THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 2016 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS HIGHER CERTIFICATE MODULE 5
|
|
- Lauren Webster
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 06 EAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS HIGHER CERTIFICATE MODULE 5 The Socety s provdg these solutos to assst cadtes preparg for the examatos 07. The solutos are teded as learg ads ad should ot be see as "model aswers". Users of the solutos should always be aware that may cases there are vald alteratve methods. Also, the may cases where dscusso s called for, there may be other vald pots that could be made. Whle every care has bee tae wth the preparato of these solutos, the Socety wll ot be resposble for ay errors or omssos. The Socety wll ot eter to ay correspodece respect of these solutos.
2 HC solutos () P( ) P( ) P( ) P( 3)... (method) = ( ) ( ) ( )... (terms substtuted) = ( ) ( ( ) ( )...) (commo factor) Fal term s sum to fty of a GP wth frst term ad commo rato where 0. ( ) So P( ) ( ) as requred. (correct use of GP) ( ( )) (Full mars also for correct soluto by ducto) TOTAL 4 () ad ths s observed for 4 players. (correct term for 4) 0 P ( ) ( ) ad ths s observed for 48 players. (correct term for 48) P ( ) ( ) ad ths s observed for the other 8 players. P ( ) ( ) So the lelhood for the ta s gve by (correct term for 8) L( ) ( ) ( ) (combg terms) = ( ) as requred. l( ) log L( ) 7 log 304 log( ). (log lelhood) dl( ) ad settg ths equal to zero we have d (correct dervatve), (set to 0) ˆ ˆ ˆ 7 7( ) (0.95) To chec that ths gves a maxmum we dfferetate aga: dl( ) d ( ) whch s egatve. (egatve d derv ) TOTAL 9 () The stard error of ˆ ca be estmated by dl( ) d where the deomator s evaluated at ˆ. Ths gves (method), (substtute), (0.003 or equv. varace) ( ) [ If cadtes wor out the expected formato, ths gves a varace of where ( ) 00. Substtutg ˆ to ths gves a varace of All 3 mars above, ad approprate follow-o mars below, should be awarded.] The the approxmate 95% cofdece terval s gve by ˆ.96 se. ( ˆ ).e. (.96) (method) whch s (0.57, 0.33). (0.57), (0.33) TOTAL 7
3 HC solutos. (a) () M '( t) R( t) log M ( t) R '( t). M () t (st derv correct) The usg the quotet rule, () We have that M '(0) E( ) ad So Also by defto, E ( ) R '(0) E( ). Also M ( t) M ''( t) M '( t) R''( t). ( d derv correct) M () t M 0 (0) ( ) (). TOTAL ''(0) E( ). (usg zero to fd expectatos) M E e E (M(0)=) E( ) ( E( )) R''(0) E( ) ( E( )) Var( ). (st derv show correct), ( d derv show correct) TOTAL 4 (b) () y t y e ( e ) MY ( t) E( e ) e e e. e y! y! = t ty ty e y0 y0 t ( e e ). (defto as expectato), (tegrato step), (recogto of sum) TOTAL 3 () t ( e ) 0 0 '( ) t Y ( ). M t e e E Y e e ( st derv correct), (correct substtuto) E ( Y E( Y )) E ( Y ) E( Y ) 3 E( Y ) 3 E( Y ). (substtute for E(Y)), (expaso) 3 Usg E( Y ), E( Y ) gve the questo, we have E ( Y E( Y )) 3 3 ( ) = as requred. (substtuted ad smplfed) TOTAL 5 () Mgf of sum of depedet radom varables s the product of ther mgfs. (meto depedece), (state result) Here they are detcally dstrbuted, so we rase to the th power. (th power requred) ( e ) t M ( t) M ( t) e (power correctly appled) S Y Ths ca be detfed as the mgf of Posso ( ). (Posso detfed) Sce there s a uque oe-to-oe relatoshp betwee a dstrbuto ad ts mgf, S follows a Posso ( ) dstrbuto. (state uqueess) TOTAL 6
4 HC solutos 3. () Probabltes sum to, so (sum to ) ( ) (/84) TOTAL () Sample sze s oly 3, so there caot be whte dce ad blue dce. (correct reaso) 9 There are 84 ways of drawg the sample altogether. If ad Y 0 the there 3 3 are whte dce ad red de draw. The whte dce ca be draw 3 ways ad the 4 red de 4 ways, so the probablty s 3 4 as gve. (84 ways), (3 ways), (4 ways), (probablty calculato) TOTAL () PY ( 0). So the codtoal dstrbuto of gve that Y = 0 s P( x, Y 0) gve by P( x Y 0).e. (35/84), (method) PY ( 0) x P(=x Y=0) (pmf correct) The E( Y 0) (9/7) E( Y 0) so Var( Y0). (5/7), (4/49) TOTAL 6 (v) margal dstrbuto: Y margal dstrbuto: So E ( ). 84 ( margal correct), (E()=) So EY ( ). (Y margal correct), (E(Y)=56/84) E( Y ). (E(Y)=4/84) So Cov(, Y ) E( Y ) E( ) E( Y ). (Cov = -/6) 84 6 Negatve covarace maes sese: the more whte dce the sample, the fewer spaces there are for blue dce. (vald commet) TOTAL 7
