Rising Sea Levels: Time for Proactive Action in Florida and the Caribbean?
|
|
- Margery Gardner
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Rising Sea Levels: Time for Proactive Action in Florida and the Caribbean? Dr. Alan Fyall and Dr. Thomas Wahl National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, University of Central Florida Dr. Roberta Atzori California State University, Monterey Bay
2 Climate Change Denial
3 Fears of immediate sea level rise, which scientists said in the latest IPCC report was accelerating and could mean 75% of the Maldives being under water by 2100, were unfounded it is not going to happen next year. We have immediate needs. Development must go on, jobs are needed, we have the same aspirations as people in the US and Europe
4 Climate Change the reality
5 2017 A Catalyst for Change?
6 The Facts. Globally, mean sea level rise has risen by approximately 1.8 mm/year throughout the 20 th Century In its Fifth Assessment Report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) determined the likely range (i.e. 66% chance) of global mean sea level rise to be 0.28 m to 0.98 m this Century The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) determined that sea level could rise by as much as 2.5 m by 2100
7 Causes of Sea Level Change Many different processes can cause changes in sea level Some of the observed changes are part of natural climate variability, but most of the observed sea level rise (approximately two thirds) since the 1950s were attributed to anthropogenic impacts Coastal impacts are largest in areas where geocentric (or absolute) sea level rise rates are high AND the land is sinking (for natural or anthropogenic reasons) Land subsidence can lead to relative sea level rise rates at the local scale that are multiple times larger than the global average, or even compared to locations in the vicinity where the land is stable
8 Sea Level Rise in the Caribbean Torres & Tsimplis (2013) analyzed sea level trends in the Caribbean based on the longest available tide gauge records from sites distributed around the study area Variations evident due to some records covering periods as short as 10 years, so providing less reliable information on long-term sea level rise than others which go back to the early 20 th century
9 Considerable temporal and spatial variability in the observed sea level trends across the Caribbean Trends vary significantly throughout the region, ranging from only 0.2 mm/yr. (Amuay) to as much as 10.7 mm/yr. (Port Au Prince) This is largely a result of the different record lengths, but also due to vertical land motion that affects some areas more than others Land subsidence is also a contributor to the relative changes between sea level and the land (Glacial Isostatic Adjustment), as are tectonic and human activities and winds and their control on ocean circulation, particularly in the southern part of the Caribbean The longest record at Cristobal shows a long-term trend of 1.9 mm/yr. which is similar to the global average sea level rise over that period Extreme sea levels are most often observed in September/October when tropical cyclones coincide with the peak of the seasonal sea level cycle and spring tides In the Winter season, cold-front passages can also cause sever weather events, including storm surges, typically between January and March Interestingly, currently little or no evidence for significant changes in storminess (frequency and intensity)
10 In a global study Wahl et al. (2017) recently assessed global storm surges using different statistical models The figure shows the return period of what we currently consider to be a 100-year event (i.e. 1% chance of occurrence in any given year) in 2050 under a moderate sea level rise scenario (RCP4.5) In many places we expect present-day 100 year levels to be exceeded multiple times per decade and in some cases every year
11 In a similar context, Vitousek et al. (2017) analyzed the factor increase of the probability of what is currently assumed to be a 50-year event due to sea level rise scenarios of 25 and 50 cm Their results highlight strong changes and high vulnerability in the tropics, even for relatively small sea level rise In many tropical regions, the probability that present-day 50-year thresholds are exceeded could increase by factor 175
12 By the mid-to-late 2000s, over 300 premium resorts will be under severe threat in the Caribbean alone. For the Bahamas, 22% of the host population will be at risk from rising sea levels while in St. Vincent, an estimated meters of beach have already been lost to sea level rise.
13 If business-as-usual continues, by 2060 nine percent of Florida s current land area will be in the zone vulnerable to sea level rise, that is submerged at high tide.
