National Flood Resilience Review (NFRR)
|
|
|
- Ginger Reeves
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 National Flood Resilience Review (NFRR) Professor Dame Julia Slingo Met Office Chief Scientist Surprised again! Is this climate change? Storm Desmond 5-6 December 2015 Rainfall record for a 24-hour period was broken, with 341.4mm recorded at Honister Pass in the Lake District 1
2 Evolving landscape of risk from natural variability? Winter Rainfall Rain-rich/flood-rich, rain-poor/flood-poor periods Severn Flow Rates NFRR: What is a plausible worst case for UK flooding? Winter 2013/14 Analysis at 1200 on 26 January 2014 It all starts with the weather! Storm Desmond Analysis at 0600 on 5 December
3 Climate Drivers of UK Winter Weather: North Atlantic Oscillation October and November predictions for Winter 2015/16 noted that the risk of spells of windy of even stormy weather is expected to be greater than usual for the time of year One flap of a seagull s wings may forever change the course of the weather Ed Lorenz and The Essence of Chaos There are many paths that the world s weather could have taken observations are just one plausible realisation. Can we use climate model simulations to find plausible alternatives with even more extreme rainfall? 3
4 Looking for black swans in a climate model event set Weather and climate simulation essentially provides many, many synthetic realisations of the UK s weather, provided that: Climate model produces a plausible simulation of synoptic weather and UK rainfall. Simulations must sample the same forcings as the real world but must have sufficient freedom to evolve to different regional climate and weather regimes. Latest Met Office Decadal Prediction System provides 1400 years of simulation representative of the period 1980 to 2015 a rain-rich period with recent greenhouse gases. Looking for black swan events for the current climate South east England monthly rainfall totals 35 observed Winters 1400 simulated Winters 40 x more samples 4
5 From Regional to Local: Kilometre scale rainfall simulations 12 km 12 km 1 km 4 km 1 km End-to-End Assessment of Risk: From Global Weather to Local Flooding N x Global simulations at ~20km : Synoptic drivers <N x Regional simulations at ~1km: Local meteorology Flooding scenarios: Impacts 5
6 Looking for black swan events for the current climate South east England monthly rainfall totals 35 observed Winters 1400 simulated Winters 40 x more samples Risk of an unprecedented month of rainfall occurring during a given winter On average, 10% risk of unprecedented rainfall in any winter in any one region 1% risk of exceeding the observed monthly maximum rainfall by 15-35% for each winter in any one of 6 large regions of England and Wales 6
7 Plausible Worst Case Scenario: Stress testing the Extreme Flood Outline using real cases Total rainfall accumulation for Storm Desmond + Storm Eva December km model 1.5km model + 20% 2km grid, 15 minute data provided to the EA as input to flood models Plausible Worst Case Scenario: Stress testing the Extreme Flood Outline using real cases Carlisle case study observed December 2015 flood extent and the Extreme Flood Outlines Observed Extreme Flood Outline 7
8 Plausible Worst Case Scenario: Stress testing the Extreme Flood Outline using real cases Carlisle case study observed December 2015 flood extent and the simulated stress test scenario. Observed Observed + 20% Note that due to the shape of the flood plain, the differences in extent are very small NFRR: A New, Integrated Approach to Flood Modelling 8
9 9
Climate Science to Inform Climate Choices. Julia Slingo, Met Office Chief Scientist
Climate Science to Inform Climate Choices Julia Slingo, Met Office Chief Scientist Taking the planet into uncharted territory Impacts of climate change will be felt most profoundly through hazardous weather
From Climate Science to Climate Services
Making sense of complexity in an interdependent world: February 2013 From Climate Science to Climate Services Julia Slingo, Met Office Chief Scientist Climate Change: Taking the planet into uncharted territory?
How advances in atmospheric modelling are used for improved flood forecasting. Dr Michaela Bray Cardiff University
How advances in atmospheric modelling are used for improved flood forecasting Dr Michaela Bray Cardiff University Overview of current short term rainfall forecasting Advancements and on going research
Flooding and Climate Change APSE Seminar, 9 February 2017
Flooding and Climate Change APSE Seminar, 9 February 2017 Local Roads Maintenance 1 Department for Transport OFFICIAL Preparations for Winter Important the transport sector, including local highway authorities,
Julia Slingo and Ken Cockshull summarize the data on climate change up to 2013 and discuss what effects it might have on UK gardens.
