Impact of the 2008 tropical cyclone season on the Baja California Peninsula

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Impact of the 2008 tropical cyclone season on the Baja California Peninsula"

Transcription

1 Impact of the 2008 tropical cyclone season on the Baja California Peninsula Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada (CICESE) Luis M. Farfán Julio August 24, 1830UTC Lowell Norbert September 10, 2130UTC October 10, 2100UTC

2 Tracks of (814) tropical cyclones:

3 Monthly distribution of tracks ( ) May Far away at the beginning and end of the season Closer to the coast in August and October June July August Julio September Lowell October Norbert November

4 I Track distributions with respect to Baja California ( ) En tierra, 26 casos 6.8 % II < 400 km, 31 casos 8.1 % Julio Lowell Norbert III km, 147 casos 38.3 % Liza (1976) IV km, 180 casos 46.9 %

5 Track distributions with respect to landfall sites over northwestern Mexico ( ): a) through the Baja California peninsula (27 cases) b) through the mainland (25 cases) a) b) JUL AUG SEP OCT 0 JUL AUG SEP OCT Most intense 1) Kiko, 1989, 184 2) Paul, 1982, 184 3) John, 2006, 177 3a) Norbert, 2008, 169 4) Henriette, 1995, 158 5) Marty, 2003, 158 Most intense 1) Olivia, 1975, 223 2) Kenna, 2002, 223 3) Lane, 2006, 205 4) Liza, 1976, 184 5) Tico, 1983, 173

6 Some remarkable features from previous seasons or single systems 1984: Genevieve, Norbert, Polo 1992: 24 systems over the basin 1976: Liza, many deaths 2001: Juliette, rainfall records

7 Tracks of (16) tropical cyclones: May-October made landfall (Julio,Lowell,Norbert) 4 in km range (Douglas,Fausto,Iselle,Karina) 6 in km range (Boris,Elida,Genevieve,Hernan,Marie,Odile)

8 Tropical Storm Julio: August 23-25

9 Geoestationary satelite (GOES) to identify damage potential Infrared channel imagery is used. Spatial and temporal resolution: 4 km, 30 min. Highest cloud tops are selected. Product is useful to determine areas where heavy precipitation developed. Advantage: process takes only a couple of minutes!

10 Tropical Storm Julio: August mm 162 mm 195 mm 155 mm 198 mm 14 mm 48 mm 118 mm Rainfall accumulation (mm) NHC official forecasts

11 Tropical Storm Julio: August % % % 99.7% % 7.7 % 19.7 % 46.5 % % respect to annual climatology NHC official forecasts

12 Tropical Storm Lowell: September 9-11

13 Satellite imagery composite September 9-11, 2008

14 Composites from satellite imagery to identify potential of deep convection (rainfall reports from CNA stations) Day 1, Lowell recurves toward NW Mexico (135 mm) (40 mm) (96 mm) Day 2, landfall over southern Baja Calif. Day 3, development over southern gulf Day 2: Sep/10-11 (145 mm) (90 mm) (97 mm) (60 mm) Day 1: Sep/09-10 Day 3: Sep/11-12

15

16 NHC official forecasts 21 forecasts were issued. First landfall: Sunday Sep/7/09PM, 4.1 days in advance. Before 12 hours O 24 hours X 48 hours 72 hours Sep/11/09UTC Large cities Tropical Storm Lowell: Sep 7-11

17 Hurricane Norbert: October 4-12

18 Satellite imagery composite October 9-11, 2008

19 Satellite imagery composite October 9-11, 2008 (110 mm) (125 mm) (86 mm) (121 mm) (34 mm) (121 mm) (182 mm) (110 mm) (27 mm) (16 mm) (6 mm)

20

21 05/ Oct 06/ Oct 07/ Oct 08/ Oct

22 05/ Oct 06/ Oct 07/ Oct 08/ Oct 09/ Oct 10/ Oct 11/ Oct 12/ Oct

23 Assisting local emergency managers: October 10-11, 2008 La Paz, Baja California Sur Tropical Cyclone Norbert Norbert s track, October 3-12 Military, power plant and health service representatives With the City Major.

24 Federal gov. Governor Emergency managers meeting (state) With director of state managers, Prof. José Gajón de la Toba Emergency managers meeting (county) October 23, 2008

25

26 NHC official forecasts Before 12 hours O 24 hours X 48 hours 72 hours Track 35 forecasts were issued First at landfall: Monday Oct/6/09PM, 5.5 days in Oct/11/1630UTC Large cities Hurricane Norbert: October 7-12

27 Henriette 2007 John 2006 Javier 2004 Marty 2003 Ignacio 2003 Juliette 2001 Track Forecasts: 72 hours X 48 hours O 24 hours 12 hours before landfall

28 Weather observations network Government (CNA + SMN) Major Airports (METAR) Upper-air sounding (La Paz) Radar (Cabo San Lucas) CICESE (in my dreams )

29 Digital rain gauge next to a government (CNA) weather station September 19 Record rainfall and temperature at 10-min intervals (HOBO data logger) Rain-gauge accumulations ~10-20% above observer s report San Bartolo, 385 m, annual mean 342 mm July/8 T.S. Julio (99 mm, CNA=80) Oct/25 Total accumulation= 265 mm July 7

30 CNA CIBNOR CICESE Airport

31 CONACYT-funded project Installation of surface weather stations in southern Baja California. Temperature, humidity, pressure, radiation and wind reports transmitted via Internet. Saturday, October 11 (Norbert s landfall) Temp max 28.7 C, min 24.0 C. Total rainfall 9.9 mm Wind speed maximum 53 km/h, 1650UTC, SSE Pressure minimum mb, 1930UTC.

