Lecture 15 Real Business Cycle Model. Noah Williams
|
|
- Godfrey Ball
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Lecture 15 Real Business Cycle Model Noah Williams University of Wisconsin - Madison Economics 702/312
2 Real Business Cycle Model We will have a shock: change in technology. Then we will have a propagation mechanism: intertemporal labor substitution and capital accumulation. We will have fluctuations as an equilibrium outcome. Basic idea: intertemporal substitution. When productivity is high, want to work more, produce more. When it is low, the reverse. Changes in productivity drive output. Capital accumulation makes the impact of a shock for several periods.
3 A Competitive Equilibrium This economy has a unique competitive equilibrium. This economy satisfies the conditions that assure that both welfare theorems hold. Why is this important? Practical: We can solve instead the Social Planner s Problem associated with it. Normative: Business cycles in the model are efficient. Fluctuations are the optimal response to a changing environment. They are not sufficient for inefficiencies or for government intervention. In this model the government can only worsen the allocation.
4 Equilibrium Conditions Euler equation under uncertainty: u C (C t, 1 N t) = βe t [u C (C t+1, 1 N t+1) (1 + z t+1f K (K t+1, N t+1) δ)] Labor market optimality: Goods market clearing: u l (C t, 1 N t ) u C (C t, 1 N t ) = z tf N (K t, N t ) K t+1 = z t F(K t, N t ) + (1 δ)k t C t Need to specify evolution of TFP z t in order to form expectations
5 Evolution of the Technology z t changes randomly over time. Ignore growth and just think of fluctuations around a trend. We assume it follows the process: log z t = ρ log z t 1 + ε t ε t N (0, σ 2 ) This process is called AR(1): an autoregression of order 1. The parameter ρ governs how persistent are the changes in TFP. If ρ = 1 they are permanent. If 0 < ρ < 1 they are persistent but eventually die out.
6 Examples of TFP Processes ρ=0 ρ=0.7 ρ=
7 Solving the Model In general the model does not have a known paper and pencil analytic solution. Analysis of the model requires some approximations (such as linearization) or numerical analysis. Based on numerical solution of the model, run Monte Carlo simulation to characterize distribution of equilibrium outcomes. Modern macroeconomics is quantitative
8 Solving the Model in a Special Case There is one known case where we can work out an explicit solution. Set δ = 1 (full depreciation) use our Cobb-Douglas production, and log utility: u(c, 1 N ) = (1 a) log C + a log(1 N ). Specialize the key equilibrium conditions: ac t = (1 α) z t Kt α Nt α (1 a)1 N t 1 C t = βe K t+1 = z t K α t N 1 α t [ αzt+1 K α 1 t+1 N 1 α t+1 C t+1 C t ]
9 Make the following guesses: C t = (1 s)y t, N t = N Constant saving rate s, constant labor supply N. Substitute into conditions: N 1 α a(1 s)z t Kt α (1 a)(1 N = (1 α) z t Kt α N α. ) [ 1 αz t+1 Kt+1 α 1 (1 s)z t Kt α = βe N 1 α (1 s)z t+1 Kt+1 α [ ] α = βe (1 s)k t+1 [ α = βe (1 s)sz t Kt α s = βα N 1 α N 1 α N 1 α ] ]
10 Implications This special case is then similar to the Solow model: constant savings rate. Constant labor supply (no growth). Difference is random shocks. Now K t+1 = sy t, so Taking logs: N 1 α Y t+1 = z t+1 Kt+1 α = z t+1 (sy t ) α N 1 α. log Y t+1 = µ + log z t+1 + α log Y t = µ + ρ log z t + α log Y t + ε t+1. where µ = α log s + (1 α) log N
11 Implications: Output Persistence log Y t+1 = µ + ρ log z t + α log Y t + ε t+1. Output and technology together follow a (vector) AR(1). Can simplify further, using: So then: log z t = log Y t µ α log Y t 1 log Y t+1 = (1 ρ)µ + (ρ + α) log Y t αρ log Y t 1 + ε t+1. Output follows an AR(2) process. Output is persistent because of the TFP shocks and because of capital accumulation.
12 Output and TFP Co-movements 4 Ouput (black) and TFP (red), ρ = Ouput (black) and TFP (red), ρ =
13 Simulations from a Quantitative Version We have seen the qualitative behavior of the model, showing that the real business cycle model is consistent with the data. Apart from the special case we studied, to fully solve the model we need to use numerical methods. Calibrate the model: choose parameters to match some key economic data. Example: set β so that steady state real interest rate matches US data. Program up on computer and simulate: use random number generator to draw technology shocks, feed them through the model. Compute correlations and volatilities and compare to US data.
