Chapter 4. Continuous Random Variables 4.1 PDF

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Chapter 4. Continuous Random Variables 4.1 PDF"

Transcription

1 Chapter 4 Continuous Random Variables In this chapter we study continuous random variables. The linkage between continuous and discrete random variables is the cumulative distribution (CDF) which we will take a closer look in this chapter. 4. PDF As we discussed in Chapter 3, random variables are objects characterized through their probability mass functions (for the discrete case). For continuous random variables, we have an analogous function called the probability density function (PDF). Definition. The probability density function (PDF) of a random variable X is a function which, when integrated over an interval [a, b], yields the probability of obtaining a X(ξ) b. We denote PDF of X as f X (x), and P[a X b] b a f X (x)dx. (4.) The key difference between a PMF and a PDF is the integration present in the PDF. However, it is possible to include the integration for PMF. Suppose we are interested in calculating the probability of a random variable X that lies in the interval [a, b], see Figure 4.. If X is continuous, this probability (according to the definition of PDF) is P[a X b] b a f X (x)dx. If X is discrete, then (according to the definition of PMF) the probability is P[a X b] (a) P[X x ] p X (x ) (b) b a p X (x )δ(x x ) dx, }{{} f X (x)

2 where (a) holds because there is no other non-zero probabilities in the interval [a, b] besides x, and (b) holds because the delta function has the property that δ(x x ) if x x, and δ(x x ) if x x. Therefore, we see that the PMF, which is a sequence of numbers, can be seen as a train of delta functions. The height of the delta function at x is p X (x ). The integration of this train of delta functions returns the probability P[a X b]. Figure 4.: PMF is a train of impulses, whereas PDF is (usually) a smooth function. Property. A PDF f X (x) should satisfy f X (x)dx. (4.) Example. Let f X (x) c( x ) for x, and otherwise. Then, the constant c can be found as follows. Since f X (x)dx c( x )dx 4c 3, and because f X(x)dx, we have c 3/4. Remark. What is P[X x ] if X is continuous? The long answer will be discussed in the next section. The short answer is: If the PDF f X (x) (which is a function of x) is continuous at x x, then P[X x ]. This can be seen from the definition of the PDF. As a x and b x, the integration interval becomes. Thus, unless f X (x) is a delta function at x, which has been excluded because we assumed f X (x) is continuous at x, the integration result must be zero. 4. CDF Definition. The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a continuous random variable X is x F X (x) def P[X x] f X (x )dx. (4.3) c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved.

3 Note that the definition of CDF for a continuous X is analogous to that for a discrete X, with the summation replaced by the integration. Properties of CDF As we have seen in Chapter 3, a CDF has several interesting properties. Here we provide more details. The first four properties come from the integration of the PDF. Property : F X () Reason: F X () f X(x )dx. Property : F X (+ ) Reason: F X (+ ) + f X(x )dx. Property 3: F X (x) is a non-decreasing function of x. Reason: Since F x (x) x f X(x )dx, and since f X (x ) for all x, if we increase x we integrate over a larger region. The integrated value therefore increases. See Figure 4. for a pictorial illustration. Property 4: F X (x). Reason: This follows from Properties -3. Figure 4.: A CDF is the integration of the PDF. Thus, the height of a stem in the CDF corresponds to the area under the curve of the PDF. The next property relates probability and CDF. Property 5: P[a X b] F X (b) F X (a). c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 3

4 Reason: Note that F X (b) F X (a) b b a f X (x )dx f X (x )dx P[a X b]. a f X (x )dx Property 6 and Property 7 are important for discontinuities of F X (x). There are three terms involved in these two properties: (i) F X (b): The value of F X (x) at x b. (ii) lim h F X (b h): The limit of F X (x) from the left hand side of x b. (iii) lim h F X (b + h): The limit of F X (x) from the right hand side of x b. We say that F X (x) is Left-continuous at x b if F X (b) lim h F X (b h); Right-continuous at x b if F X (b) lim h F X (b + h); Continuous at x b if it is both right-continuous and left-continuous at x b. In this case, we have lim F X(b h) lim F X (b + h) F (b). h h Property 6: F X (x) is right-continuous. That is, lim F X(b + h) F X (b). (4.4) h Right-continuous essentially means that if F X (x) is piecewise, then it must have a solid left end and an empty right end. See Figure 4.3. Figure 4.3: Illustration of right continuous. Of course, F X (x) does not have to be piecewise. When F X (x) is continuous (i.e., both left and right continuous), the leftmost solid dot will overlap with the rightmost empty dot of the previous segment, leaving not gap between the two. c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 4

5 Property 7: P[X b] is determined by P[X b] F X (b) lim h F X (b h). (4.5) Property 7 concerns about the probability at discontinuity. It states that when F X (x) is discontinuous at x b, then P[X b] is the difference between F X (b) and the limit from the left. In other words, the height of the gap determines the probability at discontinuity. If F X (x) is continuous at x b, then F X (b) lim h F X (b h) and so P[X b]. Figure 4.4: Illustration Property 7. Fundamental Theorem of Calculus Thus far we have only seen how to obtain F X (x) from f X (x). In order to go in the reverse direction, we need to recall the fundamental theorem of calculus. Fundamental theorem of calculus states that if a function f is continuous, then f(x) d dx x a f(t)dt for some constant a. Using this result for CDF and PDF, we have the following result: Theorem. The probability density function (PDF) is the derivative of the cumulative distribution function (CDF): f X (x) df X(x) dx d x f X (x )dx, (4.6) dx provided F X is differentiable at x. c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 5

6 Remark: If F X is not differentiable at x, then, f X (x) P[X x] F X (x) lim h F X (x h), where the second equality follows from Property 7. Example. Consider a CDF F X (x) Our goal is to find the PDF f X (x). {, x <, 4 e x, x. Figure 4.5: Example. First, it is easy to show that F X () 3. This corresponds to a discontinuity at x 4, as shown in Figure 4.5. Because of the discontinuity, we need to consider three when determining f X (x): df X (x), x <, dx f X (x) P[X ], x, df X (x), x >. dx When x <, F X (x). So, df X(x). dx When x >, F X (x) 4 e x. So, df X(x) dx e x. When x, the probability P[X ] is determined according to Property 7 which is the height between the solid dot and the empty dot. This yields Therefore, the overall PDF is P[X ] F X () lim h F X ( h) , x <, 3 f X (x) 4, x, e x, x >. c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 6