32 Saturday, October 25, 2008 Installed weather station in Cabo San Lucas Located on a roof at 36 m above sea level Close to a weather radar and surface station Data to be shared by CICESE and hotel Pacific Ocean Pueblo Bonito Pacifica Holistic Retreat & Spa Radar, 500 m

33 Tropical Meteorology Course Universidad de Buenos Aires July 15 August 15, 2007 Instructor: Graciela B. Raga Participants: UNAM (Zavala, Romero, Pozo) CICESE (Farfán)

34 Tropical Meteorology Workshop La Paz, Baja California Sur March 10-14, 2008

35 Training workshop Security managers of hotels and resorts from Los Cabos May 14, 2008.

Lecture #18 (April 12, 2010, Monday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 3. Hurricane Floyd September 15, 1999

Lecture #18 (April 12, 2010, Monday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 3. Hurricane Floyd September 15, 1999 Lecture #18 (April 12, 2010, Monday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 3 Hurricane Floyd September 15, 1999 Tropical Cyclone Names Names are given to distinguish storms and for ease of communication. Names

More information

Homework 2: Hurricane Katrina. Part 1. Hurricane Katrina, August 28, 2005 Satellite Imagery

Homework 2: Hurricane Katrina. Part 1. Hurricane Katrina, August 28, 2005 Satellite Imagery Metr 302 Homework 2 Fall 2014 Meteorology 302 Fall 2014 Name Homework 2: Hurricane Katrina 100 points total Distributed Thursday 30 October 2014; Due Thursday 13 November 2014 Answer all questions in complete

More information

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2014 PRECIPITATION The total amount of rainfall recorded at Reina Beatrix International Airport for the year 2014 was 309.2 mm. This is 34.4 % below normal ( Figure 1 ). During

More information

P2.4 THE IMPACT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE REMNANTS ON THE RAINFALL OF THE NORTH AMERICAN SOUTHWEST REGION

P2.4 THE IMPACT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE REMNANTS ON THE RAINFALL OF THE NORTH AMERICAN SOUTHWEST REGION P2.4 THE IMPACT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE REMNANTS ON THE RAINFALL OF THE NORTH AMERICAN SOUTHWEST REGION by Elizabeth A. Ritchie 1 and David Szenasi University of New Mexico 1. INTRODUCTION New Mexico has a

More information

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION

ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION ARUBA CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY 2017 PRECIPITATION The total amount of rainfall recorded at Reina Beatrix International Airport for the year 2017 was 391.0 mm. This is 17.1 % below normal ( Figure 1 ). During

More information

Border Climate Summary

Border Climate Summary Resumen del Clima de la Frontera Issued: January 15, 2009 An overview of Hurricane Norbert landfall in Baja California By Luis M. Farfán, CICESE, La Paz, Baja California Sur, Mexico Sixteen tropical cyclones

More information

WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA

WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Sunday, June 17 until Monday, June 25, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Sunday, June 17, 2012; 3:00 pm RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: An upper level trough

More information

High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction for High Impact and Extreme Weather Events in 2014 across Southern California

High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction for High Impact and Extreme Weather Events in 2014 across Southern California High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction for High Impact and Extreme Weather Events in 2014 across Southern California Alex Tardy Alexander.Tardy@noaa.gov NWS San Diego Warning Coordination Meteorologist

More information

Saturday, October 6, :30 a.m. EDT

Saturday, October 6, :30 a.m. EDT Saturday, October 6, 2018 8:30 a.m. EDT Significant Activity Oct 5-6 Significant Events: None Tropical Activity: Atlantic Tropical Storm Leslie; Disturbance 1 (High: 90%) Eastern Pacific Hurricane Sergio

More information

Government of Sultanate of Oman Public Authority of Civil Aviation Directorate General of Meteorology. National Report To

Government of Sultanate of Oman Public Authority of Civil Aviation Directorate General of Meteorology. National Report To Government of Sultanate of Oman Public Authority of Civil Aviation Directorate General of Meteorology National Report To Panel on Tropical Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal And Arabian Sea 43rd Session, India

More information

Outlook 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Kevin Lipton, Ingrid Amberger National Weather Service Albany, New York

Outlook 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Kevin Lipton, Ingrid Amberger National Weather Service Albany, New York Outlook 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Kevin Lipton, Ingrid Amberger National Weather Service Albany, New York Summary 2007 Hurricane Season Two hurricanes made landfall in the Atlantic Basin at category-5

More information

WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA

WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Sunday, July 1 until Monday, July 9, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Sunday, July 1, 2012 3:00 pm RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: The features of interest