14 Calibrating an RBC Model This problem will show how to choose some parameters of a RBC model to match the data, a process known as calibration. Suppose preferences are given by: β t (1 + n) t [(1 a) log c t + a log(1 N t)] t=0 here n > 0 is the population growth rate and c t and N t are per capita consumption and hours. Suppose labor-augmenting technology grows at rate g so A t = (1 + g) t. Thus the aggregate resource constraint is: c t + I t = (1 + g) (1 α)t k α t N 1 α t, where I t is per capita investment an k t is the per capita capital stock. Finally the law of motion for the capital in per capita terms is: (1 + g)(1 + n)k t+1 = (1 δ)k t + I t 1 Working directly with the social planner s problem, find the first order condition for hours worked and also find the Euler equation for the optimal consumption allocation.
15 We will use that for Cobb-Douglas production F K = αy /K, F N = (1 α)y /N. The Lagrangian is L = β t (1 + n) {(1 t a) log c t + a log(1 N t) t=0 λ t [ ct + (1 + g)(1 + n)k t+1 (1 δ)k t (1 g) (1 a)t k α t N 1 α t where we have already substituted for investment. Now the FOC are 1 a = λ t c t a y t = (1 α)λ t 1 N t N [ t ] (1 + g)(1 + n)λ t = βλ t+1(1 + n) 1 δ + α yt+1 k t+1 Now let us consolidate these three equations by eliminating the λs, ] } a = (1 α) 1 a y t (1) 1 N t c t N [ t ] (1 + g) ct+1 = β 1 δ + α yt+1 (2) c t k t+1
16 2. This model has a balanced growth path (BGP) in which hours worked N t is constant and all other per capita variables grow at the constant rate g, i.e. k t+1 = (1 + g)k t and so on. Using the two relations derived in part (a) and the law of motion for capital, find three equations relating the hours N, the capital/output ratio k/y, the consumption/output ratio c/y, and the investment/capital ratio I /k to each other and the parameters of the model. First, we divide the law of motion for capital by k t, and use k t+1/k t = 1 + g to obtain (1 + g) 2 (1 + n) = 1 δ + I (3) k Then using (1), Finally from (2), a 1 N = (1 α) 1 a N y c [ (1 + g) 2 = β 1 δ + α y ] k (4) (5)
17 3. Suppose α = 0.4, n = and g = , which are estimated from US data. 1 Given a value of I /k = in the data, find a value of δ consistent with this in the BGP. Using (3), we obtain δ = Given a value of k/y = 3.32 and your value of δ find a value of β from the BGP relations. Now using (5) and the previously obtained value of δ, we can calculate β = Given a value of N = 0.31 and y/c = 1.33 find a value of a from the BGP relations. Finally from (4), a =
18 Figure Small shocks and large cycles Abel/Bernanke, Macroeconomics, 2001 Addison Wesley Longman, Inc. All rights reserved
19 0.32 Labor
20 3.19 Capital
21 0.64 Output
22 )LJXUH : 9 2XWSXW 7 5 3HUFHQW RGHO 'DWD 0; :4 :9 ;4 ;9 <4 <9 'DWH 7 /DERU,QSXW 5 3 3HUFHQW RGHO 'DWD 0; :4 :9 ;4 ;9 <4 <9 'DWH ,QYHVWPHQW 0RGHO 'DWD
23 0; :4 :9 ;4 ;9 <4 <9 'DWH 53,QYHVWPHQW RGHO 'DWD 8 3HUFHQW :4 :9 ;4 ;9 <4 <9 'DWH &RQVXPSWLRQ 0RGHO 'DWD 3HUFHQW :4 :9 ;4 ;9 <4 <9 'DWH 1RWH= 6DPSOH SHULRG LV 4<7:=5 0 4<<9=71 $OO YDULDEOHV DUH GHWUHQGHG XVLQJ WKH +RGULFN03UHVFRWW ILOWHU1
24
25
26
27
28
29
30 Assessment of the Basic Real Business Model It accounts for a substantial amount of the observed fluctuations. Accounts for the covariances among a number of variables. Has some problems accounting for hours worked, consumption volatility. Are fluctuations in TFP really productivity fluctuations? Factor utilization rates vary over the business cycle. During recessions, firms reduce the number of shifts. Similarly, firms are reluctant to fire trained workers. Neither is well-measured show up in the Solow residual. There is no direct evidence of technology fluctuations. Is intertemporal labor supply really so elastic? All employment variation in the model is voluntary, driven by intertemporal substitution. Deliberate monetary policy changes appear to have real effects.