Gardening climate science in a changing climate Julia Slingo and Ken Cockshull summarize the data on climate change up to 2013 and discuss what effects it might have on UK gardens. Our intention in this
Draft Water Resources Management Plan 2019 Annex 3: Supply forecast Appendix B: calibration of the synthetic weather generator
Draft Water Resources Management Plan 2019 Annex 3: Supply forecast Appendix B: calibration of the synthetic weather generator November 30, 2017 Version 1 Introduction This appendix contains calibration
Crown copyright Met Office
Planning for extreme droughts: Current approaches for developing extreme drought scenarios and options for developing new methods Exeter Workshop 23/1/2017 Steven Wade, Elizabeth Brock, Fai Fung, Met Office
The UK National Severe Weather Warning Service - Guidance Unit Perspective
The UK National Severe Weather Warning Service - Guidance Unit Perspective Dan Suri, Chief Operational Meteorologist ECMWF User Workshop June 2015 Contents Who are the Guidance Unit? The National Severe
Mitigating risk through weather and climate intelligence to support business relevant decision making
Mitigating risk through weather and climate intelligence to support business relevant decision making Caroline Acton, Nicolas Fournier, Paul Newell, Jill Dixon 26 th May 2017 Contents Introduction Decisions
Probability and climate change UK/Russia Climate Workshop, October, 2003
Probability and climate change UK/Russia Climate Workshop, October, 2003 Myles Allen Department of Physics University of Oxford myles.allen@physics.ox.ac.uk South Oxford on January 5 th, 2003 Photo courtesy
Climate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL September 9, 2014
Climate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL September 9, 2014 Short Term Drought Map: Short-term (
Understanding Weather and Climate Risk. Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017
Understanding Weather and Climate Risk Matthew Perry Sharing an Uncertain World Conference The Geological Society, 13 July 2017 What is risk in a weather and climate context? Hazard: something with the
Winter General Outlook Covering December to February
UK & Ireland Winter 2017/18 Weather Forecast Winter General Outlook Covering December to February Our overall for the upcoming winter 2017/18 period favours some frequent blocking patterns with some twists
Climate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL January 13, 2015
Climate Outlook through 2100 South Florida Ecological Services Office Vero Beach, FL January 13, 2015 Short Term Drought Map: Short-term (
JEFF JOHNSON S Winter Weather Outlook
JEFF JOHNSON S 2017-2018 Winter Weather Outlook TABLE OF CONTENTS ABOUT THE AUTHOR Components of the seasonal outlook... 2 ENSO state/ocean temperatures... 3 Sub-seasonal outlooks... 4 Forecast models...
Water Resources Planning in the UK
Water Resources Planning in the UK Doug Hunt Atkins Ltd 27 September 2016 1 Overview Trends and drivers Key issues and solutions Drought generation: Historical evidence and implications The need for spatial
SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING TO BENEFIT BUSINESS AND SOCIETY
SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING TO BENEFIT BUSINESS AND SOCIETY Dr Mark Saunders Head of Seasonal Forecasting Department of Space and Climate Physics University College London UCL Lunch Hour Lecture 13th
About the Hydrological Outlook UK
Hydrological Outlook UK Period: From Rainfall: For December and December-January-February as a whole above-average precipitation is more probable than below-average. The probability that UK-average precipitation
Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall?
Will a warmer world change Queensland s rainfall? Nicholas P. Klingaman National Centre for Atmospheric Science-Climate Walker Institute for Climate System Research University of Reading The Walker-QCCCE
Building Marina Resilience to Storms Wisconsin Marine Association Conference November 2-3, 2016
Julia Noordyk NOAA Great Lakes Coastal Storms Program Outreach Coordinator UW Sea Grant @NoordCoast Building Marina Resilience to Storms Wisconsin Marine Association Conference November 2-3, 2016 July
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2016 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sroot@weatherbank.com SEPTEMBER 2016 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The contiguous
Hydrological Outlook UK. November 2015
Hydrological Outlook UK Period: From Issued on 10.11.2015 using data to the end of October 2015 SUMMARY Normal river flows and groundwater levels are likely for the next one to three months across the
2013 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. June RMS Cat Response
2013 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK June 2013 - RMS Cat Response Season Outlook At the start of the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially runs from June 1 to November 30, seasonal forecasts
After 2017 Is the Future Predictable?