5 HC solutos 4. () Sce we ow that E E E ( ), ( ) ( ) ( ). the sce Now E( ) E( ) ad so ( ) ( ), E E (alteratve form), (wrtte as expectatos) E ( ) ( ). (E( )), (multply by ) Var( ) E( ) E( ). (var of mea), (fal expresso) We requre E( ) ( ) ( ). So E ( ) ( ) as requred. (correctly combed) For a ubased estmator, we requre the expectato to equal. From the prevous le, ( ) E ( )., ( ) so ( ) s a ubased estmator for. (requre expectato = ), (fal estmator correct) TOTAL 9 () E( Sa ) E a( ) ae ( ) a( ). (costat out of sum), (correct fal expresso) So Bas( Sa ) a( ) ( a a ). (method), (bas correct) TOTAL 4 4 () Var( Sa ) Var a( ) a Var ( ) a ( ). (costat squared) 4 4 So MSE( S ) a ( ) ( a a ). (MSE correct) a For max/m, set dm equal to zero: (method) dm a( ) ( a a )( ) 0. (derv correct) 4 Dvdg through by ( ) : a a a 0 a( ) a. ( /(+)) To show that ths gves a mmum value, loo at the secod dervatve: dm 4 4 4( ) ( ), whch s clearly postve, so the requred value of a s. ( d derv correct), (postve) TOTAL 7
THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY HIGHER CERTIFICATE
THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 00 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS HIGHER CERTIFICATE PAPER I STATISTICAL THEORY The Socety provdes these solutos to assst caddates preparg for the examatos future years ad for the
More informationTHE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY GRADUATE DIPLOMA
THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 3 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS GRADUATE DIPLOMA PAPER I STATISTICAL THEORY & METHODS The Socety provdes these solutos to assst caddates preparg for the examatos future years ad
More informationUNIVERSITY OF OSLO DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
UNIVERSITY OF OSLO DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS Exam: ECON430 Statstcs Date of exam: Frday, December 8, 07 Grades are gve: Jauary 4, 08 Tme for exam: 0900 am 00 oo The problem set covers 5 pages Resources allowed:
More informationUNIVERSITY OF OSLO DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
UNIVERSITY OF OSLO DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS Postpoed exam: ECON430 Statstcs Date of exam: Jauary 0, 0 Tme for exam: 09:00 a.m. :00 oo The problem set covers 5 pages Resources allowed: All wrtte ad prted
More informationTHE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 2010 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS GRADUATE DIPLOMA MODULE 2 STATISTICAL INFERENCE
THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 00 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS GRADUATE DIPLOMA MODULE STATISTICAL INFERENCE The Socety provdes these solutos to assst caddates preparg for the examatos future years ad for the
More informationTHE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 2016 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS GRADUATE DIPLOMA MODULE 2
THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 06 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS GRADUATE DIPLOMA MODULE The Socety s provdg these solutos to assst caddates preparg for the examatos 07. The solutos are teded as learg ads ad should
More informationTHE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 2009 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS GRADUATE DIPLOMA MODULAR FORMAT MODULE 2 STATISTICAL INFERENCE
THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 009 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS GRADUATE DIPLOMA MODULAR FORMAT MODULE STATISTICAL INFERENCE The Socety provdes these solutos to assst caddates preparg for the examatos future
More informationTHE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY GRADUATE DIPLOMA
THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS GRADUATE DIPLOMA PAPER II STATISTICAL THEORY & METHODS The Socety provdes these solutos to assst caddates preparg for the examatos future years ad for
More informationChapter 4 Multiple Random Variables
Revew for the prevous lecture: Theorems ad Examples: How to obta the pmf (pdf) of U = g (, Y) ad V = g (, Y) Chapter 4 Multple Radom Varables Chapter 44 Herarchcal Models ad Mxture Dstrbutos Examples:
More informationSTK4011 and STK9011 Autumn 2016
STK4 ad STK9 Autum 6 Pot estmato Covers (most of the followg materal from chapter 7: Secto 7.: pages 3-3 Secto 7..: pages 3-33 Secto 7..: pages 35-3 Secto 7..3: pages 34-35 Secto 7.3.: pages 33-33 Secto