31
32
Real Business Cycle Model (RBC)
Real Business Cycle Model (RBC) Seyed Ali Madanizadeh November 2013 RBC Model Lucas 1980: One of the functions of theoretical economics is to provide fully articulated, artificial economic systems that
More informationPublic Economics The Macroeconomic Perspective Chapter 2: The Ramsey Model. Burkhard Heer University of Augsburg, Germany
Public Economics The Macroeconomic Perspective Chapter 2: The Ramsey Model Burkhard Heer University of Augsburg, Germany October 3, 2018 Contents I 1 Central Planner 2 3 B. Heer c Public Economics: Chapter
More informationLecture notes on modern growth theory
Lecture notes on modern growth theory Part 2 Mario Tirelli Very preliminary material Not to be circulated without the permission of the author October 25, 2017 Contents 1. Introduction 1 2. Optimal economic
More informationFoundation of (virtually) all DSGE models (e.g., RBC model) is Solow growth model
THE BASELINE RBC MODEL: THEORY AND COMPUTATION FEBRUARY, 202 STYLIZED MACRO FACTS Foundation of (virtually all DSGE models (e.g., RBC model is Solow growth model So want/need/desire business-cycle models
More informationAdvanced Macroeconomics II. Real Business Cycle Models. Jordi Galí. Universitat Pompeu Fabra Spring 2018
Advanced Macroeconomics II Real Business Cycle Models Jordi Galí Universitat Pompeu Fabra Spring 2018 Assumptions Optimization by consumers and rms Perfect competition General equilibrium Absence of a
More informationGraduate Macroeconomics - Econ 551
Graduate Macroeconomics - Econ 551 Tack Yun Indiana University Seoul National University Spring Semester January 2013 T. Yun (SNU) Macroeconomics 1/07/2013 1 / 32 Business Cycle Models for Emerging-Market
More informationThe Ramsey Model. (Lecture Note, Advanced Macroeconomics, Thomas Steger, SS 2013)
The Ramsey Model (Lecture Note, Advanced Macroeconomics, Thomas Steger, SS 213) 1 Introduction The Ramsey model (or neoclassical growth model) is one of the prototype models in dynamic macroeconomics.
More information(a) Write down the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) Equation in the dynamic programming
1. Government Purchases and Endogenous Growth Consider the following endogenous growth model with government purchases (G) in continuous time. Government purchases enhance production, and the production
More informationLecture 5 Dynamics of the Growth Model. Noah Williams
Lecture 5 Dynamics of the Growth Model Noah Williams University of Wisconsin - Madison Economics 702/312 Spring 2016 An Example Now work out a parametric example, using standard functional forms. Cobb-Douglas
More informationTopic 3. RBCs
14.452. Topic 3. RBCs Olivier Blanchard April 8, 2007 Nr. 1 1. Motivation, and organization Looked at Ramsey model, with productivity shocks. Replicated fairly well co-movements in output, consumption,
More informationMacroeconomics Theory II
Macroeconomics Theory II Francesco Franco FEUNL February 2011 Francesco Franco Macroeconomics Theory II 1/34 The log-linear plain vanilla RBC and ν(σ n )= ĉ t = Y C ẑt +(1 α) Y C ˆn t + K βc ˆk t 1 + K
More informationAdvanced Macroeconomics II The RBC model with Capital
Advanced Macroeconomics II The RBC model with Capital Lorenza Rossi (Spring 2014) University of Pavia Part of these slides are based on Jordi Galì slides for Macroeconomia Avanzada II. Outline Real business
More information4- Current Method of Explaining Business Cycles: DSGE Models. Basic Economic Models
4- Current Method of Explaining Business Cycles: DSGE Models Basic Economic Models In Economics, we use theoretical models to explain the economic processes in the real world. These models de ne a relation
More informationAssumption 5. The technology is represented by a production function, F : R 3 + R +, F (K t, N t, A t )
6. Economic growth Let us recall the main facts on growth examined in the first chapter and add some additional ones. (1) Real output (per-worker) roughly grows at a constant rate (i.e. labor productivity
More informationA simple macro dynamic model with endogenous saving rate: the representative agent model
A simple macro dynamic model with endogenous saving rate: the representative agent model Virginia Sánchez-Marcos Macroeconomics, MIE-UNICAN Macroeconomics (MIE-UNICAN) A simple macro dynamic model with
More informationNeoclassical Business Cycle Model
Neoclassical Business Cycle Model Prof. Eric Sims University of Notre Dame Fall 2015 1 / 36 Production Economy Last time: studied equilibrium in an endowment economy Now: study equilibrium in an economy
More informationSolow Growth Model. Michael Bar. February 28, Introduction Some facts about modern growth Questions... 4
Solow Growth Model Michael Bar February 28, 208 Contents Introduction 2. Some facts about modern growth........................ 3.2 Questions..................................... 4 2 The Solow Model 5
More informationIntroduction to Real Business Cycles: The Solow Model and Dynamic Optimization
Introduction to Real Business Cycles: The Solow Model and Dynamic Optimization Vivaldo Mendes a ISCTE IUL Department of Economics 24 September 2017 (Vivaldo M. Mendes ) Macroeconomics (M8674) 24 September
More informationThe Real Business Cycle Model
The Real Business Cycle Model Macroeconomics II 2 The real business cycle model. Introduction This model explains the comovements in the fluctuations of aggregate economic variables around their trend.
