Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, June 16, :30 a.m. EDT

Transcription

1 Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, June 16, :30 a.m. EDT

2 Significant Activity: June Significant Events: Tropical Storm Bill Tropical Activity: Atlantic Tropical Storm Bill Eastern Pacific Hurricane Carlos Central Pacific No tropical cyclones expected through Wednesday night Western Pacific No activity Significant Weather: Severe thunderstorms possible Northern Rockies to Northern/Central Plains; Southern Plains Flash flooding Southern Plains to Middle Mississippi Valley and Central Appalachians Rain and thunderstorms Northern Rockies/Plains to Southern Plains, Ohio/Tennessee valleys to Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, and portions of the Southeast Red Flag Warnings AK, OR & WA Elevated/Critical Fire Weather areas none Space weather no space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours; minor geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are predicted for the next 24 hours FEMA Readiness: No significant changes Declaration Activity: FMAG Approved for Sockeye Fire, AK

3 2-Day Tropical Outlook Atlantic

4 Tropical Storm Bill Tropical Storm Bill: (Advisory #2a as of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Located 30 miles ESE of Port O Connor, Texas Moving NW at 13 mph; this general motion expected to continue today Expected to make landfall in the warning area along the Texas coast later this morning and move inland over south-central Texas this afternoon and tonight Maximum sustained winds 60 mph; slight strengthening possible before landfall Weakening forecast after center moves inland later today; expected to weaken to a tropical depression tonight Tropical storm force winds extend 150 miles Tropical Storm Warning in effect for TX coast from Baffin Bay to High Island Total rain accumulations: 4-8 inches over eastern TX & eastern OK; 2-4 inches over western AR & southern MO; possible isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches in eastern TX Storm surge could produce flooding of 2-4 feet in upper TX coast; 1-2 feet along western LA coast State Response: TX EOC is activated to Level II (Partially Activated); OK and LA are activated to Level III (Monitoring) no unmet needs Federal Response: FEMA Region VI RWC is at Enhanced Watch with Hurricane Program Manager FEMA Region VI RRCC activated to Level III; no other RRCCs activated No requests for FEMA assistance

5 2-Day Tropical Outlook Eastern Pacific

6 Hurricane Carlos Hurricane Carlos: (Advisory #23A as of 8:00 a.m. EDT) Located 140 miles WSW of Lazaro Cardenas Mexico A turn to the NNW is expected Wednesday morning, and this motion is forecast to continue through Thursday morning Maximum sustained winds 75 mph; gradual weakening expected to begin Wednesday and continue through Thursday morning Hurricane force winds extend 10 miles; tropical storm force winds extend 45 miles Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning in effect for areas of southwest coastal Mexico

7 Tropical Outlook Central Pacific

8 Sockeye Fire Alaska Fire Name Location Acres burned % Contained Est. Full Containment FMAG Structures Lost / Threatened Fatalities / Injuries Sockeye Fire Matanuska-Susitna Borough 6,500 0% Unknown 5084-FM-AK 25 / 893 homes 0 / 1 Current Situation Fire began June 14, 2015, near town of Willow, approximately 40 miles north of Anchorage, AK Burning on private and state land Threatening a major power junction Mandatory and voluntary evacuations in effect for 1,700 residents 2 shelters open with 219 occupants (ESF-06 as of 5:46 am EDT, June 16) Type 1 IMT has responded Response FMAG was approved on June 15, 2015 AK SOC is at Level III FEMA Region X at Watch/Steady State Matanauska-Susitna Borough Red dotted line Fire Pink encompassed mandatory Evac Yellow encompassed voluntary Evac

9 FMAG Requests and Declarations Action (since last report) Total FMAG No. and State Requests DENIED 0 Requests APPROVED 1 Sockeye Fire, AK Approved June 15, 2015 Approved FMAG Data Year Current YTD MTD Monthly Average Cumulative Acres Burned YTD Cumulative Denied FMAGs YTD ,500 1 Year Total Previous FY ++ Yearly Average Total Acres Burned Previous Year Total Denied FMAGs Previous Year ,648 2 * Reflects the 3-year average for current month/ ** Reflects 3-year total average

10 Disaster Requests & Declarations Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED (since last report) Requests DENIED (since last report) 1 Date Requested 0 0 NE Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding June 12, 2015

11 Open Field Offices as of June 15

12 Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Region State / Location Event IA/PA Number of Counties Requested Complete Start End AR Severe Storms and Flooding IA /4 6/13 PA (+1) 5/28 TBD VI LA OK Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line winds & Flooding Severe Storms and Flooding May 5, 2015 and continuing IA 2 0 6/15 - TBD IA 35 (-1) 35 (+8) 5/29 6/13 PA (+13) 5/18 TBD TX Severe Storms, Tornadoes and Flooding May 5, 2015 and continuing IA (+5) 5/22 TBD PA /22 TBD VII KS Severe Weather, Flooding and High Winds May 4 and continuing PA /15 TBD

13 National Weather Forecast Day 1 al_forecast/natfcst.php Today Tomorrow

14 Precipitation Forecast, 1-3 Day Day 1 Day 2 Day 3

15 Flash Flood Potential Day 1 Day 2 Day 3

16 Significant River Flood Outlook

17 Active Watches/Warnings

18 River Forecast p

19 Severe Weather Outlook, Days 1-3 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Categories Thunderstorms Marginal Risk Slight Risk Enhanced Risk Moderate Risk High Risk

20 Hazard Outlook, June

21 Space Weather None Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours Space Weather Activity: None None Minor Geomagnetic Storms None None G1 Solar Radiation Storms None None None Radio Blackouts None None None HF Communication Impact Sunspot Activity