More informationLecture 7. Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests in the Simple CLR Model
Lecture 7. Cofdece Itervals ad Hypothess Tests the Smple CLR Model I lecture 6 we troduced the Classcal Lear Regresso (CLR) model that s the radom expermet of whch the data Y,,, K, are the outcomes. The
More information{ }{ ( )} (, ) = ( ) ( ) ( ) Chapter 14 Exercises in Sampling Theory. Exercise 1 (Simple random sampling): Solution:
Chapter 4 Exercses Samplg Theory Exercse (Smple radom samplg: Let there be two correlated radom varables X ad A sample of sze s draw from a populato by smple radom samplg wthout replacemet The observed
More informationSTATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATORS. x, where. = y - ˆ " 1
STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATORS Recall Assumpto E(Y x) η 0 + η x (lear codtoal mea fucto) Data (x, y ), (x 2, y 2 ),, (x, y ) Least squares estmator ˆ E (Y x) ˆ " 0 + ˆ " x, where ˆ
More informationClass 13,14 June 17, 19, 2015
Class 3,4 Jue 7, 9, 05 Pla for Class3,4:. Samplg dstrbuto of sample mea. The Cetral Lmt Theorem (CLT). Cofdece terval for ukow mea.. Samplg Dstrbuto for Sample mea. Methods used are based o CLT ( Cetral
More informationEconometric Methods. Review of Estimation
Ecoometrc Methods Revew of Estmato Estmatg the populato mea Radom samplg Pot ad terval estmators Lear estmators Ubased estmators Lear Ubased Estmators (LUEs) Effcecy (mmum varace) ad Best Lear Ubased Estmators
More informationSpecial Instructions / Useful Data
JAM 6 Set of all real umbers P A..d. B, p Posso Specal Istructos / Useful Data x,, :,,, x x Probablty of a evet A Idepedetly ad detcally dstrbuted Bomal dstrbuto wth parameters ad p Posso dstrbuto wth
More informationρ < 1 be five real numbers. The
Lecture o BST 63: Statstcal Theory I Ku Zhag, /0/006 Revew for the prevous lecture Deftos: covarace, correlato Examples: How to calculate covarace ad correlato Theorems: propertes of correlato ad covarace
More informationENGI 4421 Joint Probability Distributions Page Joint Probability Distributions [Navidi sections 2.5 and 2.6; Devore sections
ENGI 441 Jot Probablty Dstrbutos Page 7-01 Jot Probablty Dstrbutos [Navd sectos.5 ad.6; Devore sectos 5.1-5.] The jot probablty mass fucto of two dscrete radom quattes, s, P ad p x y x y The margal probablty
More informationChapter 5 Properties of a Random Sample
Lecture 6 o BST 63: Statstcal Theory I Ku Zhag, /0/008 Revew for the prevous lecture Cocepts: t-dstrbuto, F-dstrbuto Theorems: Dstrbutos of sample mea ad sample varace, relatoshp betwee sample mea ad sample
More informationOrdinary Least Squares Regression. Simple Regression. Algebra and Assumptions.
Ordary Least Squares egresso. Smple egresso. Algebra ad Assumptos. I ths part of the course we are gog to study a techque for aalysg the lear relatoshp betwee two varables Y ad X. We have pars of observatos
More informationbest estimate (mean) for X uncertainty or error in the measurement (systematic, random or statistical) best
Error Aalyss Preamble Wheever a measuremet s made, the result followg from that measuremet s always subject to ucertaty The ucertaty ca be reduced by makg several measuremets of the same quatty or by mprovg
More informationX ε ) = 0, or equivalently, lim
Revew for the prevous lecture Cocepts: order statstcs Theorems: Dstrbutos of order statstcs Examples: How to get the dstrbuto of order statstcs Chapter 5 Propertes of a Radom Sample Secto 55 Covergece
More information1 Solution to Problem 6.40
1 Soluto to Problem 6.40 (a We wll wrte T τ (X 1,...,X where the X s are..d. wth PDF f(x µ, σ 1 ( x µ σ g, σ where the locato parameter µ s ay real umber ad the scale parameter σ s > 0. Lettg Z X µ σ we
More informationX X X E[ ] E X E X. is the ()m n where the ( i,)th. j element is the mean of the ( i,)th., then
Secto 5 Vectors of Radom Varables Whe workg wth several radom varables,,..., to arrage them vector form x, t s ofte coveet We ca the make use of matrx algebra to help us orgaze ad mapulate large umbers
More informationENGI 4421 Propagation of Error Page 8-01
ENGI 441 Propagato of Error Page 8-01 Propagato of Error [Navd Chapter 3; ot Devore] Ay realstc measuremet procedure cotas error. Ay calculatos based o that measuremet wll therefore also cota a error.