More information

Tropical Update. 5 PM EDT Sunday, September 10, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, Tropical Wave (60%)

Tropical Update. 5 PM EDT Sunday, September 10, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, Tropical Wave (60%) Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Sunday, September 10, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, Tropical Wave (60%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational

More information

Heavy Rain/Flooding September 8-10 Associated with Tropical Storm Etau

Heavy Rain/Flooding September 8-10 Associated with Tropical Storm Etau Heavy Rain/Flooding September 8-10 Associated with Tropical Storm Etau Wx Files Vol.32 September 24, 2015 Tropical Storm Etau made landfall over the Chita Peninsula in Aichi just after 10:00 AM on September

More information

Possible Applications of Deep Neural Networks in Climate and Weather. David M. Hall Assistant Research Professor Dept. Computer Science, CU Boulder

Possible Applications of Deep Neural Networks in Climate and Weather. David M. Hall Assistant Research Professor Dept. Computer Science, CU Boulder Possible Applications of Deep Neural Networks in Climate and Weather David M. Hall Assistant Research Professor Dept. Computer Science, CU Boulder Quick overview of climate and weather models Weather models

More information

Tropical Waves. John Cangialosi and Lixion Avila National Hurricane Center. WMO Region IV Tropical Cyclone Workshop

Tropical Waves. John Cangialosi and Lixion Avila National Hurricane Center. WMO Region IV Tropical Cyclone Workshop Tropical Waves John Cangialosi and Lixion Avila National Hurricane Center WMO Region IV Tropical Cyclone Workshop Outline Basic definition Schematic diagrams/interactions Operational products/forecasts

More information

Chapter 12: Meteorology

Chapter 12: Meteorology Chapter 12: Meteorology Section 1: The Causes of Weather 1. Compare and contrast weather and climate. 2. Analyze how imbalances in the heating of Earth s surface create weather. 3. Describe how and where

More information

Lessons Learned from Hurricane Harvey and Irma

Lessons Learned from Hurricane Harvey and Irma EOL Visit to NSF 3 March 2016 Lessons Learned from Hurricane Harvey and Irma Wen-Chau Lee National Center for Atmospheric Research 23 November 2017 Outline: Meteorological elements of the active 2017 Atlantic

More information

COUNTRY REPORT. Jakarta. July, th National Directorate of Meteorology and Geophysics of Timor-Leste (DNMG)

COUNTRY REPORT. Jakarta. July, th National Directorate of Meteorology and Geophysics of Timor-Leste (DNMG) The Southeastern Asia-Oceania Flash Flood COUNTRY REPORT Jakarta. July, 10-12 th 2017 National Directorate of Meteorology and Geophysics of Timor-Leste (DNMG) Carla Feritas and Crisostimo Lobato Democratic

More information

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences San Francisco State University Fall 2018 ERTH 360. Homework #1 Answer Sheet (Graphics Online) 100 points

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences San Francisco State University Fall 2018 ERTH 360. Homework #1 Answer Sheet (Graphics Online) 100 points Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Name San Francisco State University Fall 2018 ERTH 360 Homework #1 Answer Sheet (Graphics Online) 100 points (Due Beginning of Class, Thursday 20 September 2018)

More information

WEATHER SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS Prepared by the staff of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service

WEATHER SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS Prepared by the staff of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service WEATHER SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE CAYMAN ISLANDS 2008 Prepared by the staff of the Cayman Islands National Weather Service TROPICAL STORM DOLLY Formed 194 miles west of Grand Cayman July 19 th. The tropical

More information

Tropical Update. 5 PM EDT Sunday, October 7, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, & Invest 92L (30%)

Tropical Update. 5 PM EDT Sunday, October 7, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, & Invest 92L (30%) Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Sunday, October 7, 2018 Tropical Storm Michael, Tropical Storm Leslie, & Invest 92L (30%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided

More information

Reprint 850. Within the Eye of Typhoon Nuri in Hong Kong in C.P. Wong & P.W. Chan

Reprint 850. Within the Eye of Typhoon Nuri in Hong Kong in C.P. Wong & P.W. Chan Reprint 850 Remote Sensing Observations of the Subsidence Zone Within the Eye of Typhoon Nuri in Hong Kong in 2008 C.P. Wong & P.W. Chan 8 th International Symposium on Tropospheric Profiling: Integration

More information

DEPARTMENT OF EARTH & CLIMATE SCIENCES Name SAN FRANCISCO STATE UNIVERSITY Nov 29, ERTH 360 Test #2 200 pts

DEPARTMENT OF EARTH & CLIMATE SCIENCES Name SAN FRANCISCO STATE UNIVERSITY Nov 29, ERTH 360 Test #2 200 pts DEPARTMENT OF EARTH & CLIMATE SCIENCES Name SAN FRANCISCO STATE UNIVERSITY Nov 29, 2018 ERTH 360 Test #2 200 pts Each question is worth 4 points. Indicate your BEST CHOICE for each question on the Scantron

More information

Final Report. COMET Partner's Project. University of Texas at San Antonio

Final Report. COMET Partner's Project. University of Texas at San Antonio Final Report COMET Partner's Project University: Name of University Researcher Preparing Report: University of Texas at San Antonio Dr. Hongjie Xie National Weather Service Office: Name of National Weather

More information

The 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. What is New and What to Expect. Mark Chambers President & CEO ImpactWeather, Inc.

