WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA
|
|
- Stephen Daniels
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Sunday, July 1 until Monday, July 9, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Sunday, July 1, :00 pm RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: The features of interest this coming week will be the approach and passage of two tropical waves. The first will reach Belize later Tuesday and early Wednesday. The second and much more active tropical wave will show its presence late Saturday through Sunday. The approach and passage of this system will force a northward shift in the Inter tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) over northern Central America and an influx of moisture from the Pacific. Also, the TW wave will traverse northern Central America ahead of a surge in the low level easterlies, which will also favor intense thunderstorm outbreaks (Figure 5 below). Figure 1 GOES IR Satellite picture for 3:00 pm, Sunday July 1, 2012, showing only weak convective cells in the NW Caribbean, with heavier convection over southern and central Guatemala. The mainland of Belize and coastal waters is almost free of convection around at this time. 1
2 Conditions will become favorable for outbreaks of showers and on Monday and Tuesday as a weak tropical wave traverses the NW Caribbean and cross Belize Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Moisture and instability will be on the increase as we move into the weekend with the approach and passage of another more active tropical wave later on Saturday and Sunday morning. Coupled with this second tropical wave will be an influx on moisture from the Pacific, as the ITCZ shifts northwards over Central America and the leading edge of a surge in the easterlies over the Caribbean reach the extreme NW Caribbean region. Daytime heating and the passage of the tropical waves will induce outbreaks of showers and over Belize and coastal waters during most of this working, and will increase over the weekend. Model projections suggest that the bulk of the rainfall will be concentrated over the central and northern coastal regions at first, but will become more widespread later on Friday through Sunday. Daily rainfall accumulations will range from on Sunday through Wednesday, especially over the coast and northern areas. Expect higher rainfall amounts in the hilly terrain of the Stann Creek and Toledo Districts, and NE Cayo District. Daily rainfall totals on Thursday through Monday of next week will be ranging from es, especially along the coast and in the Hills. Folks in low lying areas should remain vigilant this week and be prepared to move to higher grounds if necessary particularly on Sunday and Monday of next week! Belize Seven-day Outlook for Agriculture and Industry Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat July 1, 2012 July 2, 2012 July 3, 2012 July 4, 2012 July 5, 2012 July 6, 2012 July 7,
3 Sunny with cloudy periods; few showers mostly inland of-an Sunny with cloudy periods; few mostly inland Cloudy with scattered mostly coast & north Cloudy with scattered mostly coast & north Cloudy with a few mostly central coast Cloudy with a few mostly along the coast Hills Cloudy with more outbreaks of increasing Figure 2 Surface map valid for 3:00 am Monday, June 25, 2012, showing TS Debby in the NE Gulf of Mexico almost stationary, with 50 mph maximum sustained one- minute winds. Weak pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean and Belize. Figure 3 NHC 72- hr forecast surface map valid for 6:00 am Wednesday, July 4, 2012, showing TW near the coast of Yucatan and Belize. A second TW is evident over the eastern Caribbean, heading westward at 15 mph. 3
4 This second TW will reach Belize late Saturday and Sunday. Figure 4 GFS model daily rainfall projection at 168 hours, valid 12:00 pm, Sunday July 8, 2012, showing ITCZ lifting north over Central America and TW over Belize, generating rainfall of es from Saturday afternoon until noon on Sunday. Rainfall concentrated mostly over central and northern coast. Fig. 5 GFS Model vorticity projection at 5,000 ft level or 850 mb, valid for 12:00 pm Sunday, July 8, 2012, showing vorticity maximum (or low pressure center) moving into the Gulf of Honduras, and generating more outbreaks of showers and across Belize, some intense at times. Voticity max 4