14 Flooding, inundation of low-lying lands and saltwater intrusion Increased need for engineered shore protection and protection of tourism infrastructure Loss of high-value beaches, changing coastal aesthetics and tourist perceptions of coastal tourism Collapse of coastal eco-system and loss of biodiversity Coastal squeeze (when the coastal margin is squeezed between the fixed inland boundary and the rising sea level) Transformation of coastal tourism (property values, insurance costs, destination competitiveness and marketing) Urgent need for more integrated coastal zone management and planning Changing patterns of tourist visitation (i.e. seasonality, alternative costal and non-coastal destinations)
15 Responses to Different Climate Change Impacts in Terms of Visitation Intentions I would choose the same destination but different dates (%) I would choose a different destination (%) I would choose the same destination (%) Climate change impacts Temperature becomes uncomfortably hot to me Rainfall daily duration becomes uncomfortable to me Cloud cover becomes uncomfortable to me Wind strength becomes uncomfortable to me Beaches largely disappear Corals severely bleach Marine wildlife largely disappears Tropical diseases become more widespread Storms intensify throughout the year Streets are frequently flooded as a result of rain or tidal surge
16 Respondents Preferences for Adaptation at the Coastal Destination Adaptation measures Mean Value SD Value Prices of lodging and other products and services are reduced Marine protected areas (sanctuaries) for coastal habitat preservation are created Preservation plans of wetlands flora and fauna are implemented Beach nourishment is implemented to deal with beach shrinking Response plans for coral bleaching are implemented Sea walls defenses and breakwaters are built to avoid beaches/coasts erosion Pumps that draw floodwater from the flooded streets are installed Information about changes in climatic and environmental conditions is provided to visitors Street level is raised to cope with flooding Free transportation to the beach with shuttle buses is provided to visitors Tourism resorts and infrastructure are moved further back from eroding coasts Fans and air conditioning are placed outdoor More indoor leisure-time activities are offered to visitors More built attractions are introduced to replace natural attractions
17 Act collaboratively to sustain tourism for the longer-term benefit of both resident and tourist communities To Avoid. Coastal destinations throughout Florida and the Caribbean should be: Cognizant of the adaptation challenges to be faced and how they will increase with the scale and rate of climate change and sea level rise Understand the impact on seasonality of demand and changing patterns of tourist behavior Prepare realistic destination resilience strategies and curb development that degrades coastal ecosystems Develop proactive social planning, economic recovery and diversification plans
18 Thank You and Questions
CLIMATE READY BOSTON. Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016
CLIMATE READY BOSTON Sasaki Steering Committee Meeting, March 28 nd, 2016 Climate Projections Consensus ADAPTED FROM THE BOSTON RESEARCH ADVISORY GROUP REPORT MAY 2016 WHAT S IN STORE FOR BOSTON S CLIMATE?
More informationSea-level Rise on Cape Cod: How Vulnerable Are We? Rob Thieler U.S. Geological Survey Woods Hole, MA
Sea-level Rise on Cape Cod: How Vulnerable Are We? Rob Thieler U.S. Geological Survey Woods Hole, MA Outline Sea-level and coastal processes Past sea-level change Predictions for the future Coastal responses
More informationNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information State Summaries 149-FL. Observed and Projected Temperature Change
19-FL FLORIDA Key Messages Under a higher emissions pathway, historically unprecedented warming is projected by the end of the 1st century. Rising temperatures will likely increase the intensity of naturally-occurring
More informationCurrent and future climate of the Cook Islands. Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program
Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program Penrhyn Pukapuka Nassau Suwarrow Rakahanga Manihiki N o r t h e r n C o o k I s l a nds S o u t h e Palmerston r n C o o k I s l
More informationCLIMATE CHANGE A THREAT TO THE FUTURE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CARIBBEAN. U Trotz CCCCC
CLIMATE CHANGE A THREAT TO THE FUTURE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CARIBBEAN 1 Key Observations from the IPCC IV Assessment Temperature trend from actual observations "Warming of the climate system is
More informationCurrent and future climate of Vanuatu. Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program
Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program Hiu Torres Islands Vanua Lava Gaua Banks Islands Espiritu Santo Malekula Ambae Épi Maéwo Pentecost Ambrym Shepherd Islands Éfate
