylvania Observer The Pennsylvania Observer May 31, 2012 May 2012 - Pennsylvania Weather Recap By: Paul Knight The majority of the fifth month had temperatures averaging well above seasonal levels with two distinct hot

More information

The Pennsylvania Observer

The Pennsylvania Observer The Pennsylvania Observer October 1, 2015 September 2015 - Pennsylvania Weather Recap By: Quinn Lease The month of September will be remembered for its above normal temperatures and dry conditions that

More information

A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station

A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station ZUMWALT PRAIRIE WEATHER 2016 A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station Figure 1. An unusual summer storm on July 10, 2016 brought the second-largest precipitation day

More information

Arizona Climate Summary May 2012

Arizona Climate Summary May 2012 Arizona Climate Summary May 2012 Summary of conditions for April 2012 April 2012 Temperature and Precipitation Summary April 1 st 16 th : Although April began with another low pressure system sweeping

More information

Nebraska experienced a wide

Nebraska experienced a wide Issue 1 August 2016 CLIMATE UPDATE A MONTHLY SUMMARY FROM THE neclimate.unl.edu August saw reprieve from dryness, cooler temps Overview Nebraska experienced a wide range of conditions across the state

More information

Arizona Climate Summary

Arizona Climate Summary Arizona Climate Summary April 2014 Summary of conditions for March 2014 March 2014 Temperature and Precipitation Summary March 1 st 16 th : We started off the month of March with a significant precipitation

More information

Illinois Drought Update, December 1, 2005 DROUGHT RESPONSE TASK FORCE Illinois State Water Survey, Department of Natural Resources

Illinois Drought Update, December 1, 2005 DROUGHT RESPONSE TASK FORCE Illinois State Water Survey, Department of Natural Resources Illinois Drought Update, December 1, 2005 DROUGHT RESPONSE TASK FORCE Illinois State Water Survey, Department of Natural Resources For more drought information please go to http://www.sws.uiuc.edu/. SUMMARY.

More information

Summer 2018 Southern Company Temperature/Precipitation Forecast

Summer 2018 Southern Company Temperature/Precipitation Forecast Scott A. Yuknis High impact weather forecasts, climate assessment and prediction. 14 Boatwright s Loop Plymouth, MA 02360 Phone/Fax 508.927.4610 Cell: 508.813.3499 ClimateImpact@comcast.net Climate Impact

More information

Impacts of the April 2013 Mean trough over central North America

Impacts of the April 2013 Mean trough over central North America Impacts of the April 2013 Mean trough over central North America By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA Abstract: The mean 500 hpa flow over North America featured a trough over

More information

2015 Summer Forecast

2015 Summer Forecast 2015 Summer Forecast Inside This Forecast Summer 2014 Recap 2 Implications of El Niño and the PDO on the Upcoming Summer Summary of Global Indices & Oscillations Analog Year: The Midwest a battleground

More information

Arizona Climate Summary

Arizona Climate Summary May 2015 Temperature and Precipitation Summary Arizona Climate Summary June 2015 Summary of conditions for May 2015 May 1 st 14 th : May began with high pressure in the west, and May 1 st was dry statewide,

More information

JEFF JOHNSON S Winter Weather Outlook

JEFF JOHNSON S Winter Weather Outlook JEFF JOHNSON S 2017-2018 Winter Weather Outlook TABLE OF CONTENTS ABOUT THE AUTHOR Components of the seasonal outlook... 2 ENSO state/ocean temperatures... 3 Sub-seasonal outlooks... 4 Forecast models...

More information

NatGasWeather.com Daily Report

NatGasWeather.com Daily Report NatGasWeather.com Daily Report Issue Time: 5:15 pm EST Sunday, February 28 th, 2016 for Monday, Feb 29 th 7-Day Weather Summary (February 28 th March 5 th ): High pressure will dominate much of the US

More information

Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report

Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report Month: January Year: 2019 Temperature: Mean T max was 47.2 F which is 3.0 above the 1981-2010 normal for the month. This

More information

North Central U.S. Climate Summary & Outlook May 19, 2016

North Central U.S. Climate Summary & Outlook May 19, 2016 North Central U.S. Climate Summary & Outlook May 19, 2016 Golf course Lincoln, NE Image courtesy Terry Sohl Hailstones Lincoln, NE Image courtesy Andrew Ozaki EF1 tornado Lincoln, NE May 9 Photo by Bill