The 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. What is New and What to Expect. Mark Chambers President & CEO ImpactWeather, Inc. The 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season What is New and What to Expect Mark Chambers President & CEO ImpactWeather, Inc. Hurricane Climatology for the Gulf of Mexico A Look back at 2013 The outlook for this

More information

WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA

WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Friday, July 6 until Monday, July 9, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Friday, July 6, 2012; 9:00 am RFrutos SYNOPSIS: An active tropical wave (TW) just west of

More information

Monday, October 8, :30 a.m. EDT

Monday, October 8, :30 a.m. EDT Monday, October 8, 2018 8:30 a.m. EDT Significant Activity Oct 7-8 Significant Events: Tropical Storm Michael Preparation Tropical Activity: Atlantic Tropical Storm Leslie; Tropical Storm Michael; Disturbance

More information

USE OF TOTAL COLUMN WATER VAPOR MEASUREMENTS FOR FORECASTS OF THE NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON PRECIPITATION

USE OF TOTAL COLUMN WATER VAPOR MEASUREMENTS FOR FORECASTS OF THE NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON PRECIPITATION USE OF TOTAL COLUMN WATER VAPOR MEASUREMENTS FOR FORECASTS OF THE NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON PRECIPITATION Presented by Yolande Serra University of Arizona Collaborators / Support Ave Arellano (UA Faculty)

More information

PRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. June RMS Event Response

PRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. June RMS Event Response PRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK June 2014 - RMS Event Response 2014 SEASON OUTLOOK The 2013 North Atlantic hurricane season saw the fewest hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin

More information

Remote Sensing of Precipitation

Remote Sensing of Precipitation Lecture Notes Prepared by Prof. J. Francis Spring 2003 Remote Sensing of Precipitation Primary reference: Chapter 9 of KVH I. Motivation -- why do we need to measure precipitation with remote sensing instruments?

More information

An Objective Algorithm for the Identification of Convective Tropical Cloud Clusters in Geostationary Infrared Imagery. Why?

An Objective Algorithm for the Identification of Convective Tropical Cloud Clusters in Geostationary Infrared Imagery. Why? An Objective Algorithm for the Identification of Convective Tropical Cloud Clusters in Geostationary Infrared Imagery By Chip Helms Faculty Advisor: Dr. Chris Hennon Why? Create a database for the tropical

More information

2006 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SUMMARY. Weather Research Center Houston, Texas

2006 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SUMMARY. Weather Research Center Houston, Texas 2006 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SUMMARY Weather Research Center Houston, Texas Weather Research Center 5104 Caroline Houston, Texas 77004 Phone: 713-529-3076 Fax: 713-528-3538 E-mail: wrc@wxresearch.org 2006 Atlantic

More information

16D.3 EYEWALL LIGHTNING OUTBREAKS AND TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY CHANGE

16D.3 EYEWALL LIGHTNING OUTBREAKS AND TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY CHANGE 16D.3 EYEWALL LIGHTNING OUTBREAKS AND TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY CHANGE Nicholas W. S. Demetriades and Ronald L. Holle Vaisala Inc., Tucson, Arizona, USA Steven Businger University of Hawaii Richard D.

More information

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences San Francisco State University Fall 2016 ERTH 360. Homework #1 Answer Sheet (Graphics Online) 100 points

Department of Earth & Climate Sciences San Francisco State University Fall 2016 ERTH 360. Homework #1 Answer Sheet (Graphics Online) 100 points Department of Earth & Climate Sciences Name San Francisco State University Fall 2016 ERTH 360 Homework #1 Answer Sheet (Graphics Online) 100 points (Due Beginning of Class, Thursday 22 September 2016)

More information

GC Briefing. Weather Sentinel Tropical Storm Michael. Status at 8 AM EDT (12 UTC) Today (NHC) Discussion. October 11, 2018

GC Briefing. Weather Sentinel Tropical Storm Michael. Status at 8 AM EDT (12 UTC) Today (NHC) Discussion. October 11, 2018 GC Briefing Weather Sentinel Tropical Storm Michael October 11, 2018 After making landfall as a high-end category-4 hurricane on the Florida Panhandle, Michael weakened to tropical storm status early this

More information

Outline of 4 Lectures

Outline of 4 Lectures Outline of 4 Lectures 1. Sept. 17, 2008: TC best track definition and datasets, global distribution of TCs; Review of history of meteorological satellites, introducing different orbits, scanning patterns,

More information

Preliminary Assessment of 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Phil Klotzbach. Department of Atmospheric Science. Phil Klotzbach

Preliminary Assessment of 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Phil Klotzbach. Department of Atmospheric Science. Phil Klotzbach Atlantic Basin Basin Tropical Seasonal Cyclone Hurricane Climatology Prediction and Preliminary Assessment of 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Phil Klotzbach Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado Phil