5 depicted in yellow with center marked with an x OUTLOOK FOR THE MAIN DEVELOPMENT REGION (MDR) OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC BASIN ABNT20 KNHC TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM EDT SUN JULY ; 3:00 pm LOCAL TIME BELIZE FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FORECASTER PASCH Summary of Atlantic Basin 2012 Hurricane Season Forecast: Tropical Cyclones NHC Seasonal Average CSU (Klotzbach & Gray) NOAA INSMET (Cuba) Named Storms (NS) Hurricanes (H) Major Hurricanes Atlantic NS 7.1 (INSMET) 8 Caribbean NS 1.5 (INSMET) 1 Gulf of Mexico NS 2.0 (INSMET) 1 Probability of at least one moving through the Caribbean Sea from Atlantic 50% (INSMET) 55% Probability of at least one forming and reaching hurricane intensity within the Caribbean Sea 43% (INSMET) 15% 5
6 Expected 2012 activity in the Atlantic Basin Climate signals and evolving oceanic and atmospheric conditions, combined with dynamical model forecasts, indicate that a near-normal 2012 Atlantic hurricane season is most likely. This outlook calls for a 50% chance of a near-normal season, a 25% chance of an above-normal season, and a 25% chance of a below normal season. An important measure of the total overall seasonal activity is NOAA s Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index, which accounts for the intensity and duration of named storms and hurricanes during the season. This outlook indicates a 70% chance that the 2012 seasonal ACE range will be 65%-140% of the median. According to NOAA s hurricane season classifications, an ACE value above 111% of the median reflects an above-normal season. An ACE value below 71.4% of the median reflects a below-normal season. Consistent with the expected ACE range, the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to produce (with 70% probability for each range) 9-15 named storms, of which 4-8 are expected to become hurricanes, and 1-3 are expected to become major hurricanes. These ranges are centered near the period averages of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes. (Source: NOAA, June 2012) 6
WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA
WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Sunday, June 17 until Monday, June 25, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Sunday, June 17, 2012; 3:00 pm RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: An upper level trough
More informationA surge in the easterlies and an influx of moisture and instability is inducing
WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Monday-Monday, July 16-23, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Monday, July 16, 2012 6:00 am RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: A number of features of interest
More informationWEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA
WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Friday, July 13 until Monday, July 16, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Friday, June 13, 2012, 9:00 am RFrutos SYNOPSIS: A weak pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean
More informationWEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA
WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Friday, July 6 until Monday, July 9, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Friday, July 6, 2012; 9:00 am RFrutos SYNOPSIS: An active tropical wave (TW) just west of
More informationAn upper to mid level circulation (Low) in the NW Caribbean is
WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Monday-Monday, Oct. 1 October 8, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Monday, Oct 1, 2012 6:00 am RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: An upper to mid level circulation
More informationWEEKLY OUTLOOK Valid: June 24-July 1, 2013
WEEKLY OUTLOOK Valid: June 24-July 1, 2013 Issue: 6:00 am Tuesday, June 24, 2013 SYNOPSIS for 6:00am Tuesday, June 24, 2013 RESIDUAL INSTABILITY IN THE MOIST EASTERLY AIRFLOW INDUCED BY A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
More informationWeekend Outlook Belize, Central America Valid for: Friday until Monday, May 25-28, 2012
Weekend Outlook Belize, Central America Valid for: Friday until Monday, May 25-28, 2012 RFrutos Synopsis: Conditions this past week improved by Wednesday as a surface low and trough producing the showery
More informationNational Hurricane Center Products. Jack Beven National Hurricane Center
National Hurricane Center Products Jack Beven National Hurricane Center Florida Governor s Hurricane Conference 11 May 2014 NHC Tropical Cyclone Products NHC provides the big picture that complements and
More informationTropical Update. 1 PM EDT Monday, May 21, 2018 Caribbean Disturbance (20%)
Tropical Update 1 PM EDT Monday, May 21, 2018 Caribbean Disturbance (20%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational and situational awareness