More information1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Impacts Assessment
1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Impacts Assessment Although the variability of weather and associated shifts in the frequency and magnitude of climate events were not available from the
More informationChanges in Marine Extremes. Professor Mikis Tsimplis. The LRET Research Collegium Southampton, 11 July 2 September 2011
Changes in Marine Extremes by Professor Mikis Tsimplis The LRET Research Collegium Southampton, 11 July 2 September 2011 1 Changes in marine extremes Mikis Tsimplis, School of Law and National Oceanography
More informationDecember 23 rd, 2018 Sample Current Affairs
December 23 rd, 2018 Sample Current Affairs 1. The coral reef cover in Lakshadweep has shrunk by as much as 40% in just 18 years Why the coral reefs in Lakshadweep are being eroded so fast? How do climate
More informationTony Pratt, DNREC to The Center for the Inland Bays Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee. August 21, 2009
Sea Level Rise in Delaware Presented by Tony Pratt, DNREC to The Center for the Inland Bays Scientific and Technical Advisory Committee August 21, 2009 Sea level has been fluctuating ever since there have
More informationSection 145 Climate Change and Sea Level Rise
Section 145 Climate Change and Sea Level Rise A. Definitions Rhode Island Coastal Resources Management Program 1. Climate is the long-term weather average observed within a geographic region, and climate
More informationEffects of Sea Level Rise in Florida
Abstract International Research Journal of Earth Sciences ISSN 2321 2527 Int. Res.J. Earth Sci. Effects of Sea Level Rise in Florida Praveen Khanna, Udaya Kumar and Riyaz Ahamed Osankhan Department of
More informationStorms. 3. Storm types 4. Coastal Sectors 5. Sorm Location and Seasonality 6. Storm Severity 7. Storm Frequency and grouping 8. The design storm event
1. Introduction Storms 2. The Impact of Storms on the coast 3. Storm types 4. Coastal Sectors 5. Sorm Location and Seasonality 6. Storm Severity 7. Storm Frequency and grouping 8. The design storm event
More informationSea-level Rise and Storm Effects on Coastal Systems under Changing Global Climate. Cape May, NJ 12 January 2009
Sea-level Rise and Storm Effects on Coastal Systems under Changing Global Climate 2009 Delaware Estuary Science Summit Cape May, NJ 12 January 2009 S. Jeffress Williams Senior Coastal Marine Geologist
More informationFIG Working Week May, Bulgaria From the wisdom of the ages to the challanges of modern world
FIG Working Week 17-21 May, Bulgaria From the wisdom of the ages to the challanges of modern world COASTAL RISK ANALYSIS OF THE BLACK SEA UNDER THE SEA LEVEL RISE N e v i n B e t u l A V S A R, S e n o
More informationClimate Change May Force Millions Of Americans To Move Inland...
Climate Change May Force Millions Of Americans To Move Inland... http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/sea-level-climate-migrants-un... Climate Change May Force Millions Of Americans To Mov 2.6k 130 POLITICS
More informationCURRENT AND FUTURE TROPICAL CYCLONE RISK IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC
CURRENT AND FUTURE TROPICAL CYCLONE RISK IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC COUNTRY RISK PROFILE: SAMOA JUNE 2013 Samoa has been affected by devastating cyclones on multiple occasions, e.g. tropical cyclones Ofa and
More informationClimate Change Lessons from the Caribbean. Sustainable Tourism Workshop, CUBA Dr. Michelle Rutty
Climate Change Lessons from the Caribbean Sustainable Tourism Workshop, CUBA Dr. Michelle Rutty All Caribbean Destiations are either : 1. Climate Dependent Climate resources determine tourism 2. Climate
More informationThe Science of Sea Level Rise and the Impact of the Gulf Stream
Old Dominion University ODU Digital Commons July 29, 2016: The Latest in Sea Level Rise Science Hampton Roads Sea Level Rise/Flooding Adaptation Forum 7-29-2016 The Science of Sea Level Rise and the Impact
More informationGCSE 4242/02 GEOGRAPHY (Specification B) FOUNDATION TIER UNIT 2 SECTION B
Surname Centre Number Candidate Number Other Names 0 GCSE 4242/02 GEOGRAPHY (Specification B) FOUNDATION TIER UNIT 2 SECTION B S15-4242-02 P.M. WEDNESDAY, 3 June 2015 1 hour 30 minutes For s use Part Maximum
More informationFuture Sea Level Rise and its Implications for SIDS and LDCs
Future Sea Level Rise and its Implications for SIDS and LDCs Bill Hare, Michiel Schaeffer, Mahé Perrette, Matthias Mengel COP17, Durban, 2 nd December Overview Part 1: Global sea level: past and future
More informationDraft for Discussion 11/11/2016
Coastal Risk Consulting (CRC) Climate Vulnerability Assessment for Village of Key Biscayne Deliverable 1.1 in Statement of Work. Preliminary Vulnerability Assessment Identifying Flood Hotspots Introduction...
