Improved input to the empirical coronal mass ejection (CME) driven shock arrival model from CME cone models

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Improved input to the empirical coronal mass ejection (CME) driven shock arrival model from CME cone models"

Transcription

1 SPACE WEATHER, VOL. 4,, doi: /2006sw000227, 2006 Improved input to the empirical coronal mass ejection (CME) driven shock arrival model from CME cone models H. Xie, 1,2 N. Gopalswamy, 2 L. Ofman, 1,2 O. C. St. Cyr, 2 G. Michalek, 3 A. Lara, 4 and S. Yashiro 1,2 Received 7 February 2006; revised 19 May 2006; accepted 25 May 2006; published 17 October [1] We study the Sun-Earth travel time of interplanetary shocks driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) using empirical cone models. Three different cone models have been used to obtain the radial speeds of the CMEs, which are then used as input to the empirical shock arrival (ESA) model to obtain the Sun to Earth travel time of the shocks. We compare the predicted and observed shock transit times and find that the accuracy of the ESA model is improved by applying CME radial speeds from the cone models. There are two ways of calculating the shock travel time: using the ESA model or using the simplified ESA formula obtained by an exponential fit to the ESA model. The average mean error in the travel time with the cone model speeds is 7.8 compared to 14.6 with the sky plane speed, which amounts to an improvement of 46%. With the ESA formula, the corresponding mean errors are 9.5 and 11.7, respectively, representing an improvement of 19%. The cone models minimize projection effects and hence can be used to obtain CME radial speeds. When input to the ESA model, the large scatter in the shock travel time is reduced, thus improving CME-related space weather predictions. Citation: Xie, H., N. Gopalswamy, L. Ofman, O. C. St. Cyr, G. Michalek, A. Lara, and S. Yashiro (2006), Improved input to the empirical coronal mass ejection (CME) driven shock arrival model from CME cone models, Space Weather, 4,, doi: /2006sw Introduction [2] Interplanetary (IP) shocks detected in situ near 1 AU are indicative of the arrival of fast coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the Sun [e.g., Burlaga et al., 1987; Manoharan et al., 2004]. CMEs expand outward into the interplanetary medium carrying plasma and magnetic field with speeds up to 3000 km s 1 [see, e.g., Gopalswamy, 2004]. Fast CMEs (with speeds greater than the ambient Alfvén speed) compress magnetic fields and solar wind plasma, producing IP shocks and enhanced magnetic field. The southward magnetic fields in the shock sheath and intrinsic fields in IP CMEs (ICMEs) or magnetic clouds (MCs) are the major cause of geomagnetic storms [e.g., Burlaga, 1987, 2002; Gosling, 1993; Cane et al., 2000; Gopalswamy et al., 1 Department of Physics, Catholic University of America, Washington, D. C., USA. 2 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA. 3 Astronomical Observatory of Jagiellonian University, Cracow, Poland. 4 Instituto de Geofisica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, Mexico. Copyright 2006 by the American Geophysical Union 2000a, 2005a; Webb et al., 2000]. Because of the strong geoeffectiveness of some halo CMEs, the prediction of the arrival of the CMEs and associated IP shocks is of crucial importance for the forecast of geomagnetic storms. [3] Gopalswamy et al. [2001] proposed an empirical CME arrival (ECA) model to predict the arrival of ICMEs on the basis of the CME speed measurements near the Sun and near 1 AU. The CME speeds used in developing this model were free from projection effects because the measuring spacecrafts were in quadrature. This kinematic model has recently been extended to the empirical shock arrival (ESA) model to predict the Earth arrival of IP shocks [Gopalswamy et al., 2005b, 2005c]. Both the ECA and ESA models require the CME s initial space speed as an input parameter. One of the difficulties in obtaining the CME initial space speed is the uncertainty due to projection effects [Gopalswamy et al., 2000b]. One cannot use a simple projection correction based on the solar source location of CMEs because CMEs may not expand uniformly during the initial phase of the CME onset [Gopalswamy et al., 2001]. The white light coronagraphs such as the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) provide information on CME motion as projected 1of8

2 Figure 1. Comparison of predicted halos (dark circles) at two radial distances (r = 9.5 and 15.8 R s ), superposed on observed halos at corresponding times (adapted from Figure 4 of Zhao et al. [2002]; only two frames of the figure are used). in the plane of the sky (POS). Therefore the measured speed, angular width, and the central position angle from LASCO data are all projected in POS. The real angular width, the radial speed, and the central position angle cannot be measured directly from white light LASCO images unless CMEs are ejected exactly from the solar limbs (i.e., at a right angle to the Sun-Earth line), as used by Gopalswamy et al. [2001]. [4] In white light coronagraphic images, most of the CMEs near the solar limbs are seen as cone-shaped plasma structures with an angular width that remains nearly constant in the coronagraphic field of view [e.g., Fisher and Munro, 1984; St. Cyr et al., 2000; Webb et al., 1997, 2000; Schwenn et al., 2005]. The halo CMEs, which appear as a bright cloud surrounding the occulting disk, have been interpreted as a cone-shaped plasma ejected toward (or away from) the observer on Earth [Howard et al., 1982]. Assuming that the cone geometric and kinematical characteristics hold true for halo CMEs, one can determine their propagation direction and the space speeds. In the past, the cone model has been applied to halo and partial halo CMEs by different authors [e.g., Zhao et al., 2002; Michalek et al., 2003; Xie et al., 2004] to determine the speed, size and propagating direction of CMEs. More recently, Zhao et al. (private communication, 2005; stanford.edu/zhao/zhao.html) and Xue et al. [2005] extended the cone model to an ice cream cone model by adding a spherical top to the cone. The ice cream cone models provide improved determination of the configuration of the CMEs. The improved models can also be applied to nonhalo CMEs and result in a better determination of the radial speed of CMEs which are less than 45 away from the solar limb. Zhao et al. (private communication, 2005) and Cremades and Bothmer [2005] also suggested that some CMEs may be better approximated by elliptic cones that are characterized by an elliptic cross section. [5] In this study, we consider only the first three cone models, i.e., ZPL [Zhao et al., 2002], MGY [Michalek et al., 2003], and XOL [Xie et al., 2004], apply them to a set of halo CMEs originating from near the disk center (within ±45 in latitude and longitude) to determine their radial speeds. We then use these radial speeds as input to the ESA model in order to predict the Sun-Earth travel time of the CMEdriven shocks. We estimate the accuracy of the ESA model by comparing the predicted travel times with observations. We also intercompare the results obtained from the three cone models and discuss their similarities and differences. The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 gives a brief review of the three cone models. Section 3 describes shock travel time and section 4 presents data selection and results. Discussion and conclusions are given in section CME Cone Models [6] All three CME cone models are based on the following assumptions: (1) the CME appears as halo or partial halo in the coronagraphic field of view; (2) the CMEs move out with nearly constant angular width through the corona; (3) the source locations of CMEs are in the vicinity of the solar disk center; and (4) the CME bulk velocity is along the radial direction with a uniform expansion. [7] Four free parameters are needed to define each of the cone models: the radial distance (r) from the center of the Sun, the half angular width (w) of the cone, and the angular position (latitude, l, longitude, f) of the central axis. The geometric parameters of the cone are determined using different methods in each model, as discussed below ZPL Cone Model [8] The ZPL model obtains the cone parameters by matching the observed and modeled halos for a series of radial distances (Figure 1). The model first uses test values of r, w, l, and f to fit the observed image of the CME and then adjusts the values iteratively until the best fit is obtained. Figure 1 shows an example of the fitted halo superposed on the observed halo. This halo CME appears a series of expanding bright rings centered near the disk center, which first appeared in the 2of8