More informationOnset of the Rains in 1997 in the Belmopan Area and Spanish Lookout
Ten day Outlook for Belize Update: Monday Date: 5/18/2015 ECMWF and NOAA Climate Models are projecting an intensifying El Niño through autumn, 2015. Indications are the 2015 El Niño across the tropical
More informationTropical Update. 5 AM EDT Tuesday, September 12, 2017 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irma, Hurricane Jose, & Tropical Wave (10%)
Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Tuesday, September 12, 2017 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irma, Hurricane Jose, & Tropical Wave (10%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is
More informationHURRICANE HARVEY COE Navigation BRIEFING
HURRICANE HARVEY COE Navigation BRIEFING 10:00 AM CDT Friday, August 25, 2017 NWSNewOrleans www.weather.gov/neworleans Situation Overview New Information Harvey continues to strengthen Max sustained winds
More informationIWT Scenario 1 Integrated Warning Team Workshop National Weather Service Albany, NY October 31, 2014
Integrated Warning Team Workshop National Weather Service Albany, NY October 31, 2014 23 24 25 26 27 Scenario 1 Timeline November 23-27 Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Thanksgiving Day Sunday, Nov. 23 @ 430 pm NWS
More informationTropical Update. 5 AM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia
Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational
More informationIssued by: National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford CA. Issue time: 409 AM PST Wed Jan
Forecast Information Location: New_Exchequer_Dam Updated: January 16, 2019, 11:45 am NWS Weather Discussion: Issued by: National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford CA Issue time: 409 AM PST Wed
More informationNOAA s National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly NJ
Next Briefing Package: Thursday, October 1, 2015 no later than 300 PM Hazards and Impacts: Overview: A dangerous weather pattern is developing for our region. Threats include very heavy rainfall, inland
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Thursday, August 27, 2015 Tropical Storm Erika
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Thursday, August 27, 2015 Tropical Storm Erika This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational and situational awareness
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational
More informationClimate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL September 9, 2014
Climate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL September 9, 2014 Short Term Drought Map: Short-term (
More informationAtlantic Basin Satellite Image
Tropical Update 11 AM EDT Friday, September 7, 2018 Tropical Depression Gordon, Tropical Storm Florence, Potential Tropical Cyclone #8 (90%), Invest 92L (90%) This update is intended for government and
More informationWeekly Weather Briefing. NWS Albuquerque. Tuesday Soaker. NWS Albuquerque August 25, Weekly Weather Briefing
Weekly Weather Briefing Weekly Weather Briefing Tuesday Soaker August 25, 2014 August 2014 vs. 2013 Precipitation Percent of Average August 1-24, 2014 August 2013 Weekly Weather Briefing ABQ **Preliminary**
More informationTropical Update. 11 AM EDT Tuesday, October 9, 2018 Hurricane Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, Tropical Storm Nadine
Tropical Update 11 AM EDT Tuesday, October 9, 2018 Hurricane Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, Tropical Storm Nadine This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided
More informationNOAA s National Weather Service Philadelphia/Mt. Holly NJ
Next Briefing Package: Friday, October 2, 2015 no later than 300 PM Hazards and Impacts: Overview: A dangerous weather pattern still threatens our region. Threats include very heavy rainfall, inland river
More informationPotentially Wet Wed-Fri
Potentially Wet Wed-Fri August 18, 2014 Last Week s Lightning Trends TUE 8/12 WED 8/13 THU 8/14 FRI 8/15 t SAT 8/16 SUN 8/17 August 1-16 Precipitation Anomaly: 2013 VS. 2014 AUG 1-16, 2013 AUG 1-16, 2014
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Sunday, October 7, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, & Invest 92L (30%)
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Sunday, October 7, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, & Invest 92L (30%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided
More informationHURRICANE IRMA. 12 PM ET Saturday, September Prepared by: Kyle Thiem / Sid King.