More informationWhy I Am a Climate Realist. by Dr. Willem de Lange
Why I Am a Climate Realist by Dr. Willem de Lange SPPI Commentary & Essay Series! May 27, 2009 Why I Am a Climate Realist by Dr. Willem de Lange May 23, 2009 In 1996 the United Nations Intergovernmental
More informationClimate change, vulnerability and the coasts. Sifting the evidence sea level rise
CSE s Regional Media Briefing Workshop on Coasts, Coastal Populations and their Concerns Goa, August 13-14, 2010 Climate change, vulnerability and the coasts Sifting the evidence sea level rise Satheesh
More informationSea Level Rise Study Summary Town of South Bethany
Sea Level Rise Study Summary Town of South Bethany This presentation was prepared by Anchor QEA for the Town of South Bethany using Federal Funds under award NA14 NOS 419 0123 from the Delaware Coastal
More informationScenarios for the NI coast in the 21 st Century
Scenarios for the NI coast in the 21 st Century Prof Julian Orford Geography, Archaeology & Palaeoecology Queen s University, Belfast Challenging perspective Living by the coast is good for your health!
More informationNaturally. Westport... Wet and Wild...
Westport... Wet and Wild... Naturally A revitalization concept for the City of Westport and Port of Grays Harbor presented by FOGH (Friends of Grays Harbor), Wildlife Forever of Grays Harbor and other
More informationKeywords: climate change, sustainable tourism development, resilience, adaptation. Key Messages: Introduction
Keywords: climate change, sustainable tourism development, resilience, adaptation Key Messages: Belize s tourism industry is highly vulnerable to the potential adverse impacts of climate change, which
More informationWhy Are Communities at Risk from Coastal Hazards?
Chapter 2 Why Are Communities at Risk from Coastal Hazards? The Indian Ocean Tsunami of December 2004 raised awareness worldwide of the potentially devastating impacts of tsunamis. Coastal communities
More informationCoastal and Marine Projections for the Natural Resource Management Regions of Australia
Coastal and Marine Projections for the Natural Resource Management Regions of Australia The Australian Coastal Councils Association Conference, May 4, 2016, Rockingham, WA Kathleen McInnes John Church,
More informationThe Field Research Facility, Duck, NC Warming Ocean Observations and Forecast of Effects
The Field Research Facility, Duck, NC Warming Ocean Observations and Forecast of Effects A potential consequence of a warming ocean is more frequent and more intense wind events (Hurricanes & Typhoons)
More informationClimate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Small Islands - South West Pacific
Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Small Islands - South West Pacific Penehuro F. Lefale Lead Author (LA), Chapter 16 Manager, International Cooperation & Development NZ Meteorological
More informationMapping of Future Coastal Hazards. for Southern California. January 7th, David Revell, Ph.D. E.
Mapping of Future Coastal Hazards for Southern California January 7th, 2014 David Revell, Ph.D. drevell@esassoc.com E. Vandebroek, 2012 Outline Coastal erosion hazard zones Flood hazard zones: Coastal
More informationCLIMATE MODEL DOWNSCALING: HOW DOES IT WORK AND WHAT DOES IT TELL YOU?
rhgfdjhngngfmhgmghmghjmghfmf CLIMATE MODEL DOWNSCALING: HOW DOES IT WORK AND WHAT DOES IT TELL YOU? YAN FENG, PH.D. Atmospheric and Climate Scientist Environmental Sciences Division Argonne National Laboratory
More informationEllen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA
Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA Regions of the US National Climate Assessment What we Observe: Climate changes and impacts Increasing temperature Increasingly
More informationGLOBAL WARMING: GLOBAL WARMING. landscape implications. Andrew Goudie St Cross College Oxford
GLOBAL WARMING: GLOBAL WARMING landscape implications Andrew Goudie St Cross College Oxford THE PROCESS OF CHANGE HAS STARTED IPCC 2007 Increased Glacier retreat since the early 1990s Area of seasonally
More informationEl Niño Update Impacts on Florida
Current Issues in Emergency Management (CIEM) Sessions 1 &2 October 12 th and 26 th, 2006 Florida Division of Emergency Management Tallahassee, Florida El Niño Update Impacts on Florida Bart Hagemeyer
More information5. MANY COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND FACILITIES WILL FACE INCREASING EXPOSURE TO STORMS.