More information

August Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2012

August Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2012 August Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2012 Issued: 6 th August 2012 by Professor Mark Saunders and Dr Adam Lea Dept. of Space and Climate Physics, UCL (University College London), UK

More information

ovember 2008 Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service

ovember 2008 Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service ovember 2008 Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service The Atlantic Hurricane Season Summary 2008 Special Focus on Antigua and Barbuda The Season in Brief Sixteen (16) named storms formed in the Atlantic

More information

An upper to mid level circulation (Low) in the NW Caribbean is

An upper to mid level circulation (Low) in the NW Caribbean is WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Monday-Monday, Oct. 1 October 8, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Monday, Oct 1, 2012 6:00 am RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: An upper to mid level circulation

More information

ESCI 1010 Lab 7 Hurricanes (AKA: Typhoons, Cyclones)

ESCI 1010 Lab 7 Hurricanes (AKA: Typhoons, Cyclones) ESCI 1010 Lab 7 Hurricanes (AKA: Typhoons, Cyclones) Before Lab: Review pages 328-361 in your Weather and Climate textbook. Please pay special attention to the sections entitled: Hurricanes around the

More information

Hurricane Floyd Symposium. Satellite Precipitation as a Tool to Reanalyze Hurricane Floyd and Forecast Probabilities of Extreme Rainfall

Hurricane Floyd Symposium. Satellite Precipitation as a Tool to Reanalyze Hurricane Floyd and Forecast Probabilities of Extreme Rainfall Sept. 18, 2009 Hurricane Floyd Symposium Scott Curtis, East Carolina Universtiy Satellite Precipitation as a Tool to Reanalyze Hurricane Floyd and Forecast Probabilities of Extreme Rainfall What was the

More information

Tropical Update. 5 AM EDT Wednesday, September 6, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Storm Katia

Tropical Update. 5 AM EDT Wednesday, September 6, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Storm Katia Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Wednesday, September 6, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Storm Katia This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided

More information

Indiana County Flash Flood of 22 June 2017

Indiana County Flash Flood of 22 June 2017 Indiana County Flash Flood of 22 June 2017 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview Slow moving thunderstorms brought 3 to 4 inches of rainfall to Indiana County, PA during

More information

WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA

WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA WEEKEND WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Friday, July 13 until Monday, July 16, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Friday, June 13, 2012, 9:00 am RFrutos SYNOPSIS: A weak pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean

More information

11/19/14. Chapter 11: Hurricanes. The Atmosphere: An Introduction to Meteorology, 12 th. Lutgens Tarbuck

11/19/14. Chapter 11: Hurricanes. The Atmosphere: An Introduction to Meteorology, 12 th. Lutgens Tarbuck Chapter 11: Hurricanes The Atmosphere: An Introduction to Meteorology, 12 th Lutgens Tarbuck Lectures by: Heather Gallacher, Cleveland State University! Hurricanes: " Hurricanes are intense centers of

More information

TXWARN Tabletop Exercise: Hurricane Helen

TXWARN Tabletop Exercise: Hurricane Helen TXWARN Tabletop Exercise: Hurricane Helen July 31, 2015 Administrative Details In-studio participants and remote participants Situation manual Evaluations Training hours 1 In Studio: Welcome and Introductions

More information

Tropical Update. 5 AM EDT Tuesday, September 12, 2017 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irma, Hurricane Jose, & Tropical Wave (10%)

Tropical Update. 5 AM EDT Tuesday, September 12, 2017 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irma, Hurricane Jose, & Tropical Wave (10%) Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Tuesday, September 12, 2017 Post-Tropical Cyclone Irma, Hurricane Jose, & Tropical Wave (10%) This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided

More information

ERTH 365 Homework #2: Hurricane Harvey. 100 points

ERTH 365 Homework #2: Hurricane Harvey. 100 points ERTH 365 Homework #2: Hurricane Harvey 100 points Due by 6pm, Tuesday 30 October 2018, ELECTRONIC SUBMISSON BY EMAIL ONLY BY 6PM (send to klevey@sfsu.edu) (acceptable formats: MS Word, Google Doc, plain

More information

Hurricane Wilma Post Storm Data Acquisition Estimated Peak Wind Analysis and Storm Tide Data. December 27, 2005

Hurricane Wilma Post Storm Data Acquisition Estimated Peak Wind Analysis and Storm Tide Data. December 27, 2005 Hurricane Wilma Post Storm Data Acquisition Estimated Peak Wind Analysis and Storm Tide Data December 27, 2005 Hurricane Wilma was the sixth major hurricane of the record-breaking 2005 Atlantic hurricane

More information

Local Ctimatotogical Data Summary White Hall, Illinois

Local Ctimatotogical Data Summary White Hall, Illinois SWS Miscellaneous Publication 98-5 STATE OF ILLINOIS DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY AND NATURAL RESOURCES Local Ctimatotogical Data Summary White Hall, Illinois 1901-1990 by Audrey A. Bryan and Wayne Armstrong Illinois