More informationA Modern Equilibrium Model. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde University of Pennsylvania
A Modern Equilibrium Model Jesús Fernández-Villaverde University of Pennsylvania 1 Household Problem Preferences: max E X β t t=0 c 1 σ t 1 σ ψ l1+γ t 1+γ Budget constraint: c t + k t+1 = w t l t + r t
More informationRBC Model with Indivisible Labor. Advanced Macroeconomic Theory
RBC Model with Indivisible Labor Advanced Macroeconomic Theory 1 Last Class What are business cycles? Using HP- lter to decompose data into trend and cyclical components Business cycle facts Standard RBC
More informationRamsey Cass Koopmans Model (1): Setup of the Model and Competitive Equilibrium Path
Ramsey Cass Koopmans Model (1): Setup of the Model and Competitive Equilibrium Path Ryoji Ohdoi Dept. of Industrial Engineering and Economics, Tokyo Tech This lecture note is mainly based on Ch. 8 of Acemoglu
More informationGrowth Theory: Review
Growth Theory: Review Lecture 1.1, Exogenous Growth Topics in Growth, Part 2 June 11, 2007 Lecture 1.1, Exogenous Growth 1/76 Topics in Growth, Part 2 Growth Accounting: Objective and Technical Framework
More informationChapter 11 The Stochastic Growth Model and Aggregate Fluctuations
George Alogoskoufis, Dynamic Macroeconomics, 2016 Chapter 11 The Stochastic Growth Model and Aggregate Fluctuations In previous chapters we studied the long run evolution of output and consumption, real
More informationDSGE-Models. Calibration and Introduction to Dynare. Institute of Econometrics and Economic Statistics
DSGE-Models Calibration and Introduction to Dynare Dr. Andrea Beccarini Willi Mutschler, M.Sc. Institute of Econometrics and Economic Statistics willi.mutschler@uni-muenster.de Summer 2012 Willi Mutschler
More informationproblem. max Both k (0) and h (0) are given at time 0. (a) Write down the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) Equation in the dynamic programming
1. Endogenous Growth with Human Capital Consider the following endogenous growth model with both physical capital (k (t)) and human capital (h (t)) in continuous time. The representative household solves
More informationLecture 2 The Centralized Economy
Lecture 2 The Centralized Economy Economics 5118 Macroeconomic Theory Kam Yu Winter 2013 Outline 1 Introduction 2 The Basic DGE Closed Economy 3 Golden Rule Solution 4 Optimal Solution The Euler Equation
More informationSuggested Solutions to Homework #6 Econ 511b (Part I), Spring 2004
Suggested Solutions to Homework #6 Econ 511b (Part I), Spring 2004 1. (a) Find the planner s optimal decision rule in the stochastic one-sector growth model without valued leisure by linearizing the Euler
More informationSmall Open Economy RBC Model Uribe, Chapter 4
Small Open Economy RBC Model Uribe, Chapter 4 1 Basic Model 1.1 Uzawa Utility E 0 t=0 θ t U (c t, h t ) θ 0 = 1 θ t+1 = β (c t, h t ) θ t ; β c < 0; β h > 0. Time-varying discount factor With a constant
More informationAdvanced Macroeconomics
Advanced Macroeconomics The Ramsey Model Micha l Brzoza-Brzezina/Marcin Kolasa Warsaw School of Economics Micha l Brzoza-Brzezina/Marcin Kolasa (WSE) Ad. Macro - Ramsey model 1 / 47 Introduction Authors:
More informationThe economy is populated by a unit mass of infinitely lived households with preferences given by. β t u(c Mt, c Ht ) t=0
Review Questions: Two Sector Models Econ720. Fall 207. Prof. Lutz Hendricks A Planning Problem The economy is populated by a unit mass of infinitely lived households with preferences given by β t uc Mt,
More informationSolving a Dynamic (Stochastic) General Equilibrium Model under the Discrete Time Framework
Solving a Dynamic (Stochastic) General Equilibrium Model under the Discrete Time Framework Dongpeng Liu Nanjing University Sept 2016 D. Liu (NJU) Solving D(S)GE 09/16 1 / 63 Introduction Targets of the
More information14.05: Section Handout #1 Solow Model
14.05: Section Handout #1 Solow Model TA: Jose Tessada September 16, 2005 Today we will review the basic elements of the Solow model. Be prepared to ask any questions you may have about the derivation
More informationAdvanced Macroeconomics
Advanced Macroeconomics The Ramsey Model Marcin Kolasa Warsaw School of Economics Marcin Kolasa (WSE) Ad. Macro - Ramsey model 1 / 30 Introduction Authors: Frank Ramsey (1928), David Cass (1965) and Tjalling
More informationThe Solow Model. Prof. Lutz Hendricks. January 26, Econ520
