Delft FEWS User Days & 19 October 2007

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1 Delft FEWS User Days & 19 October 2007

2 Welcome & Introduction Karel Heynert Delft Hydraulics

3 Theme Extending functionality and scope of Delft FEWS Aim of Delft FEWS User Days exchange experience with application of Delft FEWS information about ongoing R&D & setting priorities for future R&D new fields of applications of Delft FEWS 3

4 What has happened over the past year?

5 Application Some Examples Some new applications FEWS Scotland now operational Italy FEWS Po Netherlands Waterboards Aa & Maas & Dommel Austria Danube & Salzburg (Hydriss II) 5

6 FEWS Scotland Started in SW Scotland 4 Catchments (PDM,ISIS) Recent extensions Correlations Nith & Earn Earn (PDM) Coastal forecasts Heading North into the highlands! 6

7 FEWS Danube (Austria) Flood forecasting for River Danube and major tributaries (Kamp, Traisen, Enns/Steyr) in Upper and Lower Austria Hydrological modelling of upstream Danube catchment in Switzerland, Austria, and Germany Hydraulic modelling of Danube Client-Server System both in Upper and Lower Austria 7

8 Application Some Examples Some new applications FEWS Scotland now operational Italy FEWS Po Netherlands Waterboards Aa & Maas & Dommel Austria Danube & Salzburg (Hydriss II) Water quality in Marina Bay, Singapore Thailand - Songkhla Lagoon & Mun River Pakistan FEWS Indus 8

9 Application Some Examples Some new applications FEWS Scotland now operational Italy FEWS Po Netherlands Waterboards Aa & Maas & Dommel Austria Danube & Salzburg (Hydriss II) Water quality Marina Bay, Singapore Thailand - Songkhla Lagoon & Mun River Pakistan FEWS Indus United States Several pilots Russia - Storm Surge Barrier in St Petersburg (Demonstrator) 9

10 Storm Surge Barrier St Petersburg Approx. 1 flood per year in St Petersburg (last 300 years) Rosstroy (Ministry of Construction of Russian Federation) has commissioned a storm surge barrier EBRD has provided a loan for the construction Russian Federation needs to provide operation and management of the barrier Flood Early Warning System & operational management 10

11 Storm Surge Barrier St Petersburg Decision Support for Gate Operation Development of Demonstrator Delft FEWS running Delft3D Flow Delivery in Autumn 07 11

12 Research & Development New features in FEWS (releases v2007/01 & v2007/02) Probabilistic forecasting & uncertainty analysis Reservoir optimization & real-time control Data assimilation 12

13 Generic Data Assimilation Tool - DATools Objective Generic data assimilation tool for standalone purposes Operational use within Delft-FEWS Application Data Assimilation (EnKF,Particle Filter, ) Calibration (DUD, Powell, SIMPLEX, ) Sensitivity (Monte Carlo, Variation per Parameter, ) Model Predictive Control Requires an extension of existing model wrappers (exchange of states/parameters) 13

14 Research & Development New features in FEWS (releases v2007/01 & v2007/02) Probabilistic forecasting & uncertainty analysis Reservoir optimization & real-time control Data assimilation Water quality forecasting Algae bloom (coastal & inland waters in Netherlands) Marina Bay in Singapore Wiki pages 14

15 Programme on Thursday 18 October 07 10:00 11:15 12:00 12:45 13:45 14:30 15:30 16:15 New developments in Delft FEWS Recent flooding in England - User perspective and system performance of NFFS National Weather Service River Forecast Centre modelling and forecast operations, United States Lunch Flood forecasting research at Unesco IHE Delft Operational Management System for Marina Bay in Singapore National Groundwater Modelling System in England & Wales Algae Bloom Forecasting in The Netherlands 15

16 Programme on Thursday 18 October 07 Drinks & Dinner at Restaurant Proeflokaal De Kurk Kromstraat 20, Delft Proeflokaal De Kurk Hotel de Plataan Starting at 7:00 PM Hotel de Ark Hotel de Kok 16

17 Programme on Friday 19 October 07 9:00 9:45 10:45 11:30 12:15 13:00 13:30 14:15 15:00 Flood and Drought Forecasting in the Po River Basin in Italy Experiences with Ensemble Forecast in the Context of MAP-D Ensemble Forecasting - Meteorological Uncertainty, Hydrological Uncertainty and Verification Break-out sessions - Using & Disseminating Probabilistic Forecasts Lunch Plenary Session on Using & Disseminating Probabilistic Forecasts Operational Management of Reservoirs & Real-time Control Real-time Data Management with Delft FEWS Conclusions & Wrap-up 17

18 Some Practical Points Organisation Hotels & Transport Breaks & Lunch Demonstrations Venue Delft Hydraulics in

19 Delft Hydraulics will merge in

20 Delft FEWS User Days & 19 October 2007

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