After 2017 Is the Future Predictable? Presented by: Evan Thompson Director, Meteorological Service, Jamaica At Caribbean Insurance Conference, Montego Bay, Jamaica June 4, 2018 What s Happening with the
16 th Nov 1771 Solway Moss Landslide 20 farmhouses buried 1908 Train blown off Ulverston Viaduct September 20 th 1919 Heavy snowfall down to 800ft
Extreme Weather Events 1771-2007 Date Event 16 th Nov 1771 Solway Moss Landslide 20 farmhouses buried 1908 Train blown off Ulverston Viaduct September 20 th 1919 Heavy snowfall down to 800ft February 1932
Seasonal to decadal climate prediction: filling the gap between weather forecasts and climate projections
Seasonal to decadal climate prediction: filling the gap between weather forecasts and climate projections Doug Smith Walter Orr Roberts memorial lecture, 9 th June 2015 Contents Motivation Practical issues
Forecasting the "Beast from the East" and Storm Emma
Forecasting the "Beast from the East" and Storm Emma Ken Mylne and Rob Neal with contributions from several scientists across the Met Office ECMWF UEF Meeting, 5-8 June 2018 Beast started 24 Feb Emma reached
Will we ever be able to attribute individual weather events to anthropogenic climate change? March, 2003
Will we ever be able to attribute individual weather events to anthropogenic climate change? March, 2003 Myles Allen Department of Physics University of Oxford myles.allen@physics.ox.ac.uk South Oxford
Seamless weather and climate for security planning
Seamless weather and climate for security planning Kirsty Lewis, Principal Climate Change Consultant, Met Office Hadley Centre 28 June 2010 Global Climate Models Mitigation timescale changes could be avoided
Forecasting Flood Risk at the Flood Forecasting Centre, UK. Delft-FEWS User Days David Price
Forecasting Flood Risk at the Flood Forecasting Centre, UK Delft-FEWS User Days 2012 David Price Overview of the Flood Forecasting Centre (FFC) What is the FFC? Partnership between the Met Office and Environment
PRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK. June RMS Event Response
PRMS WHITE PAPER 2014 NORTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK June 2014 - RMS Event Response 2014 SEASON OUTLOOK The 2013 North Atlantic hurricane season saw the fewest hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin
Using Weather Pattern Analysis to Identify Periods of Heightened Coastal Flood Risk in the Medium to Long Range
UEF 2017 - Storms Using Weather Pattern Analysis to Identify Periods of Heightened Coastal Flood Risk in the Medium to Long Range David Price (FFC) and Robert Neal (Met Office) Thursday 15 June The Flood
Ministry of Natural Resources, Energy and Mining
Ministry of Natural Resources, Energy and Mining DEPARTMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES THE 2017/2018 RAINFALL SEASON UPDATE IN MALAWI AS ON 4 TH FEBRUARY 2018 1.0 INTRODUCTION The period
Northern New England Climate: Past, Present, and Future. Basic Concepts
Northern New England Climate: Past, Present, and Future Basic Concepts Weather instantaneous or synoptic measurements Climate time / space average Weather - the state of the air and atmosphere at a particular
National Meteorological Library and Archive
National Meteorological Library and Archive Fact sheet No. 4 Climate of the United Kingdom Causes of the weather in the United Kingdom The United Kingdom lies in the latitude of predominately westerly
EFFECTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ON LANDSLIDE FREQUENCIES IN RATNAPURA DISTRICT, SRI LANKA- 2011
EFFECTS OF GLOBAL WARMING ON LANDSLIDE FREQUENCIES IN RATNAPURA DISTRICT, SRI LANKA- 2011 T. D. Rathnaweera, Student, (Email: tdr19862142@gmail.com) U. P. Nawagamuwa,Senior Lecturer, (Email: udeni@uom.lk)
Climate Modeling Research & Applications in Wales. John Houghton. C 3 W conference, Aberystwyth
Climate Modeling Research & Applications in Wales John Houghton C 3 W conference, Aberystwyth 26 April 2011 Computer Modeling of the Atmosphere & Climate System has revolutionized Weather Forecasting and
Time allowed: 1 hour 30 minutes