3 velocities V x1 and V x2. The CME radial speed, V, half angular width of the cone, w, and the angle between the cone axis and the sky plane, q, are obtained by substituting the four measured parameters (T 1, T 2, V x1 and Figure 2. (a) Schematic illustration for the MGY model. (b) T 1, T 2, X 1, and X 2 in the LASCO C2. The thick solid arrow (X axis) denotes the direction along which V x1 and V x2 are measured. LASCO C3 field of view at 0806:05 UT. The CME radial velocity and acceleration are then obtained from the resulting (r, t) data pairs MGY Cone Model [9] As opposed to the ZPL model, where the CME originates from the center of the Sun, the MGY model sets the apex of the cone at the solar surface of the source region. MGY model measures the first appearance times (T 1, T 2 ) of halo CMEs above opposite limbs in the LASCO C2 images (see Figure 2), and the corresponding projected Figure 3. Schematic illustration for the XOL model: (a) side view containing the Sun-Earth line and (b) field of view of the LASCO C3, where (a, b, h) are semiminor radius, semimajor radius, and the distance of the ellipse from the disk center, respectively. The coordinate (x h, y h, z h ) is the heliocentric coordinate system, where z h points to Earth, y h points north, and the x h y h plane defines the plane of the sky. The cone coordinate consists of the cone axis x c and the base of the right cone. 3of8

4 Table 1. List of CME-IP Shocks and Shock Travel Times a CME Date and Time, UT V SKY, V XOL, V MGY, V ZPL, km s 1 km s 1 km s 1 km s 1 IS Date and Time, UT NA n/a NA n/a a Second and third columns are CME date/time and sky plane speed. The dates are given in the format year/month/day. Fourth through sixth columns are CME actual speeds from XOL, MGY, and ZPL models. Seventh column is IP shock arrival date and time from observations. Eighth column is shock observational shock travel times. Ninth through twelfth columns are predicted shock travel times of equation (12) using three CME cone model speeds and sky plane speed. NA means not available. T O, T XOL, T MGY, T ZPL, T SKY, V x2 ) into the following equations, derived from the geometric properties of the cone: cosð180 q wþ ¼ V x2 V ; ð4þ ð T 2 T 1 ¼ 2R þ r 0Þ ð 2R r 0Þ V x2 cosðþ¼ q r 0 R cosðq wþ ¼ V x1 V ; V x1 ð1þ ð2þ ð3þ where R denotes the solar radius XOL Cone Model [10] The XOL model is an extension of the ZPL model. Instead of using the visual image fitting method, the XOL model employs an analytical method to determine the radial speed by carrying out the coordinate transformation between the cone system and the heliocentric system of coordinates. The model is applied to a CME by determining the symmetry axis of the elliptical projection (minor axis) and the perpendicular axis (major axis) in the LASCO CME image (see Figure 3). The semimajor radius b, 4of8

5 Figure 4. Comparison of the predicted shock transit times with observations. Dotted curves show the prediction from equation (11). Dashed curves show the prediction from equation (12). Diamonds denote the observed shock travel times. semiminor radius a, and the origin O 0 (x 0, y 0 ) of the ellipse are obtained from the image. The model then calculates the angular width (w) and central axis position angle (a, q) by substituting the four measured parameters a, b, x 0,and y 0 into the following set of equations, derived from the geometric relations between the circular cone section at r and its projection: tan a ¼ y 0 x 0 a ¼ r sin w sin q b ¼ r sin w ð5þ ð6þ ð7þ qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi h ¼ r cos w cos q; h ¼ x 2 0 þ y2 0; ð8þ where h is the distance of the ellipse from the disk center, a is the angle between the cone axis projection and x h axis in the plane of the sky, and q is the angle between the cone axis and the plane of the sky. After the cone parameters (w, a, q) are determined, the radial speed is then derived from the plane of the sky speeds at specific measurement position angles. 3. Shock Travel Time [11] We obtain the observed travel time by subtracting the CME onset time from the shock onset time. The CME first appearance time in the LASCO C2 field of view is defined as the CME onset time (note that the extrapolated CME onset time at 1 R s might differ from the C2 first appearance time by several ). We then compare the observed shock travel times with the ESA model predictions [Gopalswamy et al., 2005b, 2005c]. In the ESA model, it is postulated that the CME speed changes due to the interaction with the solar wind or other CMEs resulting in an average acceleration, a, that depends linearly on the CME initial space speed, u: a = u. The CME travel time (t) is obtained from the kinematic equation: S = ut + 1 = 2 at 2, where S is the travel distance. Gopalswamy et al. [2001] also assumed that the CME acceleration ceases once the CME speed is equal to the solar wind speed. Let d 1 be the acceleration cessation distance 5of8

6 Figure 5. Histograms showing the distribution of errors (absolute values) in the travel time with equation (11) using XOL, MGY, ZPL, and sky plane CME speeds, respectively, as input. and d 2 = 1AU d 1, then the travel time t = t 1 + t 2, where t 1 and t 2 are the times taken by CMEs to travel d 1 and d 2, respectively: t 1 ¼ u þ p ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi u 2 þ 2ad 1 a d 2 ð9þ t 2 ¼ p ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi : ð10þ u 2 þ 2ad 1 [12] If the solar wind plasma is swept up faster than the local Alfvén speed, then a fast shock forms ahead of the CME at a distance DR = R sh R p (the standoff distance), where R sh and R p are the positions of the shock and the piston (CME ejecta), respectively. Using the gas dynamic approximation, the shock travel time can be determined as [Gopalswamy et al., 2005b]: t s ¼ t Dt ¼ t DR=V p ¼ t R p ððg þ 1Þ=2 1Þ=V p ; ð11þ where V p is the ICME speed, g is the ratio of specific heats, and R p is the major radius of the ICME structure, typically AU (we used R p = 0.5 AU). [13] The ESA model can be approximated by the following functional form [Gopalswamy et al., 2005c]: T ¼ ab V þ c; a ¼ 151:002; b ¼ 0:998625; c ¼ 11:5981; ð12þ where T is the shock travel time, V is the average speed of the CME near the Sun within the coronagraphic field of view, and (a, b, c) are coefficients of the exponential fit to the predicted results [Gopalswamy et al., 2005c]. Note that equation (12) is valid only for V > 500 km s Data and Results [14] Table 1 lists 40 CME-IP shock events. We chose the frontside halo CMEs listed by Michalek et al. [2004] with CME brightness quality >1.0 from 1997 to 2002 plus two extreme events from the Halloween storm in 2003 [Gopalswamy et al., 2005c]. Only those halo CMEs originating within ±45 from the center of the Sun have been selected. The first column is the number of the events. The second and third columns list the CME C2 first appearance date/time and the sky plane speed obtained from the LASCO CME catalog ( CME_list) [Yashiro et al., 2004]. The fourth through sixth columns are the CME radial speeds computed using the three cone models. The seventh column lists the observed IP shock onset date and time obtained from the Wind spacecraft observations (available at wind/current_listips.htm). The eighth column presents the observed shock travel time, computed as the difference between the CME onset time and IP shock onset time. The ninth through twelfth columns are the predicted shock travel times using the three cone model speeds and the sky plane speed as input to equation (12). The shock onset times were cross checked with published lists of Manoharan et al. [2004] and Gopalswamy et al. [2005b] and the last two events in Table 1 are from Gopalswamy et al. [2005c]. [15] The shock travel times versus CME velocities are shown in Figure 4, which compares the observed values Figure 6. Histograms showing the distribution of the errors (absolute values) in the travel time with equation (12) using XOL, MGY, ZPL, and sky plane CME speeds, respectively, as input. 6of8