The Solow Model Prof. Lutz Hendricks Econ520 January 26, 2017 1 / 28 Issues The production model measures the proximate causes of income gaps. Now we start to look at deep causes. The Solow model answers
More informationDynamic Macroeconomics: Problem Set 4
Dynamic Macroeconomics: Problem Set 4 Universität Siegen Dynamic Macroeconomics 1 / 28 1 Computing growth rates 2 Golden rule saving rate 3 Simulation of the Solow Model 4 Growth accounting Dynamic Macroeconomics
More informationNews Driven Business Cycles in Heterogenous Agents Economies
News Driven Business Cycles in Heterogenous Agents Economies Paul Beaudry and Franck Portier DRAFT February 9 Abstract We present a new propagation mechanism for news shocks in dynamic general equilibrium
More informationLecture 15. Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model. Randall Romero Aguilar, PhD I Semestre 2017 Last updated: July 3, 2017
Lecture 15 Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model Randall Romero Aguilar, PhD I Semestre 2017 Last updated: July 3, 2017 Universidad de Costa Rica EC3201 - Teoría Macroeconómica 2 Table of contents
More informationThe welfare cost of energy insecurity
The welfare cost of energy insecurity Baltasar Manzano (Universidade de Vigo) Luis Rey (bc3) IEW 2013 1 INTRODUCTION The 1973-1974 oil crisis revealed the vulnerability of developed economies to oil price
More informationIntermediate Macroeconomics, EC2201. L2: Economic growth II
Intermediate Macroeconomics, EC2201 L2: Economic growth II Anna Seim Department of Economics, Stockholm University Spring 2017 1 / 64 Contents and literature The Solow model. Human capital. The Romer model.
More information1 The Basic RBC Model
IHS 2016, Macroeconomics III Michael Reiter Ch. 1: Notes on RBC Model 1 1 The Basic RBC Model 1.1 Description of Model Variables y z k L c I w r output level of technology (exogenous) capital at end of
More informationEconomic Growth: Lecture 9, Neoclassical Endogenous Growth
14.452 Economic Growth: Lecture 9, Neoclassical Endogenous Growth Daron Acemoglu MIT November 28, 2017. Daron Acemoglu (MIT) Economic Growth Lecture 9 November 28, 2017. 1 / 41 First-Generation Models
More informationGrowth Theory: Review
Growth Theory: Review Lecture 1, Endogenous Growth Economic Policy in Development 2, Part 2 March 2009 Lecture 1, Exogenous Growth 1/104 Economic Policy in Development 2, Part 2 Outline Growth Accounting
More information1 The social planner problem
The social planner problem max C t;k t+ U t = E t X t C t () that can be written as: s.t.: Y t = A t K t (2) Y t = C t + I t (3) I t = K t+ (4) A t = A A t (5) et t i:i:d: 0; 2 max C t;k t+ U t = E t "
More informationNew Notes on the Solow Growth Model
New Notes on the Solow Growth Model Roberto Chang September 2009 1 The Model The firstingredientofadynamicmodelisthedescriptionofthetimehorizon. In the original Solow model, time is continuous and the
More informationLecture 2 Real Business Cycle Models
Franck Portier TSE Macro I & II 211-212 Lecture 2 Real Business Cycle Models 1 Lecture 2 Real Business Cycle Models Version 1.2 5/12/211 Changes from version 1. are in red Changes from version 1. are in
More informationEquilibrium in a Model with Overlapping Generations
Equilibrium in a Model with Overlapping Generations Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis Universidad Autonóma de Madrid Fall 2012 Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis (UAM) OLG Fall 2012 1 / 69 1 OLG with physical
More informationMA Advanced Macroeconomics: 7. The Real Business Cycle Model
MA Advanced Macroeconomics: 7. The Real Business Cycle Model Karl Whelan School of Economics, UCD Spring 2016 Karl Whelan (UCD) Real Business Cycles Spring 2016 1 / 38 Working Through A DSGE Model We have
More informationEconomic Growth: Lecture 13, Stochastic Growth
14.452 Economic Growth: Lecture 13, Stochastic Growth Daron Acemoglu MIT December 10, 2013. Daron Acemoglu (MIT) Economic Growth Lecture 13 December 10, 2013. 1 / 52 Stochastic Growth Models Stochastic
More informationSolution for Problem Set 3
Solution for Problem Set 3 Q. Heterogeneous Expectations. Consider following dynamic IS-LM economy in Lecture Notes 8: IS curve: y t = ar t + u t (.) where y t is output, r t is the real interest rate,
More informationHOMEWORK #3 This homework assignment is due at NOON on Friday, November 17 in Marnix Amand s mailbox.