7 4.3 Expectation, Variance and Moments Like the discrete random variables, the mean and moments of a continuous random variable can be defined using integrations. Definition 3. The expectation of a continuous random variable X is E[X] x f X (x)dx. (4.7) Similarly, any function of X can be defined as: Definition 4. The expectation of a function g of a continuous random variables X is E[g(X)] g(x) f X (x)dx. (4.8) Note that in this definition, the PDF f X (x) is not changed by the function g. Definition 5. The kth moment of a continuous random variables X is E[X k ] Finally, we can define the variance of a continuous random variable: Definition 6. The variance of a continuous random variables X is where µ X def E[X]. x k f X (x)dx. (4.9) Var[X] E[(X µ X ) ], (4.) It is not difficult to show that the variance can also be expressed as or Var[X] (x µ X ) f X (x)dx, Var[X] E[X ] E[X]. c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 7

8 4.4 Mean, Mode, Median In statistics, we are typically interested in three quantities: mean, mode and median. It is possible to obtain these three quantities from PDF and CDF. From PDF We first show how mean, mode and median can be obtained from the PDF. A pictorial illustration of mode and median is given in Figure 4.6. Median: The median is the point where the area under f X (x) on the two sides equal: Median x such that x f X (x )dx x f X (x )dx. (4.) Mode: The mode is the point where f X (x) attains the maximum. Mode argmax x f X (x) (4.) Mean: The mean is calculated from the definition of expectation: Mean E[X] xf X (x)dx. (4.3) Figure 4.6: Mode and median in a PDF and a CDF. From CDF Since CDF is the integration of the PDF, it is possible to derive the mean, mode, and median from the CDF. c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 8

9 Median: The median is the point where F X (x) achieves : Median x such that F X (x). (4.4) Mode: The mode is the point where F X (x) attains the steepest slope, so that the derivative (i.e., PDF) attains the maximum. Mode argmax F X(x). (4.5) x Mean: The mean can be computed as follows. E[X] ( F X (x )) dx F X (x )dx. (4.6) Proof. For any random variable X, we can partition X X + X where X + and X are the positive and negative parts, respectively. Consider the positive part first. For any X >, it holds that ( F X (x )) dx [ P[X x ]] dx x f X (x)dxdx xf X (x)dx E[X]. x P[X > x ]dx f X (x)dx dx Now, consider the negative part. For any X <, it holds that F X (x )dx P[X x ]dx f X (x)dx dx x x f X (x)dxdx xf X (x)dx E[X], where in both cases we switched the order of the integration. c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 9

10 4.5 Common Continuous Random Variables Uniform Random Variable Definition 7. Let X be a continuous uniform random variable. The PDF of X is f X (x) { b a a x b,, otherwise, (4.7) where [a, b] is the interval on which X is defined. We write X Uniform(a, b) to say that X is drawn from a uniform distribution on an interval [a, b]. Uniform random variables are very common in numerical simulations. The statistical properties of a uniform random variable is summarized as follows. Figure 4.7: Uniform distribution Proposition. If X Uniform(a, b), then Proof. E[X] E[X ] E[X] a + b (b a), and Var[X]. xf X (x)dx x f X (x)dx Var[X] E[X ] E[X] b a b a x b a dx a + b x b a dx a + ab + b 3 (b a). c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved.

11 Exponential Random Variable Definition 8. Let X be an exponential random variable. The PDF of X is { λe λx, x, f X (x), otherwise, (4.8) where λ > is a parameter. We write X Exponential(λ) to say that X is drawn from an exponential distribution of parameter λ. Figure 4.8: Exponential distribution Proposition. If X Exponential(λ), then E[X] λ, and Var[X] λ. Proof. E[X] E[X ] xf X (x)dx xe λx + λxe λx dx xde λx x f X (x)dx x e λx + e λx dx λ λx e λx dx xe λx dx + λ E[X] λ Var[X] E[X ] E[X] λ, where we used integration by parts in calculating E[X] and E[X ]. x de λx c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved.

12 Gaussian Random Variable Definition 9. Let X be an Gaussian random variable. The PDF of X is f X (x) (x µ) e σ (4.9) πσ where (µ, σ ) are parameters of the distribution. We write X N (µ, σ ) to say that X is drawn from a Gaussian distribution of parameter (µ, σ ). Gaussian random variables are also called normal random variables. As will be shown, the parameters (µ, σ ) are in fact the mean and the variance of the random variable. Gaussian random variables are extremely common in engineering and statistics. Among many reasons, one important reason is the Central Limit Theorem which we will discuss later. Figure 4.9: Gaussian distribution Proposition 3. If X N (µ, σ ), then E[X] µ, and Var[X] σ. Proof. E[X] (a) πσ πσ πσ ( (b) + µ πσ (c) µ, xe (x µ) σ dx (y + µ)e y ye y σ dy + σ dy πσ ) e y σ dy µe y σ dy c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved.

