The phenomenon of El Niño Consequences of El Niño Climate records through isotope proxies

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Abigail Chapman
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1 The phenomenon of El Niño Consequences of El Niño Climate records through isotope proxies

El Niño Southern scillation ENS ENS is known to be a natural oscillation of the ocean-atmosphere system with El Niño as the ocean component of the interaction between the upper layers of the tropical

2 El Niño Southern scillation ENS ENS is known to be a natural oscillation of the ocean-atmosphere system with El Niño as the ocean component of the interaction between the upper layers of the tropical Southern Pacific and the atmosphere. ENS appears as enhanced sea surface temperature in the Easter Pacific near the Peruvian coast. The water temperature is usually dominated by the cold water flow of the umboldt current. The ENS effect enhances temperatures and reduces biological productivity. The effect is observed around Christmas about every seven years and was therefore dubbed El Niño (the son) by the local fishermen. Normal conditions ENS conditions The Southwestern Pacific hot ocean water region is typically contained by trade winds blowing from the east. These winds change directions every 7 years expanding the warm water zone eastwards. L corresponds to low atmospheric pressure, to high atmospheric pressure.

Normally low pressure region over Australia and Indonesia delivering rainfall, in El Nino years, there is

cean. The Southern scillation Index SI is defined in terms of the Mean Sea Level Pressure P between Tahiti

SI indicates El Nino episodes: SI 10 ENS : Non ENS : P P P P Tahiti P P Darwin Darwin Darwin P Tahiti P P

3 Normally low pressure region over Australia and Indonesia delivering rainfall, in El Nino years, there is high pressure over these regions and the low pressure area moves east and rainfall occurs over the Pacific cean. The Southern scillation Index SI is defined in terms of the Mean Sea Level Pressure P between Tahiti and Darwin, Australia. SI indicates El Nino episodes: SI 10 ENS : Non ENS : P P P P Tahiti P P Darwin Darwin Darwin P Tahiti P P month Tahiti Tahiti P Darwin Tahiti month Darwin SI negative SI positive mean Computed at a monthly basis SI ranging from -3 to +3

4 There is a directly observable correlation between the SI and the water surface temperature SST of the coast of South America! La Niña is the name chosen for a situation where strong trade winds confine the hot water condition to the southwestern region of the Pacific.

1. The trigger of the El Niño event are recurrent spontaneous statistical fluctuations sea surface temperature reflecting different oscillation

. This SST fluctuation causes a spontaneous reduction of the the east west pressure gradient in the atmosphere. 3.

5 1. The trigger of the El Niño event are recurrent spontaneous statistical fluctuations sea surface temperature reflecting different oscillation modes in the coupled ocean SST system.. This SST fluctuation causes a spontaneous reduction of the the east west pressure gradient in the atmosphere. 3. Changed atmospheric pressure gradient reduces wind (collapse of trade winds as already observed by Darwin on his journey on the Beagle) and wind driven drag of water westwards 4. Reduced drag allows warm water to expand eastwards preventing cold water up-welling from umboldt current.

6 The ENS occurrence has global consequences, it changes rain fall patterns in Africa and North America and causes droughts in Australia. The ENS event is recorded by tree ring, ice core, and coral reef analysis for millennia. ENS driven draught in Australia ENS driven rainstorm in Southern California

7 El Niño

8 US Tornado Season There are statistics based arguments that the number of Tornados in the US tornado alley is correlated with El Niño and La Niña conditions in the Southern Pacific cean.

9 Climate Records from isotope and/or molecule distributions

isotopes which are distinguished by a different number of

10 The isotope chart Each element with atomic number Z (number of protons) has a number of stable and beta-unstable isotopes which are distinguished by a different number of neutrons N Isobar A=constant Isotone N=constant Isotope Z=constant

U B Mass differences Atomic Mass Unit: 1 amu=1/1(m 1

10 3.37 ) ( ) ( 10.655158 10 1.66 15.99493 ) ( 10.

0608 1 separator separator kin centrifugal Lorenz m

11 U B Mass differences Atomic Mass Unit: 1 amu=1/1(m 1 C)= g g M M M g g amu M g g amu M ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( separator separator kin centrifugal Lorenz m m r r B U C q m C B m U q B q v m r m U q v B q v m r U q v m E F r v m m F B v

$Variation and fractionation of isotopic abundances The chemical behavior of the isotopes of a certain element are identical because the chemical interactions are controlled by Z, the number and$

12 Variation and fractionation of isotopic abundances The chemical behavior of the isotopes of a certain element are identical because the chemical interactions are controlled by Z, the number and configurations of the electron in the atomic shell. owever, small differences due to physical conditions can lead to a deviation from the characteristic isotopic abundance ratio by fractionation processes. These variations are extremely slight, typically in the range of 0.01 to 0.1 and require sensitive equipment to be detected. The fractionation is expressed in terms of. sample isotope ratio standard isotope ratio δ 1000 standard isotope ratio 13 C C C sm 13 1 C C 13 1 st C C st The isotope ratios are expressed with the heavier component in the numerator; is a relative deviation from the standard ratio in units parts/mil or!