HURRICANE IRMA 12 PM ET Saturday, September 9 2017 Prepared by: Kyle Thiem / Sid King www.weather.gov/atlanta/briefings @NWSAtlanta www.weather.gov/atlanta Situation Overview 11:00 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 Location:
More informationCropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Tuesday, March 14, 2017
Accumulated Rainfall (inches) Accumulated GDDs Temperature ( F)/Wind Speed (mph) Precipitation (inches) CropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Tuesday, March 14, 2017 Peoria, IL Regional Forecast
More informationCropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Friday, March 17, 2017
Accumulated Rainfall (inches) Accumulated GDDs Temperature ( F)/Wind Speed (mph) Precipitation (inches) CropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Friday, March 17, 2017 Peoria, IL Regional Forecast
More informationTropical Update. 5 AM EDT Wednesday, September 6, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Storm Katia
Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Wednesday, September 6, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Storm Katia This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided
More informationForecasting Challenges
Forecasting Challenges 2017-18 Alex Tardy- NWS San Diego Alexander.Tardy@noaa.gov CW3E meetings April 2018 Atmospheric Rivers Climate Forecast System by NOAA 100-h fuel moisture all-time low for South
More informationSaturday, October 6, :30 a.m. EDT
Saturday, October 6, 2018 8:30 a.m. EDT Significant Activity Oct 5-6 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic Tropical Storm Leslie; Disturbance 1 (High: 90%) Eastern Pacific Hurricane Sergio
More informationTROPICAL STORM HARVEY COE Navigation Call - Update
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY COE Navigation Call - Update 10:00 AM CDT Tuesday, August 29, 2017 Prepared by: NWS LIX NWSNewOrleans www.weather.gov/neworleans Situation Overview New Information Drifting ENE at
More informationMajor Hurricane Matthew Briefing Situation Overview
Major Hurricane Matthew Briefing Situation Overview At 5 p.m. Tuesday, Category 4 Hurricane Matthew was about 860 miles South-Southeast of Mayport, Florida, moving north around 10 mph. Maximum sustained
More informationWhat s s New for 2009
What s s New for 2009 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook becomes operational Special Tropical Disturbance Statement replaced with Special Tropical Weather Outlook Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Graphic becomes
More informationTropical Update. 11 AM EDT Wednesday, October 10, 2018 Hurricane Michael, Hurricane Leslie & Tropical Storm Nadine, Caribbean Low (40%)
Tropical Update 11 AM EDT Wednesday, October 10, 2018 Hurricane Michael, Hurricane Leslie & Tropical Storm Nadine, Caribbean Low (40%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials,
More informationCalifornia OES Weather Threat Briefing
California OES Weather Threat Briefing Wednesday, January 16, 2019 9:00 AM PST Day 1: Strong winds, heavy mountain snow and heavy rain with isolated thunderstorms across much of the state through Thursday
More informationWeekly Weather Briefing. NWS Albuquerque. Wet, Then Dry, Then Wet. NWS Albuquerque August 4, Weekly Weather Briefing
Weekly Weather Briefing Weekly Weather Briefing Wet, Then Dry, Then Wet August 4, 2014 Weekly Weather Briefing Most Recent Temperatures Weekly Weather Briefing Today s Max Temp Departure from Normal Weekly
More informationCropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Monday, March 13, 2017
Accumulated Rainfall (inches) Accumulated GDDs Temperature ( F)/Wind Speed (mph) Precipitation (inches) CropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kenny Miller Monday, March 13, 2017 Peoria, IL Regional Forecast
More informationHurricane Matthew Page 1 Location Forecast Analysis Summary Report - Advanced Wind Estimation On
Page 1 Current NHC Forecast Predictions Maximum Sustained Winds / Storm Category: 138 MPH / Category 4 Forward motion: 9 mph towards the North Hurricane Force winds extend from the center: 46 miles Tropical