7 Table 2. Improvement in the Mean Error by the Cone Models a Mean Error_ XOL, Mean Error_MGY, Mean Error_ZPL, Mean Error_SKY, AVG_three, AVG_XOL&ZPL, AVG_three Improvement, % AVG_XOL&ZPL Improvement, % Equation (11) Equation (12) a Sixth column is the average mean error of the three cone models. Seventh column is the average mean error of the XOL and ZPL model. The percentage of the improvement in the mean error is computed as (AVG -- Mean_error_SKY)/Mean_error_SKY, where AVG denotes the average mean error of the cone models. (diamond symbols) for the 40 shocks with the ESA model predictions. Figures 4a-- 4d present four cases using the XOL, MGY, ZPL radial speeds, and the sky plane speed, respectively, as the initial CME speed. As we can see from Figure 4, the observed shock travel times agree quite well with the ESA model curves, although the values obtained from equation (12) are slightly larger than those from equation (11). In Figures 4a--4c, the scatter of the data points relative to the ESA model curves is smaller than that in Figure 4d, implying that the accuracy of the ESA model improves when the radial speeds (rather than the sky plane speed) are used as input. [16] Figures 5 and 6 show the distribution of errors (absolute values) obtained as the difference between the predicted and observed shock travel times for the above four cases. The mean errors in Figure 5 are 7.9, 9.1, 6.3 and 14.6, respectively. The average of the errors with input from the three cone models is 7.8 and the improvement in the mean error is 46% (6.8/14.6) with respect to the sky plane speed input. The mean errors in Figure 6 are 6.5, 12.8, 9.2 and 11.7, respectively. The average of the errors with input from the three cone models is 9.5 and the improvement in the mean error is 19% (2.2/11.7). Table 2 lists the percentages of improvement in the mean error along with the original error values. 5. Discussion and Conclusions [17] In this paper, we have compared the ESA model shock travel times using CME speed input from three different cone models. When sky plane speeds are used, the ESA model provides a reasonable prediction and agrees well with observations for medium-speed CME events ( km s 1 ), but the prediction of the ESA model is relatively poor for some slow (<700 km s 1 ) and fast (>1300 km s 1 ) CME events. The accuracy of the ESA model is improved significantly when the CME radial speeds are used. The mean errors in the travel time from the XOL, MGY, and ZPL models are 7.9 (6.5), 9.1 (12.8), and 6.3 (9.2) using equations (11) and (12), respectively; compared to the sky plane speed mean error of 14.6 (11.7), the average mean error of the three cone models is 7.8 (9.5), amounting to an improvement of 46% (19%). When one excludes the MGY model, the average mean error of XOL and ZPL is 7.1 (7.85), representing an improvement of 51% (33%). The XOL and ZPL models show a better improvement over the sky plane speed compared to the MGY model. Among the three cone models, the XOL model provides the best results with equation (12) and the ZPL model provides the best results with equation (11). [18] Cane and Richardson [2003] stated that an empirical formula such as the ECA model for ejecta transit time based on CME speed is not particularly reliable because of the large scatter in ejecta arrival times for similar CME speeds. However, their argument was based on using CME projected speeds. Because of projection effects, similar sky plane speeds may correspond to different CME space speeds (depending on the variation of the projection angle), thus resulting in different ejecta arrival times (and hence the scatter in arrival times). Furthermore, the ECA and ESA models were originally developed using CME measurements free from projection effects [Gopalswamy et al., 2001], where a set of limb CMEs (without projection effects) observed by Solwind Coronagraph and Helios 1 have been used to deduce the accelerations of CMEs. They are only appropriate to use CME radial speeds, not the sky plane speeds as input. The present work has demonstrated that when the CME radial speed is used in the ESA model the scatter is reduced significantly and improves the travel time prediction. Note that the sky plane speed is measuring the motion of the CME central leading edge (or ice cream cone apex), which is generally greater that the flank shock speed. When CMEs are propagating at angle (90 q) away from the line of sight, we estimate the shock speed by choosing the measurement position angle of the CME cone part (opposed to the ice cream cone apex), which is the Earth-directed component. In this study, we managed to correct for both lower and higher apparent speeds from projection effects using cone models, thus the mean error of the ESA model has been significantly reduced, enabling better space weather predictions. [19] Acknowledgments. The authors would like to thank the support of Wind and Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) teams and National Space Science Data Center (NSSDC) center for processing data. This work was supported by NASA LWS and the NSF Solar, Heliospheric, and Interplanetary Environment (SHINE ATM ) program. H.X. and L.O. are supported by NSF grant ATM of8

8 References Burlaga, L. F., K. W. Behannon, and L. W. Klein (1987), Compound streams, magnetic clouds, and major geomagnetic storms, J. Geophys. Res., 92, Burlaga, L. F., S. P. Plunkett, and O. C. St. Cyr (2002), Successive CMEs and complex ejecta, J. Geophys. Res., 107(A10), 1266, doi: /2001ja Cane, H. V., and I. G. Richardson (2003), Reply to comment on Coronal mass ejections, interplanetary ejecta and geomagnetic storms by Gopalswamy et al., Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(24), 2233, doi: /2003gl Cane, H. V., I. G. Richardson, and O. C. St. Cyr (2000), Coronal mass ejections, interplanetary ejecta and geomagnetic storms, Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, Cremades, H., and V. Bothmer (2005), Geometrical properties of coronal mass ejections, in IAU Symposium Proceedings of the International Astronomical Union 226, edited by K. Dere, J. Wang, and Y. Yan, p. 48, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York. Fisher, R. R., and R. H. Munro (1984), Coronal transient geometry. I The flare-associated event of 1981 March 25, Astrophys. J., 280, 428. Gopalswamy, N. (2004), A global picture of CMEs in the inner heliosphere, in The Sun and the Heliosphere as an Integrated System, ASSL Ser., vol. 317, edited by G. Poletto and S. Suess, chap. 8, p. 201, Springer, New York. Gopalswamy, N., A. Lara, R. P. Lepping, M. L. Kaiser, D. Berdichevsky, and O. C. St. Cyr (2000a), Interplanetary acceleration of coronal mass ejections, Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, 145. Gopalswamy, N., M. L. Kaiser, B. J. Thompson, L. F. Burlaga, A. Szabo, A. Lara, A. Vourlidas, S. Yashiro, and J.-L. Bougeret (2000b), Radiorich solar eruptive events, Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, Gopalswamy, N., A. Lara, S. Yashiro, M. L. Kaiser, and R. A. Howard (2001), Predicting the 1-AU arrival times of coronal mass ejections, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 29,207. Gopalswamy, N., S. Yashiro, G. Michalek, H. Xie, R. P. Lepping, and R. A. Howard (2005a), Solar source of the largest geomagnetic storm of cycle 23, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L12S09, doi: / 2004GL Gopalswamy, N., A. Lara, P. K. Manoharan, and R. A. Howard (2005b), An empirical model to predict the 1-AU arrival of interplanetary shocks, Adv. Space Res., 36, Gopalswamy, N., S. Yashiro, Y. Liu, G. Michalek, A. Vourlidas, M. L. Kaiser, and R. A. Howard (2005c), Coronal mass ejections and other extreme characteristics of the October-- November solar eruptions, J. Geophys. Res., 110, A09S15, doi: /2004ja Gosling, J. T. (1993), Coronal mass ejections---the link between solar and geomagnetic activity, Phys. Fluids B, 5, Howard, R. A., D. J. Michels, N. R. Sheeley Jr., and M.J. Koomen (1982), The observation of a coronal transient directed at Earth, Astrophys. J., 263, L101. Manoharan, P. K., N. Gopalswamy, S. Yashiro, A. Lara, G. Michalek, and R. A. Howard (2004), Influence of coronal mass ejection interaction on propagation of interplanetary shocks, J. Geophys. Res., 109, A06109, doi: /2003ja Michalek, G., N. Gopalswamy, and S. Yashiro (2003), A new method for estimating widths, velocities, and source location of halo coronal mass ejections, Astrophys. J., 584, 472. Michalek, G., N. Gopalswamy, A. Lara, and P. K. Manoharan (2004), Arrival time of halo coronal mass ejections in the vicinity of the Earth, Astron. Astrophys., 423, 729. Schwenn, R., et al. (2005), The association of coronal mass ejections with their effects near the Earth, Ann. Geophys., 23, St.Cyr,O.C.,etal.(2000),Propertiesofcoronalmassejections: SOHO LASCO observations from January 1996 to June 1998, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 18,169. Webb, D. F., S. W. Kahler, P. S. McIntosh, and J. A. Klimchuk (1997), Large-scale structures and multiple neutral lines associated with coronal mass ejections, J. Geophys. Res., 102, 24,161. Webb, D. F., E. W. Cliver, N. U. Crooker, O. C. St. Cyr, and B. J. Thompson (2000), Relationship of halo coronal mass ejections, magnetic clouds, and magnetic storms, J. Geophys. Res., 105, Xie, H., L. Ofman, and G. Lawrence (2004), Cone model for halo CMEs: Application to space weather forecasting, J. Geophys. Res., 109, A03109, doi: /2003ja Xue, X. H., C. B. Wang, and X. K. Dou (2005), An ice-cream cone model for coronal mass ejections, J. Geophys. Res., 110, A08103, doi: /2004ja Yashiro, S., N. Gopalswamy, G. Michalek, O. C. St. Cyr, S. P. Plunkett, N. B. Rich, and R. A. Howard (2004), A catalog of white light coronal mass ejections observed by the SOHO spacecraft, J. Geophys. Res., 109, A07105, doi: /2003ja Zhao, X. P., S. P. Plunkett, and W. Liu (2002), Determination of geometrical and kinematical properties of halo coronal mass ejections using the cone model, J. Geophys. Res., 107(A8), 1223, doi: / 2001JA N. Gopalswamy, L. Ofman, O. C. St. Cyr, H. Xie, and S. Yashiro, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA. (hong.xie@ssedmail.gsfc. nasa.gov) A. Lara, Instituto de Geofisica, UNAM, Mexico DF 04510, Mexico. G. Michalek, Astronomical Observatory of Jagiellonian University, Orla 171, Cracow, Malopolska , Poland. 8of8