SPECIMEN ASSESSMENT MATERIAL: SET 2 GCSE GEOGRAPHY Paper 1 Living with the physical environment Specimen Materials For this paper you must have: a pencil a ruler. Time allowed: 1 hour 30 minutes Instructions
NSW Ocean Water Levels
NSW Ocean Water Levels B Modra 1, S Hesse 1 1 Manly Hydraulics Laboratory, NSW Public Works, Sydney, NSW Manly Hydraulics Laboratory (MHL) has collected ocean water level and tide data on behalf of the
Memo. I. Executive Summary. II. ALERT Data Source. III. General System-Wide Reporting Summary. Date: January 26, 2009 To: From: Subject:
Memo Date: January 26, 2009 To: From: Subject: Kevin Stewart Markus Ritsch 2010 Annual Legacy ALERT Data Analysis Summary Report I. Executive Summary The Urban Drainage and Flood Control District (District)
Weather Outlook for Spring and Summer in Central TX. Aaron Treadway Meteorologist National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio
Weather Outlook for Spring and Summer in Central TX Aaron Treadway Meteorologist National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Outline A Look Back At 2014 Spring 2015 So Far El Niño Update Climate Prediction
Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA
Ellen L. Mecray NOAA Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region Taunton, MA Regions of the US National Climate Assessment What we Observe: Climate changes and impacts Increasing temperature Increasingly
Flood Risk Assessment
Flood Risk Assessment February 14, 2008 Larry Schick Army Corps of Engineers Seattle District Meteorologist General Assessment As promised, La Nina caused an active winter with above to much above normal
National Meteorological Library and Archive
National Meteorological Library and Archive Fact sheet No. 4 Climate of the United Kingdom Causes of the weather in the United Kingdom The United Kingdom lies in the latitude of predominately westerly
The weather in Iceland 2012
The Icelandic Meteorological Office Climate summary 2012 published 9.1.2013 The weather in Iceland 2012 Climate summary Sunset in Reykjavík 24th April 2012 at 21:42. View towards west from the balcony
2017 Fall Conditions Report
2017 Fall Conditions Report Prepared by: Hydrologic Forecast Centre Date: November 15, 2017 Table of Contents TABLE OF FIGURES... ii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY... 1 BACKGROUND... 4 SUMMER AND FALL PRECIPITATION...
Fire Weather Drivers, Seasonal Outlook and Climate Change. Steven McGibbony, Severe Weather Manager Victoria Region Friday 9 October 2015
Fire Weather Drivers, Seasonal Outlook and Climate Change Steven McGibbony, Severe Weather Manager Victoria Region Friday 9 October 2015 Outline Weather and Fire Risk Environmental conditions leading to
IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Monthly Bulletin, August 2014
IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Monthly Bulletin, 1. HIGHLIGHTS/ ACTUALITES Rainfall activities were mainly observed over the central parts of the northern sector and western parts of equatorial
Changing Climate and Increased Volatility What it Means for the Energy Sector in the Future April 3, 2014 Jeff Johnson, Chief Science Officer
Changing Climate and Increased Volatility What it Means for the Energy Sector in the Future April 3, 2014 Jeff Johnson, Chief Science Officer There is no doubt that the climate has changed, and it will
Appendix 1: UK climate projections
Appendix 1: UK climate projections The UK Climate Projections 2009 provide the most up-to-date estimates of how the climate may change over the next 100 years. They are an invaluable source of information
Predicting The Unpredictable
Predicting The Unpredictable Will it snow over London on 23 rd January 2154? Jesse Liu December 2011 Introduction Predicting London snowfall on 23 rd January 2154 is no easy feat. The atmospheric conditions
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report
Weather and Climate Summary and Forecast December 2017 Report Gregory V. Jones Linfield College December 5, 2017 Summary: November was relatively cool and wet from central California throughout most of
Forecast system development: what next?
