Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook August 17, 2017

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1 Midwest/Great Plains Climate-Drought Outlook August 17, 2017 Brian Fuchs National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln School of Natural Resources

2 General Information Providing climate services to the Central Region Collaboration Activity Between: NOAA NCEI/NWS/OAR/NIDIS/CPC USDA Climate Hubs American Association of State Climatologists Midwest and High Plains Regional Climate Centers National Drought Mitigation Center Next Regular Climate/Drought Outlook Webinar September 21, 2017 (1 PM CST) Dennis Todey, USDA Midwest Climate Hub Access to Future Climate Webinars and Related Information Access to Past Climate Webinars mrcc.isws.illinois.edu/multimedia/webinars.jsp

3 Agenda Current/Recent Past Conditions Regional Impacts General Agricultural Update on Northern Great Plains Drought Outlooks Questions

4 Current Conditions Hail in Otero County, CO Photos courtesy of Becky Bolinger.

5 Temperature departures over the last 30 Days

6 Precipitation over the last 30 Days

7 July 2017 Climatology from NCEI

8 Quick Drought Response Index (QuickDRI)

9 Evaporative Stress Index (ESI)

10 Precipitation over the last 90 Days

11 Calendar Year Precipitation

12 May to July Climate

13 Regional Impacts Hail in Tripp County, SD on August 7, Photo courtesy of R. Odenbach

14 Severe Weather Baseball Size Hail and flooding in Custer County, NE on August 13 Flash flooding and high winds were also widespread with this storm event

15 Severe Weather Flash flooding and high winds in Greeley, CO on 8/9 Flash flooding and large hail in central Nebraska on 8/15 Up to 2 feet of hail piled up in Evan, CO in minutes on 8/9

16 Missouri River Basin

17 28-Day Average Streamflow

18 28-Day Average Streamflow

19 28-Day Average Streamflow

20 28-Day Average Streamflow

21 Great Lakes Water Levels

22 Great Lakes current water temperatures

23 Agricultural Impacts

24 Current Soil Moisture Anomaly

25 Departure from Normal Growing Degree Days April 1-August 12, 2017 Computed for corn using a base of 50F and a maximum temperature of 86F

26 Drought Update

27

28 As of 8/17/17 just over 18,000,000 people are being impacted by drought in the CONUS.

29

30

31 Climate Outlooks 7-day precipitation forecast 8-14 day outlook Monthly Outlook Autumn Outlook (Sep-Nov) Winter Outlook (Dec-Feb) Seasonal Drought Outlook

32 7 Day QPF valid from August 17-24,

33 8-14 day outlook for August

34 Monthly Outlook for September

35 Autumn Outlook (September-November)

36 Winter Outlook (December-February)

37 Seasonal Drought Outlook

38 OUR PARTNERS Any Questions?

39 Brian Fuchs National Drought Mitigation Center School of Natural Resources University of Nebraska-Lincoln

Midwest and Great Plains Climate- Drought Outlook 20 October 2016

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