More informationOutlook 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Kevin Lipton, Ingrid Amberger National Weather Service Albany, New York
Outlook 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Kevin Lipton, Ingrid Amberger National Weather Service Albany, New York Summary 2007 Hurricane Season Two hurricanes made landfall in the Atlantic Basin at category-5
More informationCropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kyle Tapley Monday, March 20, 2017
Accumulated Rainfall (inches) Accumulated GDDs Temperature ( F)/Wind Speed (mph) Precipitation (inches) CropCast Corn and Soybean Report Kyle Tapley Monday, March 20, 2017 Peoria, IL Regional Forecast
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 16 AUGUST 29, 2013
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 16 AUGUST 29, 2013 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by above-average amounts (greater than 130 percent)
More informationStorm Summary for Hurricane Jose
Storm Summary for Hurricane Jose Tuesday, September 19, 2017 at 11 AM EDT (Output from Hurrevac, based on National Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory #57) Jose is currently a Category 1 hurricane on the
More informationTROPICAL STORM HARVEY BRIEFING
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY BRIEFING 10:00 AM CDT Sunday, August 27, 2017 Prepared by: NWS LIX NWSNewOrleans www.weather.gov/neworleans Situation Overview New Information Tropical Storm Winds 40mph Immediate
More informationTROPICAL STORM NATE BRIEFING
TROPICAL STORM NATE BRIEFING 5:00 AM CDT Friday, October 6, 2017 Prepared by: NWS NWSNewOrleans www.weather.gov/neworleans Situation Overview No significant changes to the track forecast this morning.
More informationAgricultural Outlook Forum Presented: February 17, 2006 THE SCIENCE BEHIND THE ATLANTIC HURRICANES AND SEASONAL PREDICTIONS
Agricultural Outlook Forum Presented: February 17, 2006 THE SCIENCE BEHIND THE ATLANTIC HURRICANES AND SEASONAL PREDICTIONS Gerald Bell Meteorologist, National Centers for Environmental Prediction NOAA,
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM SEPTEMBER 15 SEPTEMBER 28, 2015
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM SEPTEMBER 15 SEPTEMBER 28, 2015 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by below-average amounts (
More informationAugust Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2012
August Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2012 Issued: 6 th August 2012 by Professor Mark Saunders and Dr Adam Lea Dept. of Space and Climate Physics, UCL (University College London), UK
More informationHurricane Harvey and What is to come. Eric Berger, Space City Weather
Hurricane Harvey and What is to come Eric Berger, Space City Weather Today s talk A word about Space City Weather Social media-rology A look back at Hurricane Harvey Why does Houston get these storms Rainfall
More informationTropical Update. 5 AM EDT Monday, October 8, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, Invest 92L (10%) & African Tropical Wave (50%)
Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Monday, October 8, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, Invest 92L (10%) & African Tropical Wave (50%) This update is intended for government and emergency response
More informationPRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. June RMS Event Response
PRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK June 2014 - RMS Event Response 2014 SEASON OUTLOOK The 2013 North Atlantic hurricane season saw the fewest hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin
More informationESCI 1010 Lab 6 Midlatitude Cyclones and Thunderstorms
ESCI 1010 Lab 6 Midlatitude Cyclones and Thunderstorms Before Lab: Review pages 244-324 in your Weather and Climate textbook. Pay special attention to the sections entitled Fronts, Life Cyclone of a Midlatitude
More informationIWT Scenario 2 Integrated Warning Team Workshop National Weather Service Albany, NY October 31, 2014