THE EXPANSION AND RADIAL SPEEDS OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS

THE EXPANSION AND RADIAL SPEEDS OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS ISSN 18458319 THE EXPANSION AND RADIAL SPEEDS OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS N. Gopalswamy 1, A. Dal Lago 2, S. Yashiro 3 and S. Akiyama 4 1 Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA 2 INPE, Sao

More information

A universal characteristic of type II radio bursts

A universal characteristic of type II radio bursts JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 110,, doi:10.1029/2005ja011171, 2005 A universal characteristic of type II radio bursts E. Aguilar-Rodriguez, 1,2,3 N. Gopalswamy, 4 R. MacDowall, 4 S. Yashiro, 1

More information

XXXXXX. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 113, XXXXXX, doi: /2007ja012582, of12

XXXXXX. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 113, XXXXXX, doi: /2007ja012582, of12 Click Here for Full Article JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 113,, doi:10.1029/2007ja012582, 2008 2 Inversion solutions of the elliptic cone model for disk 3 frontside full halo coronal mass ejections

More information

Visibility of coronal mass ejections as a function of flare location and intensity

Visibility of coronal mass ejections as a function of flare location and intensity JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 110,, doi:10.1029/2005ja011151, 2005 Visibility of coronal mass ejections as a function of flare location and intensity S. Yashiro, 1,2 N. Gopalswamy, 3 S. Akiyama,

More information

A STATISTICAL STUDY ON CORONAL MASS EJECTION AND MAGNETIC CLOUD AND THEIR GEOEFFECTIVENESS

A STATISTICAL STUDY ON CORONAL MASS EJECTION AND MAGNETIC CLOUD AND THEIR GEOEFFECTIVENESS A STATISTICAL STUDY ON CORONAL MASS EJECTION AND MAGNETIC CLOUD AND THEIR GEOEFFECTIVENESS Rajiv Kumar 1 Government Pench Valley PG college Parasia Distt.CHHINDWARA M.P., INDIA E-mail: captainrajiv@live.com

More information

Solar Cycle Variation of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection Latitudes

Solar Cycle Variation of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection Latitudes J. Astrophys. Astr. (2010) 31, 165 175 Solar Cycle Variation of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection Latitudes P. X. Gao 1,2, &K.J.Li 1,3 1 National Astronomical Observatories/Yunnan Observatory, Chinese

More information

The largest geomagnetic storm of solar cycle 23 occurred on 2003 November 20 with a

The largest geomagnetic storm of solar cycle 23 occurred on 2003 November 20 with a Solar source of the largest geomagnetic storm of cycle 23 N. Gopalswamy 1, S. Yashiro 1,2, G. Michalek, H. Xie 1,2, R. P. Lepping 1, and R. A. Howard 3 1 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD,

More information

Ambient solar wind s effect on ICME transit times

Ambient solar wind s effect on ICME transit times Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L15105, doi:10.1029/2008gl034493, 2008 Ambient solar wind s effect on ICME transit times A. W. Case, 1 H. E. Spence, 1 M. J. Owens, 1

More information

Predicting the occurrence of super-storms

Predicting the occurrence of super-storms Annales Geophysicae, 23, 2989 2995, 2005 SRef-ID: 1432-0576/ag/2005-23-2989 European Geosciences Union 2005 Annales Geophysicae Predicting the occurrence of super-storms N. Srivastava Udaipur Solar Observatory,

More information

PROPAGATION AND EVOLUTION OF ICMES IN THE SOLAR WIND

PROPAGATION AND EVOLUTION OF ICMES IN THE SOLAR WIND PROPAGATION AND EVOLUTION OF ICMES IN THE SOLAR WIND John D. Richardson, Ying Liu, and John W. Belcher Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA, USA jdr@space.mit.edu Abstract Interplanetary

More information

Interplanetary coronal mass ejections that are undetected by solar coronagraphs

Interplanetary coronal mass ejections that are undetected by solar coronagraphs Click Here for Full Article JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 113,, doi:10.1029/2007ja012920, 2008 Interplanetary coronal mass ejections that are undetected by solar coronagraphs T. A. Howard 1 and

More information

Z.H. Pan C.B. Wang Yuming Wang X.H. Xue

Z.H. Pan C.B. Wang Yuming Wang X.H. Xue Solar Phys DOI 10.1007/s11207-011-9763-0 Correlation Analyses Between the Characteristic Times of Gradual Solar Energetic Particle Events and the Properties of Associated Coronal Mass Ejections Z.H. Pan

More information

Are halo coronal mass ejections special events?

Are halo coronal mass ejections special events? JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 111,, doi:10.1029/2005ja011431, 2006 Are halo coronal mass ejections special events? Alejandro Lara, 1 Nat Gopalswamy, 2 Hong Xie, 3 Eduardo Mendoza-Torres, 4 Román

More information

EFFECT OF SOLAR AND INTERPLANETARY DISTURBANCES ON SPACE WEATHER

EFFECT OF SOLAR AND INTERPLANETARY DISTURBANCES ON SPACE WEATHER Indian J.Sci.Res.3(2) : 121-125, 2012 EFFECT OF SOLAR AND INTERPLANETARY DISTURBANCES ON SPACE WEATHER a1 b c SHAM SINGH, DIVYA SHRIVASTAVA AND A.P. MISHRA Department of Physics, A.P.S.University, Rewa,M.P.,

More information

Kinematic properties of solar coronal mass ejections: Correction for projection effects in spacecraft coronagraph measurements

Kinematic properties of solar coronal mass ejections: Correction for projection effects in spacecraft coronagraph measurements Click Here for Full Article JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 113,, doi:10.1029/2007ja012500, 2008 Kinematic properties of solar coronal mass ejections: Correction for projection effects in spacecraft

More information

Orientations of LASCO Halo CMEs and Their Connection to the Flux Rope Structure of Interplanetary CMEs

Orientations of LASCO Halo CMEs and Their Connection to the Flux Rope Structure of Interplanetary CMEs Orientations of LASCO Halo CMEs and Their Connection to the Flux Rope Structure of Interplanetary CMEs V. Yurchyshyn a, Q.Hu b, R.P. Lepping c, B.J. Lynch d, and J. Krall e a Big Bear Solar Observatory,

More information

On some properties of coronal mass ejections in solar cycle 23

On some properties of coronal mass ejections in solar cycle 23 On some properties of coronal mass ejections in solar cycle 23 Nishant Mittal 1, 2 and Udit Narain 1, 2 1. Astrophysics research group, Meerut College, Meerut-250001, India 2. IUCAA, Post Bag 4, Ganeshkhind,

More information

arxiv: v1 [astro-ph.sr] 16 Nov 2010

arxiv: v1 [astro-ph.sr] 16 Nov 2010 Coronal Mass Ejections - Propagation Time and Associated Internal Energy arxiv:1011.3687v1 [astro-ph.sr] 16 Nov 2010 P.K. Manoharan a and A. Mujiber Rahman b,1 a Radio Astronomy Centre, National Centre