13 where in (a) we substitute y x µ, in (b) we use the fact that the first integrand is odd so that the integration is, and in (c) we observe that integration over the entire sample space of the PDF yields. Var[X] πσ (a) σ π σ π ( ye y + σ ( π σ, where in (a) we substitute y (x µ)/σ. (x µ) e (x µ) σ dx y e y x µ dy, y σ ) + σ e y dy π ) e y dy Standard Gaussian In many practical situations, we need to evaluate the probability P[a X b] of a Gaussian random variable X. This involves integration of the Gaussian PDF. Unfortunately, there is no closed-form expression of P[a X b] in terms of (µ, σ ). One often has to use a table to find the numerical value of the probability. Standard Gaussian is created for this reason. Definition. A standard Gaussian (or standard Normal) random variable X has a PDF f X (x) e x. (4.) π That is, X N (, ) is a Gaussian with µ and σ. Definition. The Φ( ) function of the standard Gaussian is Φ(y) π y e x dx (4.) Essentially, Φ(y) is the CDF of the standard Gaussian. Once we have the Φ( ) function, it becomes easy to write probability in terms of Φ( ). c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 3

14 Figure 4.: Definition of Φ(y). Example. Let X N (µ, σ ). Consequently, we have P[X b] b b µ σ πσ ( b µ Φ σ (x µ) e σ dx e y x µ dy, where y π σ ). P[a < X b] P[X b] P[X a] ( ) ( ) b µ a µ Φ Φ. σ σ 4.6 Function of Random Variables One common question we encounter in practice is the transformation of random variables. The question is simple: Given a random variable X with PDF f X (x) and CDF F X (x), and suppose that Y g(x) for some function g, then what are f Y (y) and F Y (y)? The general technique we use to tackle these problem involves the following steps: Step : Find the CDF F Y (y), which is P[Y y], using F X (x). Step : Find the PDF f Y (y) by taking derivative on F Y (y). To see how these steps are used, we consider the following examples. Example. Let X be a random variable with PDF f X (x) and CDF F X (x). Let Y X +3. Find f Y (y) and F Y (y). To tackle this problem, we first note that [ F Y (y) P[Y y] P[X + 3 y] P X y 3 ] ( ) y 3 F X. c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 4

15 Therefore, f Y (y) d dy F Y (y) d ( ) y 3 dy F X ( ) ( ) y 3 d y 3 F X f X dy ( ) y 3. Example. Let X be a random variable with PDF f X (x) and CDF F X (x). Suppose that Y X, find f Y (y) and F Y (y). To solve this problem, we note that Therefore, the PDF is F Y (y) P[Y y] P[X y] P[ y X y] F X ( y) F X ( y). f Y (y) d dy F Y (y) d dy (F X( y) F X ( y)) F X( y) d dy y F X ( y) d dy ( y) y (f X( y) + f X ( y)). Example 3. Let X Uniform(, π). Suppose Y cos X. Find f Y (y) and F Y (y). First of all, we need to find the CDF of X. This can be done by noting that Thus, the CDF of Y is The PDF of Y is F X (x) x f X (x )dx x F Y (y) P[Y y] P[cos X y] P[cos y π cos y] π dx x π. F X (π cos y) F X (cos y) cos y. π f Y (y) d dy F Y (y) d dy π y, ( ) cos y π c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 5

16 where we used the fact that d dy cos y y. In some cases we do not need to explicitly find the CDF in order to find the PDF. Below is an example. Example 4. Let X be a random variable with PDF f X (x) ae x e aex. Let Y e X, and find f Y (y). To solve this problem, we first note that F Y (y) P[Y y] P[e X y] P[X log y] log y ae x e aex dx. To find the PDF, we recall the fundamental theorem of calculus. This will give us log y f Y (y) d ae x e aex dx dy ( ) ( d d dy log y d log y y aelog y e aelog y ae ay. log y ) ae x e aex dx 4.7 Generating Random Numbers For common types of random variables, e.g., Gaussian or exponential, there are often built-in functions in MATLAB to generate the random numbers. However, for arbitrary PDFs, how can we generate the random numbers? Generating arbitrary random numbers can be done with the help of the following theorem. Theorem. Let X be a random variable with an invertible CDF F X (x), i.e., F X If Y F X (X), then Y Uniform(, ). exists. Proof. First, we know that if U Uniform(, ), then f U (u) for u and so F U (u) u f U (u)du u, c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 6

17 for u. If Y F X (X), then the CDF of Y is F Y (y) P[Y y] P[F X (X) y] P[X F X (y)] F X (F X (y)) y. Therefore, we showed that the CDF of Y is the CDF of a uniform distribution. completes the proof. This The consequence of the theorem is the following procedure in generating random numbers: Step : Generate a random number U Uniform(, ). Step : Let Y F X (U). Then the distribution of Y is F X. Example. Suppose we want to draw random numbers from an exponential distribution. Then, we can follow the above two steps as Step : Generate a random number U Uniform(, ). Step : Find F X. Since X is exponential, we know that F X(x) e λx. This gives the inverse F X (x) log( x). Therefore, by letting Y F λ X (U), the distribution of Y will be exponential. c 7 Stanley Chan. All Rights Reserved. 7

2 Continuous Random Variables and their Distributions

2 Continuous Random Variables and their Distributions Name: Discussion-5 1 Introduction - Continuous random variables have a range in the form of Interval on the real number line. Union of non-overlapping intervals on real line. - We also know that for any

More information

Perhaps the simplest way of modeling two (discrete) random variables is by means of a joint PMF, defined as follows.

Perhaps the simplest way of modeling two (discrete) random variables is by means of a joint PMF, defined as follows. Chapter 5 Two Random Variables In a practical engineering problem, there is almost always causal relationship between different events. Some relationships are determined by physical laws, e.g., voltage

More information

Chapter 3: Random Variables 1

Chapter 3: Random Variables 1 Chapter 3: Random Variables 1 Yunghsiang S. Han Graduate Institute of Communication Engineering, National Taipei University Taiwan E-mail: yshan@mail.ntpu.edu.tw 1 Modified from the lecture notes by Prof.