More informationTHE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY 2016 EXAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS HIGHER CERTIFICATE MODULE 5
THE ROAL STATISTICAL SOCIET 6 EAMINATIONS SOLUTIONS HIGHER CERTIFICATE MODULE The Society is providing these solutions to assist candidates preparing for the examinations in 7. The solutions are intended
More informationChapter 3 Sampling For Proportions and Percentages
Chapter 3 Samplg For Proportos ad Percetages I may stuatos, the characterstc uder study o whch the observatos are collected are qualtatve ature For example, the resposes of customers may marketg surveys
More informationTESTS BASED ON MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD
ESE 5 Toy E. Smth. The Basc Example. TESTS BASED ON MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD To llustrate the propertes of maxmum lkelhood estmates ad tests, we cosder the smplest possble case of estmatg the mea of the ormal
More informationLecture Notes Forecasting the process of estimating or predicting unknown situations
Lecture Notes. Ecoomc Forecastg. Forecastg the process of estmatg or predctg ukow stuatos Eample usuall ecoomsts predct future ecoomc varables Forecastg apples to a varet of data () tme seres data predctg
More informationMidterm Exam 1, section 2 (Solution) Thursday, February hour, 15 minutes
coometrcs, CON Sa Fracsco State Uverst Mchael Bar Sprg 5 Mdterm xam, secto Soluto Thursda, Februar 6 hour, 5 mutes Name: Istructos. Ths s closed book, closed otes exam.. No calculators of a kd are allowed..
More informationMidterm Exam 1, section 1 (Solution) Thursday, February hour, 15 minutes
coometrcs, CON Sa Fracsco State Uversty Mchael Bar Sprg 5 Mdterm am, secto Soluto Thursday, February 6 hour, 5 mutes Name: Istructos. Ths s closed book, closed otes eam.. No calculators of ay kd are allowed..
More informationSTA302/1001-Fall 2008 Midterm Test October 21, 2008
STA3/-Fall 8 Mdterm Test October, 8 Last Name: Frst Name: Studet Number: Erolled (Crcle oe) STA3 STA INSTRUCTIONS Tme allowed: hour 45 mutes Ads allowed: A o-programmable calculator A table of values from
More informationLecture 3. Sampling, sampling distributions, and parameter estimation
Lecture 3 Samplg, samplg dstrbutos, ad parameter estmato Samplg Defto Populato s defed as the collecto of all the possble observatos of terest. The collecto of observatos we take from the populato s called
More informationQualifying Exam Statistical Theory Problem Solutions August 2005
Qualfyg Exam Statstcal Theory Problem Solutos August 5. Let X, X,..., X be d uform U(,),
More informationThe expected value of a sum of random variables,, is the sum of the expected values:
Sums of Radom Varables xpected Values ad Varaces of Sums ad Averages of Radom Varables The expected value of a sum of radom varables, say S, s the sum of the expected values: ( ) ( ) S Ths s always true
More informationSampling Theory MODULE X LECTURE - 35 TWO STAGE SAMPLING (SUB SAMPLING)
Samplg Theory ODULE X LECTURE - 35 TWO STAGE SAPLIG (SUB SAPLIG) DR SHALABH DEPARTET OF ATHEATICS AD STATISTICS IDIA ISTITUTE OF TECHOLOG KAPUR Two stage samplg wth uequal frst stage uts: Cosder two stage
More informationLecture 9: Tolerant Testing
Lecture 9: Tolerat Testg Dael Kae Scrbe: Sakeerth Rao Aprl 4, 07 Abstract I ths lecture we prove a quas lear lower boud o the umber of samples eeded to do tolerat testg for L dstace. Tolerat Testg We have
More informationLecture Notes 2. The ability to manipulate matrices is critical in economics.