Econ 50a second half) Yale University Fall 2006 Prof. Tony Smith HOMEWORK #3 This homework assignment is due at NOON on Friday, November 7 in Marnix Amand s mailbox.. This problem introduces wealth inequality
More informationPractice Questions for Mid-Term I. Question 1: Consider the Cobb-Douglas production function in intensive form:
Practice Questions for Mid-Term I Question 1: Consider the Cobb-Douglas production function in intensive form: y f(k) = k α ; α (0, 1) (1) where y and k are output per worker and capital per worker respectively.
More informationADVANCED MACROECONOMICS I
Name: Students ID: ADVANCED MACROECONOMICS I I. Short Questions (21/2 points each) Mark the following statements as True (T) or False (F) and give a brief explanation of your answer in each case. 1. 2.
More informationMacroeconomics Theory II
Macroeconomics Theory II Francesco Franco FEUNL February 2016 Francesco Franco (FEUNL) Macroeconomics Theory II February 2016 1 / 18 Road Map Research question: we want to understand businesses cycles.
More informationTheoretical premises of the Keynesian approach
origin of Keynesian approach to Growth can be traced back to an article written after the General Theory (1936) Roy Harrod, An Essay in Dynamic Theory, Economic Journal, 1939 Theoretical premises of the
More informationGrowth: Facts and Theories
Notes on Growth: Facts and Theories Intermediate Macroeconomics Spring 2006 Guido Menzio University of Pennsylvania Growth In the last part of the course we are going to study economic growth, i.e. the
More informationPermanent Income Hypothesis Intro to the Ramsey Model
Consumption and Savings Permanent Income Hypothesis Intro to the Ramsey Model Lecture 10 Topics in Macroeconomics November 6, 2007 Lecture 10 1/18 Topics in Macroeconomics Consumption and Savings Outline
More informationA t = B A F (φ A t K t, N A t X t ) S t = B S F (φ S t K t, N S t X t ) M t + δk + K = B M F (φ M t K t, N M t X t )
Notes on Kongsamut et al. (2001) The goal of this model is to be consistent with the Kaldor facts (constancy of growth rates, capital shares, capital-output ratios) and the Kuznets facts (employment in
More informationLecture 2. (1) Aggregation (2) Permanent Income Hypothesis. Erick Sager. September 14, 2015
Lecture 2 (1) Aggregation (2) Permanent Income Hypothesis Erick Sager September 14, 2015 Econ 605: Adv. Topics in Macroeconomics Johns Hopkins University, Fall 2015 Erick Sager Lecture 2 (9/14/15) 1 /
More informationGold Rush Fever in Business Cycles
Gold Rush Fever in Business Cycles Paul Beaudry, Fabrice Collard & Franck Portier University of British Columbia & Université de Toulouse UAB Seminar Barcelona November, 29, 26 The Klondike Gold Rush of
More informationSolution to Homework 2 - Exogeneous Growth Models
Solution to Homework 2 - Exogeneous Growth Models ECO-3211 Macroeconomia Aplicada (Applied Macroeconomics Question 1: Solow Model with a Fixed Factor 1 The law of motion for capital in the Solow economy
More informationEndogenous Growth. Lecture 17 & 18. Topics in Macroeconomics. December 8 & 9, 2008
Review: Solow Model Review: Ramsey Model Endogenous Growth Lecture 17 & 18 Topics in Macroeconomics December 8 & 9, 2008 Lectures 17 & 18 1/29 Topics in Macroeconomics Outline Review: Solow Model Review:
More informationTopic 2. Consumption/Saving and Productivity shocks
14.452. Topic 2. Consumption/Saving and Productivity shocks Olivier Blanchard April 2006 Nr. 1 1. What starting point? Want to start with a model with at least two ingredients: Shocks, so uncertainty.
More informationFEDERAL RESERVE BANK of ATLANTA
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of ATLANTA On the Solution of the Growth Model with Investment-Specific Technological Change Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and Juan Francisco Rubio-Ramírez Working Paper 2004-39 December
More informationEC9A2 Advanced Macro Analysis - Class #1
EC9A2 Advanced Macro Analysis - Class #1 Jorge F. Chávez University of Warwick October 29, 2012 Outline 1. Some math 2. Shocking the Solow model 3. The Golden Rule 4. CES production function (more math)
More informationThe full RBC model. Empirical evaluation
The full RBC model. Empirical evaluation Lecture 13 (updated version), ECON 4310 Tord Krogh October 24, 2012 Tord Krogh () ECON 4310 October 24, 2012 1 / 49 Today s lecture Add labor to the stochastic
More informationWhat are we going to do?