IWT Scenario 2 Integrated Warning Team Workshop National Weather Service Albany, NY October 31, 2014 09 10 11 12 13 Scenario 2 Timeline December 9-13 Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Tue, Dec. 9 @ 5 am 2014 2014 2014
More informationWeekly Weather Briefing. NWS Albuquerque. Severe Threat Central & East through Tonight, then Drying. NWS Albuquerque September 29, 2014
Severe Threat Central & East through Tonight, then Drying September 29, 2014 Today s Max Temp Departure from Normal Notable Severe Weather Events in September* September 30, 1998 Los Lunas: 4.5 Hail*
More informationWEATHER SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS Prepared by the staff of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service
WEATHER SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS 2008 Prepared by the staff of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service TROPICAL STORM DOLLY Formed 194 miles west of Grand Cayman July 19 th. The tropical
More informationTFS WEATHER BRIEF. Monday, March 25
TFS WEATHER BRIEF Monday, March 25 Review: The leading edge of cooler and drier air was pushing through Central and East TX this morning. A few lingering thunderstorms were in progress south of I-20 in
More informationTropical Update. 5 PM EDT Sunday, September 10, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, Tropical Wave (60%)
Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Sunday, September 10, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, Tropical Wave (60%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational
More informationChapter 24 Tropical Cyclones
Chapter 24 Tropical Cyclones Tropical Weather Systems Tropical disturbance a cluster of thunderstorms about 250 to 600 km in diameter, originating in the tropics or sub-tropics Tropical depression a cluster
More informationMonday, October 19, CDT Brian Hoeth
Monday, October 19, 2015 1400 CDT Brian Hoeth Some of the briefing presented is worstcase scenario and may differ in detail from local NWS Weather Forecast Offices. National Weather Service Southern Region
More informationWeather Briefing. Coastal Storm Monday-Wednesday Dec 8-10, National Weather Service. Prepared 12/8/14 6:30 AM
Weather Briefing Coastal Storm Monday-Wednesday Dec 8-10, 2014 National Weather Service http://www.weather.gov/nyc Prepared 12/8/14 6:30 AM Overview of Potential Hazards A strong low pressure system will
More informationTROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY BRIEFING
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY BRIEFING 10:15 PM CDT Wednesday, August 23, 2017 Prepared by: Lara Beal NWSCorpus www.weather.gov/corpuschristi Situation Overview No changes to Watches. Hurricane Watch remains
More informationHurricane Irma Page 1 HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2017 Summary Report for Tampa, FL 09/09/ EDT, Adv. # 43
Hurricane Irma Page 1 Description of impact to Tampa, FL, Tampa, FL, is expected to receive a major impact from Hurricane Irma. The forecast maximum wind for this location has decreased since the last
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM SEPTEMBER 1 SEPTEMBER 14, 2015
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM SEPTEMBER 1 SEPTEMBER 14, 2015 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by below-average amounts (
More informationChart Discussion: Fri-24-Aug-2018 (Harvey Stern) Last Week s Rainfall
Last Week s Rainfall 1 Last Week s Surface Charts 2 Last month s Max Temp Forecasts: ACCESS Model Da te Model MxD1 MxD2 MxD3 MxD4 MxD5 MxD6 MxD7 MxD8 MxD9 MxD10 0 1- Aug- 18 ACC 15.4 15.2 15.4 15.5 15.6
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 4-17, 2015
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 4-17, 2015 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by below-average amounts (
More informationOverview of Current Tropical Cyclone Products Generated by NWS
Overview of Current Tropical Cyclone Products Generated by NWS Todd B. Kimberlain National Hurricane Center HFIP Ensembles Workshop Boulder, Colorado 20 April 2010 National Weather Service hurricane forecast