More information

Probability Review. Yutian Li. January 18, Stanford University. Yutian Li (Stanford University) Probability Review January 18, / 27

Probability Review. Yutian Li. January 18, Stanford University. Yutian Li (Stanford University) Probability Review January 18, / 27 Probability Review Yutian Li Stanford University January 18, 2018 Yutian Li (Stanford University) Probability Review January 18, 2018 1 / 27 Outline 1 Elements of probability 2 Random variables 3 Multiple

More information

SDS 321: Introduction to Probability and Statistics

SDS 321: Introduction to Probability and Statistics SDS 321: Introduction to Probability and Statistics Lecture 14: Continuous random variables Purnamrita Sarkar Department of Statistics and Data Science The University of Texas at Austin www.cs.cmu.edu/

More information

Basics of Stochastic Modeling: Part II

Basics of Stochastic Modeling: Part II Basics of Stochastic Modeling: Part II Continuous Random Variables 1 Sandip Chakraborty Department of Computer Science and Engineering, INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY KHARAGPUR August 10, 2016 1 Reference

More information

Chapter 3, 4 Random Variables ENCS Probability and Stochastic Processes. Concordia University

Chapter 3, 4 Random Variables ENCS Probability and Stochastic Processes. Concordia University Chapter 3, 4 Random Variables ENCS6161 - Probability and Stochastic Processes Concordia University ENCS6161 p.1/47 The Notion of a Random Variable A random variable X is a function that assigns a real

More information

3 Continuous Random Variables

3 Continuous Random Variables Jinguo Lian Math437 Notes January 15, 016 3 Continuous Random Variables Remember that discrete random variables can take only a countable number of possible values. On the other hand, a continuous random

More information

Continuous Random Variables and Continuous Distributions

Continuous Random Variables and Continuous Distributions Continuous Random Variables and Continuous Distributions Continuous Random Variables and Continuous Distributions Expectation & Variance of Continuous Random Variables ( 5.2) The Uniform Random Variable

More information

ECE353: Probability and Random Processes. Lecture 7 -Continuous Random Variable

ECE353: Probability and Random Processes. Lecture 7 -Continuous Random Variable ECE353: Probability and Random Processes Lecture 7 -Continuous Random Variable Xiao Fu School of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Oregon State University E-mail: xiao.fu@oregonstate.edu Continuous

More information

F X (x) = P [X x] = x f X (t)dt. 42 Lebesgue-a.e, to be exact 43 More specifically, if g = f Lebesgue-a.e., then g is also a pdf for X.

F X (x) = P [X x] = x f X (t)dt. 42 Lebesgue-a.e, to be exact 43 More specifically, if g = f Lebesgue-a.e., then g is also a pdf for X. 10.2 Properties of PDF and CDF for Continuous Random Variables 10.18. The pdf f X is determined only almost everywhere 42. That is, given a pdf f for a random variable X, if we construct a function g by

More information

p. 6-1 Continuous Random Variables p. 6-2

p. 6-1 Continuous Random Variables p. 6-2 Continuous Random Variables Recall: For discrete random variables, only a finite or countably infinite number of possible values with positive probability (>). Often, there is interest in random variables

More information

Continuous Random Variables

Continuous Random Variables 1 / 24 Continuous Random Variables Saravanan Vijayakumaran sarva@ee.iitb.ac.in Department of Electrical Engineering Indian Institute of Technology Bombay February 27, 2013 2 / 24 Continuous Random Variables

More information

Mathematical Statistics 1 Math A 6330

Mathematical Statistics 1 Math A 6330 Mathematical Statistics 1 Math A 6330 Chapter 2 Transformations and Expectations Mohamed I. Riffi Department of Mathematics Islamic University of Gaza September 14, 2015 Outline 1 Distributions of Functions

More information

Chapter 3: Random Variables 1

Chapter 3: Random Variables 1 Chapter 3: Random Variables 1 Yunghsiang S. Han Graduate Institute of Communication Engineering, National Taipei University Taiwan E-mail: yshan@mail.ntpu.edu.tw 1 Modified from the lecture notes by Prof.

More information

6.1 Moment Generating and Characteristic Functions

6.1 Moment Generating and Characteristic Functions Chapter 6 Limit Theorems The power statistics can mostly be seen when there is a large collection of data points and we are interested in understanding the macro state of the system, e.g., the average,

More information

IE 230 Probability & Statistics in Engineering I. Closed book and notes. 60 minutes.

IE 230 Probability & Statistics in Engineering I. Closed book and notes. 60 minutes. Closed book and notes. 60 minutes. A summary table of some univariate continuous distributions is provided. Four Pages. In this version of the Key, I try to be more complete than necessary to receive full

More information

Random Variables. Random variables. A numerically valued map X of an outcome ω from a sample space Ω to the real line R

Random Variables. Random variables. A numerically valued map X of an outcome ω from a sample space Ω to the real line R In probabilistic models, a random variable is a variable whose possible values are numerical outcomes of a random phenomenon. As a function or a map, it maps from an element (or an outcome) of a sample

More information

2 Functions of random variables

2 Functions of random variables 2 Functions of random variables A basic statistical model for sample data is a collection of random variables X 1,..., X n. The data are summarised in terms of certain sample statistics, calculated as

More information

STAT Chapter 5 Continuous Distributions

STAT Chapter 5 Continuous Distributions STAT 270 - Chapter 5 Continuous Distributions June 27, 2012 Shirin Golchi () STAT270 June 27, 2012 1 / 59 Continuous rv s Definition: X is a continuous rv if it takes values in an interval, i.e., range

More information

1 Random Variable: Topics

1 Random Variable: Topics Note: Handouts DO NOT replace the book. In most cases, they only provide a guideline on topics and an intuitive feel. 1 Random Variable: Topics Chap 2, 2.1-2.4 and Chap 3, 3.1-3.3 What is a random variable?

More information

Northwestern University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science

Northwestern University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Northwestern University Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science EECS 454: Modeling and Analysis of Communication Networks Spring 2008 Probability Review As discussed in Lecture 1, probability

More information

ECE 302 Division 2 Exam 2 Solutions, 11/4/2009.