Lecture Notes. Revew of Matrces he ablt to mapulate matrces s crtcal ecoomcs.. Matr a rectagular arra of umbers, parameters, or varables placed rows ad colums. Matrces are assocated wth lear equatos. lemets
More informationSimulation Output Analysis
Smulato Output Aalyss Summary Examples Parameter Estmato Sample Mea ad Varace Pot ad Iterval Estmato ermatg ad o-ermatg Smulato Mea Square Errors Example: Sgle Server Queueg System x(t) S 4 S 4 S 3 S 5
More informationLecture 02: Bounding tail distributions of a random variable
CSCI-B609: A Theorst s Toolkt, Fall 206 Aug 25 Lecture 02: Boudg tal dstrbutos of a radom varable Lecturer: Yua Zhou Scrbe: Yua Xe & Yua Zhou Let us cosder the ubased co flps aga. I.e. let the outcome
More informationM2S1 - EXERCISES 8: SOLUTIONS
MS - EXERCISES 8: SOLUTIONS. As X,..., X P ossoλ, a gve that T ˉX, the usg elemetary propertes of expectatos, we have E ft [T E fx [X λ λ, so that T s a ubase estmator of λ. T X X X Furthermore X X X From
More informationESS Line Fitting
ESS 5 014 17. Le Fttg A very commo problem data aalyss s lookg for relatoshpetwee dfferet parameters ad fttg les or surfaces to data. The smplest example s fttg a straght le ad we wll dscuss that here
More informationSummary of the lecture in Biostatistics
Summary of the lecture Bostatstcs Probablty Desty Fucto For a cotuos radom varable, a probablty desty fucto s a fucto such that: 0 dx a b) b a dx A probablty desty fucto provdes a smple descrpto of the
More informationDiscrete Mathematics and Probability Theory Fall 2016 Seshia and Walrand DIS 10b
CS 70 Dscrete Mathematcs ad Probablty Theory Fall 206 Sesha ad Walrad DIS 0b. Wll I Get My Package? Seaky delvery guy of some compay s out delverg packages to customers. Not oly does he had a radom package
More informationHomework 1: Solutions Sid Banerjee Problem 1: (Practice with Asymptotic Notation) ORIE 4520: Stochastics at Scale Fall 2015
Fall 05 Homework : Solutos Problem : (Practce wth Asymptotc Notato) A essetal requremet for uderstadg scalg behavor s comfort wth asymptotc (or bg-o ) otato. I ths problem, you wll prove some basc facts
More informationRandom Variables and Probability Distributions
Radom Varables ad Probablty Dstrbutos * If X : S R s a dscrete radom varable wth rage {x, x, x 3,. } the r = P (X = xr ) = * Let X : S R be a dscrete radom varable wth rage {x, x, x 3,.}.If x r P(X = x
More information2SLS Estimates ECON In this case, begin with the assumption that E[ i
SLS Estmates ECON 3033 Bll Evas Fall 05 Two-Stage Least Squares (SLS Cosder a stadard lear bvarate regresso model y 0 x. I ths case, beg wth the assumto that E[ x] 0 whch meas that OLS estmates of wll
More informationChapter 4 Multiple Random Variables
Revew o BST 63: Statstcal Theory I Ku Zhag, /0/008 Revew for Chapter 4-5 Notes: Although all deftos ad theorems troduced our lectures ad ths ote are mportat ad you should be famlar wth, but I put those
More informationChapter -2 Simple Random Sampling
Chapter - Smple Radom Samplg Smple radom samplg (SRS) s a method of selecto of a sample comprsg of umber of samplg uts out of the populato havg umber of samplg uts such that every samplg ut has a equal
More informationLecture Notes Types of economic variables
Lecture Notes 3 1. Types of ecoomc varables () Cotuous varable takes o a cotuum the sample space, such as all pots o a le or all real umbers Example: GDP, Polluto cocetrato, etc. () Dscrete varables fte
More information1. The weight of six Golden Retrievers is 66, 61, 70, 67, 92 and 66 pounds. The weight of six Labrador Retrievers is 54, 60, 72, 78, 84 and 67.
Ecoomcs 3 Itroducto to Ecoometrcs Sprg 004 Professor Dobk Name Studet ID Frst Mdterm Exam You must aswer all the questos. The exam s closed book ad closed otes. You may use your calculators but please
More informationENGI 3423 Simple Linear Regression Page 12-01
ENGI 343 mple Lear Regresso Page - mple Lear Regresso ometmes a expermet s set up where the expermeter has cotrol over the values of oe or more varables X ad measures the resultg values of aother varable
More informationChapter -2 Simple Random Sampling
Chapter - Smple Radom Samplg Smple radom samplg (SRS) s a method of selecto of a sample comprsg of umber of samplg uts out of the populato havg umber of samplg uts such that every samplg ut has a equal
More informationε. Therefore, the estimate
Suggested Aswers, Problem Set 3 ECON 333 Da Hugerma. Ths s ot a very good dea. We kow from the secod FOC problem b) that ( ) SSE / = y x x = ( ) Whch ca be reduced to read y x x = ε x = ( ) The OLS model
More informationLINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS
LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS MODULE V Lecture - Correctg Model Iadequaces Through Trasformato ad Weghtg Dr. Shalabh Departmet of Mathematcs ad Statstcs Ida Isttute of Techology Kapur Aalytcal methods for
More informationInvestigation of Partially Conditional RP Model with Response Error. Ed Stanek
Partally Codtoal Radom Permutato Model 7- vestgato of Partally Codtoal RP Model wth Respose Error TRODUCTO Ed Staek We explore the predctor that wll result a smple radom sample wth respose error whe a
More informationMean is only appropriate for interval or ratio scales, not ordinal or nominal.