More information

Geoeffectiveness (Dst and Kp) of interplanetary coronal mass ejections during and implications for storm forecasting

Geoeffectiveness (Dst and Kp) of interplanetary coronal mass ejections during and implications for storm forecasting SPACE WEATHER, VOL. 9,, doi:10.1029/2011sw000670, 2011 Geoeffectiveness (Dst and Kp) of interplanetary coronal mass ejections during 1995 2009 and implications for storm forecasting I. G. Richardson 1,2

More information

Solar and interplanetary sources of major geomagnetic storms during

Solar and interplanetary sources of major geomagnetic storms during JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 109,, doi:10.1029/2003ja010175, 2004 Solar and interplanetary sources of major geomagnetic storms during 1996 2002 Nandita Srivastava and P. Venkatakrishnan Udaipur

More information

arxiv: v1 [astro-ph.sr] 6 Jun 2013

arxiv: v1 [astro-ph.sr] 6 Jun 2013 Estimating arrival time of Earth-directed CMEs at in-situ spacecraft using COR & HI observations from STEREO Wageesh Mishra 1 and Nandita Srivastava 1 arxiv:136.1397v1 [astro-ph.sr] 6 Jun 213 Udaipur Solar

More information

Coronal Mass Ejections and Extreme Events of Solar Cycle 23. Nat Gopalswamy NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, Maryland, USA

Coronal Mass Ejections and Extreme Events of Solar Cycle 23. Nat Gopalswamy NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, Maryland, USA Coronal Mass Ejections and Extreme Events of Solar Cycle 23 Nat Gopalswamy NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, Maryland, USA Generic Eruption Two sources of particle acceleration : shock & flare

More information

Correlation between speeds of coronal mass ejections and the intensity of geomagnetic storms

Correlation between speeds of coronal mass ejections and the intensity of geomagnetic storms SPACE WEATHER, VOL. 2,, doi:10.1029/2003sw000020, 2004 Correlation between speeds of coronal mass ejections and the intensity of geomagnetic storms Vasyl Yurchyshyn, Haimin Wang, and Valentyna Abramenko

More information

Coronal Mass Ejections in the Heliosphere

Coronal Mass Ejections in the Heliosphere Coronal Mass Ejections in the Heliosphere N. Gopalswamy (NASA GSFC) http://cdaw.gsfc.nasa.gov/publications Plan General Properties Rate & Solar Cycle Variability Relation to Polarity Reversal CMEs and

More information

Statistical study of coronal mass ejection source locations: Understanding CMEs viewed in coronagraphs

Statistical study of coronal mass ejection source locations: Understanding CMEs viewed in coronagraphs JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 116,, doi:10.1029/2010ja016101, 2011 Statistical study of coronal mass ejection source locations: Understanding CMEs viewed in coronagraphs Yuming Wang, 1 Caixia Chen,

More information

Connecting Magnetic Clouds to Solar Surface Features

Connecting Magnetic Clouds to Solar Surface Features Connecting Magnetic Clouds to Solar Surface Features Vasyl Yurchyshyn Coronal mass ejecta (CMEs) are known to cause strongest geomagnetic storms Most of the strongest storms are associated with arrival

More information

Study of Flare Related Intense Geomagnetic Storms with Solar Radio Burst and JIMF

Study of Flare Related Intense Geomagnetic Storms with Solar Radio Burst and JIMF EUROPEAN ACADEMIC RESEARCH Vol. IV, Issue 10/ January 2017 ISSN 2286-4822 www.euacademic.org Impact Factor: 3.4546 (UIF) DRJI Value: 5.9 (B+) Study of Flare Related Intense Geomagnetic Storms with Solar

More information

Long term data for Heliospheric science Nat Gopalswamy NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA

Long term data for Heliospheric science Nat Gopalswamy NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA Long term data for Heliospheric science Nat Gopalswamy NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA IAU340 1-day School, Saturday 24th February 2018 Jaipur India CMEs & their Consequences

More information

Research Article A Statistical Study on DH CMEs and Its Geoeffectiveness

Research Article A Statistical Study on DH CMEs and Its Geoeffectiveness ISRN Astronomy and Astrophysics Volume 13, Article ID 1946, 13 pages http://dx.doi.org/1.1/13/1946 Research Article A Statistical Study on DH CMEs and Its Geoeffectiveness V. Vasanth and S. Umapathy School

More information

Predictions of the arrival time of Coronal Mass Ejections at 1 AU: an analysis of the causes of errors

Predictions of the arrival time of Coronal Mass Ejections at 1 AU: an analysis of the causes of errors Annales Geophysicae (2004) 22: 661 671 European Geosciences Union 2004 Annales Geophysicae Predictions of the arrival time of Coronal Mass Ejections at 1 AU: an analysis of the causes of errors M. Owens

More information

Magnetic Complexity in Eruptive Solar Active Regions and Associated Eruption Parameters

Magnetic Complexity in Eruptive Solar Active Regions and Associated Eruption Parameters GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL.???, XXXX, DOI:10.1029/, Magnetic Complexity in Eruptive Solar Active Regions and Associated Eruption Parameters Manolis K. Georgoulis The Johns Hopkins University Applied

More information

A tentative study for the prediction of the CME related geomagnetic storm intensity and its transit time

A tentative study for the prediction of the CME related geomagnetic storm intensity and its transit time 648 Science in China Ser. E Engineering and Materials Science 2005 Vol.48 No.6 648 668 A tentative study for the prediction of the CME related geomagnetic storm intensity and its transit time ZHAO Xinhua

More information

LWS Workshop, Boulder March Work Supported by NASA/LWS

LWS Workshop, Boulder March Work Supported by NASA/LWS Nat Gopalswamy NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, Maryland Seiji Yashiro, Guillermo Stenborg Catholic University, Washington DC Sa m Krucker Univ California, Berkeley Russell A. Howard Naval Research Lab., Washington

More information

Coronal mass ejection kinematics deduced from white light (Solar Mass Ejection Imager) and radio (Wind/WAVES) observations

Coronal mass ejection kinematics deduced from white light (Solar Mass Ejection Imager) and radio (Wind/WAVES) observations JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 110,, doi:10.1029/2004ja010943, 2005 Coronal mass ejection kinematics deduced from white light (Solar Mass Ejection Imager) and radio (Wind/WAVES) observations M.

More information

CMEs during the Two Activity Peaks in Cycle 24 and their Space Weather Consequences

CMEs during the Two Activity Peaks in Cycle 24 and their Space Weather Consequences Sun and Geosphere, 21; 1/2: 111-118 ISSN 1819-839 CMEs during the Two Activity Peaks in Cycle 24 and their Space Weather Consequences N. Gopalswamy 1, P. Mäkelä 1,2, S. Akiyama 1,2, S. Yashiro 1,2, and

More information

Solar cycle effect on geomagnetic storms caused by interplanetary magnetic clouds

Solar cycle effect on geomagnetic storms caused by interplanetary magnetic clouds Ann. Geophys., 24, 3383 3389, 2006 European Geosciences Union 2006 Annales Geophysicae Solar cycle effect on geomagnetic storms caused by interplanetary magnetic clouds C.-C. Wu 1,2,3 and R. P. Lepping

More information

Cone model for halo CMEs: Application to space weather forecasting

Cone model for halo CMEs: Application to space weather forecasting JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSIAL RESEARH, VOL. 9, A39, doi:.29/23ja226, 24 one model for halo MEs: Application to space weather forecasting Hong Xie, Leon Ofman, and Gareth Lawrence atholic University of America,

More information

CME interactions with coronal holes and their interplanetary consequences

CME interactions with coronal holes and their interplanetary consequences JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 114,, doi:10.1029/2008ja013686, 2009 CME interactions with coronal holes and their interplanetary consequences N. Gopalswamy, 1 P. Mäkelä, 1,2 H. Xie, 1,2 S. Akiyama,