ECE 302 Division 2 Exam 2 Solutions, 11/4/2009. NAME: ECE 32 Division 2 Exam 2 Solutions, /4/29. You will be required to show your student ID during the exam. This is a closed-book exam. A formula sheet is provided. No calculators are allowed. Total

More information

Review of Probability Theory

Review of Probability Theory Review of Probability Theory Arian Maleki and Tom Do Stanford University Probability theory is the study of uncertainty Through this class, we will be relying on concepts from probability theory for deriving

More information

Chapter 4. Chapter 4 sections

Chapter 4. Chapter 4 sections Chapter 4 sections 4.1 Expectation 4.2 Properties of Expectations 4.3 Variance 4.4 Moments 4.5 The Mean and the Median 4.6 Covariance and Correlation 4.7 Conditional Expectation SKIP: 4.8 Utility Expectation

More information

General Random Variables

General Random Variables 1/65 Chia-Ping Chen Professor Department of Computer Science and Engineering National Sun Yat-sen University Probability A general random variable is discrete, continuous, or mixed. A discrete random variable

More information

1 Expectation of a continuously distributed random variable

1 Expectation of a continuously distributed random variable OCTOBER 3, 204 LECTURE 9 EXPECTATION OF A CONTINUOUSLY DISTRIBUTED RANDOM VARIABLE, DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION AND CHANGE-OF-VARIABLE TECHNIQUES Expectation of a continuously distributed random variable Recall

More information

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 8 10/1/2008 CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 8 10/1/2008 CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 8 10/1/2008 CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES Contents 1. Continuous random variables 2. Examples 3. Expected values 4. Joint distributions

More information

Lecture Notes 1 Probability and Random Variables. Conditional Probability and Independence. Functions of a Random Variable

Lecture Notes 1 Probability and Random Variables. Conditional Probability and Independence. Functions of a Random Variable Lecture Notes 1 Probability and Random Variables Probability Spaces Conditional Probability and Independence Random Variables Functions of a Random Variable Generation of a Random Variable Jointly Distributed

More information

Random Variables and Their Distributions

Random Variables and Their Distributions Chapter 3 Random Variables and Their Distributions A random variable (r.v.) is a function that assigns one and only one numerical value to each simple event in an experiment. We will denote r.vs by capital

More information

Fundamental Tools - Probability Theory II

Fundamental Tools - Probability Theory II Fundamental Tools - Probability Theory II MSc Financial Mathematics The University of Warwick September 29, 2015 MSc Financial Mathematics Fundamental Tools - Probability Theory II 1 / 22 Measurable random

More information

2 (Statistics) Random variables

2 (Statistics) Random variables 2 (Statistics) Random variables References: DeGroot and Schervish, chapters 3, 4 and 5; Stirzaker, chapters 4, 5 and 6 We will now study the main tools use for modeling experiments with unknown outcomes

More information

Probability Review. Gonzalo Mateos

Probability Review. Gonzalo Mateos Probability Review Gonzalo Mateos Dept. of ECE and Goergen Institute for Data Science University of Rochester gmateosb@ece.rochester.edu http://www.ece.rochester.edu/~gmateosb/ September 11, 2018 Introduction

More information

Quick Tour of Basic Probability Theory and Linear Algebra

Quick Tour of Basic Probability Theory and Linear Algebra Quick Tour of and Linear Algebra Quick Tour of and Linear Algebra CS224w: Social and Information Network Analysis Fall 2011 Quick Tour of and Linear Algebra Quick Tour of and Linear Algebra Outline Definitions

More information

Lecture Notes 1 Probability and Random Variables. Conditional Probability and Independence. Functions of a Random Variable

Lecture Notes 1 Probability and Random Variables. Conditional Probability and Independence. Functions of a Random Variable Lecture Notes 1 Probability and Random Variables Probability Spaces Conditional Probability and Independence Random Variables Functions of a Random Variable Generation of a Random Variable Jointly Distributed

More information

Continuous Random Variables

Continuous Random Variables Continuous Random Variables Recall: For discrete random variables, only a finite or countably infinite number of possible values with positive probability. Often, there is interest in random variables

More information

STAT/MATH 395 A - PROBABILITY II UW Winter Quarter Moment functions. x r p X (x) (1) E[X r ] = x r f X (x) dx (2) (x E[X]) r p X (x) (3)

STAT/MATH 395 A - PROBABILITY II UW Winter Quarter Moment functions. x r p X (x) (1) E[X r ] = x r f X (x) dx (2) (x E[X]) r p X (x) (3) STAT/MATH 395 A - PROBABILITY II UW Winter Quarter 07 Néhémy Lim Moment functions Moments of a random variable Definition.. Let X be a rrv on probability space (Ω, A, P). For a given r N, E[X r ], if it

More information

Chap 2.1 : Random Variables

Chap 2.1 : Random Variables Chap 2.1 : Random Variables Let Ω be sample space of a probability model, and X a function that maps every ξ Ω, toa unique point x R, the set of real numbers. Since the outcome ξ is not certain, so is

More information

MA/ST 810 Mathematical-Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems

MA/ST 810 Mathematical-Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems MA/ST 810 Mathematical-Statistical Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems Review of Basic Probability The fundamentals, random variables, probability distributions Probability mass/density functions

More information

Moments. Raw moment: February 25, 2014 Normalized / Standardized moment:

Moments. Raw moment: February 25, 2014 Normalized / Standardized moment: Moments Lecture 10: Central Limit Theorem and CDFs Sta230 / Mth 230 Colin Rundel Raw moment: Central moment: µ n = EX n ) µ n = E[X µ) 2 ] February 25, 2014 Normalized / Standardized moment: µ n σ n Sta230

More information

3 Operations on One Random Variable - Expectation

3 Operations on One Random Variable - Expectation 3 Operations on One Random Variable - Expectation 3.0 INTRODUCTION operations on a random variable Most of these operations are based on a single concept expectation. Even a probability of an event can

More information

18.440: Lecture 19 Normal random variables

18.440: Lecture 19 Normal random variables 18.440 Lecture 19 18.440: Lecture 19 Normal random variables Scott Sheffield MIT Outline Tossing coins Normal random variables Special case of central limit theorem Outline Tossing coins Normal random

More information

Probability. Paul Schrimpf. January 23, UBC Economics 326. Probability. Paul Schrimpf. Definitions. Properties. Random variables.