More informationHeavy Rain and Potential for Dangerous Flooding for northeast SC and southeast NC
US National Weather Service Wilmington NC @NWSWilmingtonNC http://weather.gov/ilm ***Life Threatening Flooding Possible*** Heavy Rain and Potential for Dangerous Flooding for northeast SC and southeast
More informationPage 1. Name:
Name: 1) As the difference between the dewpoint temperature and the air temperature decreases, the probability of precipitation increases remains the same decreases 2) Which statement best explains why
More informationBy: J Malherbe, R Kuschke
2015-10-27 By: J Malherbe, R Kuschke Contents Summary...2 Overview of expected conditions over South Africa during the next few days...3 Significant weather events (27 October 2 November)...3 Conditions
More informationNOAA 2015 Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
NOAA 2015 Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Dr. Gerry Bell Lead Seasonal Forecaster Climate Prediction Center/ NOAA/ NWS Collaboration With National Hurricane Center/ NOAA/ NWS Hurricane Research
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 14 AUGUST 27, 2014
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 14 AUGUST 27, 2014 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by below-average amounts (less than 70 percent)
More informationERTH 365 Homework #2: Hurricane Harvey. 100 points
ERTH 365 Homework #2: Hurricane Harvey 100 points Due by 6pm, Tuesday 30 October 2018, ELECTRONIC SUBMISSON BY EMAIL ONLY BY 6PM (send to klevey@sfsu.edu) (acceptable formats: MS Word, Google Doc, plain
More informationWind Speed Probability Products. Daniel Brown and Michael Brennan National Hurricane Center
Wind Speed Probability Products Daniel Brown and Michael Brennan National Hurricane Center 2017 WMO Course 7 March 2017 Wind Speed Probabilities A Tool to Deal with Uncertainty Hurricane Irene Advisory
More informationTropical Update. 12 PM EDT Friday, October 7, 2016 Hurricane Matthew & Tropical Storm Nicole
Tropical Update 12 PM EDT Friday, October 7, 2016 Hurricane Matthew & Tropical Storm Nicole This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational and
More informationWind Speed Probability Products
Wind Speed Probability Products Daniel Brown National Hurricane Center 2018 WMO Course 6 March 2018 Wind Speed Probabilities A Tool to Deal with Uncertainty Hurricane Irene Advisory Number 12 Issued 5:00
More informationMIDDAY WEATHER SUMMARY
MIDDAY WEATHER SUMMARY Weather Headlines TS Cindy will move inland tonight or early tomorrow morning near the Texas/Louisiana border. The latest GFS model run is cooler late in the 6-10 and early in the
More informationStorm Summary for Hurricane Joaquin
Storm Summary for Hurricane Joaquin Wednesday, September 30, 2015 at 5 PM EDT (Output from Hurrevac, based on National Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory #12) Joaquin is currently a Category 1 hurricane
More informationHurricane Irma Page 1 HURRTRAK RM/Pro 2017 Summary Report for Tampa, FL 09/10/ EDT, Adv. # 46
Hurricane Irma Page 1 Description of impact to Tampa, FL, Tampa, FL, is expected to receive a major impact from Hurricane Irma. The forecast maximum wind for this location has increased since the last
More informationTropical Storm Colin Briefing Last Briefing on this System
Tropical Storm Colin Briefing Last Briefing on this System NWS WFO Jacksonville, Florida Tuesday, June 07, 2016 6:00 a.m. EDT Tropical Storm Colin s Impacts SE Georgia & North Florida Local Watches & Warnings:
More informationPreliminary Assessment of 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Phil Klotzbach. Department of Atmospheric Science. Phil Klotzbach
Atlantic Basin Basin Tropical Seasonal Cyclone Hurricane Climatology Prediction and Preliminary Assessment of 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Phil Klotzbach Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado Phil
More informationWEDNESDAY 30 TH AUGUST, :57 p.m. Tropical Storm Irma forms in the Atlantic. Don t let your guard down, always #Be Ready.