More information

Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture. Today. 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date

Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture. Today. 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date Minnesota s Climatic Conditions, Outlook, and Impacts on Agriculture Kenny Blumenfeld, State Climatology Office Crop Insurance Conference, Sep 13, 2017 Today 1. The weather and climate of 2017 to date

More information

NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment

NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment PRECIPITATION The images above use daily precipitation statistics from NWS COOP, CoCoRaHS, and CoAgMet stations. From top to bottom, and left to right: most recent 7-days

More information

Presentation Overview. Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future. Global Energy Balance. What is climate?

Presentation Overview. Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future. Global Energy Balance. What is climate? Southwestern Climate: Past, present and future Mike Crimmins Climate Science Extension Specialist Dept. of Soil, Water, & Env. Science & Arizona Cooperative Extension The University of Arizona Presentation

More information

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System March 26, 2019

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System March 26, 2019 NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System March 26, 2019 The images above use daily precipitation statistics from NWS COOP, CoCoRaHS, and CoAgMet stations. From top to bottom, and left to right:

More information

Arizona Climate Summary February 2018 Summary of conditions for January 2018

Arizona Climate Summary February 2018 Summary of conditions for January 2018 Arizona Climate Summary February 2018 Summary of conditions for January 2018 January 2018 Temperature and Precipitation Summary January 1 st 19 th : The new year began with a ridge of high pressure over

More information

Colorado CoCoRaHS. Colorado CoCoRaHS. Because Every Drop Counts! November 2014 Volume 2, Issue 11

Colorado CoCoRaHS. Colorado CoCoRaHS. Because Every Drop Counts! November 2014 Volume 2, Issue 11 U.S. PRECIPITATION (% OF AVERAGE) LOOKING BACK AT OCTOBER 2014 October was a fairly dry month for much of the nation with the exception of the Pacific Northwest, portions of New England and the Tennessee

More information

THE STATE CLIMATOLOGIST 2014/15 Annual Summary Volume 33, Issue 1

THE STATE CLIMATOLOGIST 2014/15 Annual Summary Volume 33, Issue 1 THE STATE CLIMATOLOGIST 2014/15 Annual Summary Volume 33, Issue 1 The State Climatologist is a publication of the American Association of State Climatologists Compiled by Olivia Kellner, Visiting Climatologist,

More information

Climate Variability and El Niño

Climate Variability and El Niño Climate Variability and El Niño David F. Zierden Florida State Climatologist Center for Ocean Atmospheric Prediction Studies The Florida State University UF IFAS Extenstion IST January 17, 2017 The El

More information

Arizona Climate Summary September 2018 Summary of conditions for August 2018

Arizona Climate Summary September 2018 Summary of conditions for August 2018 August 2018 Temperature and Precipitation Summary Arizona Climate Summary September 2018 Summary of conditions for August 2018 August 1 st 15 th : August began with high pressure centered over the state

More information

MDA WEATHER SERVICES AG WEATHER OUTLOOK. Kyle Tapley-Senior Agricultural Meteorologist May 22, 2014 Chicago, IL

MDA WEATHER SERVICES AG WEATHER OUTLOOK. Kyle Tapley-Senior Agricultural Meteorologist May 22, 2014 Chicago, IL MDA WEATHER SERVICES AG WEATHER OUTLOOK Kyle Tapley-Senior Agricultural Meteorologist May 22, 2014 Chicago, IL GLOBAL GRAIN NORTH AMERICA 2014 Agenda Spring Recap North America Forecast El Niño Discussion

More information

Arizona Climate Summary

Arizona Climate Summary August 2015 Temperature and Precipitation Summary Arizona Climate Summary September 2015 Summary of conditions for August 2015 August 1 st 16 th : August was a wet month across the state with only 3 days

More information

but 2012 was dry Most farmers pulled in a crop

but 2012 was dry Most farmers pulled in a crop After a winter that wasn t, conditions late in the year pointed to a return to normal snow and cold conditions Most farmers pulled in a crop but 2012 was dry b y M i k e Wr o b l e w s k i, w e a t h e

