New Jersey Department of Transportation Extreme Weather Asset Management Pilot Study

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1 New Jersey Department of Transportation Extreme Weather Asset Management Pilot Study Overview Prepared for: June 26, 2018

2 Introduction Overview of Pilot Study New Jersey s Climate New Jersey s Transportation Assets New Jersey Challenges Summarize study approach & findings Next Steps Hurricane Sandy approaching the New Jersey coastline on October 29, 2012

3 New Jersey s Climate 41 emergency declarations in the last 10 years (State and Federal Declarations ) 16 associated with flooding or tropical storms (Hurricane Sandy in 2012, and Tropical Storm Irene the most damaging) 18 winter storm related Average annual temperatures have increased by 3 degrees F over the past century Highly variable precipitation with wetter than average conditions in the last decade (Average annual precipitation = inches, projected to increase) Sea level along New Jersey s coast has risen by more than 16 inches since 1911, double the global average (projected to rise 1 to 4 feet by 2100) Passaic River fills street in Paterson, NJ Hurricane Irene

4 New Jersey s Transportation 8,543 lane miles of pavement in the State Highway System (35% considered good condition, 32% fair, 33% poor) 2,676 lane miles of Interstates (61% good, 38% fair, 1% poor) 6,702 bridges 2,582 NJDOT owned/maintained bridges (29%,, 59%, 12%) 6,096 minor bridges 956 NJDOT owned/maintained minor bridges (26% good, 69% fair, 5% poor) 4 major airports 3 major water ports including the largest seaport in the US in Elizabeth Home of 3 rd largest commuter service provider (NJ Transit, bus, rail & light rail) with weekday daily ridership totaling 928,494 (2015) 981 miles of freight railroad 360 miles of waterway New Jersey Victory Bridge over Route 35

5 New Jersey s Challenges Coastal area presents its own unique challenges (impacts from storm surges, tidal flooding, projected sea level rise, plus Tourism and associated land use development challenges - the need to rebuild in flood prone areas to maintain economic stability, value of beach front property Varying weather stressors Winter storm events are growing concern Inland flooding How to account for extreme weather considerations in analytical tools used to predict asset performance over time (rate of deterioration)

6 Linking Extreme Weather and Asset Management NJDOT currently establishing an Asset Management Plan/Program and has identified extreme weather as an external environmental factor in assessing risks TAMP Risk Management Process Identifying, assessing, evaluating risks, developing a mitigation plan and monitoring top priority risks Extreme weather currently 3 rd highest risk in NJDOT s Risk Register Using results of pilot program to develop a strategy to implement in TAMP Process 23 CFR Part 667 Evaluation

7 Pilot Overview 2017 selected with 5 other states - Arizona, Kentucky, Massachusetts, Maryland, & Texas, to participate in a Pilot Program focused on extreme weather, climate risks, and asset management Aerial View of Study Area: I-80

8 Pilot Overview Originally selected culverts as the asset class to investigate impacts of extreme weather Focused on noncoastal areas Could not study entire state so selected a specific study area to see what could be learned and applied state wide Study refocused on identifying root causes of flooding in the target area to then develop cost-effective mitigation strategies

9 Compile & Integrate Data Internal Sources: - Drainage Management System (DMS) - Maintenance Management System (MMS) - Culvert Inspection Reports (Bureau of Structural Evaluation and Bridge Management, SEBM) - Operations Region s Input - Crash Data (Bureau of Transportation Data and Safety, BTDS) External Sources: - Concept Development Reports from Design Team (Louis Berger) - NOAA Other: - GIS 2016 DMS Rankings Snapshot

10 Case Study Area

11 New Initiatives: Linking Extreme Weather and Asset Management Asset Management, Extreme Weather, and Proxy Indicators Pilot STRESSOR: Understanding The Problem PRECIPITATION The research is aimed at identifying the root cause of flooding to target the most cost-effective risk management mitigation to incorporate in lifecycle planning WEATHER-RELATED RISK: IMPACT FLOODING MOBILITY SAFETY INFRASTRUCTURE PRESERVATION

12 Preliminary Data Analysis Results: I-80 MP to MP Total Number of Incidents Recorded 50 Westbound 41 82% Eastbound 9 18% EB WB

13 Number of Recorded Flooding Incidents by Year 2014 experienced the highest number of recorded flooding incidents between the fiveyear period ( ) 2016 experienced the second highest number of recorded flooding incidents between the five-year period ( ) Month Month Total January February March April May June July August September October November December Year Total

14 I-80 Number of Incidents vs. Maintenance Activities (Cleaning) by Year ( ) Incident Maintenance Activity

15 Preliminary Data Analysis Results: Rt. 23 MP 4 to MP 7 Total Number of Incidents Recorded 17 Northbound 1 6% Southbound 16 94% - One extra incident recorded (not flooding). - Number of incidents noting clogged storm drain = 7. NB SB

16 Route 23 Number of Incidents vs. Maintenance Activities (Cleaning) by Year ( ) Incident Maintenance Activity (Cleaning)

17 Comparison of Case Study Areas ( Yr. Period) I-80 Route 23 Study area location: MP to MP (1.79 miles) MP. 4.0 to MP 7.0 (3 miles) DMS ranking (2016 data): #1 #14 AADT in one direction: 62,515 29,092 Number of recorded incidents: Critical areas: WB between MP SB between MP Total number of maintenance activities in 5-yr. period: - Cleaning activities (inlets/manholes/channels ditches/pipes):

18 How about the culverts?? As builts and inspection reports noted culverts were not contributing factors to flooding, drainage issues, not culverts.inlet spacing, Although designed and constructed some time ago without extreme weather considerations, function ok today, as long as they are maintained Reaffirms need to identify possible root causes of flooding, before strategies are developed to address risks of extreme weather I-80 Culvert (located at MP on Westbound direction)

19 Incorporating Study Results into Asset Management Root cause analysis identifies a method to evaluate and develop risk mitigation actions Better understanding of relationship between stressor, roadway system performance and cause of problem Incorporate study s recommendations into lifecycle planning in the planning, design/engineering, and maintenance/operations phases Enhance/implement the use of GIS as a Resiliency Management System to be incorporated into NJDOT s current process

20 Developing a Resilience Management Tool/System How to identify vulnerabilities GIS can help Use various digital layers to give an indication of what areas could be subject to flooding Project case study areas and culverts within these locations. (System can be used for any Assets) National flood hazard layer from FEMA. Soil hydrologic group layer. In progress: precipitation historical data and projections, and maintenance activities. Data shows: Project case study areas are in low terrain (between ). Case study area soil group = low permeability. Route 23 within 100-yr flood zone.

21 GIS I-80 Digital Elevation Model

22 GIS I-80 Flood Hazard Zones

23 GIS I-80 Soil Groups

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