More information

2013 Summer Weather Outlook. Temperatures, Precipitation, Drought, Hurricanes and why we care

2013 Summer Weather Outlook. Temperatures, Precipitation, Drought, Hurricanes and why we care 2013 Summer Weather Outlook Temperatures, Precipitation, Drought, Hurricanes and why we care Role of the ERCOT Meteorologist Forecasts Develop temperature input for hourly load forecasts (next day, days

More information

CW3E Atmospheric River Summary

CW3E Atmospheric River Summary CW3E Atmospheric River Summary A strong AR made landfall over southern California this week - The atmospheric river made initial landfall over Big Sur around 1800 UTC Wednesday, 20 March 2018 - AR conditions

More information

The Climate of Marshall County

The Climate of Marshall County The Climate of Marshall County Marshall County is part of the Crosstimbers. This region is a transition region from the Central Great Plains to the more irregular terrain of southeastern Oklahoma. Average

More information

The Climate of Bryan County

The Climate of Bryan County The Climate of Bryan County Bryan County is part of the Crosstimbers throughout most of the county. The extreme eastern portions of Bryan County are part of the Cypress Swamp and Forest. Average annual

More information

Talk Overview. Concepts. Climatology. Monitoring. Applications

Talk Overview. Concepts. Climatology. Monitoring. Applications Atmospheric Rivers Talk Overview Concepts Climatology Monitoring Applications Satellite View Where is the storm? Where is the impact? Atmospheric Rivers Plume or fire hose of tropical moisture Heavy precipitation

More information

National Hurricane Center Products. Jack Beven National Hurricane Center

National Hurricane Center Products. Jack Beven National Hurricane Center National Hurricane Center Products Jack Beven National Hurricane Center Florida Governor s Hurricane Conference 11 May 2014 NHC Tropical Cyclone Products NHC provides the big picture that complements and

More information

WEEKLY OUTLOOK Valid: June 24-July 1, 2013

WEEKLY OUTLOOK Valid: June 24-July 1, 2013 WEEKLY OUTLOOK Valid: June 24-July 1, 2013 Issue: 6:00 am Tuesday, June 24, 2013 SYNOPSIS for 6:00am Tuesday, June 24, 2013 RESIDUAL INSTABILITY IN THE MOIST EASTERLY AIRFLOW INDUCED BY A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH

More information

A surge in the easterlies and an influx of moisture and instability is inducing

A surge in the easterlies and an influx of moisture and instability is inducing WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK BELIZE, CENTRAL AMERICA PERIOD: Monday-Monday, July 16-23, 2012 DATE ISSUED: Monday, July 16, 2012 6:00 am RFrutos EcoSolutions & Services SYNOPSIS: A number of features of interest

More information

AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Issued: April 10, 2018 by Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Director (Ag), Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service (ABMS) The *AnuMS (Antigua Met

More information

Inner core dynamics: Eyewall Replacement and hot towers

Inner core dynamics: Eyewall Replacement and hot towers Inner core dynamics: Eyewall Replacement and hot towers FIU Undergraduate Hurricane Internship Lecture 4 8/13/2012 Why inner core dynamics is important? Current TC intensity and structure forecasts contain

More information

AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season : August 12, 2018 by Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Director (Ag), Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service (ABMS) The *AnuMS (Antigua Met Service) is

More information

Weekend Outlook Belize, Central America Valid for: Friday until Monday, May 25-28, 2012

Weekend Outlook Belize, Central America Valid for: Friday until Monday, May 25-28, 2012 Weekend Outlook Belize, Central America Valid for: Friday until Monday, May 25-28, 2012 RFrutos Synopsis: Conditions this past week improved by Wednesday as a surface low and trough producing the showery

More information

COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 4-17, 2015

COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 4-17, 2015 COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY FROM AUGUST 4-17, 2015 We expect that the next two weeks will be characterized by below-average amounts (

More information

Alluvial Fan Flooding Workshop. Barry Pierce National Weather Service, Las Vegas

Alluvial Fan Flooding Workshop. Barry Pierce National Weather Service, Las Vegas Alluvial Fan Flooding Workshop Barry Pierce National Weather Service, Las Vegas Death Valley NP, August 15, 2004 Outline National Weather Service Alluvial Fan/Flash Flooding Weather Regimes Conducive For

More information

Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 1. August 1992

Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 1. August 1992 Lecture #16 (April 5, 2010, Monday) Tropical Storms & Hurricanes Part 1 August 1992 Tracks of rain accumulation & clouds from Hurricane Rita September 2005 Tropical Cyclones Around the Globe Why none here?