More information

January 2011 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast

January 2011 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast January 2011 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast 2010 Runoff Year Calendar Year 2010 was the third highest year of runoff in the Missouri River Basin above Sioux City with 38.8 MAF, behind 1978 and 1997 which

More information

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA OUTLOOK (FULL REPORT) Wednesday, April 18, 2018

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA OUTLOOK (FULL REPORT) Wednesday, April 18, 2018 T-storm Weather Summary Coolness continues over the next week in much of the central U.S., most likely producing the coldest April since 1907 in the Corn Belt, but followed by seasonable to mild weather

More information

Climate. Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) January Temperature. July Temperature. Average Precipitation (Last 30 Years)

Climate. Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) January Temperature. July Temperature. Average Precipitation (Last 30 Years) Climate Annual Temperature (Last 30 Years) Average Annual High Temp. (F)70, (C)21 Average Annual Low Temp. (F)43, (C)6 January Temperature Average January High Temp. (F)48, (C)9 Average January Low Temp.

More information

Highlight: Support for a dry climate increasing.

Highlight: Support for a dry climate increasing. Scott A. Yuknis High impact weather forecasts, climate assessment and prediction. 14 Boatwright s Loop Plymouth, MA 02360 Phone/Fax 508.927.4610 Cell: 508.813.3499 ClimateImpact@comcast.net Climate Impact

More information

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook

National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook National Interagency Fire Center Predictive Services Issued: April 1, 2008 Next Issue: May 1, 2008 Wildland Fire Outlook April 2008 through July 2008

More information

January 25, Summary

January 25, Summary January 25, 2013 Summary Precipitation since the December 17, 2012, Drought Update has been slightly below average in parts of central and northern Illinois and above average in southern Illinois. Soil

More information

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA OUTLOOK (FULL REPORT) Thursday, December 28, 2017

UNITED STATES AND SOUTH AMERICA OUTLOOK (FULL REPORT) Thursday, December 28, 2017 T-storm Weather Summary Despite scattered t-storms Sat.-Sun. in central and northern areas in Argentina, more will likely be needed especially in sunflower areas of the southwest. Some t-storms likely

More information

Climate Impacts to Southwest Water Sector. Dr. Dave DuBois New Mexico State Climatologist

Climate Impacts to Southwest Water Sector. Dr. Dave DuBois New Mexico State Climatologist Climate Impacts to Southwest Water Sector Dr. Dave DuBois New Mexico State Climatologist Presented at EPA Extreme Events and Climate Adaptation Planning Workshop June 3, 2015 Water Year Precip. % of Average

More information

WeatherManager Weekly

WeatherManager Weekly Issue 288 July 14, 2016 WeatherManager Weekly Industries We Serve Agriculture Energy/Utilities Construction Transportation Retail Our Weather Protection Products Standard Temperature Products Lowest Daily

More information

The Pennsylvania Observer

The Pennsylvania Observer The Pennsylvania Observer April 2, 2009 March 2009 Pennsylvania Weather Recap Prepared by Curt Harpster For the month of March the saying, In like a lion and out like a lamb really fit the pattern quite

More information

The Pennsylvania Observer

The Pennsylvania Observer The Pennsylvania Observer August 3, 2015 July 2015 - Pennsylvania Weather Recap By: Arthur Person Although this seventh month of 2015 was fairly normal across Pennsylvania as a whole, the details reveal

More information

Current Climate Trends and Implications

Current Climate Trends and Implications Current Climate Trends and Implications Dr. Mark Seeley Professor emeritus Department of Soil, Water, and Climate University of Minnesota St Paul, MN 55108 Crop Insurance Conference September 12, 2018

More information

Weekly Weather Flash. August 21 September 3. Europe

Weekly Weather Flash. August 21 September 3. Europe Weekly Weather Flash August 21 September 3 US THIS WEEK: Cool in the West; Warm in the East and Pacific Northwest; Showers from the Plains to the East Coast A LOOK AHEAD: US Falls into Fall; Interior Cooler

More information

Weather Outlook: 2015 Growing Season

Weather Outlook: 2015 Growing Season Weather Outlook: 2015 Growing Season Leon F. Osborne Chester Fritz Distinguished Professor Regional Weather Information Center University of North Dakota Grand Forks, North Dakota Why Should We Be Concerned?