RBC Model Analyzes to what extent growth and business cycles can be generated within the same framework Uses stochastic neoclassical growth model (Brock-Mirman model) as a workhorse, which is augmented
More informationLecture 3 - Solow Model
Lecture 3 - Solow Model EC308 Advanced Macroeconomics 16/02/2016 (EC308) Lecture 3 - Solow Model 16/02/2016 1 / 26 Introduction Solow Model Sometimes known as Solow-Swan Model: Solow (1956): General Production
More informationThe Solow Growth Model
The Solow Growth Model 1. Set-Up 2. Dynamics, Simulations and Steady-States 3. Comparative Dynamics 4. Golden Rule 5. Convergence 1 Set-Up Closed economy, single good produced each period, Yt. Discrete
More informationStructural change in a multi-sector model of the climate and the economy
Structural change in a multi-sector model of the climate and the economy Gustav Engström The Beijer Institute of Environmental Economics Stockholm, December 2012 G. Engström (Beijer) Stockholm, December
More informationUNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS MACROECONOMICS THEORY Preliminary Exam August 1, :00 am - 2:00 pm
UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS MACROECONOMICS THEORY Preliminary Exam August 1, 2017 9:00 am - 2:00 pm INSTRUCTIONS Please place a completed label (from the label sheet provided) on the
More informationTOBB-ETU - Econ 532 Practice Problems II (Solutions)
TOBB-ETU - Econ 532 Practice Problems II (Solutions) Q: Ramsey Model: Exponential Utility Assume that in nite-horizon households maximize a utility function of the exponential form 1R max U = e (n )t (1=)e
More information14.06 Lecture Notes Intermediate Macroeconomics. George-Marios Angeletos MIT Department of Economics
14.06 Lecture Notes Intermediate Macroeconomics George-Marios Angeletos MIT Department of Economics Spring 2004 Chapter 2 The Solow Growth Model (and a look ahead) 2.1 Centralized Dictatorial Allocations
More informationLectures 7: Growth Model and the Data
Lectures 7: Growth Model and the Data ECO 503: Macroeconomic Theory I Benjamin Moll Princeton University Fall 2014 1/21 Plan of Lecture The growth model and the data 1 steady states and the data 2 choosing
More informationLecture 4 The Centralized Economy: Extensions
Lecture 4 The Centralized Economy: Extensions Leopold von Thadden University of Mainz and ECB (on leave) Advanced Macroeconomics, Winter Term 2013 1 / 36 I Motivation This Lecture considers some applications
More informationTaylor Rules and Technology Shocks
Taylor Rules and Technology Shocks Eric R. Sims University of Notre Dame and NBER January 17, 2012 Abstract In a standard New Keynesian model, a Taylor-type interest rate rule moves the equilibrium real
More informationSGZ Macro Week 3, Lecture 2: Suboptimal Equilibria. SGZ 2008 Macro Week 3, Day 1 Lecture 2
SGZ Macro Week 3, : Suboptimal Equilibria 1 Basic Points Effects of shocks can be magnified (damped) in suboptimal economies Multiple equilibria (stationary states, dynamic paths) in suboptimal economies
More informationECON 581: Growth with Overlapping Generations. Instructor: Dmytro Hryshko
ECON 581: Growth with Overlapping Generations Instructor: Dmytro Hryshko Readings Acemoglu, Chapter 9. Motivation Neoclassical growth model relies on the representative household. OLG models allow for
More informationMacroeconomics Theory II
Macroeconomics Theory II Francesco Franco Novasbe February 2016 Francesco Franco (Novasbe) Macroeconomics Theory II February 2016 1 / 8 The Social Planner Solution Notice no intertemporal issues (Y t =
More informationLecture 5: The neoclassical growth model
THE UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHAMPTON Paul Klein Office: Murray Building, 3005 Email: p.klein@soton.ac.uk URL: http://paulklein.se Economics 3010 Topics in Macroeconomics 3 Autumn 2010 Lecture 5: The neoclassical
More informationStochastic simulations with DYNARE. A practical guide.
Stochastic simulations with DYNARE. A practical guide. Fabrice Collard (GREMAQ, University of Toulouse) Adapted for Dynare 4.1 by Michel Juillard and Sébastien Villemot (CEPREMAP) First draft: February
More informationToulouse School of Economics, M2 Macroeconomics 1 Professor Franck Portier. Exam Solution
Toulouse School of Economics, 2013-2014 M2 Macroeconomics 1 Professor Franck Portier Exam Solution This is a 3 hours exam. Class slides and any handwritten material are allowed. You must write legibly.