Probability. Paul Schrimpf. January 23, UBC Economics 326. Probability. Paul Schrimpf. Definitions. Properties. Random variables. Probability UBC Economics 326 January 23, 2018 1 2 3 Wooldridge (2013) appendix B Stock and Watson (2009) chapter 2 Linton (2017) chapters 1-5 Abbring (2001) sections 2.1-2.3 Diez, Barr, and Cetinkaya-Rundel

More information

Why study probability? Set theory. ECE 6010 Lecture 1 Introduction; Review of Random Variables

Why study probability? Set theory. ECE 6010 Lecture 1 Introduction; Review of Random Variables ECE 6010 Lecture 1 Introduction; Review of Random Variables Readings from G&S: Chapter 1. Section 2.1, Section 2.3, Section 2.4, Section 3.1, Section 3.2, Section 3.5, Section 4.1, Section 4.2, Section

More information

Chapter 2. Continuous random variables

Chapter 2. Continuous random variables Chapter 2 Continuous random variables Outline Review of probability: events and probability Random variable Probability and Cumulative distribution function Review of discrete random variable Introduction

More information

Mathematics 426 Robert Gross Homework 9 Answers

Mathematics 426 Robert Gross Homework 9 Answers Mathematics 4 Robert Gross Homework 9 Answers. Suppose that X is a normal random variable with mean µ and standard deviation σ. Suppose that PX > 9 PX

More information

Expectation, Variance and Standard Deviation for Continuous Random Variables Class 6, Jeremy Orloff and Jonathan Bloom

Expectation, Variance and Standard Deviation for Continuous Random Variables Class 6, Jeremy Orloff and Jonathan Bloom Expectation, Variance and Standard Deviation for Continuous Random Variables Class 6, 8.5 Jeremy Orloff and Jonathan Bloom Learning Goals. Be able to compute and interpret expectation, variance, and standard

More information

Lecture 3 Continuous Random Variable

Lecture 3 Continuous Random Variable Lecture 3 Continuous Random Variable 1 Cumulative Distribution Function Definition Theorem 3.1 For any random variable X, 2 Continuous Random Variable Definition 3 Example Suppose we have a wheel of circumference

More information

Recitation 2: Probability

Recitation 2: Probability Recitation 2: Probability Colin White, Kenny Marino January 23, 2018 Outline Facts about sets Definitions and facts about probability Random Variables and Joint Distributions Characteristics of distributions

More information

Brief Review of Probability

Brief Review of Probability Maura Department of Economics and Finance Università Tor Vergata Outline 1 Distribution Functions Quantiles and Modes of a Distribution 2 Example 3 Example 4 Distributions Outline Distribution Functions

More information

Chapter 4: Continuous Probability Distributions

Chapter 4: Continuous Probability Distributions Chapter 4: Continuous Probability Distributions Seungchul Baek Department of Statistics, University of South Carolina STAT 509: Statistics for Engineers 1 / 57 Continuous Random Variable A continuous random

More information

Continuous Random Variables 1

Continuous Random Variables 1 Continuous Random Variables 1 STA 256: Fall 2018 1 This slide show is an open-source document. See last slide for copyright information. 1 / 32 Continuous Random Variables: The idea Probability is area

More information

1 Solution to Problem 2.1

1 Solution to Problem 2.1 Solution to Problem 2. I incorrectly worked this exercise instead of 2.2, so I decided to include the solution anyway. a) We have X Y /3, which is a - function. It maps the interval, ) where X lives) onto

More information

We introduce methods that are useful in:

We introduce methods that are useful in: Instructor: Shengyu Zhang Content Derived Distributions Covariance and Correlation Conditional Expectation and Variance Revisited Transforms Sum of a Random Number of Independent Random Variables more

More information

Review: mostly probability and some statistics

Review: mostly probability and some statistics Review: mostly probability and some statistics C2 1 Content robability (should know already) Axioms and properties Conditional probability and independence Law of Total probability and Bayes theorem Random

More information

STAT 430/510: Lecture 16

STAT 430/510: Lecture 16 STAT 430/510: Lecture 16 James Piette June 24, 2010 Updates HW4 is up on my website. It is due next Mon. (June 28th). Starting today back at section 6.7 and will begin Ch. 7. Joint Distribution of Functions

More information

STAT2201. Analysis of Engineering & Scientific Data. Unit 3

STAT2201. Analysis of Engineering & Scientific Data. Unit 3 STAT2201 Analysis of Engineering & Scientific Data Unit 3 Slava Vaisman The University of Queensland School of Mathematics and Physics What we learned in Unit 2 (1) We defined a sample space of a random

More information

STAT509: Continuous Random Variable

STAT509: Continuous Random Variable University of South Carolina September 23, 2014 Continuous Random Variable A continuous random variable is a random variable with an interval (either finite or infinite) of real numbers for its range.

More information

Analysis of Engineering and Scientific Data. Semester

Analysis of Engineering and Scientific Data. Semester Analysis of Engineering and Scientific Data Semester 1 2019 Sabrina Streipert s.streipert@uq.edu.au Example: Draw a random number from the interval of real numbers [1, 3]. Let X represent the number. Each

More information

Random variables. DS GA 1002 Probability and Statistics for Data Science.