More information

Long-lived geomagnetic storms and coronal mass ejections

Long-lived geomagnetic storms and coronal mass ejections JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 111,, doi:10.1029/2005ja011287, 2006 Long-lived geomagnetic storms and coronal mass ejections H. Xie, 1,2 N. Gopalswamy, 3 P. K. Manoharan, 4 A. Lara, 5 S. Yashiro,

More information

Numerical simulation of the 12 May 1997 interplanetary CME event

Numerical simulation of the 12 May 1997 interplanetary CME event JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 109,, doi:10.1029/2003ja010135, 2004 Numerical simulation of the 12 May 1997 interplanetary CME event D. Odstrcil 1 Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental

More information

A catalog of white light coronal mass ejections observed by the SOHO spacecraft

A catalog of white light coronal mass ejections observed by the SOHO spacecraft JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 109,, doi:10.1029/2003ja010282, 2004 A catalog of white light coronal mass ejections observed by the SOHO spacecraft S. Yashiro, 1,2 N. Gopalswamy, 3 G. Michal=ek,

More information

Magnetic Reconnection in ICME Sheath

Magnetic Reconnection in ICME Sheath WDS'11 Proceedings of Contributed Papers, Part II, 14 18, 2011. ISBN 978-80-7378-185-9 MATFYZPRESS Magnetic Reconnection in ICME Sheath J. Enzl, L. Prech, K. Grygorov, A. Lynnyk Charles University, Faculty

More information

Deformation of ICME and MC on 1 30 AU Seen by Voyager 2 and WIND

Deformation of ICME and MC on 1 30 AU Seen by Voyager 2 and WIND WDS'10 Proceedings of Contributed Papers, Part II, 128 134, 2010. ISBN 978-80-7378-140-8 MATFYZPRESS Deformation of ICME and MC on 1 30 AU Seen by Voyager 2 and WIND A. Lynnyk, J. Šafránková, Z. Němeček

More information

Halo CMEs in October November 2003: predictions and reality

Halo CMEs in October November 2003: predictions and reality Halo CMEs in October November 2003: predictions and reality Vasyl Yurchyshyn 1, Qiang Hu 2 & Enric Palle Bago 1, 1 Big Bear Solar Observatory, New Jersey Institute of Technology, http://www.bbso.njit.edu/~vayur

More information

Observations of an interplanetary slow shock associated with magnetic cloud boundary layer

Observations of an interplanetary slow shock associated with magnetic cloud boundary layer Click Here for Full Article GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 33, L15107, doi:10.1029/2006gl026419, 2006 Observations of an interplanetary slow shock associated with magnetic cloud boundary layer P. B.

More information

STATISTICAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF SPEEDS OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS

STATISTICAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF SPEEDS OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS The Astrophysical Journal, 619:599 603, 2005 January 20 # 2005. The American Astronomical Society. All rights reserved. Printed in U.S.A. STATISTICAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF SPEEDS OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS V.

More information

Impacts of torus model on studies of geometrical relationships between interplanetary magnetic clouds and their solar origins

Impacts of torus model on studies of geometrical relationships between interplanetary magnetic clouds and their solar origins LETTER Earth Planets pace, 61, 589 594, 29 Impacts of torus model on studies of geometrical relationships between interplanetary magnetic clouds and their solar origins Katsuhide Marubashi 1, uk-kyung

More information

Sun and Geosphere, Vol.4 - No , in press. A Catalog of Halo Coronal Mass Ejections from SOHO

Sun and Geosphere, Vol.4 - No , in press. A Catalog of Halo Coronal Mass Ejections from SOHO Sun and Geosphere, Vol.4 - No.1-2009, in press A Catalog of Halo Coronal Mass Ejections from SOHO N. Gopalswamy 1, S. Yashiro 2, G. Michalek 3, H. Xie 3, P. Mäkelä 3, A. Vourlidas 4, R. A. Howard 4` 1

More information

On improvement to the Shock Propagation Model (SPM) applied to interplanetary shock transit time forecasting

On improvement to the Shock Propagation Model (SPM) applied to interplanetary shock transit time forecasting Click Here for Full Article JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 113,, doi:10.1029/2008ja013167, 2008 On improvement to the Shock Propagation Model (SPM) applied to interplanetary shock transit time forecasting

More information

Ground Level Enhancement Events of Solar Cycle 23

Ground Level Enhancement Events of Solar Cycle 23 Indian Journal of Radio & Space Physics Vol. xx, August 2008, pp. xxx-xxx Ground Level Enhancement Events of Solar Cycle 23 N Gopalswamy 1, H Xie 2, S Yashiro 2 & I Usoskin 3 1 NASA Goddard Space Flight

More information

Space Weather Effects of Coronal Mass Ejection

Space Weather Effects of Coronal Mass Ejection J. Astrophys. Astr. (2006) 27, 219 226 Space Weather Effects of Coronal Mass Ejection K. N. Iyer 1,, R. M. Jadav 1, A. K. Jadeja 1, P. K. Manoharan 2, Som Sharma 3 and Hari Om Vats 3 1 Department of Physics,

More information

IDENTIFICATION OF SOLAR SOURCES OF MAJOR GEOMAGNETIC STORMS BETWEEN 1996 AND 2000 J. Zhang, 1 K. P. Dere, 2 R. A. Howard, 2 and V.

IDENTIFICATION OF SOLAR SOURCES OF MAJOR GEOMAGNETIC STORMS BETWEEN 1996 AND 2000 J. Zhang, 1 K. P. Dere, 2 R. A. Howard, 2 and V. The Astrophysical Journal, 582:520 533, 2003 January 1 # 2003. The American Astronomical Society. All rights reserved. Printed in U.S.A. IDENTIFICATION OF SOLAR SOURCES OF MAJOR GEOMAGNETIC STORMS BETWEEN

More information

We report on a study comparing coronal flux ropes inferred from eruption data with their

We report on a study comparing coronal flux ropes inferred from eruption data with their Coronal Flux Ropes and their Interplanetary Counterparts N. Gopalswamy a*, S. Akiyama a,b, S. Yashiro a,b, and H. Xie a,b a NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA b The Catholic University

More information

High-energy solar particle events in cycle 24

High-energy solar particle events in cycle 24 High-energy solar particle events in cycle 24 N. Gopalswamy 1, P. Mäkelä 2,1, S. Yashiro 2,1, H. Xie 2,1, S. Akiyama 2,1, and N. Thakur 2,1 1 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA

More information

INTERPLANETARY ASPECTS OF SPACE WEATHER

INTERPLANETARY ASPECTS OF SPACE WEATHER INTERPLANETARY ASPECTS OF SPACE WEATHER Richard G. Marsden Research & Scientific Support Dept. of ESA, ESTEC, P.O. Box 299, 2200 AG Noordwijk, NL, Email: Richard.Marsden@esa.int ABSTRACT/RESUME Interplanetary

More information

Effect of CME Events of Geomagnetic Field at Indian Station Alibag and Pondicherry

Effect of CME Events of Geomagnetic Field at Indian Station Alibag and Pondicherry Effect of CME Events of Geomagnetic Field at Indian Station Alibag and Pondicherry Babita Chandel Sri Sai University Palampur, Himachal Pradesh, India Abstract: Space weather activity CMEs, and solar energetic

More information

Relationship of interplanetary coronal mass ejections with geomagnetic activity

Relationship of interplanetary coronal mass ejections with geomagnetic activity Indian Journal of Radio & Space Physics Vol. 37, August 2008, pp. 244-248 Relationship of interplanetary coronal mass ejections with geomagnetic activity Pankaj K Shrivastava Department of Physics, Govt.

More information

Tracking halo coronal mass ejections from 0 1 AU and space weather forecasting using the Solar Mass Ejection Imager (SMEI)

Tracking halo coronal mass ejections from 0 1 AU and space weather forecasting using the Solar Mass Ejection Imager (SMEI) JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 111,, doi:10.1029/2005ja011349, 2006 Tracking halo coronal mass ejections from 0 1 AU and space weather forecasting using the Solar Mass Ejection Imager (SMEI) T.