Chapter 1 - The Set Up In the days leading up to Irma a series of composed and sobering text messages, presented in truncated form below, from Department of Disaster Management warned us of the pending
More informationWeather Report 30 November 2017
Weather Report 30 November 2017 South Africa - Weather The frequent precipitation pattern will continue for portions of eastern and central South Africa during the coming week. Moisture totals through
More informationThere is a Storm. What s the Info? National Weather Service Tropical Cyclone Products
NHC Forecasts There is a Storm. What s the Info? National Weather Service Tropical Cyclone Products National Weather Service Tropical Cyclone Products NHC provides the big picture that complements and
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 17 AUGUST 30, 2012
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 17 AUGUST 30, 2012 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by above-average amounts (greater than 130 percent)
More informationFriday, September 7, :30 a.m. EDT
Friday, September 7, 2018 8:30 a.m. EDT Tropical Depression Gordon - Final Situation (Advisory #20 as of 5:00 a.m. EDT) Located 30 miles S of Little Rock, AR Moving N at 5 mph; this motion expected to
More informationAugust Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2016
August Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2016 Issued: 5 th August 2016 by Professor Mark Saunders and Dr Adam Lea Dept. of Space and Climate Physics, UCL (University College London), UK
More informationClimate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL January 13, 2015
Climate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL January 13, 2015 Short Term Drought Map: Short-term (
More informationHomework 2: Hurricane Katrina. Part 1. Hurricane Katrina, August 28, 2005 Satellite Imagery
Metr 302 Homework 2 Fall 2014 Meteorology 302 Fall 2014 Name Homework 2: Hurricane Katrina 100 points total Distributed Thursday 30 October 2014; Due Thursday 13 November 2014 Answer all questions in complete
More informationEl Niño Update Impacts on Florida
Current Issues in Emergency Management (CIEM) Sessions 1 &2 October 12 th and 26 th, 2006 Florida Division of Emergency Management Tallahassee, Florida El Niño Update Impacts on Florida Bart Hagemeyer
More informationHurricanes. April 14, 2009
Tropical Weather & Hurricanes Chapter 15 April 14, 2009 Tropical meteorology Tropics characterized by seasonal wet and drier periods- wet when sun is nearly overhead at noon and inter-tropical convergence
More informationHurricane Matthew. Life Threatening Flash Flooding Likely. National Weather Service Wilmington NC. Josh Weiss, Meteorologist
Hurricane Matthew Life Threatening Flash Flooding Likely Threat Assessment for northeast South Carolina & southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 630 PM EDT Friday October 7, 2016
More informationCOLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 18-31, 2017
COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 18-31, 2017 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by above-average amounts (>130%) of activity relative to
More informationHurricane Matthew Threats and Impacts Briefing for Eastern NC
Hurricane Matthew Threats and Impacts Briefing for Eastern NC October 6 th, 2016 Date/Time Created: 10/6/2016, Noon EDT National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City, NC Hurricane Matthew Key Points Changes
More informationApril Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2018
April Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2018 Issued: 5 th April 2018 by Professor Mark Saunders and Dr Adam Lea Dept. of Space and Climate Physics, UCL (University College London), UK
More informationFrank Revitte National Weather Service. Weather Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge
Frank Revitte National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office New Orleans/Baton Rouge Above normal activity 17 Total Named Storms 7 Tropical Storms 4 Hurricanes 6 Major Hurricanes Not the most active,
More informationSatellite and Radar. 5:55 am Infrared Satellite with Surface Wind Arrows. 6:15 am Ruskin Doppler Radar. Large southerly wind field
Satellite and Radar 5:55 am Infrared Satellite with Surface Wind Arrows 6:15 am Ruskin Doppler Radar Large southerly wind field Developing showers rotating onshore NHC Forecast Hurricane Warning Big Bend
More informationTROPICAL STORM HARVEY BRIEFING
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY BRIEFING 2:00 PM CDT Tuesday, August 29, 2017 Prepared by: NWS LIX NWSNewOrleans www.weather.gov/neworleans Situation Overview New Information Moving NNE Max sustained wind 45 mph
More information-Assessment of current water conditions. - Precipitation Forecast. - Recommendations for Drought Monitor
April 27, 2010 -Assessment of current water conditions - Precipitation Forecast - Recommendations for Drought Monitor 7 Day Precipitation 19-25 April 2010 Month-to-Date Precipitation 1-25 April 2010
More informationFEMA RIX. Daily Situational Awareness Brief
RIX Daily Situational Awareness Brief Monday, October 3, 2016 POC: Region IX Regional Watch Center 888-709-3362 fema-r9watchofficer@fema.dhs.gov CURRENT OPERATIONS STATUS OPERATIONS STATUS IMAT I AVAILABLE
More information