Forecast system development: what next? Doug Smith, Adam Scaife, Nick Dunstone, Leon Hermanson, Rosie Eade, Vikki Thompson, Martin Andrews, Jeff Knight, Craig MacLachlan, and many others Improved models
August Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2012
August Forecast Update for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2012 Issued: 6 th August 2012 by Professor Mark Saunders and Dr Adam Lea Dept. of Space and Climate Physics, UCL (University College London), UK
International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 3, Issue 5, May ISSN
International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 3, Issue 5, May 2013 1 Projection of Changes in Monthly Climatic Variability at Local Level in India as Inferred from Simulated Daily
ATMOSPHERIC MODELLING. GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 9 Ahrens: Chapter 13; A&B: Chapters 12 and 13
ATMOSPHERIC MODELLING GEOG/ENST 3331 Lecture 9 Ahrens: Chapter 13; A&B: Chapters 12 and 13 Agenda for February 3 Assignment 3: Due on Friday Lecture Outline Numerical modelling Long-range forecasts Oscillations
SIMMER WORKSHOP (Science, Policy & Heat-Health Decision Making) Toronto
SIMMER WORKSHOP (Science, Policy & Heat-Health Decision Making) Toronto Weather & Climate Modelling in Toronto & The Significant Results for Public Health October 24, 2013 Christopher Ll. Morgan, PhD Program
The Pennsylvania Observer
The Pennsylvania Observer April 2, 2010 March 2010 Pennsylvania Weather Recap Prepared by: Katelyn Johnson March did come in as a lion cub this year. The 1 st proved to be a calm day; however most of Pennsylvania
Winter Storm of 15 December 2005 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service Office State College, PA 16803
Winter Storm of 15 December 2005 By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service Office State College, PA 16803 1. INTRODUCTION A complex winter storm brought snow, sleet, and freezing rain to central Pennsylvania.
THE CANADIAN CENTRE FOR CLIMATE MODELLING AND ANALYSIS
THE CANADIAN CENTRE FOR CLIMATE MODELLING AND ANALYSIS As Canada s climate changes, and weather patterns shift, Canadian climate models provide guidance in an uncertain future. CANADA S CLIMATE IS CHANGING
Communicating uncertainty from short-term to seasonal forecasting
Communicating uncertainty from short-term to seasonal forecasting MAYBE NO YES Jay Trobec KELO-TV Sioux Falls, South Dakota USA TV weather in the US Most TV weather presenters have university degrees and
Current Daily Simulated Subsurface Water Storage Conditions
*Example month displaying extreme relative dryness These maps are based on Grid-to-Grid (G2G) hydrological model simulated subsurface water storage, expressed as an anomaly from the historical monthly
CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE SEVERN ESTUARY Sea level
CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE SEVERN ESTUARY Sea level Introduction The marine environment of the Severn Estuary is one of the most dynamic in Europe and sea level, waves and storms all play their part in shaping
Annex I to Target Area Assessments
Baltic Challenges and Chances for local and regional development generated by Climate Change Annex I to Target Area Assessments Climate Change Support Material (Climate Change Scenarios) SWEDEN September
UNCERTAINTY IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE PREDICTION
one flap of a sea-gull s wing may forever change the future course of the weather Edward Lorenz 1963 UNCERTAINTY IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE PREDICTION Julia Slingo (Met Office) With thanks to Tim Palmer, James
Merging Rain-Gauge and Radar Data
Merging Rain-Gauge and Radar Data Dr Sharon Jewell, Obserations R&D, Met Office, FitzRoy Road, Exeter sharon.jewell@metoffice.gov.uk Outline 1. Introduction The Gauge and radar network Interpolation techniques
Extreme rainfall in Cumbria, November 2009 an assessment of storm rarity
Extreme rainfall in Cumbria, November 2009 an assessment of storm rarity Lisa Stewart 1, Dave Morris 1, David Jones 1 and Peter Spencer 2 1 Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, UK; 2 Environment
WEATHER FORECASTING Acquisition of Weather Information WFO Regions Weather Forecasting Tools Weather Forecasting Tools Weather Forecasting Methods
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 WEATHER FORECASTING Chapter 13 Acquisition of Weather Information 10,000 land-based stations, hundreds of ships and buoys; four times a day, airports hourly Upper level: radiosonde, aircraft,
A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station
ZUMWALT PRAIRIE WEATHER 2016 A summary of the weather year based on data from the Zumwalt weather station Figure 1. An unusual summer storm on July 10, 2016 brought the second-largest precipitation day
Regional Climate Change: Current Impacts and Perspectives Greater Lake Nipissing Stewardship Council Annual Meeting Wednesday April 16, 2014
Regional Climate Change: Current Impacts and Perspectives Greater Lake Nipissing Stewardship Council Annual Meeting Wednesday April 16, 2014 Speaker: Peter Bullock, Stantec Consulting Information Source:
Climate, Weather and Renewable Energy. Prof. Frank McDermott, UCD School of Earth Sciences 30 th November 2017 UCD
Climate, Weather and Renewable Energy Prof. Frank McDermott, UCD School of Earth Sciences 30 th November 2017 UCD Energy Systems Integration Partnership Programme (ESIPP) 2 Energy Systems Integration Partnership
Weather is the state of the atmosphere around us hour by hour, day to day. Climate is the average weather over a long time.
