Daily Operations Briefing Friday, September 27, :30 a.m. EDT

Transcription

1 Daily Operations Briefing Friday, September 27, :30 a.m. EDT 1

2 Significant Activity: Sep Significant Events: No activity Tropical Activity: Atlantic Area 1(Low 10%) Eastern Pacific Area 1(Low 20%) Central Pacific No tropical cyclones expected through late Saturday evening Western Pacific No tropical activity threatening U.S. territories Significant Weather: Slight risk of severe thunderstorms Central/Southern Plains Heavy rain possible Pacific Northwest Rain and snow Northern Intermountain to Rockies Rain and thunderstorms - Plains to Upper Mississippi Valley; Southeast to Carolina coast Critical Fire Weather Areas None; Red Flag Warnings: CA Space Weather: No space weather storms observed/predicted Earthquake Activity: No significant activity Declaration Activity: No activity 2

3 Atlantic Tropical Outlook Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT 3

4 Atlantic Area 1 Located over tropical Atlantic about 900 miles E of Lesser Antilles Significant development not expected due to strong upper-level winds Moving NW and then N at mph Probability of tropical cyclone development: Next 48 hours: Low chance (10%) Next 5 days: Low chance (20%) 4

5 Eastern Pacific Tropical Outlook This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 5

6 Eastern Pacific Area 1(Invest 92E) Located near southwestern coast of Mexico Moving W at 5 mph Some slow development possible next couple of days Upper level winds expected to become unfavorable for development by early next week Probability of tropical cyclone development: Next 48 hours: Low (20%) Next 5 Days: Medium (20%) This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 6

7 Central Pacific Tropical Outlook This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. 7

8 National Weather Forecast 8

9 Active Watches/Warnings 9

10 Recent Snowfall 10

11 Precipitation Forecast 3 Day Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 11

12 Winter Storms Pacific Northwest A strong Pacific storm, associated with a cold front, forecast to produce heavy snow across the Northern Intermountain region o Snow accumulations of 4-8 inches forecast o Up to 16 inches possible in higher elevations Heavy rain forecast over northern & western WA o Flood Watches in effect through this evening Impacts: o Shelters: No shelters open o Water: No rivers forecast to exceed Flood Stage o Energy: No significant power outages o Accessibility: Some road closures o Telecoms: No expected impacts Wyoming o Historical September snow storms in Riverton, WY: 1965, 1982 & 2000 produced between 5 10 inches o Freemont County, Wyoming: pop. 10,971 o Natrona County, Wyoming: pop. 74,450 Idaho o Ada County, Idaho: pop. 392,365 State/Local Actions o All EOCs at normal operations 48 Hour Snowfall Analysis 12

13 River Forecast 7 Day Hydrograph Page for bdyn1 ype=fcst&conus_map=d_map 14

14 Convective Outlooks Days 1 3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 15

15 Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 8 Day 1 Day 2 Day

16 Hazard Outlook: September 29 October

17 U.S. Drought Monitor as of September

18 Space Weather NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme) Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: None None None Geomagnetic Storms None None None Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts None None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity

19 Lake Okeechobee Dike Crest Seepage Concern 20 High Lake Mgmt Normal Operations Current Level (as of 26 Sept)

20 Lake Okeechobee Herbert Hoover Dike EAP Lake Level Inspections Level ft 7-30 days Level ft 1-7 days Level 3 > 17 ft Lake Okeechobee Daily Situation: Lake Okeechobee reached the 15.5 ft mark on 18 September, initiating Level 1 of the Herbert Hoover Dike Emergency Action Plan USACE Actions: Jacksonville District EOC Activation Weekly Stakeholder Coordination Calls Weekly dike inspections Future: 1-2 inches of precipitation are expected in vicinity over the next 5 days. Increased lake releases starting 21 Sep. 22

21 National Fire Activity September 27, 2013 National Preparedness Level: 1 Initial Attack Activity: Light (38 new fires) New Large Fires: 0 Large Fires Contained: 0 Uncontained Large Fires: 2 *NIMOs Committed: 0 of 4 National Teams Committed: Area Command Teams: 0 of 2 Type-1 **IMT(s): 0 of 16 Type-2 IMT(s): 1 of 35 Affected States: CA * National Incident Management Organization ** Incident Management Team 25

22 Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 3 Date Requested 0 1 PA DR (Appeal) Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, and Mudslides Rosebud Sioux Tribe DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding September 6, 2013 September 10, 2013 Denied September 25, 2012 Santa Clara Pueblo DR Severe Storms and Flooding September 16, 2013 NM DR Severe Storms and Flooding September 18,