More information

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System February 12, 2019

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System February 12, 2019 NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System February 12, 2019 Precipitation The images above use daily precipitation statistics from NWS COOP, CoCoRaHS, and CoAgMet stations. From top to bottom,

More information

The Pennsylvania Observer

The Pennsylvania Observer The Pennsylvania Observer January 5, 2016 December 2015 - Pennsylvania Weather Recap By: Arthur Person December is the first of the three coldest months of the year. Sometimes it can be naughty, and sometimes

More information

Upper Missouri River Basin December 2017 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast December 5, 2017

Upper Missouri River Basin December 2017 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast December 5, 2017 Upper Missouri River Basin December 2017 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast December 5, 2017 Calendar Year Runoff Forecast Explanation and Purpose of Forecast U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Northwestern Division

More information

KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY June 2016

KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY June 2016 KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY June 2016 Summer arrives early June made a quick turn-around with both temperature and precipitation in most of the state. Only the Southwest Division averaged above normal precipitation

More information

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System November 21, 2017

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System November 21, 2017 NIDIS Drought and Water Assessment NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System November 21, 2017 Precipitation The images above use daily precipitation statistics from NWS COOP, CoCoRaHS, and

More information

Arizona Climate Summary

Arizona Climate Summary April 2016 Temperature and Precipitation Summary Arizona Climate Summary May 2016 Summary of conditions for April 2016 April 1 st 15 th : April 1 st saw the tail end of a low pressure system move out of

More information

KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY January 2018

KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY January 2018 KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY January 2018 Some welcome moisture After an extended period with little to no moisture, parts of Kansas recorded some significant precipitation. At Tribune, a small snow event on

More information

Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report

Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Weather Station Monthly Summary Report Month: December Year: 2017 Temperature: Mean T max was 47.2 F which is 4.4 above the 1981-2010 normal for the month. This

More information

May 2005 Climate Summary

May 2005 Climate Summary Ashley Brooks (765) 494-6574 Jun 7, 2005 http://iclimate.org May 2005 Climate Summary May 1-5 Early May was characterized by an upper-level trough that was in place over Indiana that brought in very cool

More information

Arizona Climate Summary September 2017 Summary of conditions for August 2017

Arizona Climate Summary September 2017 Summary of conditions for August 2017 August 2017 Temperature and Precipitation Summary Arizona Climate Summary September 2017 Summary of conditions for August 2017 August 1 st 15 th : The monsoon activity that ended July continued into the

More information

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System April 18, 2017

NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System April 18, 2017 1 of 11 4/18/2017 3:42 PM Precipitation NIDIS Intermountain West Drought Early Warning System April 18, 2017 The images above use daily precipitation statistics from NWS COOP, CoCoRaHS, and CoAgMet stations.

More information

Becky Bolinger Water Availability Task Force November 13, 2018

Becky Bolinger Water Availability Task Force November 13, 2018 Colorado Climate Center WATF Climate Update Becky Bolinger Water Availability Task Force November 13, 2018 COLORADO CLIMATE CENTER Water Year 2018 Colorado s Climate in Review COLORADO CLIMATE CENTER

More information

Arizona Climate Summary October 2018 Summary of conditions for September 2018

Arizona Climate Summary October 2018 Summary of conditions for September 2018 Arizona Climate Summary October 2018 Summary of conditions for September 2018 September 2018 Temperature and Precipitation Summary September 1 st 17 th : The wet pattern from August continued into September

More information

KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY June 2018

KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY June 2018 KANSAS CLIMATE SUMMARY June 2018 Continued Heat While the heat wasn t as dramatic as in May, June still came in as the 7 th warmest since 1895. The statewide average for the month was 77.9 o F. This was

More information

Arizona Climate Summary October 2013

Arizona Climate Summary October 2013 Arizona Climate Summary October 2013 Summary of conditions for September 2013 September 2013 Temperature and Precipitation Summary September 1 st 16 th : With moist conditions still present throughout

More information

Weather and Climate of the Rogue Valley By Gregory V. Jones, Ph.D., Southern Oregon University

Weather and Climate of the Rogue Valley By Gregory V. Jones, Ph.D., Southern Oregon University Weather and Climate of the Rogue Valley By Gregory V. Jones, Ph.D., Southern Oregon University The Rogue Valley region is one of many intermountain valley areas along the west coast of the United States.

More information