More informationBusiness Failure and Labour Market Fluctuations
Business Failure and Labour Market Fluctuations Seong-Hoon Kim* Seongman Moon** *Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, St Andrews, UK **Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, Seoul, Korea
More informationGeneral motivation behind the augmented Solow model
General motivation behind the augmented Solow model Empirical analysis suggests that the elasticity of output Y with respect to capital implied by the Solow model (α 0.3) is too low to reconcile the model
More informationBusiness Cycles and Exchange Rate Regimes
Business Cycles and Exchange Rate Regimes Christian Zimmermann Département des sciences économiques, Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM) Center for Research on Economic Fluctuations and Employment (CREFE)
More informationLecture 2: Firms, Jobs and Policy
Lecture 2: Firms, Jobs and Policy Economics 522 Esteban Rossi-Hansberg Princeton University Spring 2014 ERH (Princeton University ) Lecture 2: Firms, Jobs and Policy Spring 2014 1 / 34 Restuccia and Rogerson
More informationMacroeconomic Theory and Analysis Suggested Solution for Midterm 1
Macroeconomic Theory and Analysis Suggested Solution for Midterm February 25, 2007 Problem : Pareto Optimality The planner solves the following problem: u(c ) + u(c 2 ) + v(l ) + v(l 2 ) () {c,c 2,l,l
More information1. Using the model and notations covered in class, the expected returns are:
Econ 510a second half Yale University Fall 2006 Prof. Tony Smith HOMEWORK #5 This homework assignment is due at 5PM on Friday, December 8 in Marnix Amand s mailbox. Solution 1. a In the Mehra-Prescott
More informationThe Solow Growth Model
The Solow Growth Model Lectures 5, 6 & 7 Topics in Macroeconomics Topic 2 October 20, 21 & 27, 2008 Lectures 5, 6 & 7 1/37 Topics in Macroeconomics From Growth Accounting to the Solow Model Goal 1: Stylized
More informationEndogenous Growth Theory
Endogenous Growth Theory Lecture Notes for the winter term 2010/2011 Ingrid Ott Tim Deeken October 21st, 2010 CHAIR IN ECONOMIC POLICY KIT University of the State of Baden-Wuerttemberg and National Laboratory
More informationEndogenous Growth: AK Model
Endogenous Growth: AK Model Prof. Lutz Hendricks Econ720 October 24, 2017 1 / 35 Endogenous Growth Why do countries grow? A question with large welfare consequences. We need models where growth is endogenous.
More informationEcon 204A: Section 3
Econ 204A: Section 3 Ryan Sherrard University of California, Santa Barbara 18 October 2016 Sherrard (UCSB) Section 3 18 October 2016 1 / 19 Notes on Problem Set 2 Total Derivative Review sf (k ) = (δ +
More informationMacroeconomic Theory and Analysis V Suggested Solutions for the First Midterm. max
Macroeconomic Theory and Analysis V31.0013 Suggested Solutions for the First Midterm Question 1. Welfare Theorems (a) There are two households that maximize max i,g 1 + g 2 ) {c i,l i} (1) st : c i w(1
More informationEconomics 202A Lecture Outline #3 (version 1.0)
Economics 202A Lecture Outline #3 (version.0) Maurice Obstfeld Steady State of the Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans Model In the last few lectures we have seen how to set up the Ramsey-Cass- Koopmans Model in discrete
More informationChapter 9 Solow. O. Afonso, P. B. Vasconcelos. Computational Economics: a concise introduction
Chapter 9 Solow O. Afonso, P. B. Vasconcelos Computational Economics: a concise introduction O. Afonso, P. B. Vasconcelos Computational Economics 1 / 27 Overview 1 Introduction 2 Economic model 3 Computational
More informationDynamic (Stochastic) General Equilibrium and Growth
Dynamic (Stochastic) General Equilibrium and Growth Martin Ellison Nuffi eld College Michaelmas Term 2018 Martin Ellison (Nuffi eld) D(S)GE and Growth Michaelmas Term 2018 1 / 43 Macroeconomics is Dynamic
More informationLecture 2 The Centralized Economy: Basic features
Lecture 2 The Centralized Economy: Basic features Leopold von Thadden University of Mainz and ECB (on leave) Advanced Macroeconomics, Winter Term 2013 1 / 41 I Motivation This Lecture introduces the basic
More informationMonetary Economics: Solutions Problem Set 1
Monetary Economics: Solutions Problem Set 1 December 14, 2006 Exercise 1 A Households Households maximise their intertemporal utility function by optimally choosing consumption, savings, and the mix of
More informationEquilibrium Conditions (symmetric across all differentiated goods)
MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION IN A DSGE MODEL: PART II SEPTEMBER 30, 200 Canonical Dixit-Stiglitz Model MONOPOLISTICALLY-COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM Equilibrium Conditions (symmetric across all differentiated goods)
More informationFluctuations. Shocks, Uncertainty, and the Consumption/Saving Choice
Fluctuations. Shocks, Uncertainty, and the Consumption/Saving Choice Olivier Blanchard April 2002 14.452. Spring 2002. Topic 2. 14.452. Spring, 2002 2 Want to start with a model with two ingredients: ²
More information