5. MANY COASTAL COMMUNITIES AND FACILITIES WILL FACE INCREASING EXPOSURE TO STORMS. Climate change is altering the Arctic coastline and much greater changes are projected for the future as a result of
More informationClimate Change in Newfoundland & Labrador
Climate Change in Newfoundland & Labrador Impacts and Adaptation Newleef Conference 08 October 2015 Met-Ocean Services The Team 55 personnel; 24/7 operational weather forecast desk; Equipment technician
More informationImproving global coastal inundation forecasting WMO Panel, UR2014, London, 2 July 2014
Improving global coastal inundation forecasting WMO Panel, UR2014, London, 2 July 2014 Cyclone Sidr, November 2007 Hurricane Katrina, 2005 Prof. Kevin Horsburgh Head of marine physics, UK National Oceanography
More informationEuropean Geosciences Union General Assembly Vienna, Austria 27 April - 02 May 2014
European Geosciences Union General Assembly Vienna, Austria 27 April - 02 May 2014 Projecting the Current & Future Impact of Storm Surges on Coastal Flood Extent at Pigeon Point, South-West Tobago, through
More informationA process-based approach toward assessing the coastal impact of projected sea level rise and severe storms
A process-based approach toward assessing the coastal impact of projected sea level rise and severe storms Patrick Barnard 1, Cheryl Hapke 2, Li Erikson 1, Amy Foxgrover 1, and Maarten van Ormondt 3 1
More informationExtremes Events in Climate Change Projections Jana Sillmann
Extremes Events in Climate Change Projections Jana Sillmann Max Planck Institute for Meteorology International Max Planck Research School on Earth System Modeling Temperature distribution IPCC (2001) Outline
More informationThe oceans: Sea level rise & gulf stream
Lecture Climate Change Lesson 10 The oceans: Sea level rise & gulf stream Rene Orth rene.orth@bgc-jena.mpg.de 1 Course webpage https://www.bgc-jena.mpg.de/bgi/index.php/lectures/hydrobioclimclimatechange
More informationQueensland Floods- Part A
Queensland Floods- Part A Floods Flooding is when the water level in a creek, river, lake or the sea rises and covers land that is normally dry. The rise in water can be due to numerous causes, although
More informationTurn and Face the Strange: Economic Impacts of Climate Change Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding E2Tech Forum June 21, 2018
Turn and Face the Strange: Economic Impacts of Climate Change Sea Level Rise and Coastal Flooding E2Tech Forum June 21, 2018 Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological Survey Image from Chebeague.org
More informationCoastal Vulnerability and Risk Parameters
European Water 11/12: 3-7, 2005. 2005 E.W. Publications Coastal Vulnerability and Risk Parameters E. Doukakis National Technical University of Athens-Dept. of Rural and Surveying Engineering, Lab. of Higher
More informationAdapting to Rising Sea Level & Extreme Weather Events:
Adapting to Rising Sea Level g & Extreme Weather Events: A Florida Perspective Randall W. Parkinson, Ph.D., P.G. President RWParkinson Consulting, Inc. Melbourne, Florida & Administrator Space Coast Climate
More informationHurricanes and typhoons are taking their cues from a changing global climate
Hurricanes and typhoons are taking their cues from a changing global climate By Los Angeles Times, adapted by Newsela staff on 06.18.18 Word Count 921 Level 1050L Image 1. Flooding submerged a road after
More informationClimate Change and Mapping of the Future Nature
Climate Change and Mapping of the Future Nature The XXIV FIG International Congress 2010 TS 4E Coasts and Natural Resources Tuesday 13 April Mr. Jesper Rye Rasmussen Denmark on the map Sydney, Australia,
More informationImpact of Climate Change on Indian Marine Fisheries. Lecture Notes. Part 2. Compiled and Edited by
CMFRI Winter School on Impact of Climate Change on Indian Marine Fisheries Lecture Notes Part 2 Compiled and Edited by E. Vivekanandan and J. Jayasankar Central Marine Fisheries Research Institute (CMFRI),
More informationTown of Old Orchard Beach: A summary of sea level rise science, storm surge, and some highlighted results from SLAWG work efforts
Town of Old Orchard Beach: A summary of sea level rise science, storm surge, and some highlighted results from SLAWG work efforts October 15, 2013 Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Maine Geological
More informationUnderstanding Weather and Climate Risk. Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017
Understanding Weather and Climate Risk Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017 What is risk in a weather and climate context? Hazard: something with the
More information1. Oceans. Example 2. oxygen.