Mea Same as ordary average Sum all the data values ad dvde by the sample sze. x = ( x + x +... + x Usg summato otato, we wrte ths as x = x = x = = ) x Mea s oly approprate for terval or rato scales, ot
More informationAnalysis of Variance with Weibull Data
Aalyss of Varace wth Webull Data Lahaa Watthaacheewaul Abstract I statstcal data aalyss by aalyss of varace, the usual basc assumptos are that the model s addtve ad the errors are radomly, depedetly, ad
More information9 U-STATISTICS. Eh =(m!) 1 Eh(X (1),..., X (m ) ) i.i.d
9 U-STATISTICS Suppose,,..., are P P..d. wth CDF F. Our goal s to estmate the expectato t (P)=Eh(,,..., m ). Note that ths expectato requres more tha oe cotrast to E, E, or Eh( ). Oe example s E or P((,
More informationCHAPTER 4 RADICAL EXPRESSIONS
6 CHAPTER RADICAL EXPRESSIONS. The th Root of a Real Number A real umber a s called the th root of a real umber b f Thus, for example: s a square root of sce. s also a square root of sce ( ). s a cube
More informationThird handout: On the Gini Index
Thrd hadout: O the dex Corrado, a tala statstca, proposed (, 9, 96) to measure absolute equalt va the mea dfferece whch s defed as ( / ) where refers to the total umber of dvduals socet. Assume that. The
More informationCHAPTER 3 POSTERIOR DISTRIBUTIONS
CHAPTER 3 POSTERIOR DISTRIBUTIONS If scece caot measure the degree of probablt volved, so much the worse for scece. The practcal ma wll stck to hs apprecatve methods utl t does, or wll accept the results
More informationSTATISTICAL INFERENCE
(STATISTICS) STATISTICAL INFERENCE COMPLEMENTARY COURSE B.Sc. MATHEMATICS III SEMESTER ( Admsso) UNIVERSITY OF CALICUT SCHOOL OF DISTANCE EDUCATION CALICUT UNIVERSITY P.O., MALAPPURAM, KERALA, INDIA -
More informationMultiple Linear Regression Analysis
LINEA EGESSION ANALYSIS MODULE III Lecture - 4 Multple Lear egresso Aalyss Dr. Shalabh Departmet of Mathematcs ad Statstcs Ida Isttute of Techology Kapur Cofdece terval estmato The cofdece tervals multple
More informationLecture 3 Probability review (cont d)
STATS 00: Itroducto to Statstcal Iferece Autum 06 Lecture 3 Probablty revew (cot d) 3. Jot dstrbutos If radom varables X,..., X k are depedet, the ther dstrbuto may be specfed by specfyg the dvdual dstrbuto
More informationBayes (Naïve or not) Classifiers: Generative Approach
Logstc regresso Bayes (Naïve or ot) Classfers: Geeratve Approach What do we mea by Geeratve approach: Lear p(y), p(x y) ad the apply bayes rule to compute p(y x) for makg predctos Ths s essetally makg
More informationLogistic regression (continued)
STAT562 page 138 Logstc regresso (cotued) Suppose we ow cosder more complex models to descrbe the relatoshp betwee a categorcal respose varable (Y) that takes o two (2) possble outcomes ad a set of p explaatory
More informationProblem Solutions for BST 695: Special Topics in Statistical Theory, Kui Zhang, Solutions from Previous Homework
Problem Solutos for BST 695: Specal Topcs Statstcal Theory, Ku Zhag, 0 Solutos from Prevous Homework Problem Solutos for BST 695: Specal Topcs Statstcal Theory, Ku Zhag, 0 000, Problem Page, Problem ()
More informationPoint Estimation: definition of estimators
Pot Estmato: defto of estmators Pot estmator: ay fucto W (X,..., X ) of a data sample. The exercse of pot estmato s to use partcular fuctos of the data order to estmate certa ukow populato parameters.