Random variables. DS GA 1002 Probability and Statistics for Data Science. Random variables DS GA 1002 Probability and Statistics for Data Science http://www.cims.nyu.edu/~cfgranda/pages/dsga1002_fall17 Carlos Fernandez-Granda Motivation Random variables model numerical quantities

More information

STAT 430/510: Lecture 10

STAT 430/510: Lecture 10 STAT 430/510: Lecture 10 James Piette June 9, 2010 Updates HW2 is due today! Pick up your HW1 s up in stat dept. There is a box located right when you enter that is labeled "Stat 430 HW1". It ll be out

More information

Topic 6 Continuous Random Variables

Topic 6 Continuous Random Variables Topic 6 page Topic 6 Continuous Random Variables Reference: Chapter 5.-5.3 Probability Density Function The Uniform Distribution The Normal Distribution Standardizing a Normal Distribution Using the Standard

More information

Probability and Distributions

Probability and Distributions Probability and Distributions What is a statistical model? A statistical model is a set of assumptions by which the hypothetical population distribution of data is inferred. It is typically postulated

More information

CIVL Continuous Distributions

CIVL Continuous Distributions CIVL 3103 Continuous Distributions Learning Objectives - Continuous Distributions Define continuous distributions, and identify common distributions applicable to engineering problems. Identify the appropriate

More information

Stat410 Probability and Statistics II (F16)

Stat410 Probability and Statistics II (F16) Stat4 Probability and Statistics II (F6 Exponential, Poisson and Gamma Suppose on average every /λ hours, a Stochastic train arrives at the Random station. Further we assume the waiting time between two

More information

conditional cdf, conditional pdf, total probability theorem?

conditional cdf, conditional pdf, total probability theorem? 6 Multiple Random Variables 6.0 INTRODUCTION scalar vs. random variable cdf, pdf transformation of a random variable conditional cdf, conditional pdf, total probability theorem expectation of a random

More information

More on Distribution Function

More on Distribution Function More on Distribution Function The distribution of a random variable X can be determined directly from its cumulative distribution function F X. Theorem: Let X be any random variable, with cumulative distribution

More information

Lecture 3. David Aldous. 31 August David Aldous Lecture 3

Lecture 3. David Aldous. 31 August David Aldous Lecture 3 Lecture 3 David Aldous 31 August 2015 This size-bias effect occurs in other contexts, such as class size. If a small Department offers two courses, with enrollments 90 and 10, then average class (faculty

More information

EE/Stats 376A: Homework 7 Solutions Due on Friday March 17, 5 pm

EE/Stats 376A: Homework 7 Solutions Due on Friday March 17, 5 pm EE/Stats 376A: Homework 7 Solutions Due on Friday March 17, 5 pm 1. Feedback does not increase the capacity. Consider a channel with feedback. We assume that all the recieved outputs are sent back immediately

More information

Chapter 3 sections. SKIP: 3.10 Markov Chains. SKIP: pages Chapter 3 - continued

Chapter 3 sections. SKIP: 3.10 Markov Chains. SKIP: pages Chapter 3 - continued Chapter 3 sections Chapter 3 - continued 3.1 Random Variables and Discrete Distributions 3.2 Continuous Distributions 3.3 The Cumulative Distribution Function 3.4 Bivariate Distributions 3.5 Marginal Distributions

More information

Final. Fall 2016 (Dec 16, 2016) Please copy and write the following statement:

Final. Fall 2016 (Dec 16, 2016) Please copy and write the following statement: ECE 30: Probabilistic Methods in Electrical and Computer Engineering Fall 06 Instructor: Prof. Stanley H. Chan Final Fall 06 (Dec 6, 06) Name: PUID: Please copy and write the following statement: I certify

More information

PCMI Introduction to Random Matrix Theory Handout # REVIEW OF PROBABILITY THEORY. Chapter 1 - Events and Their Probabilities

PCMI Introduction to Random Matrix Theory Handout # REVIEW OF PROBABILITY THEORY. Chapter 1 - Events and Their Probabilities PCMI 207 - Introduction to Random Matrix Theory Handout #2 06.27.207 REVIEW OF PROBABILITY THEORY Chapter - Events and Their Probabilities.. Events as Sets Definition (σ-field). A collection F of subsets

More information

Actuarial Science Exam 1/P

Actuarial Science Exam 1/P Actuarial Science Exam /P Ville A. Satopää December 5, 2009 Contents Review of Algebra and Calculus 2 2 Basic Probability Concepts 3 3 Conditional Probability and Independence 4 4 Combinatorial Principles,

More information

1 Presessional Probability

1 Presessional Probability 1 Presessional Probability Probability theory is essential for the development of mathematical models in finance, because of the randomness nature of price fluctuations in the markets. This presessional

More information

P (x). all other X j =x j. If X is a continuous random vector (see p.172), then the marginal distributions of X i are: f(x)dx 1 dx n

P (x). all other X j =x j. If X is a continuous random vector (see p.172), then the marginal distributions of X i are: f(x)dx 1 dx n JOINT DENSITIES - RANDOM VECTORS - REVIEW Joint densities describe probability distributions of a random vector X: an n-dimensional vector of random variables, ie, X = (X 1,, X n ), where all X is are

More information

Introduction to Statistical Inference Self-study

Introduction to Statistical Inference Self-study Introduction to Statistical Inference Self-study Contents Definition, sample space The fundamental object in probability is a nonempty sample space Ω. An event is a subset A Ω. Definition, σ-algebra A

More information

Lecture 1: August 28

Lecture 1: August 28 36-705: Intermediate Statistics Fall 2017 Lecturer: Siva Balakrishnan Lecture 1: August 28 Our broad goal for the first few lectures is to try to understand the behaviour of sums of independent random

More information

Review 1: STAT Mark Carpenter, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics. August 25, 2015

Review 1: STAT Mark Carpenter, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics. August 25, 2015 Review : STAT 36 Mark Carpenter, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics August 25, 25 Support of a Random Variable The support of a random variable, which is usually denoted

More information

Continuous Random Variables

Continuous Random Variables 1 Continuous Random Variables Example 1 Roll a fair die. Denote by X the random variable taking the value shown by the die, X {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. Obviously the probability mass function is given by (since

More information

1 Review of Probability and Distributions

1 Review of Probability and Distributions Random variables. A numerically valued function X of an outcome ω from a sample space Ω X : Ω R : ω X(ω) is called a random variable (r.v.), and usually determined by an experiment. We conventionally denote

More information

Continuous Probability Distributions. Uniform Distribution

Continuous Probability Distributions. Uniform Distribution Continuous Probability Distributions Uniform Distribution Important Terms & Concepts Learned Probability Mass Function (PMF) Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) Complementary Cumulative Distribution