12.1 The UK climate pages 16 and 161 Weather is the state of the atmosphere around us hour by hour, day to day. Climate is the average weather over a long time. The map shows the four main climate areas
Projections of future climate change
Projections of future climate change Matthew Collins 1,2 and Catherine A. Senior 2 1 Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading 2 Met Office Hadley Centre,
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP,
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: APRIL 18, 2017 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sroot@weatherbank.com MARCH 2017 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The average contiguous
Current Daily Simulated Subsurface Water Storage Conditions
*Example month displaying extreme relative dryness These maps are based on Grid-to-Grid (G2G) hydrological model simulated subsurface water storage, expressed as an anomaly from the historical monthly
Science advice & risk management in government
Science advice & risk management in government The Foundation for Science & Technology Professor John Beddington Chief Scientific Adviser to HM Government and Head of the Government Office for Science
RR#5 - Free Response
Base your answers to questions 1 through 3 on the data table below and on your knowledge of Earth Science. The table shows the area, in million square kilometers, of the Arctic Ocean covered by ice from
The benefits and developments in ensemble wind forecasting
The benefits and developments in ensemble wind forecasting Erik Andersson Slide 1 ECMWF European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Slide 1 ECMWF s global forecasting system High resolution forecast
Extremely cold weather events caused by arctic air mass and its synoptic situation in Finland from the year 1950 onwards
Extremely cold weather events caused by arctic air mass and its synoptic situation in Finland from the year 1950 onwards Senior meteorologist Henri Nyman Finnish Meteorological Institute, Weather and Safety
Page 1 of 5 Home research global climate enso effects Research Effects of El Niño on world weather Precipitation Temperature Tropical Cyclones El Niño affects the weather in large parts of the world. The
Communicating Climate Change Consequences for Land Use
Communicating Climate Change Consequences for Land Use Site: Prabost, Skye. Event: Kyle of Lochalsh, 28 th February 28 Further information: http://www.macaulay.ac.uk/ladss/comm_cc_consequences.html Who
Pre-Christmas Warm-up December 2013-Draft
Pre-Christmas Warm-up 21-23 December 2013-Draft By Richard H. Grumm National Weather Service State College, PA 1. Overview A large ridge over the west-central Atlantic (Fig.1) and trough moving into eastern
Global Challenges - Partnering with Service Providers. World Meteorological Organization. J. Lengoasa WMO Deputy Secretary-General
WMO World Meteorological Organization Working together in weather, climate and water Global Challenges - Partnering with Service Providers J. Lengoasa WMO Deputy Secretary-General jlengoasa@wmo.int http://www.wmo.int/pages/gfcs/gfcs_en.html
Analysis of UK precipitation extremes derived from Met Office gridded data
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY Int. J. Climatol. 34: 2438 2449 (2014) Published online 6 November 2013 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/joc.3850 Analysis of UK precipitation
WIND TRENDS IN THE HIGHLANDS AND ISLANDS OF SCOTLAND AND THEIR RELATION TO THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION. European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK
J 4A.11A WIND TRENDS IN THE HIGHLANDS AND ISLANDS OF SCOTLAND AND THEIR RELATION TO THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION Gwenna G. Corbel a, *, John T. Allen b, Stuart W. Gibb a and David Woolf a a Environmental
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: SEPTEMBER 19, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com AUGUST 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The
How we know the world has warmed
