NDIA System Engineering Conference 26 October Benjie Spencer Chief Engineer, NOAA/National Weather Service
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1 NDIA System Engineering Conference 26 October 2015 Benjie Spencer Chief Engineer, NOAA/National Weather Service
2 The National Weather Service of the Future: Building a Weather-Ready Nation
3 Previous NWS Organizational Structure National s for Environmental (NCEP) Environmental Modeling Storm Ocean Climate Space Weather Hydrometeorological Tropical (National Hurricane ) Central Operations Aviation Weather Eastern 23 WFOs 3 RFCs Office of the Chief Information Officer Central 38 WFOs 2 RFCs Telecommunications Operations Office of the Chief Financial Officer Office of the Assistant Administrator For Weather Services Southern 32 WFOs 4 RFCs Western 24 WFOs 3 RFCs Office of Climate, Water, & Weather Services Hydrologic Services Alaska 3 WFOs 1 RFC 4 CWSUs 5 CWSUs 7 CWSUs 4 CWSUs 1 CWSU 1 WSO 2 WSOs Legend Headquarters Offices Staff Offices Program Offices al Headquarters Offices Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs) River Forecast s (RFCs) Weather Service Units (CWSUs) Weather Service Offices (WSOs) NCEP Offices Climate Services Operations and Requirements Observing Services Meteorological Services Performance and Awareness Training 12 WSOs Office of Operational Systems Field Systems Operations Radar Operations National Data Buoy Maintenance, Logistics, and Acquisition Pacific 2 WFOs 6 WSOs Office of Science & Technology Programs and Plans Meteorological Development Laboratory Systems Engineering Strategic Planning and Policy EEO/Diversity International Activities Communications Office Office of Hydrologic Development Planning, Programming & Coordination Group Hydrology Laboratory 4,900 NWS Employees 122 Weather Forecast Offices 13 River Forecast s 21 Weather Service Units 21 Weather Service Offices 2 Tsunami Warning s 9 NCEP s 6 al Headquarters
4 New NWS Organizational Structure 4
5 Operational Flow 5
6 NWS Strategic Outcome: A Weather-Ready Nation Becoming a Weather-Ready Nation is about building community resiliency in the face of increasing vulnerability to extreme weather Ready, Responsive, Resilient REQUIRES NWS TO: Fully Integrate our Field Structure: Better Forecasts and Warnings Ensure Consistent Products and Services Provide Impact-based Decision Support Services (IDSS) Deliver through Multiple and Reliable Dissemination Pathways Work with Partners to gain needed response; includes embedding NWS in Emergency Operations s Involves entire US Weather Enterprise WORKING TOGETHER to achieve far-reaching national preparedness for weather events National Weather Service 6
7 National for Environmental Protection NCEP delivers national and global weather, water, climate and space weather guidance, forecasts, warnings and analyses to help save lives and protect property 7
8 NCEP s Role in NOAA s Seamless Suite of Products and Forecast Services Observe - Process - Assimilate - Predict Products & Forecast Services Central Guidance Local Offices To Serve Diverse Customer Base e.g., Energy Officials, DHS/FEMA, Emergency Managers, Water Resource Planning, Transportation, Health organizations (CDC ) IBM Supercomputer Gaithersburg, MD NCEP Distribute Respond & Feedback Research, Development and Technology Infusion Feedback is now inherently linked to numerical models 8
9 9 Seamless Suite of Operational Numerical Guidance Systems Spanning Weather and Climate Outlook Seasons Years Forecast Uncertainty Guidance Threats Assessments Forecasts Watches Warnings & Alert Coordination Forecast Lead Time 1 Week 2 Week Months Climate Forecast System North American Ensemble Forecast System Global Ensemble Forecast System Global Forecast System Global Dust Short-Range Ensemble Land DA Wave Ensemble Days North American Mesoscale Waves Global Ocean Bays Hours Fire Wx al Hurricane Space Weather Storm Surge (HWRF & GFDL) Rapid Refresh HRRR Air Quality Minutes Dispersion (smoke) Benefits Tsunami Whole Atmosphere NMME NSWPS WRF-HYDRO
10 NCEP Reaches Out to UCACN University for Atmospheric Research Community Advisory Committee for NCEP (UCACN) Modeling Advisory Committee (UMAC) Outcome: a set of recommendations that will be used to build a strategy to evolve the NPS (NMMB Preprocessing System) over the next 5-10 years High resolution rapid refresh (HRRR) High Resolution Windows (HiRESW) Rapid Refresh (RAP) North American Mesoscale (NAM) and associated nests Short Range Ensemble Forecast System (SREF) Global Forecast System (GFS) Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) Climate Forecast System (CFS) and Reforecasts Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) GFDL al Hurricane Model (GFDL-HFM) Air Quality for Surface Ozone (CMAQ) Air Quality--Dispersion (HYSPLIT) Hydrology (HEFS,AHPS, CHPS) North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Real Time Ocean Forecast System (RTOFS) Coastal Ocean and Bays (NOS-OFS) Tropical and Extratropical Storm Surge (ETTS; PSURGE; SLOSH; ESTOFS) Global Waves (WW3) Global Wave Ensemble (GWENS) Great Lakes Waves (GLCFS) Space Weather: Solar Flare (WSA-Enlil) 10
11 National Weather Service THANK YOU!
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