23 Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region VI State / Location NM Event Severe Storms, Flooding & Mudslides 9-23, 2013 Number of Counties IA/PA Start End Requested Complete IA 9 (+1) 1 9/25 - TBD VIII CO Flooding September 11, 2013 & Continuing IA 8 (+2) 6 (+4) 9/25 -TBD PA 15 3 (+1) 9/23 - TBD VIII UT Flooding September 7, 2013 PA 8 counties & 1 tribe 1 Tribe 9/25 10/5 IX Navajo Nation Flooding September 9, 2013 IA 1 0 9/24 9/27 30

24 Open Field Offices as of September 27,

25 OFDC Cadre Member Status Federal Coordinating Officer Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4 9* * All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions As of: 09/26/

26 MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status Location Units Assigned MCOV FLEET STATUS Available FMC Deployed Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS MERS Maynard DR-4145-CO MERS Frederick MERS Thomasville DC Ft Worth MERS Denver MERS Bothell Sacramento En Route Unit Prep TOTAL TOTAL Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in. 0 0 Open Request Notes: Fully Mission Capable 49 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 6 Total Not Deployed 34 Data as of:

27 Active IA Disasters - Referral Status & Awards # Max Grants = Applicants awarded maximum IHP ($31,900 as of FY 2013) Data as of:

28 IA Registration Statistics DR/EM # - State IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of September 27, 0700 Registrations Approved Applicants Total HA Approved Total ONA Approved Total IHP Approved CO 19,292 10,385 $28,137,556 $1,309,183 $29,446,738 Totals 19,292 10,385 $28,137,556 $1,309,183 $29,446, hour change $1,655,424 +$196,011 +$1,851,435 NPSC Call Data for September 26, 2013 Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 3,079 Average time to answer call 12 seconds Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 20 seconds / 10 seconds 36

29 Housing Inspection Statistics DR #-State Inspectors Inspection Data as of September 27, 0700 Inspections Assigned Inspections Completed Inspection % Complete Turnaround Time (Days) 4145 CO ,321 15, % 2.6 TOTAL ,321 15, % hour change %

30 FEMA Workforce Status Report Workforce Type Total Available To Deploy Deployed Committed To Other Activities or Exempt from Deployment Operational Readiness Reservist 6,352 3,376 (53%) 2,361 (37%) 615 (10%) Mission Capable Cadre of On-Call Response Employees (CORE) 2, (37%) 1,683 (63%) 3 (0%) Mission Capable Permanent Full Time (PFT) 5,055 1,882 (37%) 618 (12%) *2,555 (51%) Mission Capable FEMA Corps (0%) 455 (100%) 0 (40%) Deployed DHS Surge Capacity Force 3,979 1,794 (44%) 0 (0%) ** 2,185 (56%) Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation Workforce Totals 18,510 8,035 (43%) 5,117 (28%) 5,358 (29%) = <70% Deployed/Mission Capable = 70% - 79% Deployed/Partially Mission Capable = >80% Deployed = >80% Committed to Other Activities- Awaiting DHS/FEMA Activation *This number will continue to be refined as Directorates/Regions identify and solidify the number of personnel required to support mission critical home station, and Emergency Relocation Group personnel **Deployable based on FEMA s need for DHS activation Employees may be committed to other activities or exempt from deployment based on: leave status, training, travel related issues, or personnel status as ERG or mission critical home station employee Data as of 9/26/13 38

31 IMAT Status National Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status Blue/White East West CO Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status Region I Region V Region VIII CO Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1 Region III Region VI-2 Region IX-2 Karuk Tribe Region IV-1 Region VII KS Region X Region IV-2 NC = Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Not Mission Capable 39

32 Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) Monthly On Call Rotation JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC WEST CENTRAL EAST Team Status Team Status Team Status CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Reconstituting FL-TF2 Available CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Reconstituting MD-TF1 Available CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Reconstituting NY-TF1 Available CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Reconstituting VA-TF1 Available CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available UT-TF1 Reconstituting = Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service 40

33 RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status Region RRCC Regional Watch Center I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7) II Watch/Steady State 24/7 III Watch/Steady State 24/7 IV Watch/Steady State 24/7 V Watch/Steady State 24/7 VI Watch/Steady State Denton MOC (24/7) VII Watch/Steady State 24/7 VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7) IX Watch/Steady State 24/7 X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7) 41

34 National Team Status Team/Status Current Location Remarks National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated HLT Miami, FL Activated DEST Washington, DC Not Activated Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable 42

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