More information

NHC Ocean Vector Winds Update

NHC Ocean Vector Winds Update NHC Ocean Vector Winds Update Michael J. Brennan NOAA/NWS/NCEP National Hurricane Center International Ocean Vector Winds Science Team Meeting Portland, Oregon, 20 May 2015 Current Status NHC is currently

More information

The Climate of Pontotoc County

The Climate of Pontotoc County The Climate of Pontotoc County Pontotoc County is part of the Crosstimbers. This region is a transition region from the Central Great Plains to the more irregular terrain of southeast Oklahoma. Average

More information

Tropical Update. 5 AM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia

Tropical Update. 5 AM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia Tropical Update 5 AM EDT Thursday, September 7, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Hurricane Jose, and Hurricane Katia This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is provided for informational

More information

Southern California Storm of July 2015

Southern California Storm of July 2015 Southern California Storm of 18-20 July 2015 Discussion Former Hurricane Dolores moved north through the northeast Pacific along the Mexican and California coasts The tropical air mass associated with

More information

Storm Summary for Hurricane Jose

Storm Summary for Hurricane Jose Storm Summary for Hurricane Jose Tuesday, September 19, 2017 at 11 AM EDT (Output from Hurrevac, based on National Hurricane Center Forecast Advisory #57) Jose is currently a Category 1 hurricane on the

More information

Recent ET/STC/TT near Iberian Peninsula and Canary Islands

Recent ET/STC/TT near Iberian Peninsula and Canary Islands Recent ET/STC/TT near Iberian Peninsula and Canary Islands ET, Extratropical Transition STC, SubTropical Cyclogenesis TT, Tropical Transition Francisco Martín and Fermín Elizaga AEMet francisco.martín@inm.es

More information

Tuesday, September 13, 16

Tuesday, September 13, 16 Weather Weather State Objectives 4.c, 4.d, 4.h. Discussion What are some ways in which weather affects your everyday life? Discussion What are some ways in which weather affects your everyday life? What

More information

Convective-scale NWP for Singapore

Convective-scale NWP for Singapore Convective-scale NWP for Singapore Hans Huang and the weather modelling and prediction section MSS, Singapore Dale Barker and the SINGV team Met Office, Exeter, UK ECMWF Symposium on Dynamical Meteorology

More information

The Climate of Kiowa County

The Climate of Kiowa County The Climate of Kiowa County Kiowa County is part of the Central Great Plains, encompassing some of the best agricultural land in Oklahoma. Average annual precipitation ranges from about 24 inches in northwestern

More information

The Climate of Payne County

The Climate of Payne County The Climate of Payne County Payne County is part of the Central Great Plains in the west, encompassing some of the best agricultural land in Oklahoma. Payne County is also part of the Crosstimbers in the

More information

Jackson County 2013 Weather Data

Jackson County 2013 Weather Data Jackson County 2013 Weather Data 61 Years of Weather Data Recorded at the UF/IFAS Marianna North Florida Research and Education Center Doug Mayo Jackson County Extension Director 1952-2008 Rainfall Data

More information

A LOOK AT TROPICAL STORM GASTON FLOODING IN VIRGINIA

A LOOK AT TROPICAL STORM GASTON FLOODING IN VIRGINIA J12B.4 A LOOK AT TROPICAL STORM GASTON FLOODING IN VIRGINIA John Billet* and Keith Lynch NOAA/NWS Wakefield, VA 1. INTRODUCTION Hurricane Gaston made landfall north of Charleston, SC on Sunday morning

More information

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter

Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Verification of the Seasonal Forecast for the 2005/06 Winter Shingo Yamada Tokyo Climate Center Japan Meteorological Agency 2006/11/02 7 th Joint Meeting on EAWM Contents 1. Verification of the Seasonal

More information

Page 1 of 5 Home research global climate enso effects Research Effects of El Niño on world weather Precipitation Temperature Tropical Cyclones El Niño affects the weather in large parts of the world. The

More information

Global Climate Change and Human Health Cycloning out of Control: Climate Change Impacts on Natural Disasters; Cyclones

Global Climate Change and Human Health Cycloning out of Control: Climate Change Impacts on Natural Disasters; Cyclones INSTRUCTOR BACKGROUND Cyclones are one of the world s most devastating natural disasters causing billions of dollars in damages to homes, building and infrastructure annually. The United Nations estimates

More information

Daily Operations Briefing. Sunday, October 22, :30 a.m. EDT

Daily Operations Briefing. Sunday, October 22, :30 a.m. EDT Daily Operations Briefing Sunday, October 22, 2017 8:30 a.m. EDT Significant Activity Oct 21-22 Significant Events: Response and recovery Harvey, Irma, Maria; CA Wildfires Tropical Activity: Atlantic No

More information

Project CyMISS Tropical Cyclone Measurements from the ISS

Project CyMISS Tropical Cyclone Measurements from the ISS Project CyMISS Tropical Cyclone Measurements from the ISS A.T. Stair, Paul Joss, Andrew LePage, John DeVore and Paul Pauliukonis And Joe Kristl, SDL/USU Visidyne, Inc (ats@visidyne.com) 1 Acronyms and

More information

The Climate of Seminole County

The Climate of Seminole County The Climate of Seminole County Seminole County is part of the Crosstimbers. This region is a transition region from the Central Great Plains to the more irregular terrain of southeastern Oklahoma. Average

More information

Predecessor Rain Events: A Literature Review. By: Tony Viramontez

Predecessor Rain Events: A Literature Review. By: Tony Viramontez Predecessor Rain Events: A Literature Review By: Tony Viramontez Introduction Predecessor Rain Event (PRE): meso- and subsynopticscale regions of high-impact heavy rainfall that occur well in advance of