How we know the world has warmed A comprehensive review of key climate indicators confirms the world is warming and the past decade was the warmest on record. More than 3 scientists from 48 countries analyzed
Baseline Climatology. Dave Parker ADD PRESENTATION TITLE HERE (GO TO: VIEW / MASTER / SLIDE MASTER TO AMEND) ADD PRESENTER S NAME HERE / ADD DATE HERE
Baseline Climatology Dave Parker ADD PRESENTATION TITLE HERE (GO TO: VIEW / MASTER / SLIDE MASTER TO AMEND) ADD PRESENTER S NAME HERE / ADD DATE HERE Copyright EDF Energy. All rights reserved. Introduction
Role of Hydro-Met Services in Disaster Risk Management
Role of Hydro-Met Services in Disaster Risk Management Tshewang Rigzin (Mr) National Centre for Hydrology and Meteorology, Bhutan 30 th November 2017 Outline Vision and Mission Functions related to Disaster
Drought in Southeast Colorado
Drought in Southeast Colorado Nolan Doesken and Roger Pielke, Sr. Colorado Climate Center Prepared by Tara Green and Odie Bliss http://climate.atmos.colostate.edu 1 Historical Perspective on Drought Tourism
Extreme precipitation and climate change: the potential impacts on flooding
Extreme precipitation and climate change: the potential impacts on flooding Conference or Workshop Item Accepted Version Champion, A., Hodges, K. and Bengtsson, L. (2010) Extreme precipitation and climate
CLIMATE CHANGE AND REGIONAL HYDROLOGY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST US: Evidence of Changes, Model Projections, and Remote Sensing Approaches
CLIMATE CHANGE AND REGIONAL HYDROLOGY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST US: Evidence of Changes, Model Projections, and Remote Sensing Approaches Michael A. Rawlins Dept of Geosciences University of Massachusetts OUTLINE
BOTSWANA AGROMETEOROLOGICAL MONTHLY
Depart. Of Meteorological Services Agro-met Office P.O. Box 10100, Gaborone Tel: 3612200 Fax: 3956282/140 Corner Maaloso- Metsimothaba Road Gaborone Village Highlights: Very wet to extremely wet conditions
Malawi. General Climate. UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles. C. McSweeney 1, M. New 1,2 and G. Lizcano 1
UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles Malawi C. McSweeney 1, M. New 1,2 and G. Lizcano 1 1. School of Geography and Environment, University of Oxford. 2. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research http://country-profiles.geog.ox.ac.uk
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales
Monthly Long Range Weather Commentary Issued: NOVEMBER 16, 2015 Steven A. Root, CCM, Chief Analytics Officer, Sr. VP, sales sroot@weatherbank.com OCTOBER 2015 Climate Highlights The Month in Review The
Review of medium to long term coastal risks associated with British Energy sites: Climate Change Effects - Final Report
Review of medium to long term coastal risks associated with British Energy sites: Climate Change Effects - Final Report Prepared for British Energy Generation Ltd Authors: Reviewed by: Authorised for issue
Identifying the most extreme storms for wave impact at the UK coast
SUCCESS K/O Feb 2017 Identifying the most extreme storms for wave impact at the UK coast JUDITH WOLF & LUCY BRICHENO NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE, LIVERPOOL, UK WAVES, STORM SURGES AND COASTAL HAZARDS,
Zambia. General Climate. Recent Climate Trends. UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles. Temperature. C. McSweeney 1, M. New 1,2 and G.
UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles Zambia C. McSweeney 1, M. New 1,2 and G. Lizcano 1 1. School of Geography and Environment, University of Oxford. 2. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research http://country-profiles.geog.ox.ac.uk
Current and future climate of the Cook Islands. Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program
Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program Penrhyn Pukapuka Nassau Suwarrow Rakahanga Manihiki N o r t h e r n C o o k I s l a nds S o u t h e Palmerston r n C o o k I s l
Application and verification of ECMWF products 2016
Application and verification of ECMWF products 2016 Icelandic Meteorological Office (www.vedur.is) Bolli Pálmason and Guðrún Nína Petersen 1. Summary of major highlights Medium range weather forecasts