22 Public Assistance Grant Program PA Category Number Of PWs Obligated Federal Share Obligated Emergency Work A - Debris Removal B - Protective Measures C - Roads & Bridges PA Project Worksheets Obligated in past week, as of 6/15/2015 at 1400 EDT D - Water Control Facilities Permanent Work E - Public Buildings F - Public Utilities G - Recreational or Other H - Fire Management Z - State Management $685,459 $3,678,122 $1,789,399 $707,945 $1,489,646 $2,188,662 $1,059,496 $0 $140,408 $11,739,136 Total $25,000,000 $20,000,000 $15,000,000 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $0 Public Assistance Obligated per Category In the Past 2 Weeks 6/2/2015 through 6/15/2015 $30,000,000 Z - State Management Last Week This Week $26,406,884 $11,739,136 H - Fire Management G - Recreational or Other F - Public Utilities E - Public Buildings D - Water Control Facilities C - Roads & Bridges B - Protective Measures A - Debris Removal None at this time PA Highlights

23 Direct Housing Total Households in FEMA Direct Housing per State Past Year per Week, 6/16/2014 6/15/2015, Projected to 12/14/2015 There are currently 1 Households Occupying 1 Temporary Units Based On Projected Move Outs per DR DR IA Declaration Date Program End Date Current # of Households in Direct Housing (Weekly Change) 4175-MS 04/30/ /30/ (0) (0) 6/15/ (0) 12/14/ MS 1971-AL 1972-MS 4020-NY 4086-NJ 4145-CO 4175-MS States with Currently Occupied Units

24 NPSC Activity NPSC Call Activity in the Past Week June 8, 2015 through June 14, 2015 Call Type Projected Calls Actual Calls Average Answer Time Maximum Delay Time Registration Intake 6,143 5,537 :12 4:12 Helpline 9,775 9,773 :12 5:24 All Calls 15,918 15,310 :12 5:24 3,500 NPSC Call Forecasting and Actual Calls Over the Past 4 Weeks 5/17/2015 through 6/13/2015 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 Forecast RI Actual RI Forecast HL Actual HL 1, Disasters with a Open Registration Period

25 Individual Assistance Activity Other IHP Active Open Registration Period Individuals and Households Program Activity as of June 16, 2015 at 0000 EST In Past 7 Days Applicants Approved Amount Approved Applicants Approved 4217-KY Declared End Of Reg Period Cumulative Amount Approved Housing Assistance 42 $92, $2,481, Other Needs Assistance 26 $57, $970, Total IHP $150, $3,451, OK Declared End Of Reg Period Housing Assistance 847 $3,465, ,620 $6,683, Other Needs Assistance 294 $597, $1,202, Total IHP $4,062, $7,885, TX Declared End Of Reg Period Housing Assistance 2,284 $9,373, ,935 $21,649, Other Needs Assistance 854 $1,563, ,776 $3,681, Total IHP $10,936, $25,331, Declarations IHP Programmatically Open - Closed Registration * Housing Assistance 46 $143, Other Needs Assistance 5 $3, Total IHP $147, IHP Approved per Category In the Past 2 Weeks 6/2/2015 through 6/15/2015 $18,000,000 $16,000,000 $14,000,000 $12,000,000 $10,000,000 $8,000,000 $6,000,000 $4,000,000 $2,000,000 Housing - Rental Housing - Repair/Replace Housing - Other Other Needs - Personal Property Other Needs - Medical/Dental Other Needs - Transportation Other Needs - Other Total IHP Approved in Past Week $15,296, $0 Last Week This Week $16,317,465 $15,296,793

26 FEMA Readiness Deployable Teams /Assets Deployable Teams/Assets Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available Not Available Detailed, Deployed, Activated Comments Rating Criterion FCO % FDRC % US&R % NM-TF1 (Red) Personnel shortages WA-TF1 (Yellow) U.S. Open (June 1-30) National IMAT % Elements of IMAT East-2 deployed to TX Regional IMAT % MCOV % Deployed (Blue): RII (Team A) to TX supporting FEMA-4223-DR-TX RVI (Team 1) to TX Available/ Partially Mission Capable (Yellow): RX Personnel Shortages Not Mission Capable (Red): RIX (Team 1) Personnel Shortages RIV (Team 3) RVI (Team 2) 17 units in TX 4 units in OK OFDC Readiness: FCO Green Yellow Red Type Type Type FDRC Green = Available/FMC Yellow = Available/PMC Red = Out-of-Service Blue = Assigned/Deployed Green: 3 avail Yellow: 1-2 avail Red: 0 avail (Individual N-IMAT red if 50% of Section Chiefs and/or Team Leader is unavailable for deployment.) Green: 7 or more avail Yellow: 4-6 teams available Red: > 8 teams deployed/unavailable R-IMAT also red if TL Ops/Log Chief is unavailable & has no qualified replacement Green = % avail Yellow = 60 79% avail Red = 59% or below avail Readiness remains 95%

27 FEMA Readiness National/Regional Teams Resource Status Total FMC Available Partially Available National/Regional Teams Not Available Status NWC % 0 0 Not Activated NRCC % 0 44 Not Activated Comments Rating Criterion Green = FMC Yellow = PMC Red = NMC HLT 1 N/A N/A 0 0 Activated DEST Not Activated RRCCs % 0 0 Activated Region VI RRCC at Level III RWCs/MOCs % 0 0 Activated RVI RWC at Enhanced Watch

28