More information

7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency

7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency Summary of the 2016 Asian Summer Monsoon 7 December 2016 Tokyo Climate Center, Japan Meteorological Agency This report summarizes the characteristics of the surface climate and atmospheric/oceanographic

More information

Tropical Update. 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen

Tropical Update. 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen Tropical Update 5 PM EDT Tuesday, September 5, 2017 Hurricane Irma, Tropical Storm Jose, and Tropical Depression Thirteen This update is intended for government and emergency response officials, and is

More information

Tropical cyclone simulations and predictions with GFDL s prototype global cloud resolving model

Tropical cyclone simulations and predictions with GFDL s prototype global cloud resolving model Tropical cyclone simulations and predictions with GFDL s prototype global cloud resolving model S.-J. Lin and GFDL model development teams NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Workshop on High-Resolution

More information

Tonga Country Report

Tonga Country Report Tonga Country Report Tonga Meteorological Services Ph. (676)35355 email: metstaff@met.gov.to Joint Meeting of RA II WIGOS Project and RA V TT-SU Jakarta, Indonesia / 11 October 2018 BMKG Headquarter Outline

More information

A Hurricane Outlook for the 21st Century.

A Hurricane Outlook for the 21st Century. A Hurricane Outlook for the 21st Century. Hugh Willoughby Florida International University Cat Winds Effects One 74-95 mph No real damage to building structures. Two Three Four Five 96-110 mph 111-130

More information

Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content

Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content Color Plates Pacific Storm Track at Different Horizontal Resolutions Snap-shot of Column Liquid Water Content Fig. 2.8 A snapshot of the cyclone frontal-system by a nonhydrostatic model run with two very

More information

The Properties of Convective Clouds Over the Western Pacific and Their Relationship to the Environment of Tropical Cyclones

The Properties of Convective Clouds Over the Western Pacific and Their Relationship to the Environment of Tropical Cyclones The Properties of Convective Clouds Over the Western Pacific and Their Relationship to the Environment of Tropical Cyclones Principal Investigator: Dr. Zhaoxia Pu Department of Meteorology, University

More information

Add NOAA nowcoast Layers to Maps

Add NOAA nowcoast Layers to Maps WebEOC Maps Add-on Quick Reference Guide Add NOAA nowcoast Layers to Maps Overview With Maps Add-on, you can configure an unlimited number of map layers. These layers allow you to control the data you

More information

AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast AnuMS 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Issued: May 10, 2018 by Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Director (Ag), Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service (ABMS) The *AnuMS (Antigua Met

More information

1st Annual Southwest Ohio Snow Conference April 8, 2010 Abner F. Johnson, Office of Maintenance - RWIS Coordinator

1st Annual Southwest Ohio Snow Conference April 8, 2010 Abner F. Johnson, Office of Maintenance - RWIS Coordinator 1st Annual Southwest Ohio Snow Conference April 8, 2010 Abner F. Johnson, Office of Maintenance - RWIS Coordinator The Ohio Department of Transportation ODOT has approximately 5500 full-time employees

More information

Covered Area Rainfall Event (5-8 October 2017) Tropical Storm Nate Excess Rainfall

Covered Area Rainfall Event (5-8 October 2017) Tropical Storm Nate Excess Rainfall Covered Area Rainfall Event (5-8 October 2017) Tropical Storm Nate Excess Rainfall Event Briefing Nicaragua 16 October 2017 Registered Office: CCRIF SPC c/o Sagicor Insurance Managers Ltd., 198 North Church

More information

Are You Ready For Hurricane Season? 2018 Hurricane Talk B Y : S T O R M T E A M 8 M E T E O R O L O G I S T J U L I E P H I L L I P S

Are You Ready For Hurricane Season? 2018 Hurricane Talk B Y : S T O R M T E A M 8 M E T E O R O L O G I S T J U L I E P H I L L I P S Are You Ready For Hurricane Season? 2018 Hurricane Talk B Y : S T O R M T E A M 8 M E T E O R O L O G I S T J U L I E P H I L L I P S About Me I am Currently a Weekday Meteorologist at WFLA Channel 8.

More information

CASE STUDY: Tropical Cyclone Monica, April 2006

CASE STUDY: Tropical Cyclone Monica, April 2006 CASE STUDY: Tropical Cyclone Monica, April 2006 By Mr Jeff Callaghan Retired Senior Severe Weather Forecaster, Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane The track of tropical cyclone Monica (Figure 1) took it from

More information

P2.14 CLOUD TO GROUND FLASHES IN MEXICO AND ADJACENT OCEANIC AREAS: A PRELIMINARY STUDY USING DATA FROM THE WWLL NETWORK

P2.14 CLOUD TO GROUND FLASHES IN MEXICO AND ADJACENT OCEANIC AREAS: A PRELIMINARY STUDY USING DATA FROM THE WWLL NETWORK P2.14 CLOUD TO GROUND FLASHES IN MEXICO AND ADJACENT OCEANIC AREAS: A PRELIMINARY STUDY USING DATA FROM THE WWLL NETWORK G.B. Raga and Olivia Rodríguez* Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, UNAM 1. INTRODUCTION

More information