13 xygen has three stable isotopes,, 17, with the average abundances of %, 0.039%, and 0.05%, respectively. The / abundance ratio in a Jurassic limestone is the ratio in ocean water is The fractionation can be determined with respect to the average abundance ratio ( ) or to a standard. If taking the ocean water as standard (standard mean ocean water, SMW), the fractionation in Jurassic lime stone is: SMW sm st st The positive number indicates that the sample has a higher heavy isotope abundance as the standard. If the sample has a lower heavy isotope abundance the fractionation value will be negative. cean water in Maxwell Bay, Antarctica has: 3.1 SMW 0 00 MB SMW 1000 SMW SMW

oxygen isotope distribution Isoscapes An

ranging from hydrology to forensics, from

14 oxygen isotope distribution Isoscapes An extensive data bank on the isotope distribution has been developed worldwide. It is useful for a wide range of applications, ranging from hydrology to forensics, from plant ecology to meteorite analysis, and from geology to climate studies.

15 precipitation isoscapes

$Fractionation processes There are a number of chemistry specific fractionation processes for the various elements.$

16 Fractionation processes There are a number of chemistry specific fractionation processes for the various elements. For oxygen, the chemical processes are mostly associated with geological fractionation observed for rocks, lime stones and carbonates. For plant, water, and ice related oxygen isotope analysis, the dominant fractionation processes are mostly associated with evaporation and precipitation processes. Therefore the oxygen fractionation is frequently correlated with hydrogen fractionation of the two table hydrogen isotopes, hydrogen 1 and deuterium.

$The ratio of these rates defines the fractionation factor. k k L Chemical or physical processes with light isotopes are typically faster than the ones involving heavier isotopes: k <k L, <1.$

17 Chemical or physics processes for two different isotopes show subtle differences in the specific reaction rate k for the lighter isotopes k L and the heavier isotopes k. The ratio of these rates defines the fractionation factor. k k L Chemical or physical processes with light isotopes are typically faster than the ones involving heavier isotopes: k <k L, <1. This results in a fractionation of isotopes in the chemical process with an enrichment factor = - 1. For evaporation: product 1000 product source source k is 1.% slower vapor k k sea water than k

18 Fractionation in equilibrium At isotopic equilibrium between two phases (e.g. liquid vapor), the forward and backward reaction rates of any particular isotope are equal. The isotopic compositions of two phases at equilibrium are not identical, but the ratios of the different isotopes in each phase are constant for a particular temperature. As water vapor condenses in rain clouds (equilibrium process), the heavier water isotopes ( and ) become enriched in the liquid phase, while the lighter isotopes ( and 1 ) remain in the vapor phase. Vapor Liquid LiquidVapor Vapor Liquid 1 Vapor Liquid LiquidVapor Liquid Vapor and If the fractionation factor for evaporation is: similarly Vapor Liquid condensati on The fractionation factor for condensation is: evaporation Vapor Liquid

19 All of the fractionation processes are temperature dependent! Evaporation driven fractionation is determined by the Clausius Clapeyron equation (lecture 7-), stating that the saturated vapor pressure SVP=P increases exponentially with T. k P d ln P dt ln P ln e L L RT ln P dp P dt L RT C L R T P P ln P Typically modeled by functions like: C C3 C1 ln 1 T C e T T for T in Kelvin : C 0.03 C C L RT L 1. The difference in evaporation process is due to differences in the latent heat (binding energy associated with the phase transition) for the water molecules with different oxygen (hydrogen) isotopes. Fractionation factor for condensation 1.1 T α ( ) α ( ) 0 C C C C

$Precipitation Starting from the cloud fractionation value =-1 derived in previous example! rain cloud 10001000 for 1.00938 at T 5 o C rain 1.00938(1 1000) 1000.7 0 00 for 1.0117 at T 0 o C rain 1.$

20 Precipitation Starting from the cloud fractionation value =-1 derived in previous example! rain cloud for at T 5 o C rain (1 1000) for at T 0 o C rain (1 1000) Fractionation in condensation and precipitation processes are highly temperature dependent! This identifies these processes as possible tools for temperature measurements: = f(t)!

MPACT OF EL-NINO ON SUMMER MONSOON RAINFALL OF PAKISTAN

MPACT OF EL-NINO ON SUMMER MONSOON RAINFALL OF PAKISTAN Abdul Rashid 1 Abstract: El-Nino is the dominant mod of inter- annual climate variability on a planetary scale. Its impact is associated worldwide