1. Oceans a) Basic facts: There are five oceans on earth, making up about 72% of the planet s surface and holding 97% of the hydrosphere. Oceans supply the planet with most of its oxygen, play a vital
More informationASSESSING FUTURE EXPOSURE: GLOBAL AND REGIONAL SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS FOR THE UNITED STATES
ASSESSING FUTURE EXPOSURE: GLOBAL AND REGIONAL SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS FOR THE UNITED STATES Chesapeake Bay Program Climate Resiliency Workgroup Conference Call May 15, 2017 William Sweet NOAA CO-OPS
More informationPreliminary Vulnerability Assessment of Coastal Flooding Threats - Taylor County, Florida
Preliminary Vulnerability Assessment of Coastal Flooding Threats - Taylor County, Florida North Central Florida Regional Planning Council Northeast Florida Regional Council April 28, 2016 BACKGROUND This
More informationActivity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference)
Activity 2.2: Recognizing Change (Observation vs. Inference) Teacher Notes: Evidence for Climate Change PowerPoint Slide 1 Slide 2 Introduction Image 1 (Namib Desert, Namibia) The sun is on the horizon
More informationSea-Level Rise Impacts on South Florida
Sea-Level Rise Impacts on South Florida Keren Prize Bolter, PhD Science Director, Coastal Risk Consulting. LLC 5/3/16 FAQ list What is happening? What impacts are we already seeing? Just how vulnerable
More informationGlobal Climate Change and Human Health Cycloning out of Control: Climate Change Impacts on Natural Disasters; Cyclones
INSTRUCTOR BACKGROUND Cyclones are one of the world s most devastating natural disasters causing billions of dollars in damages to homes, building and infrastructure annually. The United Nations estimates
More informationVulnerability of Bangladesh to Cyclones in a Changing Climate
Vulnerability of Bangladesh to Cyclones in a Changing Climate Susmita Dasgupta Kiran Pandey Mainul Huq Zahirul Huq Khan M.M. Zahid Ahmed Nandan Mukherjee Malik Fida Khan 2010 Bangladesh: Tropical Cyclone
More informationGeol 117 Lecture 18 Beaches & Coastlines. I. Types of Coastlines A. Definition:
I. Types of Coastlines A. Definition: 1. Shore = narrow zone where ocean meets land (e.g. beach) 2. Coast is a broad area where both ocean and land processes act a. Includes onshore marshes, dunes, sea
More informationThe Use of Geographic Information Systems to Assess Change in Salt Marsh Ecosystems Under Rising Sea Level Scenarios.
The Use of Geographic Information Systems to Assess Change in Salt Marsh Ecosystems Under Rising Sea Level Scenarios Robert Hancock The ecological challenges presented by global climate change are vast,
More informationWhat is the IPCC? Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
IPCC WG1 FAQ What is the IPCC? Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change The IPCC is a scientific intergovernmental body set up by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and by the United Nations
More informationLatest Projections of Climate Change & Impacts on Planning Systems
Latest Projections of Climate Change & Impacts on Planning Systems Bryson C Bates CSIRO Climate Program Presentation Outline Australia s hydroclimate & ecosystems are changing Climate change scenarios
More informationSea Level Rise in Connecticut A Risk-Informed Approach
GZA GeoEnvironmental, Inc. CAFM Conference October 25, 2017 Proactive By Design. Our Company Commitment Proactive By Design. Our Company Commitment Sea Level Rise in Connecticut A Risk-Informed Approach
More informationRISK ASSESSMENT COMMUNITY PROFILE NATURAL HAZARDS COMMUNITY RISK PROFILES. Page 13 of 524
RISK ASSESSMENT COMMUNITY PROFILE NATURAL HAZARDS COMMUNITY RISK PROFILES Page 13 of 524 Introduction The Risk Assessment identifies and characterizes Tillamook County s natural hazards and describes how
More informationSea-level change: A scientific and societal challenge for the 21 st century John Church International GNSS Service Workshop, Sydney, Feb 11, 2016
Sea-level change: A scientific and societal challenge for the 21 st century John Church International GNSS Service Workshop, Sydney, Feb 11, 2016 OCEANS AND ATMOSPHERE NATIONAL RESEARCH FLAGSHIP Our coastal
More information26 Coastal erosion and accretion
26 Coastal erosion and accretion 26.1 Rate of erosion and accretion 26.2 Length of protected coastline 26.3 Volume of sand nourishment Fig. 26.1: Coastline dynamics of the South East Baltic region Key
More informationLatest trends in sea level rise and storm surges in Maine Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist
Latest trends in sea level rise and storm surges in Maine Peter A. Slovinsky, Marine Geologist Image from Chebeague.org Maine s glacial geology and historic sea level rise trends Current sea level trends
More informationManaging Floods at Boscastle. Learning Objective: Examine the benefits of managing floods
Managing Floods at Boscastle Learning Objective: Examine the benefits of managing floods Learning Outcomes: Describe how Boscastle has been affected by flooding Explain strategies to reduce the risk Evaluate
More informationSea Level Rise and Coastal Inundation Thursday 11 th October, 2012, 1.00pm, With lunch in the Legislative Council Committee Room
The Presiding Officers invite Parliamentarians and Staff to a Science Briefing on Sea Level Rise and Coastal Inundation Thursday 11 th October, 2012, 1.00pm, With lunch in the Legislative Council Committee
More informationHurricane Matthew Threats and Impacts Briefing for Eastern NC
Hurricane Matthew Threats and Impacts Briefing for Eastern NC October 6 th, 2016 Date/Time Created: 10/6/2016, Noon EDT National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City, NC Hurricane Matthew Key Points Changes
More informationMiami-Dade County Overview
Miami-Dade County Overview 2,000 square miles World s busiest cruise port 2.6 million residents Second busiest US airport for international travelers Gateway to the Caribbean and Latin America Natural
More informationLorna V Inniss, Ph.D SAGE Workshop, New York City
Lorna V Inniss, Ph.D SAGE Workshop, New York City 2014-05-21 Why me? The globally recognized success of the Barbados ICZM programme has generated requests for technical assistance and CD from many Governments
More informationRegional-scale understanding of the geologic character and sand resources of the Atlantic inner continental shelf, Maine to Virginia
Regional-scale understanding of the geologic character and sand resources of the Atlantic inner continental shelf, Maine to Virginia Workshop on Dredging, Beach Nourishment and Bird Conservation Atlantic
More informationNOAA s National Ocean Service. Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services
NOAA s National Ocean Service Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services Richard Edwing, CO-OPS Acting Director January 27, 2010 Outline CO-OPS Overview Programs Observing Systems PORTS
More informationAustralian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) Statement on Climate Change
Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) Statement on Climate Change This statement provides a summary of some aspects of climate change and its uncertainties, with particular focus on
More informationClimate change: How do we know?
Climate change: How do we know? This graph, based on the comparison of atmospheric samples contained in ice cores and more recent direct measurements, provides evidence that atmospheric CO2 has increased
More informationWhat the Science Tells Us & How Practitioners Can Use the Science
What the Science Tells Us & How Practitioners Can Use the Science Presented at APTA Los Angeles, CA Presented by Dr. B. Tod Delaney President, First Environment, Inc. Wed. August 3, 2011 1 Agenda 1. What
More informationNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information State Summaries 149-HI. Observed and Projected Temperature Change
9-HI HAWAI I Key Messages Average annual temperature has increased by about F since 95, with a leveling off of the rate of warming in the last two decades. Under a higher emissions pathway, historically
More informationFINDINGS OF THE IPCC FOURTH ASSESSMENT REPORT IMPLICATIONS FOR ADAPTATION IN SMALL VULNEARABLE COMMUNITIES
FINDINGS OF THE IPCC FOURTH ASSESSMENT REPORT IMPLICATIONS FOR ADAPTATION IN SMALL VULNEARABLE COMMUNITIES UNFCCC Article 6 Workshop for SIDS Carlos Fuller, Deputy Director, Caribbean Community Climate
More informationThwaites and Pine Island Glaciers of Antarctica and the Prospect of Rapid Sea Level Rise
Thwaites and Pine Island Glaciers of Antarctica and the Prospect of Rapid Sea Level Rise Thomas Mortlock and Paul Somerville, Risk Frontiers The Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers in Antarctica are flowing
More informationStorm and Storm Systems Related Vocabulary and Definitions. Magnitudes are measured differently for different hazard types:
Storm and Storm Systems Related Vocabulary and Definitions Magnitude: this is an indication of the scale of an event, often synonymous with intensity or size. In natural systems, magnitude is also related
More informationAgricultural Outlook Forum Presented: February 17, 2006 THE SCIENCE BEHIND THE ATLANTIC HURRICANES AND SEASONAL PREDICTIONS