More informationLaw of Large Numbers
Toss a co tmes. Law of Large Numbers Suppose 0 f f th th toss came up H toss came up T s are Beroull radom varables wth p ½ ad E( ) ½. The proporto of heads s. Itutvely approaches ½ as. week 2 Markov s
More informationSimple Linear Regression
Statstcal Methods I (EST 75) Page 139 Smple Lear Regresso Smple regresso applcatos are used to ft a model descrbg a lear relatoshp betwee two varables. The aspects of least squares regresso ad correlato
More information3. Basic Concepts: Consequences and Properties
: 3. Basc Cocepts: Cosequeces ad Propertes Markku Jutt Overvew More advaced cosequeces ad propertes of the basc cocepts troduced the prevous lecture are derved. Source The materal s maly based o Sectos.6.8
More informationå 1 13 Practice Final Examination Solutions - = CS109 Dec 5, 2018
Chrs Pech Fal Practce CS09 Dec 5, 08 Practce Fal Examato Solutos. Aswer: 4/5 8/7. There are multle ways to obta ths aswer; here are two: The frst commo method s to sum over all ossbltes for the rak of
More information5 Short Proofs of Simplified Stirling s Approximation
5 Short Proofs of Smplfed Strlg s Approxmato Ofr Gorodetsky, drtymaths.wordpress.com Jue, 20 0 Itroducto Strlg s approxmato s the followg (somewhat surprsg) approxmato of the factoral,, usg elemetary fuctos:
More informationBounds on the expected entropy and KL-divergence of sampled multinomial distributions. Brandon C. Roy
Bouds o the expected etropy ad KL-dvergece of sampled multomal dstrbutos Brado C. Roy bcroy@meda.mt.edu Orgal: May 18, 2011 Revsed: Jue 6, 2011 Abstract Iformato theoretc quattes calculated from a sampled
More informationParameter, Statistic and Random Samples
Parameter, Statstc ad Radom Samples A parameter s a umber that descrbes the populato. It s a fxed umber, but practce we do ot kow ts value. A statstc s a fucto of the sample data,.e., t s a quatty whose
More informationFunctions of Random Variables
Fuctos of Radom Varables Chapter Fve Fuctos of Radom Varables 5. Itroducto A geeral egeerg aalyss model s show Fg. 5.. The model output (respose) cotas the performaces of a system or product, such as weght,
More informationMEASURES OF DISPERSION
MEASURES OF DISPERSION Measure of Cetral Tedecy: Measures of Cetral Tedecy ad Dsperso ) Mathematcal Average: a) Arthmetc mea (A.M.) b) Geometrc mea (G.M.) c) Harmoc mea (H.M.) ) Averages of Posto: a) Meda
More information( ) = ( ) ( ) Chapter 13 Asymptotic Theory and Stochastic Regressors. Stochastic regressors model
Chapter 3 Asmptotc Theor ad Stochastc Regressors The ature of eplaator varable s assumed to be o-stochastc or fed repeated samples a regresso aalss Such a assumpto s approprate for those epermets whch
More informationb. There appears to be a positive relationship between X and Y; that is, as X increases, so does Y.
.46. a. The frst varable (X) s the frst umber the par ad s plotted o the horzotal axs, whle the secod varable (Y) s the secod umber the par ad s plotted o the vertcal axs. The scatterplot s show the fgure
More informationEstimation of Stress- Strength Reliability model using finite mixture of exponential distributions
Iteratoal Joural of Computatoal Egeerg Research Vol, 0 Issue, Estmato of Stress- Stregth Relablty model usg fte mxture of expoetal dstrbutos K.Sadhya, T.S.Umamaheswar Departmet of Mathematcs, Lal Bhadur
More informationChapter 13, Part A Analysis of Variance and Experimental Design. Introduction to Analysis of Variance. Introduction to Analysis of Variance
Chapter, Part A Aalyss of Varace ad Epermetal Desg Itroducto to Aalyss of Varace Aalyss of Varace: Testg for the Equalty of Populato Meas Multple Comparso Procedures Itroducto to Aalyss of Varace Aalyss
More informationDr. Shalabh. Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur
Aalyss of Varace ad Desg of Expermets-I MODULE -I LECTURE - SOME RESULTS ON LINEAR ALGEBRA, MATRIX THEORY AND DISTRIBUTIONS Dr. Shalabh Departmet t of Mathematcs t ad Statstcs t t Ida Isttute of Techology
More informationRecall MLR 5 Homskedasticity error u has the same variance given any values of the explanatory variables Var(u x1,...,xk) = 2 or E(UU ) = 2 I
Chapter 8 Heterosedastcty Recall MLR 5 Homsedastcty error u has the same varace gve ay values of the eplaatory varables Varu,..., = or EUU = I Suppose other GM assumptos hold but have heterosedastcty.