More information

Forecas(ng the Magne(c Field Configura(on of CMEs

Forecas(ng the Magne(c Field Configura(on of CMEs Volker Bothmer University of Göttingen Institute for Astrophysics 26 October 2015 ISEST Workshop, UNAM, Mexico City Forecas(ng the Magne(c Field Configura(on of CMEs Outline 1. Magnetic field configuration

More information

arxiv: v1 [physics.space-ph] 29 Sep 2017

arxiv: v1 [physics.space-ph] 29 Sep 2017 Propagation and Interaction Properties of Successive Coronal Mass Ejections in Relation to a Complex Type II Radio Burst arxiv:1709.10263v1 [physics.space-ph] 29 Sep 2017 Ying D. Liu 1,2, Xiaowei Zhao

More information

Orientation and Geoeffectiveness of Magnetic Clouds as Consequences of Filament Eruptions

Orientation and Geoeffectiveness of Magnetic Clouds as Consequences of Filament Eruptions Coronal and Stellar Mass Ejections Proceedings IAU Symposium No. 226, 2005 K.P.Dere,J.Wang&Y.Yan,eds. c 2005 International Astronomical Union doi:10.1017/s1743921305001018 Orientation and Geoeffectiveness

More information

Numerical simulations of ICME-ICME interactions

Numerical simulations of ICME-ICME interactions Numerical simulations of ICME-ICME interactions Tatiana Niembro 1, Alejandro Lara 2, Ricardo F. González 3, and J. Cantó 4 arxiv:1801.03136v1 [astro-ph.sr] 9 Jan 2018 1 Posgrado en Ciencias de la Tierra,

More information

Downstream structures of interplanetary fast shocks associated with coronal mass ejections

Downstream structures of interplanetary fast shocks associated with coronal mass ejections GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 32,, doi:10.1029/2005gl022777, 2005 Downstream structures of interplanetary fast shocks associated with coronal mass ejections R. Kataoka, S. Watari, N. Shimada, H. Shimazu,

More information

Inverse and normal coronal mass ejections: evolution up to 1 AU. E. Chané, B. Van der Holst, C. Jacobs, S. Poedts, and D.

Inverse and normal coronal mass ejections: evolution up to 1 AU. E. Chané, B. Van der Holst, C. Jacobs, S. Poedts, and D. A&A 447, 727 733 (2006) DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361:20053802 c ESO 2006 Astronomy & Astrophysics Inverse and normal coronal mass ejections: evolution up to 1 AU E. Chané, B. Van der Holst, C. Jacobs, S. Poedts,

More information

ON THE RATES OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS: REMOTE SOLAR AND IN SITU OBSERVATIONS

ON THE RATES OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS: REMOTE SOLAR AND IN SITU OBSERVATIONS The Astrophysical Journal, 647:648Y653, 2006 August 10 # 2006. The American Astronomical Society. All rights reserved. Printed in U.S.A. ON THE RATES OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS: REMOTE SOLAR AND IN SITU

More information

Interaction of ICMEs with the Solar Wind

Interaction of ICMEs with the Solar Wind Interaction of ICMEs with the Solar Wind Pascal Démoulin Observatoire de Paris, LESIA, UMR 8109 (CNRS), F-92195 Meudon Principal Cedex, France Abstract. Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs) are

More information

The Magnetic Field at the Inner Boundary of the Heliosphere Around Solar Minimum

The Magnetic Field at the Inner Boundary of the Heliosphere Around Solar Minimum The Magnetic Field at the Inner Boundary of the Heliosphere Around Solar Minimum X. P. Zhao and J. T. Hoeksema W. W. Hansen Experimental Physics Laboratory, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305-4085

More information

Radio Observations and Space Weather Research

Radio Observations and Space Weather Research Radio Observations and Space Weather Research Jasmina Magdalenić Solar-Terrestrial Centre of Excellence SIDC, Royal Observatory of Belgium What is space weather and why is it important? Eruptive processes:

More information

Effect of solar features and interplanetary parameters on geomagnetosphere during solar cycle-23

Effect of solar features and interplanetary parameters on geomagnetosphere during solar cycle-23 PRAMANA c Indian Academy of Sciences Vol. 71, No. 6 journal of December 2008 physics pp. 1353 1366 Effect of solar features and interplanetary parameters on geomagnetosphere during solar cycle-23 SANTOSH

More information

Quantitative Comparison of Methods for Predicting the Arrival of Coronal Mass Ejections at Earth based on multi-view imaging

Quantitative Comparison of Methods for Predicting the Arrival of Coronal Mass Ejections at Earth based on multi-view imaging Quantitative Comparison of Methods for Predicting the Arrival of Coronal Mass Ejections at Earth based on multi-view imaging arxiv:1310.6680v2 [astro-ph.sr] 30 Oct 2013 R. C. Colaninno, A. Vourlidas, C.-C.

More information

PREDICTION OF THE IMF B z USING A 3-D KINEMATIC CODE

PREDICTION OF THE IMF B z USING A 3-D KINEMATIC CODE CHINESE JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICS Vol.45, No.6, 2002, pp: 793 802 PREDICTION OF THE IMF B z USING A 3-D KINEMATIC CODE WANG Chuan-Bing 1) CHAO Ji-Kun 2) CHEN He-Hong 2) LI Yi 1) WANG Shui 1) SUN Wei 3) Akasofu

More information

arxiv: v1 [astro-ph.sr] 12 May 2015

arxiv: v1 [astro-ph.sr] 12 May 2015 Solar Physics DOI: 10.1007/ - - - - The Properties of Solar Energetic Particle Event-Associated Coronal Mass Ejections Reported in Different CME Catalogs I. G. Richardson 1,2 T. T. von Rosenvinge 1 H.

More information

In-Situ Signatures of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections

In-Situ Signatures of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections In-Situ Signatures of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections Ian G. Richardson, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center and CRESST/Department of Astronomy, University of Maryland, College Park ~Two dozen in-situ

More information

The first super geomagnetic storm of solar cycle 24: The St. Patrick day (17 March 2015) event

The first super geomagnetic storm of solar cycle 24: The St. Patrick day (17 March 2015) event The first super geomagnetic storm of solar cycle 24: The St. Patrick day (17 March 2015) event Chin Chun Wu 1, Kan Liou 2, Bernard Jackson 3, Hsiu Shan Yu 3, Lynn Hutting 1, R. P. Lepping 4, Simon Plunkett

More information

THE DRAG-BASED MODEL

THE DRAG-BASED MODEL The 8th Community Community Coordinated Modeling Center Workshop Europska Unija Ulaganje u budućnost Projekt je sufinancirala Europska unija iz Europskog socijalnog THE DRAG-BASED MODEL Tomislav Žic1 Hvar

More information

Ooty Radio Telescope Space Weather

Ooty Radio Telescope Space Weather Ooty Radio Telescope Space Weather P.K. Manoharan Radio Astronomy Centre National Centre for Radio Astrophysics Tata Institute of Fundamental Research Ooty 643001, India mano@ncra.tifr.res.in Panel Meeting

More information

Statistic study on the geomagnetic storm effectiveness of solar and interplanetary events

Statistic study on the geomagnetic storm effectiveness of solar and interplanetary events Advances in Space Research xxx (2005) xxx xxx www.elsevier.com/locate/asr Statistic study on the geomagnetic storm effectiveness of solar and interplanetary events Yu.I. Yermolaev *, M.Yu. Yermolaev Space

More information

Full Halo Coronal Mass Ejections: Arrival at the Earth

Full Halo Coronal Mass Ejections: Arrival at the Earth STEP Team at USTC http://space.ustc.edu.cn/dreams/ July 7, 2014, 5:03pm Full Halo Coronal Mass Ejections: Arrival at the Earth Chenglong Shen 1,2,Yuming Wang 1, Zonghao Pan 1, Bin Miao 1, Pinzhong Ye 1,

More information

Magnetic cloud distortion resulting from propagation through a structured solar wind: Models and observations

Magnetic cloud distortion resulting from propagation through a structured solar wind: Models and observations Click Here for Full Article JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 111,, doi:10.1029/2006ja011903, 2006 Magnetic cloud distortion resulting from propagation through a structured solar wind: Models and observations