Agricultural Outlook Forum Presented: February 17, 2006 THE SCIENCE BEHIND THE ATLANTIC HURRICANES AND SEASONAL PREDICTIONS Gerald Bell Meteorologist, National Centers for Environmental Prediction NOAA,
More informationClimate Adaptation Challenges for Boston s Water and Sewer Systems
National Association of Flood & Stormwater Management Agencies Climate Adaptation Challenges for Boston s Water and Sewer Systems John P Sullivan P.E. October 15,2014 Boston 1630 Boston 1630-2012 Boston
More informationDEPARTMENT OF EARTH & CLIMATE SCIENCES Name SAN FRANCISCO STATE UNIVERSITY Nov 29, ERTH 360 Test #2 200 pts
DEPARTMENT OF EARTH & CLIMATE SCIENCES Name SAN FRANCISCO STATE UNIVERSITY Nov 29, 2018 ERTH 360 Test #2 200 pts Each question is worth 4 points. Indicate your BEST CHOICE for each question on the Scantron
More informationBusiness Preparedness and Hurricane Risk
Business Preparedness and Hurricane Risk Hurricanes are one of the more predictable natural disasters compared to events such as earthquakes, wildfires and tornadoes. Meteorologists gather data to predict
More informationProjection of Extreme Wave Climate Change under Global Warming
Hydrological Research Letters, 4, 15 19 (2010) Published online in J-STAGE (www.jstage.jst.go.jp/browse/hrl). DOI: 10.3178/HRL.4.15 Projection of Extreme Wave Climate Change under Global Warming Nobuhito
More informationHow we know the world has warmed
How we know the world has warmed A comprehensive review of key climate indicators confirms the world is warming and the past decade was the warmest on record. More than 3 scientists from 48 countries analyzed
More informationDrought Impacts in the Southern Great Plains. Mark Shafer University of Oklahoma Norman, OK
Drought Impacts in the Southern Great Plains Mark Shafer University of Oklahoma Norman, OK Causes of Drought: Large-Scale, Stationary High Pressure Air rotates clockwise around high pressure steers storms
More informationUnit 1 Living with the Physical Environment
Unit 1 Living with the Physical Environment Topic Example / Case Study Example Tectonic Hazards Chile Nepal Weather Hazards Typhoon Haiyan Somerset Floods Climate Change Ecosystems Tropical Rainforests
More informationEllen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA
Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA Regions of the US National Climate Assessment What we Observe: Climate changes and impacts Extreme precipitation and
More informationApplication #: TEXT
TOWN OF FORT MYERS BEACH 2008 PROPOSED COMPREHENSIVE PLAN AMENDMENTS Application #: 2008-13-TEXT Description: Modify the Coastal Management and Future Land Use Elements to reflect the state s new definition
More informationClimate Risk Profile for Samoa
Climate Risk Profile for Samoa Report Prepared by Wairarapa J. Young Samoa Meteorology Division March, 27 Summary The likelihood (i.e. probability) components of climate-related risks in Samoa are evaluated
More informationThe continent of Antarctica Resource N1
The continent of Antarctica Resource N1 Prepared by Gillian Bunting Mapping and Geographic Information Centre, British Antarctic Survey February 1999 Equal area projection map of the world Resource N2
More informationMethods for assessing coastal vulnerability to climate change Dr. Silvia Torresan CMCC
Methods for assessing coastal vulnerability to climate change Dr. Silvia Torresan CMCC Milan, 4 February 2016 Lecture OUTLINE: Overview of climate change impacts in coastal zones; Coastal Vulnerability
More informationHow Will Melting Ice Sheets Affect Us?
PASSAGE 4 How Will Melting Ice Sheets Affect Us? Variation is normal. During the last ice age, for example, ice sheets also covered much of North America and Scandinavia. Why is what s happening now different
More informationClimate variability and the expected. Croatia
Climate variability and the expected effects of climate change scenario in Croatia Krešo Pandžić Meteorological and Hydrological Service Croatia National roundtable Adaptation to climate change, Zagreb,
More informationNatural Disasters. in Florida. Severe Thunderstorms
Natural Disasters in Florida SC.6.E.7.7 Investigate how natural disasters have affected human life in Florida. Severe Thunderstorms While the typical afternoon thunderstorm in Florida may not appear to
More informationClimate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research Volume 1: Regional Overview
Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research Volume 1: Regional Overview Australian Bureau of Meteorology and Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO)
More information