More informationExample: Multiple linear regression. Least squares regression. Repetition: Simple linear regression. Tron Anders Moger
Example: Multple lear regresso 5000,00 4000,00 Tro Aders Moger 0.0.007 brthweght 3000,00 000,00 000,00 0,00 50,00 00,00 50,00 00,00 50,00 weght pouds Repetto: Smple lear regresso We defe a model Y = β0
More informationCS 2750 Machine Learning Lecture 5. Density estimation. Density estimation
CS 750 Mache Learg Lecture 5 esty estmato Mlos Hausrecht mlos@tt.edu 539 Seott Square esty estmato esty estmato: s a usuervsed learg roblem Goal: Lear a model that rereset the relatos amog attrbutes the
More informationMultivariate Transformation of Variables and Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Marquette Uversty Multvarate Trasformato of Varables ad Maxmum Lkelhood Estmato Dael B. Rowe, Ph.D. Assocate Professor Departmet of Mathematcs, Statstcs, ad Computer Scece Copyrght 03 by Marquette Uversty
More informationBayes Estimator for Exponential Distribution with Extension of Jeffery Prior Information
Malaysa Joural of Mathematcal Sceces (): 97- (9) Bayes Estmator for Expoetal Dstrbuto wth Exteso of Jeffery Pror Iformato Hadeel Salm Al-Kutub ad Noor Akma Ibrahm Isttute for Mathematcal Research, Uverst
More informationhp calculators HP 30S Statistics Averages and Standard Deviations Average and Standard Deviation Practice Finding Averages and Standard Deviations
HP 30S Statstcs Averages ad Stadard Devatos Average ad Stadard Devato Practce Fdg Averages ad Stadard Devatos HP 30S Statstcs Averages ad Stadard Devatos Average ad stadard devato The HP 30S provdes several
More informationProbability and. Lecture 13: and Correlation
933 Probablty ad Statstcs for Software ad Kowledge Egeers Lecture 3: Smple Lear Regresso ad Correlato Mocha Soptkamo, Ph.D. Outle The Smple Lear Regresso Model (.) Fttg the Regresso Le (.) The Aalyss of
More informationECON 482 / WH Hong The Simple Regression Model 1. Definition of the Simple Regression Model
ECON 48 / WH Hog The Smple Regresso Model. Defto of the Smple Regresso Model Smple Regresso Model Expla varable y terms of varable x y = β + β x+ u y : depedet varable, explaed varable, respose varable,
More informationLECTURE - 4 SIMPLE RANDOM SAMPLING DR. SHALABH DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY KANPUR
amplg Theory MODULE II LECTURE - 4 IMPLE RADOM AMPLIG DR. HALABH DEPARTMET OF MATHEMATIC AD TATITIC IDIA ITITUTE OF TECHOLOGY KAPUR Estmato of populato mea ad populato varace Oe of the ma objectves after
More information22 Nonparametric Methods.
22 oparametrc Methods. I parametrc models oe assumes apror that the dstrbutos have a specfc form wth oe or more ukow parameters ad oe tres to fd the best or atleast reasoably effcet procedures that aswer
More informationChapter 8. Inferences about More Than Two Population Central Values
Chapter 8. Ifereces about More Tha Two Populato Cetral Values Case tudy: Effect of Tmg of the Treatmet of Port-We tas wth Lasers ) To vestgate whether treatmet at a youg age would yeld better results tha
More informationLecture Notes to Rice Chapter 5
ECON 430 Revsed Sept. 06 Lecture Notes to Rce Chapter 5 By H. Goldste. Chapter 5 gves a troducto to probablstc approxmato methods, but s suffcet for the eeds of a adequate study of ecoometrcs. The commo
More informationRegresso What s a Model? 1. Ofte Descrbe Relatoshp betwee Varables 2. Types - Determstc Models (o radomess) - Probablstc Models (wth radomess) EPI 809/Sprg 2008 9 Determstc Models 1. Hypothesze
More informationOverview. Basic concepts of Bayesian learning. Most probable model given data Coin tosses Linear regression Logistic regression
Overvew Basc cocepts of Bayesa learg Most probable model gve data Co tosses Lear regresso Logstc regresso Bayesa predctos Co tosses Lear regresso 30 Recap: regresso problems Iput to learg problem: trag
More informationGenerative classification models
CS 75 Mache Learg Lecture Geeratve classfcato models Mlos Hauskrecht mlos@cs.ptt.edu 539 Seott Square Data: D { d, d,.., d} d, Classfcato represets a dscrete class value Goal: lear f : X Y Bar classfcato
More informationMu Sequences/Series Solutions National Convention 2014
Mu Sequeces/Seres Solutos Natoal Coveto 04 C 6 E A 6C A 6 B B 7 A D 7 D C 7 A B 8 A B 8 A C 8 E 4 B 9 B 4 E 9 B 4 C 9 E C 0 A A 0 D B 0 C C Usg basc propertes of arthmetc sequeces, we fd a ad bm m We eed
More informationWu-Hausman Test: But if X and ε are independent, βˆ. ECON 324 Page 1
Wu-Hausma Test: Detectg Falure of E( ε X ) Caot drectly test ths assumpto because lack ubased estmator of ε ad the OLS resduals wll be orthogoal to X, by costructo as ca be see from the momet codto X'
More information