More information

CME linear-fit. 3. Data and Analysis. 1. Abstract

CME linear-fit. 3. Data and Analysis. 1. Abstract 3.11 High flux solar protons in coronal mass ejection Tak David Cheung, Donald E. Cotten*, and Paul J Marchese City University of New York Queensborough Community College 1. Abstract There were six events

More information

Decay of interplanetary coronal mass ejections and Forbush decrease recovery times

Decay of interplanetary coronal mass ejections and Forbush decrease recovery times JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 110,, doi:10.1029/2004ja010912, 2005 Decay of interplanetary coronal mass ejections and Forbush decrease recovery times Robert F. Penna and Alice C. Quillen Department

More information

arxiv: v1 [astro-ph.sr] 22 Jun 2016

arxiv: v1 [astro-ph.sr] 22 Jun 2016 Accepted for publication in ApJ arxiv:1606.06989v1 [astro-ph.sr] 22 Jun 2016 Source Regions of the Type II Radio Burst Observed During a CME-CME Interaction on 2013 May 22 P. Mäkelä 1 The Catholic University

More information

Relationship between CME velocity and active region magnetic energy

Relationship between CME velocity and active region magnetic energy GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 30, NO. 23, 2181, doi:10.1029/2003gl018100, 2003 Relationship between CME velocity and active region magnetic energy P. Venkatakrishnan Udaipur Solar Observatory, Physical

More information

Could the collision of CMEs in the heliosphere be super-elastic? Validation through three-dimensional simulations

Could the collision of CMEs in the heliosphere be super-elastic? Validation through three-dimensional simulations GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 40, 1457 1461, doi:10.1002/grl.50336, 2013 Could the collision of CMEs in the heliosphere be super-elastic? Validation through three-dimensional simulations Fang Shen,

More information

A Catalog of Halo Coronal Mass Ejections from SOHO

A Catalog of Halo Coronal Mass Ejections from SOHO Sun and Geosphere, 2010; 5(1): 7-16 ISSN 1819-0839 A Catalog of Halo Coronal Mass Ejections from SOHO N. Gopalswamy 1, S. Yashiro 2, G. Michalek 3, H. Xie 3, P. Mäkelä 3, A. Vourlidas 4, R. A. Howard 4

More information

Enhancement of Solar Energetic Particles During a Shock Magnetic Cloud Interacting Complex Structure

Enhancement of Solar Energetic Particles During a Shock Magnetic Cloud Interacting Complex Structure Solar Phys (2008) 252: 409 418 DOI 10.1007/s11207-008-9268-7 Enhancement of Solar Energetic Particles During a Shock Magnetic Cloud Interacting Complex Structure Chenglong Shen Yuming Wang Pinzhong Ye

More information

Earth Affecting Solar Causes Observatory (EASCO): A New View from Sun Earth L5

Earth Affecting Solar Causes Observatory (EASCO): A New View from Sun Earth L5 Earth Affecting Solar Causes Observatory (EASCO): A New View from Sun Earth L5 N. Gopalswamy, J. M. Davila, O. C. St. Cyr, T. Duvall, E. C. Sittler, R. J. MacDowall, A. Szabo, and M. R. Collier (NASA/GSFC),

More information

U.S. DOD - Air Force Office of Scientific Research Report Type: Final Technical Report

U.S. DOD - Air Force Office of Scientific Research Report Type: Final Technical Report U.S. DOD - Air Force Office of Scientific Research Report Type: Final Technical Report AFOSR Award No.: FA9550-09-1-0028 Project Period: 12/15/08 12/14/09 Numerical Simulation of Heliospheric Transients

More information

arxiv:astro-ph/ v4 8 Jul 2005

arxiv:astro-ph/ v4 8 Jul 2005 JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL.???, XXXX, DOI:10.1029/, The Decay of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections and Forbush Decrease Recovery Times Robert F. Penna & Alice C. Quillen Department of Physics

More information

Influence of solar flare s location and heliospheric current sheet on the associated shock s arrival at Earth

Influence of solar flare s location and heliospheric current sheet on the associated shock s arrival at Earth Click Here for Full Article JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 112,, doi:10.1029/2006ja012205, 2007 Influence of solar flare s location and heliospheric current sheet on the associated shock s arrival

More information

Effect of Halo Coronal Mass Ejection on Cosmic Ray Intensity and Disturbance Storm-Time index for the Ascending Phase of the Solar Cycle 24

Effect of Halo Coronal Mass Ejection on Cosmic Ray Intensity and Disturbance Storm-Time index for the Ascending Phase of the Solar Cycle 24 Effect of Halo Coronal Mass Ejection on Cosmic Ray Intensity and Disturbance Storm-Time index for the Ascending Phase of the Solar Cycle 24 Hema Kharayat, Lalan Prasad and Rajesh Mathpal Department of

More information

Yu. I. Yermolaev, I. G. Lodkina, M. Yu. Yermolaev

Yu. I. Yermolaev, I. G. Lodkina, M. Yu. Yermolaev Dynamics of large-scale solar-wind streams obtained by the double superposed epoch analysis. 3. Deflection of speed vector Abstract Yu. I. Yermolaev, I. G. Lodkina, M. Yu. Yermolaev This work is a continuation

More information

AIR FORCE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY

AIR FORCE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY Optimization of Coronal Mass Ejection Ensemble Forecasting Using WSA- ENLIL with Coned Model THESIS Jack A. Shepherd III, First Lieutenant, USAF AFIT-ENP-13-M-31 DEPARTMENT OF THE AIR FORCE AIR UNIVERSITY

More information

Summer School Lab Activities

Summer School Lab Activities Summer School Lab Activities Lab #5: Predicting and Modeling the Arrival of the May 12 th 1997 CME In this lab we will use remote observations of the May 12, 1997 solar flare and halo CME made at and near

More information

CMEs, solar wind and Sun-Earth connections: unresolved issues

CMEs, solar wind and Sun-Earth connections: unresolved issues CMEs, solar wind and Sun-Earth connections: unresolved issues Rainer Schwenn Max-Planck Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany Schwenn@mps.mpg.de In recent years, an unprecedented

More information

The SOHO/LASCO CME Catalog

The SOHO/LASCO CME Catalog Earth Moon Planet DOI 10.1007/s11038-008-9282-7 The SOHO/LASCO CME Catalog N. Gopalswamy Æ S. Yashiro Æ G. Michalek Æ G. Stenborg Æ A. Vourlidas Æ S. Freeland Æ R. Howard Received: 27 October 2007 / Accepted:

More information

A UNIFIED MODEL OF CME-RELATED TYPE II RADIO BURSTS 3840, USA. Kyoto , Japan. Japan

A UNIFIED MODEL OF CME-RELATED TYPE II RADIO BURSTS 3840, USA. Kyoto , Japan. Japan 1 A UNIFIED MODEL OF CME-RELATED TYPE II RADIO BURSTS TETSUYA MAGARA 1,, PENGFEI CHEN 3, KAZUNARI SHIBATA 4, AND TAKAAKI YOKOYAMA 5 1 Department of Physics, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717-3840,

More information

Magnetic Reconnection Flux and Coronal Mass Ejection Velocity

Magnetic Reconnection Flux and Coronal Mass Ejection Velocity Magnetic Reconnection Flux and Coronal Mass Ejection Velocity Jiong Qiu 1,2,3 & Vasyl B. Yurchyshyn 1 1. Big Bear Solar Observatory, New Jersey Institute of Technology 40386 N. Shore Ln., Big Bear City,

More information

The STEREO Space Weather Broadcast

The STEREO Space Weather Broadcast The STEREO Space Weather Broadcast O.C. St.Cyr 1 and J.M. Davila Laboratory for Astronomy and Solar Physics, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Greenbelt, Maryland The NASA STEREO mission offers exciting

More information

A comparison of coronal mass ejections identified by manual and automatic methods

A comparison of coronal mass ejections identified by manual and automatic methods Ann. Geophys., 26, 33 32, 28 www.ann-geophys.net/26/33/28/ European Geosciences Union 28 Annales Geophysicae A comparison of coronal mass ejections identified by manual and automatic methods S. Yashiro,2,

More information