More information

MTH739U/P: Topics in Scientific Computing Autumn 2016 Week 6

MTH739U/P: Topics in Scientific Computing Autumn 2016 Week 6 MTH739U/P: Topics in Scientific Computing Autumn 16 Week 6 4.5 Generic algorithms for non-uniform variates We have seen that sampling from a uniform distribution in [, 1] is a relatively straightforward

More information

Random Variables. P(x) = P[X(e)] = P(e). (1)

Random Variables. P(x) = P[X(e)] = P(e). (1) Random Variables Random variable (discrete or continuous) is used to derive the output statistical properties of a system whose input is a random variable or random in nature. Definition Consider an experiment

More information

Lecture 4. Continuous Random Variables and Transformations of Random Variables

Lecture 4. Continuous Random Variables and Transformations of Random Variables Math 408 - Mathematical Statistics Lecture 4. Continuous Random Variables and Transformations of Random Variables January 25, 2013 Konstantin Zuev (USC) Math 408, Lecture 4 January 25, 2013 1 / 13 Agenda

More information

ECE 4400:693 - Information Theory

ECE 4400:693 - Information Theory ECE 4400:693 - Information Theory Dr. Nghi Tran Lecture 8: Differential Entropy Dr. Nghi Tran (ECE-University of Akron) ECE 4400:693 Lecture 1 / 43 Outline 1 Review: Entropy of discrete RVs 2 Differential

More information

Continuous Distributions

Continuous Distributions Continuous Distributions 1.8-1.9: Continuous Random Variables 1.10.1: Uniform Distribution (Continuous) 1.10.4-5 Exponential and Gamma Distributions: Distance between crossovers Prof. Tesler Math 283 Fall

More information

2. Variance and Covariance: We will now derive some classic properties of variance and covariance. Assume real-valued random variables X and Y.

2. Variance and Covariance: We will now derive some classic properties of variance and covariance. Assume real-valued random variables X and Y. CS450 Final Review Problems Fall 08 Solutions or worked answers provided Problems -6 are based on the midterm review Identical problems are marked recap] Please consult previous recitations and textbook

More information

Random Variables. Saravanan Vijayakumaran Department of Electrical Engineering Indian Institute of Technology Bombay

Random Variables. Saravanan Vijayakumaran Department of Electrical Engineering Indian Institute of Technology Bombay 1 / 13 Random Variables Saravanan Vijayakumaran sarva@ee.iitb.ac.in Department of Electrical Engineering Indian Institute of Technology Bombay August 8, 2013 2 / 13 Random Variable Definition A real-valued

More information

STAT 3610: Review of Probability Distributions

STAT 3610: Review of Probability Distributions STAT 3610: Review of Probability Distributions Mark Carpenter Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics August 25, 2015 Support of a Random Variable Definition The support of a random

More information

Statistics 100A Homework 5 Solutions

Statistics 100A Homework 5 Solutions Chapter 5 Statistics 1A Homework 5 Solutions Ryan Rosario 1. Let X be a random variable with probability density function a What is the value of c? fx { c1 x 1 < x < 1 otherwise We know that for fx to

More information

Data Modeling & Analysis Techniques. Probability & Statistics. Manfred Huber

Data Modeling & Analysis Techniques. Probability & Statistics. Manfred Huber Data Modeling & Analysis Techniques Probability & Statistics Manfred Huber 2017 1 Probability and Statistics Probability and statistics are often used interchangeably but are different, related fields

More information

Experimental Design and Statistics - AGA47A

Experimental Design and Statistics - AGA47A Experimental Design and Statistics - AGA47A Czech University of Life Sciences in Prague Department of Genetics and Breeding Fall/Winter 2014/2015 Matúš Maciak (@ A 211) Office Hours: M 14:00 15:30 W 15:30

More information

EE4601 Communication Systems

EE4601 Communication Systems EE4601 Communication Systems Week 2 Review of Probability, Important Distributions 0 c 2011, Georgia Institute of Technology (lect2 1) Conditional Probability Consider a sample space that consists of two

More information

CS145: Probability & Computing

CS145: Probability & Computing CS45: Probability & Computing Lecture 0: Continuous Bayes Rule, Joint and Marginal Probability Densities Instructor: Eli Upfal Brown University Computer Science Figure credits: Bertsekas & Tsitsiklis,

More information

3. Probability and Statistics

3. Probability and Statistics FE661 - Statistical Methods for Financial Engineering 3. Probability and Statistics Jitkomut Songsiri definitions, probability measures conditional expectations correlation and covariance some important

More information

Arkansas Tech University MATH 3513: Applied Statistics I Dr. Marcel B. Finan

Arkansas Tech University MATH 3513: Applied Statistics I Dr. Marcel B. Finan 2.4 Random Variables Arkansas Tech University MATH 3513: Applied Statistics I Dr. Marcel B. Finan By definition, a random variable X is a function with domain the sample space and range a subset of the

More information

Closed book and notes. 60 minutes. Cover page and four pages of exam. No calculators.

Closed book and notes. 60 minutes. Cover page and four pages of exam. No calculators. IE 230 Seat # Closed book and notes. 60 minutes. Cover page and four pages of exam. No calculators. Score Exam #3a, Spring 2002 Schmeiser Closed book and notes. 60 minutes. 1. True or false. (for each,

More information

SDS 321: Introduction to Probability and Statistics

SDS 321: Introduction to Probability and Statistics SDS 321: Introduction to Probability and Statistics Lecture 17: Continuous random variables: conditional PDF Purnamrita Sarkar Department of Statistics and Data Science The University of Texas at Austin

More information

Math438 Actuarial Probability

Math438 Actuarial Probability Math438 Actuarial Probability Jinguo Lian Department of Math and Stats Jan. 22, 2016 Continuous Random Variables-Part I: Definition A random variable X is continuous if its set of possible values is an

More information

Continuous distributions

Continuous distributions CHAPTER 7 Continuous distributions 7.. Introduction A r.v. X is said to have a continuous distribution if there exists a nonnegative function f such that P(a X b) = ˆ b a f(x)dx for every a and b. distribution.)

More information